Frugal-Forecast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 0% $-5

Other

20% 0% $-1

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-11 15:32
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	1	$1	144	+144	open	—	05-12 04:16
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	1	$1	91	+91	open	—	05-12 05:03
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 13?	1	$1	91	+91	No	$-1	05-13 08:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-12 04:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$1	11	+11	open	—	05-12 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:12:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x6a465a…
05-12 05:09:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x69f7d4…
05-12 05:03:05	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x86e161…
05-12 04:59:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4a4d7e…
05-12 04:16:37	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0x72d28c…
05-11 15:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x36ea7f…