Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.3%

Resolved

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 04-24 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

69% 33% $-40

Tech

17% — —

Politics

11% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	4	$2.2K	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	04-24 16:30
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	8	$1.1K	932	932	+0	open	—	04-23 18:03
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	6	$547	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	04-24 16:35
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	29	$482	439	439	+0	No	$-24	04-20 21:10
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	50	$375	503	503	+0	Yes	$-16	04-20 12:05
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	26	$278	2,349	2,149	+200	open	—	04-20 15:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$207	116	116	+0	open	—	01-30 12:47
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	4	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 16:46
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	8	$135	150	150	+0	open	—	04-11 22:29
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	15	$114	200	40	+160	open	—	04-11 13:09
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$93	202	202	+0	open	—	04-20 21:07
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 65 89	5	$88	150	50	+100	open	—	04-12 10:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$84	600	600	+0	open	—	04-19 21:08
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$65	205	205	+0	open	—	04-19 19:29
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$61	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 11:03
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	8	$57	80	80	+0	open	—	04-18 08:03
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	7	$52	55	45	+10	Yes	$-1	04-11 05:53
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	4	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	04-13 01:00
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	04-17 14:05
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	04-13 13:22
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?	4	$39	31	31	+0	open	—	04-13 17:50
will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	5	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	04-13 07:52
will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	5	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	04-13 07:53
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 13:34
will msft dip to 337 50 by april 13 2026	4	$23	60	20	+40	open	—	04-12 04:35
will open dip to 3 00 by april 13 2026	6	$22	40	40	+0	open	—	04-11 08:49
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	4	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-14 07:43
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	04-11 21:29
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 24corhigher	6	$20	90	87	+3	open	—	04-16 00:27
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 40 64	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 16:35:56	Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	BUY	746	50¢	$373	0xca166c…
04-24 16:35:54	Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc22841…
04-24 16:35:54	Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaaacbc…
04-24 16:35:50	Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfbc87b…
04-24 16:35:50	Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	BUY	301	50¢	$150	0xf9f7d4…
04-24 16:35:50	Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Kopriva	Andrey Rublev	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xe27dac…
04-24 16:30:26	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	Jannik Sinner	SELL	548	100¢	$547	0x5b8300…
04-24 16:29:34	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	Jannik Sinner	BUY	548	98¢	$539	0xcfef01…
04-24 16:21:28	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	Jannik Sinner	SELL	542	100¢	$539	0xacd108…
04-24 16:14:10	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	Jannik Sinner	BUY	543	98¢	$529	0x95ce76…
04-23 18:03:04	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	532	100¢	$529	0xf194b1…
04-21 10:37:04	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	532	95¢	$504	0x10ab6a…
04-20 21:10:06	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	31	57¢	$17	0x0d285a…
04-20 21:09:10	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x08a311…
04-20 21:07:42	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0xbca4dc…
04-20 21:07:02	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	202	21¢	$43	0x3b62d1…
04-20 20:12:08	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x25f471…
04-20 20:00:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7280d0…
04-20 19:29:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfd2fee…
04-20 19:24:32	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	157	9¢	$14	0x53fe3d…
04-20 19:23:00	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdb26c3…
04-20 19:22:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5524c0…
04-20 19:03:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe5a2a5…
04-20 18:52:54	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xf8ad81…
04-20 18:48:48	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x2bae16…
04-20 18:48:44	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x39a94b…
04-20 18:48:30	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfa2f3e…
04-20 18:48:16	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3209f5…
04-20 18:48:10	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0015b4…
04-20 18:47:58	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfaf86a…
04-20 18:47:44	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x04f116…
04-20 18:46:30	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xf4091b…
04-20 18:44:18	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x4dd619…
04-20 18:40:42	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x5e9676…
04-20 18:38:30	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x088517…
04-20 18:33:06	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	47	53¢	$25	0x7a2610…
04-20 18:31:42	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x06d01b…
04-20 17:27:24	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5fd6fd…
04-20 17:21:34	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa1ff64…
04-20 16:46:38	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	82¢	$74	0x10c5f3…
04-20 16:42:12	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x0aceca…
04-20 15:01:28	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	801	5¢	$40	0xc3fa58…
04-20 15:00:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x94a4cd…
04-20 14:56:46	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$21	0x9c78ab…
04-20 14:50:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x97d28b…
04-20 14:40:20	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xdcb46d…
04-20 14:39:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x0eea49…
04-20 14:31:46	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	9¢	$18	0x83416c…
04-20 14:31:14	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x1756c1…
04-20 13:27:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x9a01b8…
04-20 12:27:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xd4a5c5…
04-20 12:05:44	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	181	34¢	$62	0x5197ba…
04-20 11:54:14	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x794345…
04-20 11:49:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	54	40¢	$22	0x6c2f87…
04-20 11:48:56	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x330bd7…
04-20 11:47:14	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x28a53d…
04-20 11:46:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	101	43¢	$44	0x3b0a5b…
04-20 11:41:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	72	36¢	$26	0x22b037…
04-20 11:40:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x83c7f9…
04-20 11:03:44	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x23e098…
04-20 11:03:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$27	0xd5c331…
04-20 11:03:02	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	7¢	$14	0x0e9f42…
04-20 11:02:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x47dfbc…
04-20 10:58:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	36¢	$22	0x83d098…
04-20 10:58:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x54047c…
04-20 10:45:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x3c4fa6…
04-20 10:39:16	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x43a264…
04-20 10:38:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x58f2ac…
04-20 05:59:26	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x2024da…
04-20 05:46:54	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe65598…
04-20 04:57:02	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x96ee27…
04-20 03:58:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf7d527…
04-20 03:58:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xca9b12…
04-20 03:38:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x200ab5…
04-20 03:28:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x60d071…
04-20 03:18:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf5fab2…
04-20 03:18:14	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xebf8fc…
04-20 03:08:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xafb3f2…
04-20 02:59:02	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5fa984…
04-20 02:58:34	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc825fb…
04-20 02:49:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc1c0eb…
04-20 02:48:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x30bcbd…
04-20 02:39:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc9e9ac…
04-20 02:38:36	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x0d4ebb…
04-20 02:28:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6f5d78…
04-20 02:24:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x56ac32…
04-20 02:18:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf84ab8…
04-20 02:09:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xe732bd…
04-20 01:48:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x6f5f67…
04-20 01:45:46	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0xd8ccf9…
04-20 01:38:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4fe6ef…
04-20 01:29:08	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x814b6b…
04-20 01:28:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x8065e3…
04-20 01:19:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xc29d12…
04-20 01:18:34	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe646c3…
04-20 01:08:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xab076d…
04-20 01:08:26	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x3ffda7…
04-20 00:59:56	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x698b8c…
04-20 00:58:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1723b3…
04-20 00:58:20	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x0cccc1…