Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open
Total volume
$3,640,159
$47,271 in 24h
Trades
46,724
Unique wallets
3,736
Liquidity
$446,059
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2028-11-08
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 23:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+24.9¢
(top1%: 28% YES on $53.8K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $1.80M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 84 | $14.7K | $1.45M | $1.43M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 119 | $36.3K | $70.9K | $34.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 973 | $6.0K | $156.3K | $150.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,560 | $2.6K | $62.9K | $60.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 67 | $15.2K | $38.6K | $23.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 82 | $3.5K | $269.2K | $265.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 107 | $1.0K | $11.3K | $10.3K |
| Median | 1,390 | $326 | $60.8K | $60.5K |
| Below median | 1,465 | $2.4K | $221.1K | $218.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 68 | $29.6K | $6.1K | +$23.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 56 | $2.1K | $584.7K | $582.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 58 | $5.2K | $540.7K | $535.5K |
| unranked | 443 | $291 | $4.5K | $4.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | +194,082 | $4,494 | $4,494 | 667 | 10-06 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | +163,677 | $4,333 | $4,333 | 505 | 10-26 15:42 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | +145,988 | $3,378 | $3,378 | 19 | 09-17 20:22 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +125,685 | $2,791 | $5,652 | 1,469 | 09-18 17:18 |
| Elliptical-Handholding 0x6fc4…08cc | Yes | +44,952 | $1,054 | $1,054 | 42 | 10-26 05:41 |
| Realistic-Aggradation 0xc401…8b2c | Yes | +42,905 | $987 | $987 | 206 | 06-24 01:53 |
| Insistent-Voice 0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | +40,679 | $854 | $854 | 4 | 05-28 15:42 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +23,385 | $22,850 | $22,850 | 69 | 08-31 13:50 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +23,385 | $517 | $591 | 83 | 09-08 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd0f…a925 | Yes | +18,400 | $492 | $492 | 33 | 10-04 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x88d7…5762 | Yes | +15,697 | $381 | $612 | 34 | 10-26 11:27 |
| 0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704 0x16cb…2704 | No | +10,788 | $10,543 | $10,543 | 30 | 05-28 15:42 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +10,000 | $270 | $270 | 6 | 10-10 20:19 |
| Naive-Leopard 0x0826…0b32 | Yes | +10,000 | $270 | $270 | 14 | 10-12 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x008e…63be | Yes | +10,000 | $240 | $240 | 79 | 08-21 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xad83…4a0c | Yes | +9,300 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 04-30 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xc272…16c8 | Yes | +9,300 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 04-30 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xad83…4a0c | No | +9,300 | $9,095 | $9,095 | 1 | 04-30 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xc272…16c8 | No | +9,300 | $9,095 | $9,095 | 1 | 04-30 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xab79…d996 | Yes | +8,400 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 04-30 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8831…1d01 | Yes | +8,400 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 04-30 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xab79…d996 | No | +8,400 | $8,215 | $8,215 | 1 | 04-30 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8831…1d01 | No | +8,400 | $8,215 | $8,215 | 1 | 04-30 07:30 |
| Moral-Clinic 0xdfe1…6c98 | Yes | +8,005 | $168 | $168 | 25 | 05-16 09:12 |
| Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | +7,445 | $195 | $451 | 235 | 09-13 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xce08…3010 | Yes | +6,000 | $160 | $160 | 39 | 10-25 18:37 |
| Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | +5,555 | $133 | $133 | 3 | 08-14 05:40 |
| Monopoly_Money 0x7ea7…79ac | Yes | +5,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-03 03:48 |
| Formal-Supreme 0x5fda…01d5 | Yes | +4,795 | $110 | $165 | 72 | 06-15 15:13 |
| Overjoyed-Stadium 0x5781…e19f | Yes | +4,359 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 06-02 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bbf…12aa | Yes | +4,167 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-27 18:01 |
| Poised-Regulator 0x247f…38de | Yes | +4,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-14 13:16 |
| on-cinema 0xb7de…b802 | No | +3,500 | $3,425 | $3,425 | 43 | 06-10 03:04 |
| Palatable-Argument 0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | +3,000 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 07-31 21:11 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | No | +3,000 | $2,927 | $2,927 | 58 | 08-18 19:21 |
| Livid-Anarchy 0x0c9e…352a | Yes | +3,000 | $69 | $69 | 153 | 07-27 14:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 23:47:18 | (anonymous) 0x5aad…d6b1 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x034225… |
| 10-26 23:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x034225… |
| 10-26 15:42:41 | (anonymous) 0x5aad…d6b1 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2e9048… |
| 10-26 15:42:41 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2e9048… |
| 10-26 13:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc3cc8d… |
| 10-26 13:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x25ae…65fa | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc3cc8d… |
| 10-26 13:07:06 | (anonymous) 0xaef3…ec32 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xa6086b… |
| 10-26 13:07:06 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xa6086b… |
| 10-26 11:58:54 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb22f07… |
| 10-26 11:58:54 | Vibrant-Thanks 0x0136…bac2 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xb22f07… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | No | BUY | 225 | 98¢ | $220 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | (anonymous) 0xa4b2…fdce | No | BUY | 265 | 98¢ | $259 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 936 | 2¢ | $23 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | (anonymous) 0x5aae…36f5 | No | BUY | 274 | 98¢ | $267 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | (anonymous) 0x88d7…5762 | Yes | BUY | 1,759 | 2¢ | $44 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 11:27:47 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x66d114… |
| 10-26 10:36:02 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa29a74… |
| 10-26 10:36:02 | (anonymous) 0x9035…924d | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xa29a74… |
| 10-26 07:06:51 | Able-Moonscape 0x4f33…38da | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xdfdd28… |
| 10-26 07:06:51 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdfdd28… |
| 10-26 06:37:14 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xd3d3f6… |
| 10-26 06:37:14 | (anonymous) 0xcac0…7251 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xd3d3f6… |
| 10-26 05:41:05 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 6,545 | 3¢ | $170 | 0x50a8e9… |
| 10-26 05:41:05 | Elliptical-Handholding 0x6fc4…08cc | Yes | BUY | 6,545 | 3¢ | $170 | 0x50a8e9… |
| 10-26 05:40:05 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5ebe98… |
| 10-26 05:40:05 | Loose-Corporal 0xeec2…bcda | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5ebe98… |
| 10-26 05:28:20 | (anonymous) 0x9035…924d | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x73c33b… |
| 10-26 05:28:20 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x73c33b… |
| 10-26 05:07:57 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4426ad… |
| 10-26 05:07:57 | (anonymous) 0x25ae…65fa | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4426ad… |
| 10-26 02:13:50 | (anonymous) 0xa474…560d | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xbd0891… |
| 10-26 02:13:50 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbd0891… |
| 10-26 01:38:15 | Loose-Corporal 0xeec2…bcda | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9def7e… |
| 10-26 01:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9def7e… |
| 10-26 01:34:51 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 1,044 | 2¢ | $25 | 0x841496… |
| 10-26 01:34:51 | Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | Yes | SELL | 1,044 | 2¢ | $25 | 0x841496… |
| 10-25 21:09:29 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x71714d… |
| 10-25 21:09:29 | (anonymous) 0xa474…560d | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x71714d… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x594c…c680 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x346d…aa71 | No | SELL | 59 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 5,929 | 2¢ | $142 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 6,443 | 2¢ | $155 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x0e9a…2af3 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x7ca3…9f27 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xf91b…fd85 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x66c2…7866 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x083a…1a75 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x6be8…8df9 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x6e92…8ee8 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x48a7…be46 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x48fd…f9b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xcd31…185f | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…176e | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xfa90…8503 | No | SELL | 72 | 97¢ | $70 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xf250…9d02 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x4708…9bb1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 19:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x03d0…a9ee | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x73f1cc… |
| 10-25 18:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xee80…d955 | No | SELL | 365 | 97¢ | $355 | 0x1bbff4… |
| 10-25 18:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xce08…3010 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 3¢ | $52 | 0x1bbff4… |
| 10-25 18:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xfa90…8503 | No | SELL | 578 | 97¢ | $563 | 0x1bbff4… |
| 10-25 18:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x84b7…0254 | No | SELL | 57 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x1bbff4… |
| 10-25 18:37:51 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 3,000 | 3¢ | $78 | 0x1bbff4… |
| 10-25 18:29:29 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xf768a4… |
| 10-25 18:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x5aae…36f5 | Yes | BUY | 223 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xf768a4… |
| 10-25 18:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x7021…b9bc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf768a4… |
| 10-25 18:29:29 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 558 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xf768a4… |
| 10-25 18:29:29 | (anonymous) 0xd100…3960 | Yes | BUY | 260 | 3¢ | $7 | 0xf768a4… |
| 10-25 17:33:57 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 10,750 | 3¢ | $290 | 0xf15492… |
| 10-25 17:33:57 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 15,850 | 3¢ | $428 | 0xf15492… |
| 10-25 17:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x88d7…5762 | Yes | BUY | 5,100 | 3¢ | $138 | 0xf15492… |
| 10-25 14:27:17 | (anonymous) 0xd64e…5516 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8c0a2… |
| 10-25 14:27:17 | (anonymous) 0x6448…1507 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xf8c0a2… |
| 10-25 14:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x6448…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x48ea64… |
| 10-25 14:27:02 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x48ea64… |
| 10-25 14:25:51 | (anonymous) 0xd64e…5516 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x270c10… |
| 10-25 14:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x1d90…e9bb | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x270c10… |
| 10-25 14:25:41 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1f70b6… |
| 10-25 14:25:41 | (anonymous) 0x1d90…e9bb | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x1f70b6… |
| 10-25 13:08:38 | Dreary-Survival 0xf016…65ff | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xf627a2… |
| 10-25 13:08:38 | (anonymous) 0xd64e…5516 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf627a2… |
| 10-25 12:57:53 | (anonymous) 0xd64e…5516 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9ed37c… |
| 10-25 12:57:53 | (anonymous) 0x6eec…1a58 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x9ed37c… |
| 10-25 12:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdfaf48… |
| 10-25 12:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x6eec…1a58 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xdfaf48… |
| 10-25 10:44:12 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 13,314 | 3¢ | $359 | 0xe40151… |
| 10-25 10:44:12 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 13,314 | 3¢ | $359 | 0xe40151… |
| 10-25 09:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x447c3c… |
| 10-25 09:57:54 | Dreary-Survival 0xf016…65ff | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x447c3c… |
| 10-25 09:53:42 | (anonymous) 0xd64e…5516 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5084c7… |
| 10-25 09:53:42 | (anonymous) 0xf5b9…70ac | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x5084c7… |
| 10-25 08:39:53 | (anonymous) 0xd64e…5516 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f0cd0… |
| 10-25 08:39:53 | United-Sourwood 0xd6be…e8a6 | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x8f0cd0… |
| 10-25 03:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xf5b9…70ac | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xa13f85… |
| 10-25 03:52:39 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa13f85… |
| 10-25 00:30:44 | United-Sourwood 0xd6be…e8a6 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xf571a4… |
| 10-25 00:30:44 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf571a4… |
| 10-25 00:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x842b…0566 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc0e89e… |