Variable-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-10 19:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

75% 50% $-0

Crypto

19% 100% +$0

Sports

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	4	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:59
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 25c	2	$59	29	29	+0	open	—	04-13 00:08
will paul hounkp be the next president of benin	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	04-17 22:07
highest temperature in houston on march 28 2026 86forhigher	1	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	03-28 05:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 17:24
highest temperature in munich on april 11 2026 12c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-11 03:44
highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 62 63f	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	04-03 03:20
highest temperature in san francisco on april 19 2026 56 57f	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-19 06:54
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 17c	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-24 02:51
lowest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 59forbelow	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-16 04:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 1?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 03:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on April 26?	5	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 10:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 3c	4	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-21 04:26
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 78 79f	3	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 17:01
highest temperature in moscow on april 4 2026 8c	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-04 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 25?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 15:48
solana above 70 on april 16	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-16 05:16
highest temperature in seattle on april 6 2026 59forbelow	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-06 03:07
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 27?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-27 02:27
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$41	22	19	+3	open	—	02-17 23:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	6	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 02:15
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 22	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-22 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 25?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-25 18:27
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top us netflix movie this week 831	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-21 02:08
highest temperature in manila on april 19 2026 39corhigher	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 07:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 20	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 09:30
will project hail mary be the highest grossing movie this weekend	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	03-29 08:09
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 241 682 261	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 19:48:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x851309…
05-10 17:33:29	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc3806e…
05-10 17:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x37bb30…
05-10 10:58:04	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1aa985…
05-10 06:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xed5cc1…
05-08 08:52:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc12ea3…
05-07 19:00:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe54d5b…
05-07 17:56:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf93ed1…
05-06 10:51:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8fe308…
05-05 18:59:06	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x661e92…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x89996b…
05-05 03:15:36	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x334d95…
05-04 18:35:28	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xe0586c…
05-04 15:12:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1add4c…
05-04 11:28:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0284b7…
05-02 07:41:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcd6549…
05-01 18:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xebe4a0…
05-01 03:17:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x64747a…
04-30 22:36:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x273df4…
04-30 14:52:14	Will Apple dip to $228 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8ce4ad…
04-30 14:50:50	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa7cd1f…
04-30 14:49:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x99f2bc…
04-30 07:46:50	Will Apple dip to $228 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x490331…
04-29 14:39:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1bdb37…
04-29 12:46:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0336df…
04-29 11:37:50	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0078bc…
04-29 01:59:44	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd84ab1…
04-29 01:12:54	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9c49ea…
04-27 15:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x306eca…
04-27 13:28:52	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa1e190…
04-27 12:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe71506…
04-27 09:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe4d9bb…
04-27 08:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on April 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe449ce…
04-27 08:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4f0199…
04-27 08:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on April 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x18725e…
04-27 08:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on April 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x28bc07…
04-27 04:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35350c…
04-27 02:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xb002d1…
04-27 02:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x02c82c…
04-26 22:21:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6359a3…
04-26 22:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x639b48…
04-26 18:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x087544…
04-26 15:35:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c7e36…
04-26 11:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d780e…
04-26 10:58:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x310df4…
04-26 10:57:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc500ed…
04-26 10:56:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x542d65…
04-26 10:55:04	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc1cd42…
04-26 10:52:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x57ef65…
04-26 06:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd087d6…
04-26 02:58:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x671823…
04-25 22:05:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x715f66…
04-25 19:32:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe88a67…
04-25 18:30:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc105da…
04-25 18:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 25?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfce2dd…
04-25 18:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1a3f7d…
04-25 10:45:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5606fc…
04-25 05:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7efc9a…
04-25 02:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd4da18…
04-25 02:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc8c216…
04-25 02:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81847b…
04-25 02:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x457edd…
04-25 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x86a1b0…
04-25 01:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x812b8e…
04-24 18:08:12	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 90 91f	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1cb280…
04-24 15:53:58	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc09e8c…
04-24 15:51:28	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 31c	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x83dabf…
04-24 15:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 25?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5ae510…
04-24 15:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa196bb…
04-24 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc5e261…
04-24 09:31:50	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8eb46c…
04-24 07:56:28	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd709a0…
04-24 06:19:42	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 31c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdd74b7…
04-24 03:33:48	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 24	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6b787b…
04-24 03:15:54	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9d758d…
04-24 03:13:46	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 60 61f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9a352b…
04-24 03:05:28	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 24	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2d45e8…
04-24 03:04:58	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 24	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x602a3a…
04-24 02:54:56	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe93b39…
04-24 02:51:02	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 17c	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x682aed…
04-24 00:15:08	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0a67be…
04-23 21:58:02	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4204d4…
04-23 20:13:56	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on april 24	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xd529df…
04-23 14:33:08	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x417584…
04-23 11:13:30	highest temperature in ankara on april 23 2026 11c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5aaf6a…
04-23 10:14:44	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2e17ac…
04-23 03:36:36	lowest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xee3cc9…
04-22 23:41:32	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe42b9d…
04-22 21:14:32	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x58671e…
04-22 18:22:28	highest temperature in jeddah on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xb45708…
04-22 13:31:26	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x249f31…
04-22 08:10:04	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 22	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc98c31…
04-22 05:34:52	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 22c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6974f…
04-22 02:49:58	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 26c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d91f9…
04-21 23:42:42	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 22	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x100d94…
04-21 19:45:04	highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 12c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x978e39…
04-21 18:14:10	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 23corbelow	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x60f603…
04-21 15:00:10	highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 72forhigher	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x134d32…
04-21 10:39:44	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4db32a…
04-21 08:30:00	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x551655…