Scary-Miracle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,416

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 05-24 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 42% $-6

Other

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 585 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
aapl up or down on april 23 2026	13	$398	235	224	+11	open	—	04-23 19:58
cs2 big5 100t 2026 04 23	12	$187	187	119	+68	open	—	04-23 18:14
btc updown 15m 1775853900	10	$94	61	59	+2	open	—	04-10 20:58
btc updown 15m 1775896200	9	$67	91	0	+91	open	—	04-11 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$64	94	94	+0	open	—	05-23 17:18
btc updown 15m 1775875500	8	$62	82	0	+82	open	—	04-11 02:58
btc updown 15m 1775807100	5	$58	41	39	+1	open	—	04-10 07:53
btc updown 15m 1775198700	23	$57	120	0	+120	open	—	04-03 06:54
btc updown 15m 1775231100	18	$57	121	0	+121	open	—	04-03 15:56
btc updown 15m 1775237400	27	$57	123	0	+123	open	—	04-03 17:39
btc updown 15m 1775235600	21	$56	124	0	+124	open	—	04-03 17:09
btc updown 15m 1775880900	8	$55	81	0	+81	open	—	04-11 04:23
btc updown 15m 1775227500	19	$55	115	0	+115	open	—	04-03 14:47
btc updown 15m 1775239200	16	$55	114	0	+114	open	—	04-03 18:07
btc updown 15m 1775232900	25	$55	124	0	+124	open	—	04-03 16:21
btc updown 15m 1775234700	15	$55	112	0	+112	open	—	04-03 16:48
btc updown 15m 1775201400	17	$55	118	0	+118	open	—	04-03 07:33
btc updown 15m 1775199600	17	$55	117	0	+117	open	—	04-03 07:07
btc updown 15m 1775197800	14	$55	108	0	+108	open	—	04-03 06:33
btc updown 15m 1775232000	18	$54	121	0	+121	open	—	04-03 16:04
btc updown 15m 1775196900	15	$53	108	0	+108	open	—	04-03 06:24
btc updown 15m 1775233800	24	$53	120	0	+120	open	—	04-03 16:35
btc updown 15m 1775228400	16	$52	107	0	+107	open	—	04-03 15:05
btc updown 15m 1775241000	17	$50	107	0	+107	open	—	04-03 18:39
btc updown 15m 1775200500	16	$49	100	0	+100	open	—	04-03 07:21
btc updown 15m 1775872800	8	$47	81	0	+81	open	—	04-11 02:12
btc updown 15m 1775192400	20	$47	104	0	+104	open	—	04-03 05:13
btc updown 15m 1775230200	14	$46	90	0	+90	open	—	04-03 15:32
btc updown 15m 1775191500	18	$46	101	0	+101	open	—	04-03 04:52
btc updown 15m 1775238300	14	$46	116	0	+116	open	—	04-03 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 22:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x46bc3d…
05-24 22:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x443f59…
05-24 22:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xe820f4…
05-24 21:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x8ffa80…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xfbf6fa…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xe6eb3e…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb56d87…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa3b17e…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9fc568…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9f16f5…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8d2757…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6fad9a…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6806aa…
05-24 00:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4487e9…
05-24 00:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	29¢	$8	0x9a4134…
05-24 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xbe6ce2…
05-24 00:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xbaf93c…
05-24 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x750c5a…
05-23 23:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3c214f…
05-23 23:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x344da9…
05-23 23:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6c9e5c…
05-23 23:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb10cfa…
05-23 23:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa06626…
05-23 23:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x99fa3d…
05-23 23:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96e159…
05-23 23:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x71f8f4…
05-23 23:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x332c71…
05-23 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8f2d7d…
05-23 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x12045d…
05-23 23:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x6abe60…
05-23 23:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xa88703…
05-23 23:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x072ff1…
05-23 23:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa20a1a…
05-23 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x98e586…
05-23 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x87922f…
05-23 17:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5922c4…
05-23 17:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x022c2f…
05-23 17:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x90a710…
05-23 17:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xea55af…
05-23 17:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x32d26b…
05-23 17:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x015351…
05-23 17:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xf570ee…
05-23 17:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0x338879…
05-23 17:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7dd0c2…
05-23 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xe99e33…
05-23 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x30233f…
05-23 17:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	94	49¢	$46	0x810fbb…
05-23 17:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x004432…
05-23 17:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x4c752c…
05-23 17:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x215c1c…
05-08 01:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6f1b38…
05-08 01:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0f0056…
05-08 01:17:59	Bitcoin above 79,600 on May 7, 10PM ET?	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xff740c…
05-08 01:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x0507dd…
05-08 00:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb852a5…
05-08 00:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x1bc269…
05-08 00:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x874aac…
05-08 00:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x7e2ded…
05-08 00:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb4e0b7…
05-08 00:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xf78e0c…
05-08 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc7314c…
05-08 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x24dda0…
05-08 00:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x334018…
05-08 00:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x36692c…
05-08 00:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xd54163…
05-07 22:28:07	Bitcoin above 80,200 on May 7, 7PM ET?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$9	0x923388…
05-07 06:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xdca16c…
05-07 06:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xe4a3c7…
05-07 06:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x638c68…
05-02 15:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xb6dbd8…
04-25 18:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc6150e…
04-25 18:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x710275…
04-25 18:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x261743…
04-25 18:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x8446c1…
04-25 08:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x4c28b4…
04-25 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x11f110…
04-25 08:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb41c62…
04-25 08:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x4b9dd9…
04-25 08:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf4b0ce…
04-25 08:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xeb567f…
04-25 08:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x5482d3…
04-25 08:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xdcbbb8…
04-25 08:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x8a9f44…
04-25 08:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x17215c…
04-25 08:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x73d9f4…
04-25 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x431a04…
04-25 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf216b1…
04-25 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x580968…
04-25 08:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x722502…
04-25 08:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x2bff3c…
04-24 13:50:14	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0xeba6eb…
04-23 19:58:46	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x8fd1f0…
04-23 19:58:42	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xacfa58…
04-23 19:58:38	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9476dc…
04-23 19:49:52	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x67a476…
04-23 19:49:34	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xfe684a…
04-23 19:28:32	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5b5274…
04-23 19:22:36	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0xaa64c1…
04-23 19:19:04	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xe6d4f7…
04-23 18:59:38	aapl up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x39512a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	294	$150.6K	45,706	05-24 22:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	294	$106.7K	21,836	05-24 22:34
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	294	$105.5K	40,336	05-24 22:34
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	294	$80.9K	13,606	05-24 22:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	290	$747.8K	35,930	05-24 22:35
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	290	$49.4K	15,945	05-24 22:34
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	289	$63.6K	8,342	05-24 22:34
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	280	$164.7K	10,462	05-24 22:33