Loving-Stylus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-09 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Politics

23% 67% $-1

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-24 14:38
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	3	$112	63	63	+0	open	—	04-29 19:22
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	4	$107	96	93	+2	open	—	04-24 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-24 14:38
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	2	$78	100	97	+3	open	—	04-24 14:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-12 13:46
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$46	86	0	+86	open	—	04-27 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$44	77	74	+3	open	—	04-26 13:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 15:15
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$33	18	18	+0	No	+$3	05-12 13:46
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 14:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 19:22
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	05-01 20:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-13 12:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-08 17:00
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 20:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-04 13:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	05-27 11:00
James Comey arrested by April 29?	3	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	04-29 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 14:50
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	05-01 21:04
btc updown 15m 1776960900	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-23 16:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-27 11:05
Will "Economy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 10:22
btc updown 15m 1776952800	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 14:14
X Money released by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 17:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-27 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 15:04
btc updown 15m 1781003700	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-09 11:24
Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:57:43	btc updown 15m 1781009100	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x50fadd…
06-09 12:13:46	btc updown 15m 1781006400	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xcbbab3…
06-09 12:06:36	btc updown 15m 1781006400	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9f08f9…
06-09 12:02:46	btc updown 5m 1781006400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa44c6b…
06-09 11:39:16	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x9c6473…
06-09 11:38:57	btc updown 15m 1781004600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0e3b45…
06-09 11:24:40	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x6edb53…
06-09 11:24:21	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa762b7…
05-27 11:05:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xaccc48…
05-27 11:00:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x97f30c…
05-27 10:59:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xc7decf…
05-15 14:22:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	14	77¢	$10	0x6a96dc…
05-13 17:42:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x907741…
05-13 17:41:45	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x61bcc5…
05-13 17:41:26	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1fe4f4…
05-13 12:35:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xcda06f…
05-12 13:46:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xf8664b…
05-12 13:46:22	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x102ae3…
05-08 17:27:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcc3201…
05-08 17:16:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbd2f18…
05-08 17:00:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe2d613…
05-08 14:21:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x65b8e2…
05-06 10:41:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x22330e…
05-06 10:30:58	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x34cd46…
05-06 10:22:46	Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcb406d…
05-06 10:22:32	Will "Economy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe51e00…
05-04 16:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x61baaa…
05-04 15:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf97127…
05-04 15:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xdab5f2…
05-04 14:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfdf446…
05-04 14:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x6ee190…
05-04 14:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4f8215…
05-04 13:55:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xeb2363…
05-01 21:04:02	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xafa2dd…
05-01 21:03:56	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc0666b…
05-01 20:28:54	Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x0cb027…
05-01 20:28:34	Will Trump say "Disney" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x112a07…
05-01 20:17:20	Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0d5aff…
05-01 20:10:46	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe8f5f2…
05-01 20:10:22	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xab25a3…
05-01 20:10:06	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9730a2…
05-01 20:09:30	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x25c188…
04-30 17:56:20	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0f14fe…
04-29 19:22:12	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0c36f0…
04-29 19:19:52	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x2458b2…
04-29 16:31:16	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	23	33¢	$8	0xcbe5b5…
04-29 15:37:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe75650…
04-29 14:34:28	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x4ffe6f…
04-29 14:20:08	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe75336…
04-29 14:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x665d5c…
04-29 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x34d0c8…
04-29 13:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae76f3…
04-29 13:18:40	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xe95b28…
04-27 16:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	54¢	$46	0x8111bb…
04-27 15:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x97b64a…
04-27 14:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xcbf249…
04-26 18:58:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x40871b…
04-26 18:28:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x414d57…
04-26 13:30:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	33¢	$24	0xa0126b…
04-25 12:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x6aa6fa…
04-24 19:22:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xbb4ae1…
04-24 15:30:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x1cd13c…
04-24 14:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd51bfb…
04-24 14:38:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x0afccd…
04-24 14:33:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x146f5d…
04-24 14:22:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x09a23b…
04-24 14:20:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	97	37¢	$36	0x7a706c…
04-24 13:22:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$42	0x9044c3…
04-24 13:20:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	78	55¢	$42	0x030c40…
04-24 11:57:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	80	52¢	$41	0x40db86…
04-24 11:56:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x95b3f1…
04-23 16:29:46	btc updown 15m 1776960900	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x60e560…
04-23 14:14:52	btc updown 15m 1776952800	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xefb7c6…