Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-02 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$0

Other

42% — —

Politics

6% 0% $-126

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-120	$-84	68¢	$-82	+$2	07-02 02:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	04-23 02:34
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$1.8K	908	908	+0	open	—	02-02 06:02
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.3K	1,120	220	+900	open	—	01-28 11:47
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	4	$777	397	397	+0	open	—	02-10 08:59
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$513	260	260	+0	open	—	03-24 11:50
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$512	514	0	+514	open	—	03-24 01:36
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$506	254	254	+0	open	—	01-23 09:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$491	260	260	+0	open	—	05-15 14:22
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	3	$477	240	240	+0	open	—	01-23 12:29
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	7	$453	230	230	+0	open	—	01-23 18:33
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$440	230	230	+0	open	—	01-26 02:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$432	220	220	+0	open	—	05-12 06:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$403	403	0	+403	open	—	02-02 01:58
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$403	202	202	+0	open	—	03-29 07:48
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$392	400	0	+400	open	—	01-06 09:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	6	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 11:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$380	400	0	+400	open	—	04-13 02:18
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$373	256	120	+136	open	—	03-13 12:14
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$338	170	170	+0	open	—	04-01 01:00
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$336	176	176	+0	open	—	04-01 01:06
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$327	170	170	+0	open	—	02-05 17:03
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$322	240	100	+140	open	—	03-13 12:14
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	1	$298	320	0	+320	open	—	03-10 07:10
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$255	130	130	+0	open	—	03-14 02:03
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$250	125	125	+0	open	—	03-11 19:49
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	03-25 01:18
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$236	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 21:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$226	116	116	+0	open	—	03-20 13:26
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	01-23 16:19
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$207	105	105	+0	open	—	03-17 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:11:46	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	120	70¢	$84	0xd1c934…
05-15 14:22:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	260	95¢	$247	0x7d88a6…
05-12 06:31:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$217	0xa360bf…
05-08 02:10:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	260	94¢	$244	0xdb5647…
05-08 02:09:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0xc86c06…
05-01 11:05:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0xcfba25…
05-01 10:06:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x568fb4…
05-01 10:01:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb290db…
04-30 08:29:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x885e8c…
04-24 21:02:12	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x6e55b2…
04-23 02:34:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec4eb9…
04-23 02:34:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x78a1b7…
04-23 02:34:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x08d87c…
04-23 02:34:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ee79f…
04-23 02:34:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x28e83a…
04-23 02:33:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd4b60c…
04-23 02:33:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c5add…
04-23 02:32:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$91	0x6265f9…
04-23 02:30:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd139e0…
04-23 02:29:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0d00cd…
04-23 02:29:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8f6521…
04-23 02:28:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0x6bb2ea…
04-23 02:27:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x393fad…
04-23 02:26:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x83eaf1…
04-23 02:25:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x980367…
04-23 02:25:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb3a3da…
04-23 02:24:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x47bd48…
04-23 02:24:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5bd620…
04-23 02:23:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd2d23e…
04-23 02:23:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaf63d4…
04-23 02:22:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6df916…
04-23 02:22:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x75f7f5…
04-23 02:21:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x68223f…
04-23 02:08:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x07ff18…
04-23 02:04:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x05deee…
04-23 02:02:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$87	0x1d3447…
04-23 02:01:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x56f2ec…
04-23 02:01:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x388fe6…
04-22 11:32:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xfed5ee…
04-19 08:14:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x0b00cf…
04-19 08:13:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	135	93¢	$126	0x7c1a85…
04-19 08:13:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd9dda6…
04-19 08:12:06	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xc1e586…
04-13 02:23:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x753c0f…
04-13 02:18:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x1db1ff…
04-08 05:25:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	617	98¢	$605	0x21582d…
04-01 16:27:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xf60a54…
04-01 16:26:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x3c449c…
04-01 16:25:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x98d15a…
04-01 01:06:27	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x93d0e3…
04-01 01:00:15	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x758371…
04-01 00:51:23	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x6e2c08…
03-31 17:21:07	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe52ce5…
03-31 14:05:41	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0xb8223a…
03-31 07:55:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x8b973f…
03-31 07:54:43	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x59e18f…
03-31 07:54:17	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0x46a4f8…
03-29 07:48:34	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xb2e7f1…
03-26 02:35:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	617	92¢	$568	0x24b5e4…
03-25 01:18:35	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x5a5aeb…
03-24 11:50:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x67622b…
03-24 01:36:09	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	514	100¢	$512	0x85e64a…
03-24 01:35:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x4efb30…
03-20 17:46:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xd33f1a…
03-20 16:19:43	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xc7073d…
03-20 13:26:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	116	98¢	$113	0x51507d…
03-20 08:38:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0xeb2a52…
03-20 08:37:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xdd2428…
03-20 08:37:21	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$201	0x79ade2…
03-19 12:17:33	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xdbff63…
03-18 12:34:45	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0ad29f…
03-18 12:07:43	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xcfa7c4…
03-18 12:07:03	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3abc61…
03-17 16:50:57	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0xde0b8c…
03-14 02:03:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0x20495f…
03-13 12:16:05	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x27233d…
03-13 12:15:17	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x71f664…
03-13 12:14:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x0b3371…
03-13 12:14:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x49eb5b…
03-13 12:13:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x911fca…
03-11 19:49:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x42fb84…
03-11 01:40:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc74808…
03-11 01:38:57	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3f3255…
03-11 01:32:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x608e5c…
03-10 07:10:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	320	93¢	$298	0x7b3715…
03-10 07:08:45	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x1c1c20…
03-10 07:08:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xca663d…
03-10 07:07:49	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x091acc…
02-11 15:09:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x484516…
02-11 07:26:37	Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xbb67ff…
02-10 18:20:47	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x73832a…
02-10 18:09:11	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x38628d…
02-10 08:59:17	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$296	0xa9e28c…
02-10 08:00:45	Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x877e43…
02-10 08:00:17	will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x59e512…
02-10 07:58:31	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x98d211…
02-06 12:58:05	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x2739d1…
02-06 12:22:43	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	95¢	$72	0x18d626…
02-05 17:03:57	Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x948c7e…
02-05 17:03:39	Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x3b90e7…