Mediocre-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

37% — —

Other

32% — —

Sports

20% 0% $-0

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	4	$601	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	07-21 06:10
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$348	176	176	+0	open	—	03-19 14:50
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	2	$244	123	123	+0	open	—	01-01 15:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	03-19 14:50
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	2	$115	58	58	+0	open	—	03-19 14:50
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	03-19 14:52
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$82	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-21 05:36
nflx above 110 on january 2 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	01-01 14:45
will bitcoin reach 102k december 29 january 4	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	01-01 15:00
iran full airspace closure by july 21	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	07-21 06:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 03:10
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	07-09 12:35
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	$-0	04-16 10:15
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	3	$16	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 05:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 08:55
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 03:01
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-23 03:15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-23 03:15
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$13	6	6	+0	No	$-0	04-10 12:50
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 08:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 10:16
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 09:06
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	02-13 03:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 5	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-05 15:52
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-25 08:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 06:38
btc updown 5m 1775724000	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 08:42
eth updown 5m 1775724000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:10:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	SELL	1,136	25¢	$284	0x59e33b…
07-21 06:00:48	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x315fc1…
07-21 06:00:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xe43674…
07-21 05:55:55	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x8d3575…
07-21 05:54:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	107	27¢	$29	0x946577…
07-21 05:54:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0xbfd0a9…
07-21 05:42:27	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xec66b9…
07-21 05:36:45	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	153	4¢	$6	0x352502…
07-21 05:36:34	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$40	0x99f9d6…
07-21 05:36:15	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x5360ee…
07-21 05:35:57	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x5516d5…
07-21 05:35:54	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$42	0xdbd4c1…
07-09 12:35:23	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd6d2c5…
07-09 12:04:34	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x53d126…
05-21 03:10:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x351e1f…
05-21 03:01:58	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x8fd207…
05-21 03:01:33	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x18b7e0…
05-21 02:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xe234ff…
05-10 06:38:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9156d4…
04-23 03:15:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf34566…
04-23 03:15:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc41ff8…
04-23 03:11:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa77fc3…
04-16 10:16:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb23a82…
04-16 10:15:54	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$8	0xe7faea…
04-16 08:52:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0x24e9ab…
04-16 08:50:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0b16f8…
04-10 12:50:39	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3b0bd9…
04-10 12:06:47	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x40140c…
04-09 09:06:21	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xbe9617…
04-09 08:59:03	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x27c9e6…
04-09 08:56:17	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x52dae4…
04-09 08:55:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcfd2c2…
04-09 08:52:21	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x50dd9a…
04-09 08:52:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x272bbf…
04-09 08:44:19	eth updown 5m 1775724000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc7c1e6…
04-09 08:42:31	btc updown 5m 1775724000	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd0d468…
04-09 08:42:31	btc updown 5m 1775724000	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x522053…
03-19 14:52:11	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x2f407f…
03-19 14:50:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x10b4d7…
03-19 14:50:17	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xf479be…
03-19 14:50:03	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0xa02fa3…
03-19 14:41:31	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x3d5b8d…
03-19 14:40:55	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xfc79ed…
03-19 14:40:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xca7b1f…
03-19 14:39:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x6acf69…
02-13 03:39:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x667ae7…
02-05 15:52:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea8e70…
01-25 08:49:28	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2302b7…
01-01 15:00:29	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0xef687e…
01-01 15:00:19	will bitcoin reach 102k december 29 january 4	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x677ae7…
01-01 14:47:37	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x7071ba…
01-01 14:45:57	nflx above 110 on january 2 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1ee22c…
01-01 14:33:45	nflx above 110 on january 2 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1d2da7…
01-01 14:33:25	will bitcoin reach 102k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdf7219…