(anonymous) 0x1c4488…276c6b Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
113
Trades
12,192
lifetime
Volume
$24.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$377
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 11-02 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
47% 61% -$8
Politics
32% 55% +$6
Crypto
9% 71% +$10
Sports
9% 50% -$37
Tech
3% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 762 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,037 $16 2¢ $42 +$26 11-01 10:42
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,214 $25 2¢ $23 -$2 11-01 18:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +606 $17 3¢ $16 -$1 11-02 14:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +430 $18 4¢ $16 -$2 11-02 05:20
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +643 $20 2¢ $15 -$5 11-02 11:44
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,134 $26 1¢ $15 -$12 11-01 22:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +504 $16 3¢ $14 -$2 10-30 12:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +450 $14 3¢ $14 $0 10-30 13:44
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +535 $12 3¢ $14 +$2 10-29 14:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +417 $13 3¢ $14 +$1 11-02 16:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +489 $5 3¢ $13 +$8 11-02 15:03
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +353 $8 4¢ $13 +$4 11-02 13:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +535 $8 2¢ $11 +$3 11-02 14:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +343 $12 3¢ $11 -$1 10-31 05:11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +513 $9 2¢ $11 +$2 11-02 15:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +1,018 -$7 1¢ $11 +$18 11-02 06:08
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $8 3¢ $10 +$2 11-02 02:05
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +448 $15 2¢ $10 -$5 10-02 13:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +293 $12 3¢ $10 -$2 10-31 18:43
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +273 $11 4¢ $10 -$1 10-29 13:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +695 $6 1¢ $9 +$3 11-02 00:47
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +482 $9 2¢ $9 $0 10-30 23:07
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +290 $10 3¢ $9 -$1 11-01 00:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +429 $12 2¢ $9 -$3 10-03 15:48
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +616 $2 1¢ $9 +$7 10-31 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +302 $8 3¢ $8 $0 09-28 17:31
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $11 2¢ $8 -$3 10-13 20:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +300 $11 3¢ $8 -$3 09-21 13:09
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Yes +324 $9 2¢ $8 -$1 10-13 02:21
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +387 $12 2¢ $8 -$4 10-12 05:22