Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,914
$247,505 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$321,411
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 04:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $24 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unranked | 29 | $24 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x494e…fb0b | Yes | +12,000 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 19:01 |
| Lustrous-Debris 0x31bf…b9fd | No | +218 | $218 | $218 | 1 | 05-05 20:29 |
| Tart-Observation 0x1f71…12c2 | No | +156 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 05-05 01:44 |
| Rich-Sonnet 0xb652…0435 | No | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 05-05 18:56 |
| Bumpy-Bourgeoisie 0x2df6…246a | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-05 18:21 |
| Honorable-Excellence 0x47a1…f15b | No | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-05 19:47 |
| Alert-Attorney 0x4b63…c50a | No | +83 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-05 20:03 |
| Spiffy-Elm 0xb83e…abf1 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-05 06:40 |
| Austere-Cloth 0x06c0…e691 | No | +77 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 05-05 14:49 |
| Unacceptable-Kid 0x0bda…6192 | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-05 11:30 |
| Serene-Verification 0x5b97…8364 | No | +68 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-06 02:44 |
| Wise-Study-Baker 0xa515…7533 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 04:54:04 | Arctic-Depth 0x3830…cbf3 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x74a3df… |
| 05-06 03:29:52 | Equatorial-Sock 0x60ab…6d72 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xdefaf8… |
| 05-06 03:19:36 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 304 | 100¢ | $304 | 0xadc312… |
| 05-06 03:04:50 | Hearty-Claim 0xc894…aaeb | No | SELL | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x2aa818… |
| 05-06 02:44:34 | Serene-Verification 0x5b97…8364 | No | BUY | 68 | 100¢ | $68 | 0x054f11… |
| 05-06 00:09:32 | Courageous-Observation 0xc6f3…83ca | No | SELL | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0x7ba1e9… |
| 05-05 23:10:14 | Crushing-Ficlet 0xda18…89af | No | SELL | 243 | 100¢ | $243 | 0x1196fb… |
| 05-05 22:04:48 | Courageous-Observation 0xc6f3…83ca | No | BUY | 93 | 100¢ | $93 | 0xde3ab7… |
| 05-05 20:34:58 | Agonizing-Psychology 0x0263…8d47 | No | SELL | 97 | 100¢ | $97 | 0x85e995… |
| 05-05 20:29:58 | Lustrous-Debris 0x31bf…b9fd | No | BUY | 218 | 100¢ | $218 | 0xa96e64… |
| 05-05 20:03:38 | Alert-Attorney 0x4b63…c50a | No | BUY | 83 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x8087b4… |
| 05-05 19:47:30 | Honorable-Excellence 0x47a1…f15b | No | BUY | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0x05b858… |
| 05-05 19:34:48 | Closed-Ivory 0x352c…9a06 | No | SELL | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x054a24… |
| 05-05 19:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x494e…fb0b | Yes | BUY | 12,000 | 0¢ | $24 | 0x9fc062… |
| 05-05 18:56:54 | Rich-Sonnet 0xb652…0435 | No | BUY | 134 | 100¢ | $134 | 0xb316a3… |
| 05-05 18:54:24 | High-Level-Speaker 0x8d47…5ff5 | No | SELL | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x7a15f3… |
| 05-05 18:21:08 | Bumpy-Bourgeoisie 0x2df6…246a | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0xf11dbd… |
| 05-05 16:27:42 | Wise-Study-Baker 0xa515…7533 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x8f748c… |
| 05-05 15:59:46 | Euphoric-Teacher 0x0773…77b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x2a7bd5… |
| 05-05 14:49:46 | Austere-Cloth 0x06c0…e691 | No | BUY | 77 | 100¢ | $77 | 0x464275… |
| 05-05 11:30:10 | Unacceptable-Kid 0x0bda…6192 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x60e387… |
| 05-05 10:40:18 | Tempting-Organization 0x7d6e…f8eb | No | SELL | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0xff2686… |
| 05-05 10:11:12 | Pastel-Degradation 0x45dd…4ce2 | No | SELL | 89 | 100¢ | $89 | 0xed8d8f… |
| 05-05 06:40:08 | Spiffy-Elm 0xb83e…abf1 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x3f3404… |
| 05-05 01:44:54 | Tart-Observation 0x1f71…12c2 | No | BUY | 156 | 100¢ | $156 | 0xd464ac… |
| 05-05 01:35:20 | Intelligent-Reprocessing 0x1583…dead | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb769f… |
| 05-04 23:44:48 | Whirlwind-Trachoma 0xda54…f995 | No | SELL | 87 | 100¢ | $87 | 0x619432… |
| 05-04 23:34:42 | Barren-Fallingout 0xab01…dbd0 | No | SELL | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x9e73cc… |
| 05-04 23:34:14 | Realistic-Notepad 0xea9f…f4df | No | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xeb10c9… |
| 05-04 22:09:38 | Scornful-Movie 0x5a1f…0c17 | No | SELL | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x97bc5d… |
| 05-04 21:59:40 | Barren-Fallingout 0xab01…dbd0 | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0xb34465… |