Rubbery-Polarization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-22 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$27

Other

30% 100% +$17

Crypto

14% 100% +$6

Tech

8% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	2	$642	330	330	+0	No	+$0	02-09 11:59
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$426	216	216	+0	No	+$4	03-30 10:48
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$367	370	0	+370	No	+$3	04-17 11:46
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$361	215	150	+65	No	+$2	06-24 05:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$270	272	0	+272	No	+$2	05-28 05:12
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	1	$267	268	0	+268	No	+$1	04-05 15:56
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	03-30 10:54
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$213	215	0	+215	No	+$2	06-11 07:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$205	207	0	+207	Yes	+$2	01-23 06:13
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	1	$204	210	0	+210	Yes	+$6	02-02 05:33
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	1	$202	203	0	+203	No	+$1	01-08 10:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	04-05 15:54
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	03-10 11:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$155	160	0	+160	No	+$5	06-11 07:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$153	161	0	+161	Yes	+$8	03-10 11:08
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	05-28 05:11
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	05-15 07:24
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	1	$122	124	0	+124	open	—	08-22 07:45
cs2 mglz eye 2026 04 05	1	$100	106	0	+106	TheMongolz	+$6	04-05 15:55
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	1	$96	101	0	+101	No	+$5	07-20 07:39
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	1	$78	79	0	+79	No	+$1	07-20 07:36
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	1	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	08-22 07:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 07:46:06	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x484167…
08-22 07:45:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x9dabef…
07-20 07:39:19	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0xd7ec5c…
07-20 07:36:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x2b7149…
06-24 05:18:32	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0x8f9480…
06-11 07:25:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0xa25d96…
06-11 07:24:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xe3cbc7…
06-11 07:23:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0xc41b8c…
05-28 05:12:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0x569c52…
05-28 05:11:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x546533…
05-15 07:24:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x980052…
04-17 11:46:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	370	99¢	$367	0x1fcd9d…
04-05 15:56:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	268	99¢	$267	0xfdb0d0…
04-05 15:55:43	cs2 mglz eye 2026 04 05	TheMongolz	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe34b2e…
04-05 15:54:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0xe01668…
03-30 10:54:08	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x314e3c…
03-30 10:48:26	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x2a65c1…
03-10 11:12:01	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x223308…
03-10 11:08:01	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf8f885…
03-10 11:07:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	216	98¢	$211	0x2a0cf4…
03-10 11:07:07	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb72f56…
03-10 11:06:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xfe617c…
03-10 11:06:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	137	95¢	$130	0x7fa20e…
02-09 11:59:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	330	97¢	$321	0x906207…
02-02 05:33:54	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	210	97¢	$204	0xfb3ff1…
01-23 06:13:40	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x6db8f6…
01-08 10:58:35	will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0x580609…
01-08 10:45:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	330	97¢	$321	0x20d19c…