Arctic-Stopsign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$570

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$66	47	47	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	13	$63	110	110	+0	Down	$-57	05-14 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$59	46	46	+0	Up	+$9	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$50	31	31	+0	Down	+$10	05-14 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	10	$38	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-14 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$32	46	46	+0	Down	$-18	05-14 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$30	47	0	+47	Up	$-30	05-14 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	$-25	05-14 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-12 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$7	12	0	+12	Down	$-7	05-13 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	$-6	05-14 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-12 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-13 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-12 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-13 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-13 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-12 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xe4873c…
05-14 00:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xdc0279…
05-14 00:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x06d3ba…
05-14 00:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xa814ff…
05-14 00:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcfcccf…
05-14 00:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8f5550…
05-14 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x46606f…
05-14 00:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4aeea2…
05-14 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x658961…
05-14 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x57e707…
05-14 00:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf75209…
05-14 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc712cc…
05-14 00:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xeeb89e…
05-14 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	110	3¢	$3	0x33c78f…
05-14 00:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xde6ad0…
05-14 00:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbda60e…
05-14 00:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0a0fa6…
05-14 00:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd850e7…
05-14 00:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbbc661…
05-14 00:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x172ee9…
05-14 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x92e40d…
05-14 00:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe28e08…
05-14 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfe7d02…
05-14 00:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x92f615…
05-14 00:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9c9ed8…
05-14 00:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x34780f…
05-14 00:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0xfa09e4…
05-14 00:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xeee921…
05-14 00:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x1491ee…
05-14 00:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa70c2b…
05-14 00:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x289524…
05-14 00:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x08c1ec…
05-14 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf9a44b…
05-14 00:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x858b6c…
05-14 00:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x974f5d…
05-14 00:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x839139…
05-13 23:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x178a67…
05-13 23:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb96899…
05-13 23:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8fd6f3…
05-13 23:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4ae2dc…
05-13 20:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x53bf4f…
05-13 20:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf3917e…
05-13 20:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0x6eeeaf…
05-13 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0a8367…
05-13 20:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x218385…
05-13 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1cebde…
05-13 19:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x94fc52…
05-13 19:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5ace91…
05-13 19:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x28e90a…
05-13 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x8a8754…
05-13 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3c485a…
05-13 18:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x9cca15…
05-13 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x73d043…
05-13 18:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa7b2bd…
05-13 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x108d47…
05-13 18:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xda778f…
05-13 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x805ffc…
05-13 15:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x20e1aa…
05-13 15:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x889d58…
05-13 09:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4c39b9…
05-13 09:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x06f2a5…
05-13 08:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x031e9a…
05-13 08:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff42e7…
05-13 08:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa2f27d…
05-13 08:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x22b59f…
05-13 08:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x059435…
05-13 08:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9cc553…
05-13 08:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x895121…
05-13 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2da82a…
05-13 07:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x023dde…
05-13 07:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x94c393…
05-13 07:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe6298a…
05-13 07:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x86875c…
05-13 07:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x70e1b3…
05-12 21:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3ba90b…
05-12 21:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf8c3ed…
05-12 21:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x081981…
05-12 21:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	38	88¢	$33	0x7fdae5…
05-12 21:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x1a1ed1…
05-12 21:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x3ffd2b…
05-12 21:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x842434…
05-12 21:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x979eea…
05-12 21:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd20187…
05-12 21:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2e746f…
05-12 20:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfb7c24…
05-12 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x529c0f…
05-12 20:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9fc1d2…
05-12 20:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8af44f…
05-12 20:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2e0a07…
05-12 20:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe60518…
05-12 20:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb5061e…
05-12 19:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x59dcd3…
05-12 19:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcaea93…