Indelible-Mangrove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$149

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-16 22:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 0% $-85

Sports

23% 0% $-10

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+123	$100	80¢	$99	$-1	06-09 23:30
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+68	$50	72¢	$50	$-0	06-09 23:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$280	391	0	+391	open	—	04-12 18:44
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$220	330	0	+330	open	—	03-22 13:09
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$130	274	137	+137	open	—	05-16 22:23
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$130	161	0	+161	open	—	05-14 19:48
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$120	424	0	+424	open	—	05-16 22:55
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$104	154	52	+102	open	—	05-16 22:12
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	06-09 23:30
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	05-02 13:15
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	04-05 23:27
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	04-06 00:25
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$60	112	0	+112	open	—	04-05 23:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$60	106	0	+106	open	—	03-07 13:15
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	1	$50	127	0	+127	open	—	03-20 17:25
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	06-09 23:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	04-06 00:36
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	04-12 18:45
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$35	56	0	+56	No	$-35	04-05 23:47
Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	03-26 22:58
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$30	54	0	+54	Yes	$-30	04-05 23:44
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$24	55	28	+27	open	—	05-16 19:11
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	03-26 23:00
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$20	53	0	+53	Yes	$-20	03-30 06:52
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-16 18:12
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$19	60	60	+0	open	—	05-16 22:50
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	05-16 20:07
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$15	55	0	+55	open	—	04-06 00:21
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 22:14
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	45	0	+45	No	$-10	03-20 17:26
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	05-16 22:13
Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	120	0	+120	open	—	05-16 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:31:21	Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x98e33c…
06-09 23:30:28	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc54f45…
05-16 22:55:30	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	32¢	$100	0x8102f9…
05-16 22:51:21	Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	17¢	$20	0xe44282…
05-16 22:50:11	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x016d77…
05-16 22:49:47	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x8d75af…
05-16 22:23:19	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	24¢	$33	0x424785…
05-16 22:14:41	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x64ff19…
05-16 22:13:44	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0xb051c2…
05-16 22:13:14	Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe6fe20…
05-16 22:12:30	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	17	84¢	$15	0xc7f432…
05-16 22:12:21	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x343be6…
05-16 22:12:09	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x9b29b7…
05-16 21:45:54	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xbac00b…
05-16 20:07:37	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xbc89ad…
05-16 19:11:58	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xe49eb7…
05-16 18:12:24	Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x15abcd…
05-14 19:48:02	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x205bb6…
05-08 07:02:21	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xe34cfa…
05-02 13:58:10	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3b709e…
05-02 13:15:36	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x431f1d…
04-12 18:53:25	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x889d90…
04-12 18:51:13	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x6edfbd…
04-12 18:45:09	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x89fd6f…
04-12 18:44:17	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa5be0e…
04-12 18:37:55	Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x078e5a…
04-06 00:36:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x603bc8…
04-06 00:35:05	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xeba68d…
04-06 00:25:23	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xcad548…
04-06 00:21:55	Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x537cd6…
04-05 23:47:09	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x697f86…
04-05 23:44:21	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xe5b3b1…
04-05 23:37:25	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x15a448…
04-05 23:36:27	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcd5baa…
04-05 23:28:19	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0x3fb1ce…
04-05 23:27:47	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xcfa358…
03-30 06:52:32	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xc2b9ea…
03-30 06:52:22	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4da835…
03-30 06:47:58	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x1559fd…
03-26 23:01:23	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb6353c…
03-26 23:01:01	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6b0d8b…
03-26 23:00:03	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x41c7e7…
03-26 22:59:35	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x25b8fb…
03-26 22:58:43	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3c92ff…
03-26 22:58:15	Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xd576bb…
03-26 22:56:57	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0x0664d4…
03-22 13:09:25	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x55a132…
03-21 20:13:29	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x9a6f42…
03-20 17:34:35	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x8bfff3…
03-20 17:33:31	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x425e0b…
03-20 17:31:23	Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x9d00c6…
03-20 17:31:15	Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x09e531…
03-20 17:26:39	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xaa0785…
03-20 17:25:11	Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x13e09b…
03-20 10:31:57	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	347	75¢	$260	0x848ca0…
03-19 21:10:31	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xbcb28c…
03-07 13:15:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	106	57¢	$60	0x37dca2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	27	$25.0K	2,216	05-31 21:33
All-Architecture 0x588d…099a	24	$11.5K	447	05-20 10:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	23	$1.76K	295	05-25 02:06
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	22	$29.5K	2,368	06-05 06:08
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	22	$13.0K	220	05-16 18:07
Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d	21	$19.4K	89	06-01 12:52
Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272	20	$14.2K	619	06-08 12:00
Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358	20	$5.53K	249	05-17 07:03