Squiggly-Eraser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$819

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.8%

Resolved

Trades

67,257

lifetime

Volume

$332.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-09 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

39% — —

Politics

34% 100% +$4

Crypto

22% 39% $-823

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2,653	$11.6K	13,966	14,070	-103	open	—	01-30 15:56
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1,877	$8.5K	10,962	10,669	+292	open	—	01-17 04:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,238	$6.8K	7,848	7,969	-121	open	—	01-29 14:41
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1,679	$6.5K	10,689	10,800	-111	open	—	01-30 15:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1,009	$5.8K	6,343	6,474	-131	open	—	02-15 20:43
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	846	$5.6K	12,013	11,604	+409	open	—	02-03 21:09
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1,371	$5.6K	6,574	6,686	-113	open	—	01-29 16:58
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	685	$5.3K	6,438	6,633	-196	open	—	01-30 21:17
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	893	$5.2K	14,468	15,882	-1,415	open	—	02-14 06:38
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	939	$5.0K	6,473	6,440	+33	open	—	01-29 00:11
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	833	$4.4K	7,869	8,879	-1,010	open	—	02-17 13:52
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	719	$4.4K	7,904	8,257	-354	open	—	02-12 15:31
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	628	$4.4K	17,284	15,879	+1,405	open	—	02-03 05:37
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	689	$4.2K	5,364	5,836	-471	open	—	02-13 15:26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	965	$4.1K	4,363	4,336	+27	open	—	02-18 03:44
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	569	$3.7K	4,210	4,031	+179	open	—	02-05 11:23
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	756	$3.6K	4,300	4,430	-130	open	—	01-29 12:35
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	395	$3.4K	4,639	4,741	-101	open	—	02-03 01:23
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	317	$3.3K	9,902	9,683	+220	open	—	02-01 08:26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	422	$3.3K	4,339	4,760	-421	open	—	02-10 21:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	637	$3.2K	3,860	4,033	-173	open	—	02-17 20:16
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	525	$3.1K	9,363	10,517	-1,155	open	—	02-14 13:56
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	412	$3.0K	8,071	7,924	+147	open	—	02-18 04:20
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	561	$3.0K	11,339	11,710	-371	open	—	01-30 18:39
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	668	$2.9K	3,428	3,419	+9	open	—	01-17 03:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	683	$2.9K	8,522	9,250	-728	open	—	01-30 03:48
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	757	$2.9K	3,570	3,414	+156	open	—	01-10 15:48
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	644	$2.9K	3,572	3,577	-5	open	—	01-26 06:11
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	463	$2.9K	3,524	3,806	-282	open	—	02-13 03:27
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	494	$2.9K	3,298	3,289	+9	open	—	02-18 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 16:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x100070…
05-09 16:47:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2be76c…
05-07 20:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdb3a0f…
05-07 20:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea36e8…
05-07 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x44907e…
05-07 20:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x595ee5…
05-07 20:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x0fc765…
05-07 20:00:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xbd5eb8…
05-07 19:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc8cfe1…
05-07 19:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf84ccd…
05-05 20:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0xb67c4e…
05-05 20:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	20¢	$19	0xbeb14a…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xec4d72…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xcd9f4b…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc95bb8…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9f3c70…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x788bd5…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x70d745…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	50¢	$27	0x6b9e68…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5e538b…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x593ac7…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4296cf…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3b4ad4…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x32127e…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2aeae1…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x1a2194…
05-05 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x10dac0…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf2a976…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xd75540…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xc258b5…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb6ef6d…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xabc04a…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xa8da7a…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x863ac7…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8213eb…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x5d9eec…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x486dc7…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0x41657c…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x2cae96…
05-05 20:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x150332…
05-05 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9a0add…
05-05 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x866736…
05-05 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x61f34f…
05-05 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x15c3be…
05-05 20:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x033c48…
05-05 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	38¢	$17	0xdae2b9…
05-05 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	36¢	$178	0x0b24cf…
05-05 20:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xaa73ee…
05-05 20:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x3a0e5c…
05-05 20:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xd6d1f9…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xec2e42…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe31b40…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xda7afc…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd3a2e5…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc6982b…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb83980…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xab3dd9…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9ccd0b…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x98eac2…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x7b5c37…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3bd4ca…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1c15ac…
05-05 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x05caec…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0xb9c898…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6b1110…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	57	33¢	$19	0x626e6b…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4d1dfa…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	33¢	$4	0x370e27…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x2146dd…
05-05 20:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x147212…
05-05 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdbf51c…
05-05 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xf70cb6…
05-05 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe7b15e…
05-05 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd569d1…
05-05 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xa70819…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xff716b…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xc04d40…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xbb5083…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x5b7c58…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3f35b8…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	16¢	$13	0x32f960…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x25a7a0…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x05aacb…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x04b78f…
05-05 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xbd401a…
05-05 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xb57fbc…
05-05 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x930857…
05-05 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x69f88e…
05-05 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x5dad3c…
05-05 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c7629…
05-05 19:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xffccb7…
05-05 19:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x8c6a3f…
05-05 19:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x622d61…
05-05 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xdcbcd2…
05-05 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x98a987…
05-05 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3660ec…
05-05 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x347a2f…
05-05 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x6b402b…
05-05 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x45b1c0…
05-05 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x238440…