Realized P&L (30d)
-$43
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
4.1%
Resolved (30d)
189
Trades (30d)
14
9,730 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$16
$375.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$59
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Sports
35% 84% -$98
Politics
32% 77% -$203
Other
29% 87% -$443
Crypto
4% 88% -$195
Tech
0% 74% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? No +44 $38 93¢ $41 +$3 05-10 09:16
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +44 $6 7¢ $3 -$3 05-10 09:36
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 -$2 84¢ $-2 $0 05-25 07:34
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-21 14:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 $0 05-08 03:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1 $1 97¢ $-1 -$2 05-24 13:26
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes -1 $0 84¢ $-1 -$1 06-13 22:41
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 -$1 72¢ $-1 $0 04-30 03:21
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes -1 $0 62¢ $-1 -$1 06-19 00:48
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes -1 -$1 68¢ $-1 $0 06-04 01:33
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes -1 $0 66¢ $-1 $0 06-02 10:33
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes -1 $0 56¢ $-1 $0 05-25 07:33
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes -1 $0 50¢ $-1 $0 05-06 03:04
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 -$1 44¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 03:15
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes -1 $0 42¢ $-0 $0 05-24 14:20
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? Yes -1 $0 37¢ $-0 $0 06-19 00:49
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 $0 27¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 03:21
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes -1 -$1 32¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 10:27
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 32¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:19
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -2 $0 16¢ $-0 $0 05-25 07:34
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? Yes -1 $0 25¢ $-0 $0 05-06 03:02
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes -1 $0 26¢ $-0 +$0 06-04 01:33
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes -1 $0 16¢ $-0 $0 06-14 01:26
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? Yes -1 $0 16¢ $-0 $0 05-06 03:02
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -1 $0 16¢ $-0 $0 05-05 03:19
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:46
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 10¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47
Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes -1 $0 7¢ $-0 $0 06-15 01:47