Realized P&L
-$915
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
6,035
Trades
9,726
lifetime
Volume
$375.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$12
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 01:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Sports
35% 84% -$98
Politics
32% 78% -$181
Other
29% 86% -$441
Crypto
4% 88% -$195
Tech
0% 74% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-21 14:39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -1 $0 100¢ $-1 -$1 05-14 11:22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 $0 05-08 03:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $1 97¢ $-1 -$2 05-24 13:26
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 -$2 48¢ $-1 +$1 05-25 07:34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 $0 49¢ $-1 -$1 05-25 07:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 -$1 71¢ $-1 $0 04-30 03:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -1 -$1 66¢ $-1 $0 06-02 10:26
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes -1 $0 72¢ $-1 $0 06-04 01:34
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes -1 -$1 67¢ $-1 $0 06-04 01:33
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 -$1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 03:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -1 $0 28¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:35
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 29¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:19
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 23¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 03:21
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes -1 $0 26¢ $-0 $0 06-20 12:10
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 15¢ $-0 $0 05-05 03:19
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -1 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:35
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-24 14:19
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 04-30 03:21
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:20
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 12:25
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 04-30 03:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -1 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:34
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-25 06:59
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 05-02 03:32
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 03:31
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-02 03:31
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 12:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -0 $1 3¢ $-0 -$1 05-31 04:59