Reflecting-Sensitive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$904

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-09 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 33% $-3

Other

8% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 10AM ET	2	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	04-28 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$48	68	68	+0	Down	+$18	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$47	55	55	+0	open	—	04-28 21:21
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$46	38	38	+0	open	—	04-28 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	04-28 18:51
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	7	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-08 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$40	46	46	+0	open	—	04-28 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2PM ET	4	$38	31	31	+0	open	—	04-28 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$35	30	30	+0	open	—	04-28 18:35
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$33	52	0	+52	open	—	04-28 17:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$30	34	34	+0	open	—	04-28 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$28	56	0	+56	open	—	04-28 14:35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	7	$26	28	28	+0	Yes	$-0	05-08 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$24	47	0	+47	open	—	04-28 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	04-28 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	04-28 19:18
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-28 14:16
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$14	0	15	-15	Up	$-1	05-05 09:52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$13	18	10	+9	open	—	04-28 17:45
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	3	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-29 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	45	45	+0	open	—	04-28 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$10	48	0	+48	Up	$-10	05-04 22:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 11:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 18:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 18:23
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 18:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 11:13:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf43055…
05-09 10:01:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xabf77c…
05-08 17:52:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	No	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x1a5d20…
05-08 16:49:23	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x49cc7d…
05-08 15:30:05	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xed0b87…
05-08 13:34:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x6874cd…
05-08 13:33:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa5254e…
05-08 13:33:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa5254e…
05-08 13:32:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd36d23…
05-08 13:25:38	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x10996e…
05-08 13:08:03	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1899ae…
05-08 10:55:32	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0d6e48…
05-07 18:46:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x441218…
05-07 18:45:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $215?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4f95b0…
05-07 16:07:49	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc2f099…
05-07 15:59:46	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 4 above $134?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfb37fa…
05-05 09:52:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x21dd2b…
05-05 09:31:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x8efdba…
05-04 22:25:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb00dcd…
05-04 22:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x367344…
05-04 21:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	34	50¢	$17	0x5303d3…
05-04 21:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	34	47¢	$16	0x04fe65…
05-04 21:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x1219c8…
05-04 15:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xf5ccbe…
05-04 13:09:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8ac3f9…
05-04 11:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2,310	0¢	$2	0xda8ca3…
05-01 13:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xe64835…
05-01 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf37a60…
05-01 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xeb789b…
05-01 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xa42ba1…
05-01 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x426dd1…
05-01 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x2cda3b…
04-29 16:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x188e1f…
04-29 16:35:08	Counter-Strike: ReThink vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	ReThink	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x8ac6ec…
04-29 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5b695a…
04-29 16:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb12dd1…
04-29 16:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x842b56…
04-29 15:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce8834…
04-29 15:35:54	Counter-Strike: ReThink vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	ReThink	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5276a1…
04-29 15:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xae0eec…
04-29 15:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x94b63e…
04-29 15:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x5b8359…
04-29 15:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x7696bd…
04-29 15:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b88c6…
04-29 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d7dec…
04-29 15:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x90e866…
04-29 15:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x641254…
04-29 15:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfdd81f…
04-29 15:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x89a186…
04-29 15:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x7886a1…
04-29 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe73aaf…
04-29 15:08:56	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x814b62…
04-29 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd53f1d…
04-29 15:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe6238f…
04-29 11:49:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x9ff132…
04-29 11:34:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7d3e03…
04-29 11:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7d7d34…
04-29 11:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x17165e…
04-29 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a4670…
04-29 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf08b99…
04-29 11:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b8e26…
04-29 11:26:30	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2cd565…
04-29 11:26:28	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe5604e…
04-29 11:26:04	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x2268a6…
04-29 11:25:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7e7eb2…
04-29 11:25:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd06f16…
04-29 11:25:20	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x347537…
04-29 11:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c8ecc…
04-29 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6a8efc…
04-29 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27deb5…
04-29 11:24:50	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b3152…
04-29 03:23:08	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2170d7…
04-29 03:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x84dd7f…
04-29 01:26:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbd9697…
04-29 01:26:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xed445d…
04-29 01:26:10	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe32f9b…
04-29 01:26:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x983f33…
04-29 01:26:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xb30f41…
04-29 01:26:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4bcabd…
04-29 01:26:06	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x47e9c1…
04-29 01:22:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xdb1ac7…
04-29 01:21:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x471421…
04-29 01:15:18	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x411efb…
04-29 01:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x60b862…
04-29 01:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x1bf5d5…
04-29 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xde26aa…
04-29 00:41:52	Valorant: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6b0c14…
04-29 00:32:40	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x86d4a5…
04-29 00:32:04	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x088a56…
04-29 00:32:00	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaf2ecf…
04-29 00:27:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x4342f0…
04-29 00:26:54	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x130e62…
04-29 00:23:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe7036b…
04-29 00:22:50	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x79e943…
04-29 00:21:32	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xcdffde…
04-29 00:21:28	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x82765b…
04-29 00:13:56	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa488ad…
04-29 00:10:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbc0514…
04-28 23:37:50	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x55fa1c…
04-28 23:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xf42aaf…