Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$909
$156,063 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,295,519
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $301 | $324 | $23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 | — | $297 | $297 |
| Below median | 2 | $101 | — | +$101 |
| unranked | 20 | $200 | $27 | +$173 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coordinated-Fourths 0x3812…8b90 | Yes | +1,923 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 17:54 |
| Tinted-Floor 0xed0d…bc18 | Yes | +1,923 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xcedb…7c9e | Yes | +962 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 10:21 |
| Quarterly-Med 0xef02…4f7e | No | +313 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 05-05 16:19 |
| Tiny-Nonbeliever 0x316e…c796 | Yes | +192 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:36 |
| Amused-Vaulting 0x35ba…82f9 | Yes | +192 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 15:37 |
| Excited-Media 0xcf0d…e774 | Yes | +135 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 15:14 |
| Sad-Week 0x5f7e…7e9c | Yes | +114 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc672…a817 | Yes | +96 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4062…3a27 | Yes | +96 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 19:08 |
| Chief-Antennae-User 0x4396…c9e8 | Yes | +96 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 08:56 |
| Bowed-Nature 0x2b6f…7ac9 | No | +29 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-05 16:17 |
| Organic-Gap 0x9797…1289 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:36 |
| Perky-Kickoff 0x8cd7…25e7 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 06:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:07:40 | Austere-Daily 0xefaf…b3c8 | No | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x33eb01… |
| 05-05 19:34:44 | Tinted-Floor 0xed0d…bc18 | Yes | BUY | 1,923 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x28df0a… |
| 05-05 19:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x4062…3a27 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xe4dc80… |
| 05-05 18:36:52 | Organic-Gap 0x9797…1289 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8e8061… |
| 05-05 18:36:14 | Tiny-Nonbeliever 0x316e…c796 | Yes | BUY | 192 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xe5889e… |
| 05-05 17:54:56 | Coordinated-Fourths 0x3812…8b90 | Yes | BUY | 1,923 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x6887a8… |
| 05-05 16:19:56 | Quarterly-Med 0xef02…4f7e | No | BUY | 313 | 95¢ | $297 | 0x700d9b… |
| 05-05 16:17:20 | Bowed-Nature 0x2b6f…7ac9 | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x76a67a… |
| 05-05 15:37:38 | Amused-Vaulting 0x35ba…82f9 | Yes | BUY | 192 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xec728d… |
| 05-05 15:14:52 | Excited-Media 0xcf0d…e774 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x0fcd09… |
| 05-05 15:09:50 | Testy-Yam 0xfa62…b1cf | No | SELL | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0xb3baf8… |
| 05-05 12:16:48 | Noted-Scam 0x1812…0db6 | Yes | SELL | 192 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x56ef46… |
| 05-05 12:10:26 | Obedient-Unibody 0xc51c…2195 | No | SELL | 71 | 95¢ | $67 | 0xff799a… |
| 05-05 10:21:22 | (anonymous) 0xcedb…7c9e | Yes | BUY | 962 | 5¢ | $50 | 0x8bf5de… |
| 05-05 09:05:10 | Buttery-Grace 0xdcf5…e9dc | Yes | SELL | 122 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xab39b3… |
| 05-05 08:56:06 | Chief-Antennae-User 0x4396…c9e8 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3057bd… |
| 05-05 08:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x4269…bd80 | Yes | SELL | 583 | 5¢ | $30 | 0xe165af… |
| 05-05 07:55:48 | Distorted-Channel 0xf4ab…929b | Yes | SELL | 700 | 5¢ | $36 | 0xcc085e… |
| 05-05 07:55:12 | Spanish-Banking 0xef60…d6c2 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 5¢ | $26 | 0x82c66a… |
| 05-05 07:51:06 | Sad-Week 0x5f7e…7e9c | Yes | BUY | 57 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x4bd309… |
| 05-05 07:50:08 | Sad-Week 0x5f7e…7e9c | Yes | BUY | 57 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x34512d… |
| 05-05 06:45:12 | Perky-Kickoff 0x8cd7…25e7 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb475d2… |
| 05-05 01:55:02 | (anonymous) 0xc672…a817 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xf75a50… |
| 05-04 21:34:32 | Loose-Jar 0x1640…396e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa2d5bd… |
| 05-04 21:34:28 | Loose-Jar 0x1640…396e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa2df46… |