Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$147.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$665

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-04

last 10-25 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

50% 81% +$11,554

Other

49% 45% -$8,805

Tech

1% 100% +$2,844

Crypto

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	2	$16.7K	74,598	74,598	+0	open	—	10-03 19:29
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	4	$13.5K	7,600	7,379	+221	Yes	+$274	10-16 01:15
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	18	$13.4K	8,577	8,577	+0	Yes	+$3,034	09-07 21:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	8	$11.7K	10,667	4,667	+6,000	Yes	+$2,522	10-22 00:08
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	10	$10.8K	6,666	6,666	+0	Yes	-$267	08-11 19:00
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	4	$9.4K	11,054	2,074	+8,981	No	-$4,217	07-31 14:22
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	4	$8.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$1,700	10-06 22:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$7.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$2,680	07-27 18:29
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	6	$7.0K	6,666	2,500	+4,166	No	+$1,154	10-12 19:48
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	11	$6.0K	6,885	0	+6,885	No	+$887	07-08 09:35
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$60	08-18 08:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	46	$5.5K	3,644	3,644	-0	open	—	10-25 22:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$4.9K	7,870	0	+7,870	No	+$2,921	10-25 23:31
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$4.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	England	-$4,900	07-05 23:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	27	$4.0K	11,381	11,381	+0	open	—	10-24 05:51
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	25	$4.0K	13,176	250	+12,926	No	-$3,939	07-05 18:46
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	3	$2.7K	9,216	0	+9,216	Yes	-$2,652	09-25 01:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2.4K	3,333	0	+3,333	Yes	+$933	09-11 07:33
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	8	$2.2K	3,158	0	+3,158	No	+$932	07-18 04:45
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.2K	4,078	0	+4,078	Yes	+$2,844	09-30 18:57
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,837	0	+1,837	Yes	-$1,121	09-15 23:27
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$860	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$140	07-30 01:40
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	2	$822	2,222	0	+2,222	Team Spirit	-$822	08-22 02:10
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	1	$601	985	0	+985	No	+$384	08-20 23:25
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21 game2	1	$498	600	0	+600	Team Spirit	+$102	08-22 04:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	11	$350	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$2,150	10-25 00:48
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	1	$306	431	0	+431	Yes	+$125	08-11 19:04
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	1	$255	359	0	+359	No	+$104	08-11 19:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$180	750	0	+750	Yes	+$570	10-25 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:10 UTC	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	07-05 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:31:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	700	93¢	$652	0x7d9692…
10-25 22:43:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	306	67¢	$205	0x7bb921…
10-25 22:39:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	246	67¢	$165	0x79b362…
10-25 22:39:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	276	67¢	$185	0x064f6f…
10-25 22:39:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5,172	67¢	$3,465	0x043c20…
10-25 22:02:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,091	75¢	$818	0xf8d2b5…
10-25 22:02:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	75¢	$750	0x9a1969…
10-25 22:02:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	128	75¢	$96	0x768045…
10-25 22:02:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x5572c7…
10-25 22:01:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x787b1a…
10-25 22:01:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0x6fe6b5…
10-25 21:56:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xcf4e66…
10-25 21:56:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x7ed85c…
10-25 21:55:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0xfb7b0d…
10-25 21:55:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x331955…
10-25 21:55:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0x666de5…
10-25 21:55:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0xf51091…
10-25 20:08:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	355	2¢	$6	0xf4225b…
10-25 20:02:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	367	24¢	$88	0x9bc643…
10-25 20:02:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	326	24¢	$78	0x56be47…
10-25 20:02:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x696d00…
10-25 19:56:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	500	24¢	$118	0xa5aafd…
10-25 19:56:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	400	24¢	$95	0x900d29…
10-25 19:56:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	270	24¢	$64	0x5f0eb5…
10-25 00:48:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xe27648…
10-25 00:48:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xd9e40c…
10-25 00:48:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	416	14¢	$58	0x9e9476…
10-25 00:48:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	290	14¢	$41	0xf50759…
10-25 00:48:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0xd7acb8…
10-25 00:47:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xb667fd…
10-25 00:47:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x57d91b…
10-25 00:47:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	153	14¢	$21	0x84e774…
10-25 00:47:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	263	14¢	$37	0x5e8a2a…
10-25 00:47:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x3a2d8b…
10-25 00:47:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	215	14¢	$30	0x0845a7…
10-24 06:34:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	162	75¢	$121	0x30531e…
10-24 05:51:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,181	3¢	$31	0xcf438a…
10-24 05:45:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	685	3¢	$18	0x8f27e6…
10-24 05:31:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x359601…
10-24 05:10:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x3cf600…
10-24 04:41:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	3¢	$9	0x720580…
10-24 04:25:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x56c3b6…
10-24 03:51:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x53c18a…
10-24 03:51:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x04ce47…
10-24 03:44:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x40951a…
10-24 03:41:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x9097bc…
10-24 03:41:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xca9ebb…
10-24 03:41:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c1fc4…
10-24 03:41:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xecd518…
10-24 03:41:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x919953…
10-24 03:41:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x72ebfa…
10-24 03:41:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	836	76¢	$635	0x43ed37…
10-24 03:41:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x4374a9…
10-24 03:36:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$26	0xc14ec0…
10-24 03:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x3f579e…
10-24 03:32:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xe213f3…
10-24 03:30:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3d9e3d…
10-24 03:29:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x39430a…
10-24 03:29:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x5d4f96…
10-24 03:29:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x0d1107…
10-24 03:29:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xf3e351…
10-24 03:29:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x3962fb…
10-24 03:15:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	482	3¢	$13	0x272473…
10-24 03:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$9	0x8f25c3…
10-24 02:44:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc35e84…
10-24 02:42:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x180bca…
10-24 02:42:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x206594…
10-24 02:39:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,028	3¢	$27	0x442afc…
10-24 02:37:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6533cb…
10-24 02:35:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xaf67b2…
10-24 02:26:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$26	0xd7f99d…
10-24 02:19:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe2c4ad…
10-24 02:18:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x4e2e60…
10-24 02:16:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0x9e91f5…
10-24 02:15:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	3¢	$4	0x8b0bf8…
10-24 02:15:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,165	3¢	$134	0x122b30…
10-24 02:13:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x5fff75…
10-24 02:13:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x06f108…
10-24 02:13:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe696dd…
10-24 02:12:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0xb2e3f8…
10-24 02:12:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba5c12…
10-24 02:12:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x249cba…
10-24 02:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd35a9a…
10-24 02:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x85d72f…
10-24 02:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,234	75¢	$2,425	0x2eb81e…
10-24 02:12:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	54	75¢	$40	0xa8c00c…
10-23 19:49:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,323	36¢	$3,333	0x424702…
10-22 20:57:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x68ee0d…
10-22 20:56:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0xec2475…
10-22 20:50:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,074	19¢	$204	0x31ccc0…
10-22 20:46:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0xa6dd20…
10-22 20:42:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x7b6015…
10-22 20:39:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0xf9be78…
10-22 20:35:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x471c27…
10-22 20:34:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	19¢	$13	0x6aa682…
10-22 20:30:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xaf63e3…
10-22 00:08:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	2,000	89¢	$1,780	0x1ae209…
10-21 23:03:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	2,096	87¢	$1,824	0x2b02af…
10-21 23:02:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	571	87¢	$496	0x373131…
10-19 22:05:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,483	92¢	$1,364	0xaea9c6…