Cautious-Reach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$556

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-07 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 50% $-29

Sports

7% 0% $-9

Other

5% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$31	34	34	+0	open	—	04-29 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$31	35	35	+0	open	—	04-30 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$22	80	80	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 00:19
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$21	39	39	+0	Seattle Mariners	$-9	05-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$21	22	11	+11	open	—	04-30 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	9	$21	107	106	+0	open	—	04-30 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$19	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$19	48	0	+48	Down	$-19	05-07 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$17	52	52	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$13	21	9	+13	open	—	04-30 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$13	30	30	+0	open	—	04-29 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$13	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$13	101	0	+101	Down	$-13	05-06 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$12	15	9	+6	open	—	04-29 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$12	60	0	+60	Up	$-12	05-06 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$11	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 01:28
btc updown 5m 1776290400	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-15 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$10	129	0	+129	open	—	04-30 20:22
btc updown 5m 1776289500	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-15 21:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$10	23	23	+0	open	—	05-06 17:49
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$10	14	14	+0	Yes	$-0	04-15 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$9	23	0	+23	open	—	04-30 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe2db5…
05-07 00:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x0cc7d9…
05-07 00:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x549dee…
05-07 00:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x615145…
05-07 00:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb8a798…
05-07 00:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0xe9d5a3…
05-07 00:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x33f9ec…
05-07 00:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x624839…
05-07 00:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x38de07…
05-07 00:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	55¢	$7	0x05593d…
05-07 00:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xba1f81…
05-06 21:42:59	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	SELL	39	16¢	$6	0x95b202…
05-06 21:04:13	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Atlanta Braves	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x358fab…
05-06 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3873f4…
05-06 18:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34c8d9…
05-06 18:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x951065…
05-06 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x8126ed…
05-06 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3b07a0…
05-06 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0xaff40e…
05-06 18:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x898ee9…
05-06 18:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0xefc0ec…
05-06 18:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0894e0…
05-06 18:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x6f2748…
05-06 18:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x63e9bb…
05-06 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x70d35e…
05-06 17:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x70fe01…
05-06 17:49:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x3447a4…
05-06 17:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x031b11…
05-06 17:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4c9e1a…
05-06 17:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2515aa…
05-06 17:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x943568…
05-06 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x552472…
05-06 17:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xe6c92f…
05-06 17:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3f88c3…
05-06 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x7de4e8…
05-06 17:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x64b642…
05-06 17:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa6437d…
05-06 17:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1b92ca…
05-06 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x2a4676…
05-06 17:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdcfdae…
05-06 17:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x3cc30c…
05-06 17:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9eded5…
05-06 17:19:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x51013c…
04-30 20:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xa338c8…
04-30 20:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xdaa37e…
04-30 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x439dec…
04-30 20:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8173dc…
04-30 20:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x99722b…
04-30 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	82	11¢	$9	0x3ed7be…
04-30 20:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xad2669…
04-30 20:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8ea430…
04-30 20:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa68d6b…
04-30 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x140932…
04-30 20:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x68baf3…
04-30 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b2ca3…
04-30 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0xe7af31…
04-30 20:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x6a3363…
04-30 20:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x85fd20…
04-30 20:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0332c8…
04-30 20:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xbe9baa…
04-30 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdbf7ae…
04-30 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x286fc3…
04-30 20:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfc59fd…
04-30 20:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8f22e2…
04-30 20:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x358e47…
04-30 20:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb113dd…
04-30 19:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e6661…
04-30 19:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x49bdcf…
04-30 19:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xda1300…
04-30 19:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0fbcf8…
04-30 19:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x138f54…
04-30 19:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbff60c…
04-30 17:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x34dae2…
04-30 17:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3f2a3b…
04-30 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9c9640…
04-30 16:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa0096c…
04-30 16:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x330120…
04-30 16:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x26b88d…
04-30 16:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x49049e…
04-30 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa934fa…
04-30 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8f392c…
04-30 03:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x70c8f4…
04-30 03:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xf6989f…
04-30 03:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3eae20…
04-30 03:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x1a6a7d…
04-30 03:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x76f5e0…
04-30 03:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf4911e…
04-30 03:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf6b9f1…
04-30 01:36:06	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x54e891…
04-30 01:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0xe59ce6…
04-30 01:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x981b1c…
04-30 01:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x19ba65…
04-30 01:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2fdfca…
04-30 01:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x379891…
04-30 01:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	89	6¢	$6	0xa3fe5d…
04-30 01:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfa9cde…
04-29 23:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x9d6914…
04-29 23:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x08db7c…
04-29 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	52¢	$13	0xb4ddf0…
04-29 23:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8707c9…