Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
114
Trades
12,325
lifetime
Volume
$25.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$378
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 11-03 16:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
47% 62% -$8
Politics
32% 55% +$6
Crypto
9% 71% +$10
Sports
8% 50% -$37
Tech
4% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 762 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,037 $16 2¢ $39 +$23 11-03 10:33
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +1,214 $25 2¢ $25 +$0 11-01 18:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +510 $21 4¢ $18 -$3 11-02 17:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +430 $18 4¢ $17 -$2 11-02 05:20
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,134 $26 1¢ $16 -$10 11-01 22:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +450 $14 3¢ $15 +$1 10-30 13:44
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +535 $12 3¢ $14 +$2 10-29 14:57
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +504 $16 3¢ $13 -$3 10-30 12:04
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +353 $8 4¢ $13 +$4 11-02 13:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +571 $11 2¢ $12 +$2 11-03 12:53
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +643 $20 2¢ $12 -$8 11-02 11:44
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $8 4¢ $12 +$4 11-03 16:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +303 $7 4¢ $11 +$4 11-02 20:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +273 $8 4¢ $11 +$4 11-03 00:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +448 $15 2¢ $11 -$4 10-02 13:56
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $12 3¢ $11 -$1 11-03 14:28
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +482 $9 2¢ $10 +$1 10-30 23:07
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +230 $5 4¢ $10 +$5 11-03 16:25
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +614 $4 2¢ $10 +$6 11-03 17:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +404 $11 2¢ $10 -$1 11-02 23:19
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +311 $8 3¢ $10 +$2 11-02 02:05
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +616 $2 2¢ $10 +$8 10-31 18:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +293 $12 3¢ $9 -$2 10-31 18:43
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +273 $11 3¢ $9 -$2 10-29 13:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +513 $9 2¢ $9 +$0 11-02 15:42
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +429 $12 2¢ $9 -$3 10-03 15:48
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +387 $12 2¢ $8 -$4 10-12 05:22
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $11 2¢ $8 -$3 10-13 20:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +300 $11 3¢ $8 -$3 09-21 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +302 $8 3¢ $8 $0 09-28 17:31