Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
open
Total volume
$215,573
$1,236 in 24h
Trades
1,351
Unique wallets
388
Liquidity
$62,670
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2027-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-03 02:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+41.8¢
(top1%: 50% YES on $4.8K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $147.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $5.3K | $40.9K | $35.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $2.7K | $23.7K | $21.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 66 | $2.2K | $46.1K | $43.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 272 | $2.3K | $24.0K | $21.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $2.4K | $2.4K | +$24 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 20 | $116 | $37.6K | $37.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 33 | $1 | $3.8K | $3.8K |
| Below median | 38 | $1.5K | $3.3K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $42 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $121 | $5.1K | $5.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $4.8K | $3.9K | +$873 |
| unranked | 260 | $3.6K | $74.3K | $70.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limp-Tablecloth 0x94bd…6184 | No | +35,791 | $31,831 | $31,831 | 33 | 07-28 10:40 |
| Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | +24,066 | $2,647 | $3,953 | 28 | 07-23 10:14 |
| Radiant-Birdhouse 0xc3c3…eec8 | Yes | +10,372 | $1,245 | $1,245 | 49 | 06-24 09:51 |
| Handsome-Midden 0x1bad…63e9 | No | +10,042 | $9,000 | $9,000 | 5 | 07-30 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x700c…d237 | Yes | +8,782 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-05 16:15 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +8,223 | $771 | $771 | 37 | 07-31 02:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x82e9…b34c | No | +8,000 | $7,280 | $7,280 | 19 | 07-19 08:46 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +6,682 | $6,014 | $6,014 | 30 | 07-30 01:08 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +5,299 | $399 | $2,981 | 107 | 07-31 02:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | +5,288 | $4,759 | $4,759 | 12 | 08-01 06:48 |
| Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | +5,000 | $4,450 | $4,450 | 1 | 07-01 14:44 |
| Kosher-Curtain 0x55b2…e941 | Yes | +4,680 | $468 | $468 | 5 | 07-24 17:40 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +4,444 | $4,107 | $5,293 | 3 | 07-15 04:10 |
| Easy-Variation 0x43b4…ec9c | No | +4,025 | $3,542 | $3,542 | 1 | 07-05 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9338…8add | No | +3,600 | $3,240 | $3,240 | 1 | 07-19 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +3,300 | $2,904 | $2,904 | 2 | 06-16 20:40 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +3,178 | $332 | $1,073 | 51 | 07-20 06:41 |
| Discrete-Species 0xd8e0…c1a7 | No | +3,000 | $2,670 | $2,670 | 1 | 07-27 18:57 |
| Devoted-Offramp 0x527b…eb08 | Yes | +2,902 | $377 | $377 | 1 | 05-31 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +2,520 | $247 | $247 | 8 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +2,328 | $2,015 | $2,335 | 10 | 07-19 08:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xee90…a659 | No | +2,247 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-27 10:36 |
| Vapid-Zen 0xa60f…70f0 | No | +2,198 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-31 02:47 |
| Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | +1,995 | $202 | $2,335 | 90 | 07-20 17:37 |
| Celebrated-Blowhole 0x02f0…1a03 | Yes | +1,500 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-15 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xacbb…6cb4 | No | +1,319 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 1 | 07-24 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f8b…d95b | Yes | +1,283 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 08-01 06:48 |
| Considerate-Swivel 0x7a01…624a | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x2658…dda2 | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-15 03:34 |
| Royal-Suite 0xf4c7…def7 | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-16 01:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x58ab…7a72 | No | +1,124 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-02 07:36 |
| Scholarly-Chemotaxis 0x51c7…88cb | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 4 | 07-22 20:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d4a…f05f | No | +1,000 | $870 | $870 | 6 | 06-22 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x39ec…4e65 | No | +999 | $889 | $889 | 1 | 07-02 06:51 |
| Vivacious-Ectoderm 0x60a5…f52e | Yes | +909 | $107 | $193 | 4 | 07-28 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x504e…3a7d | No | +814 | $741 | $741 | 1 | 08-01 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d1b…769e | No | +796 | $724 | $724 | 1 | 07-21 06:36 |
| Hasty-Behaviour 0xc101…e6d1 | Yes | +769 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-18 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe428…a0e8 | Yes | +700 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 07-31 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xc069…38b3 | No | +659 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 07-08 20:33 |
| Violent-Going 0x7487…fc0c | No | +620 | $564 | $564 | 2 | 07-24 07:38 |
| Rectangular-Census 0x8998…32be | No | +600 | $534 | $534 | 1 | 07-01 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbf8…a703 | Yes | +586 | $59 | $59 | 5 | 07-30 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d25…b703 | Yes | +556 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-13 02:52 |
| Torn-Euphonium 0xbe19…ec9f | No | +550 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 06-26 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x80b5…23c8 | No | +520 | $463 | $463 | 2 | 07-02 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x109d…4b20 | No | +512 | $461 | $461 | 1 | 07-20 08:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c1b…7d3c | Yes | +278 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-15 11:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:35:14 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x32e33b… |
| 08-03 02:35:14 | (anonymous) 0x5a2b…ae0c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x32e33b… |
| 08-03 02:35:14 | Hard-Newsprint 0x02bf…120c | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x32e33b… |
| 08-03 02:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x4566…5223 | No | BUY | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0x6ae16e… |
| 08-03 02:05:09 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 34 | 91¢ | $31 | 0x6ae16e… |
| 08-03 01:39:24 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x0aec4c… |
| 08-03 01:39:24 | Lean-Conservation 0xa901…8835 | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x0aec4c… |
| 08-02 17:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x448827… |
| 08-02 17:51:00 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x448827… |
| 08-02 11:44:29 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xb42f85… |
| 08-02 11:44:29 | Alarmed-Invader-Gymnast 0x0bf8…8f88 | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xb42f85… |
| 08-01 16:02:26 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x5e9da1… |
| 08-01 16:02:26 | Early-Supernatural 0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5e9da1… |
| 08-01 14:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x504e…3a7d | No | BUY | 814 | 91¢ | $741 | 0x16cbae… |
| 08-01 14:19:47 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 174 | 91¢ | $158 | 0x16cbae… |
| 08-01 07:28:50 | (anonymous) 0x4201…6133 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xcbd8ed… |
| 08-01 07:28:50 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xcbd8ed… |
| 08-01 06:48:33 | (anonymous) 0x9f8b…d95b | Yes | BUY | 1,283 | 10¢ | $128 | 0x829dae… |
| 08-01 06:48:33 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 1,283 | 90¢ | $1,155 | 0x829dae… |
| 08-01 06:04:38 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe04481… |
| 08-01 06:04:38 | (anonymous) 0x0a54…be59 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe04481… |
| 08-01 06:04:18 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf7180b… |
| 08-01 06:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x0a54…be59 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf7180b… |
| 08-01 06:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x0a54…be59 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x2bc240… |
| 08-01 06:04:08 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x2bc240… |
| 07-31 10:18:53 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb1a2bf… |
| 07-31 10:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x262e…23e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb1a2bf… |
| 07-31 07:53:50 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xc7f086… |
| 07-31 07:53:50 | Roasted-Tote 0x44b4…e0e2 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xc7f086… |
| 07-31 06:37:57 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xbe095d… |
| 07-31 06:37:57 | (anonymous) 0xe428…a0e8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xbe095d… |
| 07-31 06:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xfcd4d5… |
| 07-31 06:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xe428…a0e8 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 10¢ | $50 | 0xfcd4d5… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 209 | 9¢ | $19 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | (anonymous) 0xbc14…fb55 | No | SELL | 28 | 91¢ | $25 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Close-Limestone 0xc365…f983 | No | SELL | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Vapid-Zen 0xa60f…70f0 | No | BUY | 2,198 | 91¢ | $2,000 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 952 | 9¢ | $86 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 02:47:26 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0xf057af… |
| 07-31 01:49:44 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 122 | 90¢ | $109 | 0x50b24b… |
| 07-31 01:49:44 | Silly-Cantaloupe 0xe2a8…68a7 | No | SELL | 122 | 90¢ | $109 | 0x50b24b… |
| 07-30 22:44:51 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 71 | 91¢ | $64 | 0xc4c7e6… |
| 07-30 22:44:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 71 | 91¢ | $64 | 0xc4c7e6… |
| 07-30 16:33:05 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xe25df9… |
| 07-30 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0x8eeb…4962 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xe25df9… |
| 07-30 14:56:48 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 137 | 90¢ | $123 | 0xd8c7a4… |
| 07-30 14:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 137 | 90¢ | $123 | 0xd8c7a4… |
| 07-30 14:56:20 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0xdb65f7… |
| 07-30 14:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 150 | 90¢ | $135 | 0xdb65f7… |
| 07-30 14:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 233 | 90¢ | $209 | 0x10ec2d… |
| 07-30 14:52:09 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 233 | 90¢ | $209 | 0x10ec2d… |
| 07-30 14:51:57 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 95 | 90¢ | $86 | 0x0b62d2… |
| 07-30 14:51:57 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 95 | 90¢ | $86 | 0x0b62d2… |
| 07-30 14:51:57 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 190 | 90¢ | $171 | 0x2b21a4… |
| 07-30 14:51:57 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 190 | 90¢ | $171 | 0x2b21a4… |
| 07-30 14:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 91 | 90¢ | $82 | 0xe69485… |
| 07-30 14:51:47 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 91 | 90¢ | $82 | 0xe69485… |
| 07-30 14:43:36 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 500 | 10¢ | $50 | 0xef4045… |
| 07-30 14:43:36 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xef4045… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…e2bf | No | BUY | 1,788 | 90¢ | $1,609 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x5a2b…ae0c | Yes | BUY | 140 | 10¢ | $14 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 895 | 90¢ | $805 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xcbf8…a703 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:41:57 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 500 | 10¢ | $50 | 0x57a5ee… |
| 07-30 14:04:30 | Boiling-Hydrolyse 0xa747…1b71 | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x734a12… |
| 07-30 14:04:30 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x734a12… |
| 07-30 11:26:50 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x84a48c… |
| 07-30 11:26:50 | (anonymous) 0xbdea…fd00 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x84a48c… |
| 07-30 10:12:15 | Showy-Diabetes 0xc42f…7ce3 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x2b1af5… |
| 07-30 10:12:15 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x2b1af5… |
| 07-30 09:59:00 | Young-Killing 0x1c67…c964 | No | BUY | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0xf34c41… |
| 07-30 09:59:00 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0xf34c41… |
| 07-30 04:27:02 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 591 | 10¢ | $59 | 0xc6297e… |
| 07-30 04:27:02 | (anonymous) 0xcbf8…a703 | Yes | BUY | 187 | 10¢ | $19 | 0xc6297e… |
| 07-30 04:27:02 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 123 | 90¢ | $111 | 0xc6297e… |
| 07-30 04:27:02 | Handsome-Midden 0x1bad…63e9 | No | BUY | 1,111 | 90¢ | $1,000 | 0xc6297e… |
| 07-30 04:27:02 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xc6297e… |
| 07-30 01:41:44 | (anonymous) 0xbdea…fd00 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x03c815… |
| 07-30 01:41:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x03c815… |
| 07-30 01:08:14 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc9fae7… |
| 07-30 01:08:14 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xc9fae7… |
| 07-30 01:08:14 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 96 | 89¢ | $85 | 0xc9fae7… |
| 07-29 20:10:57 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x54aadd… |
| 07-29 20:10:57 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x54aadd… |
| 07-28 10:40:59 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 403 | 89¢ | $359 | 0xca2a40… |
| 07-28 10:40:59 | Vivacious-Ectoderm 0x60a5…f52e | Yes | BUY | 909 | 11¢ | $100 | 0xca2a40… |
| 07-28 10:40:59 | Limp-Tablecloth 0x94bd…6184 | No | BUY | 500 | 89¢ | $445 | 0xca2a40… |
| 07-28 10:40:59 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xca2a40… |
| 07-28 07:40:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x04457d… |
| 07-28 07:40:58 | (anonymous) 0x5b05…2bfe | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x04457d… |
| 07-28 07:07:00 | (anonymous) 0x2480…3a3b | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x8ca964… |
| 07-28 07:07:00 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8ca964… |
| 07-27 18:57:37 | Discrete-Species 0xd8e0…c1a7 | No | BUY | 3,000 | 89¢ | $2,670 | 0xa250e8… |
| 07-27 18:57:37 | Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm 0x6779…2ff6 | No | SELL | 4,675 | 89¢ | $4,154 | 0xa250e8… |
| 07-27 18:57:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 704 | 12¢ | $84 | 0xa250e8… |
| 07-27 18:57:37 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | BUY | 340 | 89¢ | $303 | 0xa250e8… |