Misguided-Nurture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$364	329	329	+0	Up	+$114	05-12 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$300	307	149	+158	Down	$-100	05-12 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$245	148	148	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$240	149	149	+0	Down	+$40	05-12 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$222	143	143	+0	Up	+$22	05-12 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$209	144	144	+0	Up	+$29	05-12 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$199	124	124	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$198	175	175	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$198	143	143	+0	Up	$-2	05-12 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$174	108	108	+0	Up	+$14	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$163	220	170	+51	Down	$-87	05-12 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$100	141	0	+141	Up	+$41	05-12 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$94	70	70	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$90	188	0	+188	Down	$-90	05-12 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$82	47	47	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$72	58	58	+0	Up	+$22	05-12 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$67	4,882	15	+4,867	Up	$-50	05-11 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$59	45	45	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$58	36	36	+0	Up	+$8	05-12 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	6	$54	109	23	+86	Up	$-2	05-13 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$54	42	42	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$53	35	35	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$50	82	0	+82	Up	$-50	05-13 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$39	35	35	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$39	51	51	+0	Down	$-11	05-12 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$38	53	40	+14	Down	$-8	05-12 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$32	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$25	58	0	+58	Up	$-25	05-12 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 01:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x59e380…
05-13 00:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2ac9f4…
05-13 00:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3429c8…
05-13 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb97a54…
05-13 00:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x47e5aa…
05-13 00:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xbe7ff5…
05-13 00:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x255262…
05-13 00:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa7e5e3…
05-13 00:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xfa774e…
05-13 00:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x6d78ef…
05-13 00:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6eb113…
05-13 00:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd00671…
05-13 00:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x13aee5…
05-13 00:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x6e48f0…
05-13 00:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xd9b4cb…
05-13 00:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5bed88…
05-13 00:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xdfd368…
05-13 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7e78bb…
05-12 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	188	48¢	$90	0x12f46d…
05-12 20:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf3809f…
05-12 20:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x04ec56…
05-12 20:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0xf39dd8…
05-12 20:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xc35018…
05-12 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	60	68¢	$41	0x2ee270…
05-12 20:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x58fc54…
05-12 20:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x529b75…
05-12 20:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xc3689d…
05-12 20:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	67	80¢	$54	0x68192a…
05-12 20:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x1e9605…
05-12 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0xa3661f…
05-12 19:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x0b118d…
05-12 19:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	79	77¢	$61	0x1dbd72…
05-12 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x735cec…
05-12 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	70	77¢	$54	0x55e4bf…
05-12 19:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x7d6f90…
05-12 19:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	47	91¢	$42	0x137536…
05-12 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x13cf99…
05-12 19:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf53858…
05-12 19:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xb6b61d…
05-12 19:25:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf3d3c1…
05-12 19:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	51	27¢	$14	0x3dd496…
05-12 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x87f507…
05-12 19:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x25e797…
05-12 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x56a3b1…
05-12 19:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0x3269c5…
05-12 19:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x76cd86…
05-12 19:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xea1929…
05-12 19:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x2e0457…
05-12 19:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x079adc…
05-12 19:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x597561…
05-12 19:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf5c7f5…
05-12 19:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xe814b8…
05-12 19:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xc85fa1…
05-12 19:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x16d3e2…
05-12 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7761b0…
05-12 19:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcb5d3d…
05-12 19:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0x899a07…
05-12 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xc4aa98…
05-12 18:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	45	74¢	$34	0xa80a51…
05-12 18:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x059dc1…
05-12 18:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x86ed76…
05-12 18:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x82fb65…
05-12 18:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xd51682…
05-12 18:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	135	3¢	$4	0x5b68aa…
05-12 18:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x863adf…
05-12 18:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xce819c…
05-12 18:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x9106a8…
05-12 18:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xc603d1…
05-12 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x211a0e…
05-12 18:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xdbcbcf…
05-12 18:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x6a8e97…
05-12 18:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	149	67¢	$100	0x9eeb26…
05-12 18:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc8647a…
05-12 18:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	58	80¢	$47	0x65b5b7…
05-12 18:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x86e0a9…
05-12 18:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	143	68¢	$98	0xd9508b…
05-12 18:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa4125f…
05-12 18:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x288fff…
05-12 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	149	94¢	$140	0x97894e…
05-12 17:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc85c4d…
05-12 17:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x65c9b0…
05-12 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	175	56¢	$98	0x3de265…
05-12 17:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x7c9abe…
05-12 17:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x1a68b7…
05-12 17:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0xea0430…
05-12 17:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	208	58¢	$121	0xd0079e…
05-12 17:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x755255…
05-12 17:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	124	79¢	$99	0x9ab1ad…
05-12 17:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x7932d1…
05-12 17:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	143	85¢	$122	0x3042b1…
05-12 17:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x39bb83…
05-12 17:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcba4a5…
05-12 17:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xfa425f…
05-12 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xe94272…
05-11 11:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2,419	1¢	$24	0x493fc7…
05-11 11:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2,448	1¢	$24	0x3bef54…
05-11 11:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x49b3b5…
05-11 11:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3fdfdd…
05-11 11:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xcaa55e…
05-11 11:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x962d04…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	43	$23.8K	3,765	05-13 01:04
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	43	$9.88K	384	05-13 01:02
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	43	$8.29K	1,484	05-13 01:04
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	43	$5.50K	528	05-13 01:04
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	43	$2.45K	345	05-13 01:04
Moral-Compress 0x33eb…b07e	43	$1.64K	83	05-13 01:04
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	42	$34.4K	1,291	05-13 01:06
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	42	$9.16K	2,356	05-13 01:04