Hard-Gondola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$294

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

424

Trades

1,487

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-15 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$294

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 426 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$88	150	50	+100	Up	$-3	05-07 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	13	$86	122	50	+72	Down	+$21	05-07 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$66	50	50	+0	Down	+$19	05-08 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$66	50	50	+0	Up	+$19	05-07 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$65	55	55	+0	Down	+$14	05-07 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	7	$62	100	50	+50	Down	$-32	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$60	50	50	+0	Down	+$14	05-08 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$60	50	50	+0	Down	+$14	05-07 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$60	50	50	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$60	50	50	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$59	50	50	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$59	50	50	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$58	50	50	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	8	$58	55	55	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$58	55	55	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$58	50	50	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$58	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-08 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	05-08 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$57	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	5	$57	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$57	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	05-10 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-08 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$56	50	50	+0	Up	+$9	05-10 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$56	55	55	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$55	50	50	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 20:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x297999…
05-15 20:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3e3db0…
05-15 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x39cd27…
05-15 19:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xb6cded…
05-15 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x8a1940…
05-15 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x789cd3…
05-15 18:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x6fef69…
05-15 18:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb460a7…
05-15 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xc89259…
05-15 18:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xb51780…
05-15 18:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x1cc8d2…
05-15 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xda0ce8…
05-15 18:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd43461…
05-15 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x4572c7…
05-15 18:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4f1176…
05-15 18:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x52ce3c…
05-15 18:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x134bc2…
05-15 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0xc43d53…
05-15 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x6f5576…
05-15 18:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x05dc32…
05-15 18:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xa14c36…
05-15 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x127fb7…
05-15 17:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xee851a…
05-15 17:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd718b9…
05-15 17:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xaf1a25…
05-15 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xd43bc8…
05-15 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x36d6f1…
05-15 17:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xaa6bf5…
05-15 17:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xab3466…
05-15 17:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xf488b9…
05-15 17:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xcecd14…
05-15 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x852bf2…
05-15 16:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd6d8b2…
05-15 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x5c89d1…
05-15 16:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x463fe7…
05-15 15:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x7bbaf5…
05-15 15:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x0be8de…
05-15 15:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x420be4…
05-15 15:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x26f6fa…
05-15 15:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xf3f3d0…
05-15 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xacb184…
05-15 14:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xc394e9…
05-15 14:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xdc283c…
05-15 14:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xb7819d…
05-15 14:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x56828a…
05-15 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x94c4d0…
05-15 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xf74c8c…
05-15 14:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x50f335…
05-15 10:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4cce92…
05-15 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x49de3f…
05-15 10:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xbe2306…
05-15 10:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x07fbfe…
05-15 10:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4ebbf5…
05-15 10:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xc24a4d…
05-15 09:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xb2e78e…
05-15 09:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x807876…
05-15 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x08b69d…
05-15 09:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa9776d…
05-15 09:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb6a6c7…
05-15 09:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xf27b96…
05-15 09:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3d7d7b…
05-15 09:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x1e0913…
05-15 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x328e93…
05-15 09:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x26ce46…
05-15 09:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x83b2eb…
05-15 09:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xf80f21…
05-15 09:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xac9a31…
05-15 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xc75611…
05-15 08:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2a35c0…
05-15 08:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xdd8450…
05-15 08:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2cf266…
05-15 08:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xad0861…
05-15 08:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xcb8b66…
05-15 08:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x851d96…
05-15 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xf8e58b…
05-15 08:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x8a4cfa…
05-15 08:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4198c4…
05-15 08:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x7078bd…
05-15 08:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x1cf531…
05-15 08:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xee550f…
05-15 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x59fa57…
05-15 08:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xf6df11…
05-15 08:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x1c4c65…
05-15 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xbaa7b4…
05-15 08:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x46ad34…
05-15 08:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x005178…
05-15 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xe705c8…
05-15 07:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x2a40d6…
05-15 07:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xf525b9…
05-15 07:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xc21839…
05-15 07:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x60a3ee…
05-15 07:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xe69e81…
05-15 07:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x17a740…
05-15 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xb6df65…
05-15 07:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3abcd0…
05-15 07:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x78893e…
05-15 07:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xeb5ec1…
05-15 07:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x19a855…
05-15 07:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x2fd7be…
05-15 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x192365…