Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
open
Total volume
$113,143
$1,236 in 24h
Trades
834
Unique wallets
270
Liquidity
$62,670
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 08:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+27.8¢
(top1%: 39% YES on $3.9K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $88.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $5.2K | $29.1K | $23.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $1.3K | $15.4K | $14.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 40 | $1.8K | $16.0K | $14.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 196 | $1.4K | $18.0K | $16.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $1.5K | $2.4K | $866 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $105 | $27.9K | $27.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $10 | $990 | $980 |
| Median | 24 | $1 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| Below median | 30 | $1.1K | $905 | +$200 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $42 | $318 | $276 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $121 | $636 | $515 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $4.7K | $3.6K | +$1.1K |
| unranked | 174 | $2.2K | $40.0K | $37.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Camera 0x28c3…da06 | Yes | +30,000 | $3,300 | $3,300 | 25 | 07-02 07:40 |
| Limp-Tablecloth 0x94bd…6184 | No | +28,320 | $25,095 | $25,095 | 23 | 07-02 07:40 |
| Radiant-Birdhouse 0xc3c3…eec8 | Yes | +10,372 | $1,245 | $1,245 | 49 | 06-24 09:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x700c…d237 | Yes | +8,782 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-05 16:15 |
| Handsome-Midden 0x1bad…63e9 | No | +7,826 | $7,000 | $7,000 | 3 | 07-06 08:56 |
| Sick-Placement 0x0cba…92d3 | No | +5,000 | $4,450 | $4,450 | 1 | 07-01 14:44 |
| Easy-Variation 0x43b4…ec9c | No | +4,025 | $3,542 | $3,542 | 1 | 07-05 16:15 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,765 | $356 | $1,244 | 33 | 07-07 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +3,300 | $2,904 | $2,904 | 2 | 06-16 20:40 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +3,264 | $343 | $1,061 | 50 | 06-28 04:51 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +3,000 | $305 | $305 | 15 | 07-06 08:56 |
| Devoted-Offramp 0x527b…eb08 | Yes | +2,902 | $377 | $377 | 1 | 05-31 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | +2,520 | $247 | $247 | 8 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Spanish-Priority 0x4004…c40b | No | +2,500 | $2,175 | $2,175 | 8 | 06-28 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xee90…a659 | No | +2,247 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 06-27 10:36 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +2,182 | $1,955 | $1,955 | 14 | 07-06 09:22 |
| Considerate-Swivel 0x7a01…624a | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 13:53 |
| Royal-Suite 0xf4c7…def7 | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-16 01:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x2658…dda2 | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-15 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x58ab…7a72 | No | +1,124 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-02 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d4a…f05f | No | +1,000 | $870 | $870 | 6 | 06-22 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x39ec…4e65 | No | +999 | $889 | $889 | 1 | 07-02 06:51 |
| Carefree-Activist 0x05ed…bf70 | No | +975 | $867 | $867 | 3 | 07-02 08:03 |
| Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | +795 | $121 | $1,989 | 78 | 07-10 08:49 |
| Hasty-Behaviour 0xc101…e6d1 | Yes | +769 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-18 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xc069…38b3 | No | +659 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 07-08 20:33 |
| Rectangular-Census 0x8998…32be | No | +600 | $534 | $534 | 1 | 07-01 07:25 |
| Torn-Euphonium 0xbe19…ec9f | No | +550 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 06-26 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x80b5…23c8 | No | +520 | $463 | $463 | 2 | 07-02 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 5 | 07-08 09:31 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | +494 | $437 | $983 | 13 | 07-09 00:29 |
| Pitiful-Calendar 0xc7e1…c8b5 | No | +402 | $360 | $940 | 3 | 07-04 07:20 |
| Supportive-Age 0x2e75…7689 | No | +359 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 07-05 06:53 |
| Qualified-Execution 0x95ce…0527 | No | +350 | $312 | $312 | 1 | 06-30 06:46 |
| Kindly-Fixture 0xa5f3…c0d6 | No | +326 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-04 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdb6…aa70 | No | +261 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-10 06:52 |
| Aggravating-Horizon 0xe1b9…842a | No | +228 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 07-03 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf38a…6fcb | No | +227 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-30 18:46 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +222 | $193 | $193 | 1 | 05-30 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x00e2…88eb | No | +209 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 07-05 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb897…d57c | Yes | +162 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-09 01:24 |
| Oily-Holder 0x9e13…f525 | Yes | +100 | $17 | $61 | 2 | 06-26 04:16 |
| Anxious-Sensitivity 0x0189…db25 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | +98 | $11 | $65 | 21 | 07-09 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4276…84e9 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 15:05 |
| Firm-Buy 0xc576…51d8 | Yes | +57 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 10:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 08:49:16 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xae6bab… |
| 07-10 08:49:16 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xae6bab… |
| 07-10 06:52:53 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 261 | 8¢ | $21 | 0x95cc38… |
| 07-10 06:52:53 | (anonymous) 0xfdb6…aa70 | No | BUY | 261 | 92¢ | $240 | 0x95cc38… |
| 07-10 05:40:13 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 872 | 9¢ | $78 | 0x47738b… |
| 07-10 05:40:13 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x47738b… |
| 07-10 05:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x7058…1a0a | No | SELL | 1,098 | 91¢ | $999 | 0x47738b… |
| 07-10 05:40:13 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x47738b… |
| 07-09 18:52:14 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xee4c88… |
| 07-09 18:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x053a…043c | Yes | BUY | 98 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xee4c88… |
| 07-09 18:52:14 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xee4c88… |
| 07-09 16:50:49 | Famous-Corporal 0x219f…12d8 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x098407… |
| 07-09 16:50:49 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x098407… |
| 07-09 14:20:34 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa8b806… |
| 07-09 14:20:34 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0xa8b806… |
| 07-09 13:20:58 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6cc9ca… |
| 07-09 13:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xa24f…b185 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x6cc9ca… |
| 07-09 13:20:05 | (anonymous) 0x0d21…7e26 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x27df63… |
| 07-09 13:20:05 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x27df63… |
| 07-09 10:45:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x4de889… |
| 07-09 10:45:37 | (anonymous) 0x56b1…e389 | No | SELL | 235 | 91¢ | $214 | 0x4de889… |
| 07-09 10:45:37 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x4de889… |
| 07-09 10:45:37 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x4de889… |
| 07-09 10:10:35 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x4387ef… |
| 07-09 10:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x7058…1a0a | No | BUY | 98 | 92¢ | $90 | 0x4387ef… |
| 07-09 05:44:26 | Somber-Perennial-Clogs 0x19d8…6bcc | No | SELL | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x32f729… |
| 07-09 05:44:26 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x32f729… |
| 07-09 01:24:20 | (anonymous) 0xb897…d57c | Yes | BUY | 162 | 9¢ | $15 | 0xe6f70e… |
| 07-09 01:24:20 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 162 | 9¢ | $15 | 0xe6f70e… |
| 07-09 00:29:38 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 16 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x776366… |
| 07-09 00:29:38 | Voluminous-Sign 0x162c…d511 | No | BUY | 42 | 91¢ | $38 | 0x776366… |
| 07-09 00:29:38 | (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x776366… |
| 07-09 00:28:22 | Voluminous-Sign 0x162c…d511 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xb4c88d… |
| 07-09 00:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xb4c88d… |
| 07-08 20:33:29 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb8c284… |
| 07-08 20:33:29 | (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | BUY | 394 | 9¢ | $35 | 0xb8c284… |
| 07-08 20:33:29 | (anonymous) 0xc069…38b3 | No | BUY | 659 | 91¢ | $600 | 0xb8c284… |
| 07-08 20:15:34 | Major-Dusk 0xab6c…4bb7 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x3fcda9… |
| 07-08 20:15:34 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x3fcda9… |
| 07-08 17:07:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5dc403… |
| 07-08 17:07:37 | (anonymous) 0x5e45…d758 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x5dc403… |
| 07-08 10:21:04 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 114 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x579d84… |
| 07-08 10:21:04 | (anonymous) 0xa5f0…b438 | No | SELL | 114 | 90¢ | $102 | 0x579d84… |
| 07-08 09:31:16 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xb73e17… |
| 07-08 09:31:16 | Front-Legislator-Birth 0x1da8…aa05 | No | SELL | 233 | 90¢ | $209 | 0xb73e17… |
| 07-08 09:31:16 | (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | No | BUY | 202 | 90¢ | $182 | 0xb73e17… |
| 07-08 06:29:55 | (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | No | BUY | 183 | 90¢ | $165 | 0x835e66… |
| 07-08 06:29:55 | Shallow-Nestmate 0x26a1…5704 | No | SELL | 183 | 90¢ | $165 | 0x835e66… |
| 07-07 22:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x20dedf… |
| 07-07 22:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x56b1…e389 | No | BUY | 235 | 91¢ | $214 | 0x20dedf… |
| 07-07 22:32:46 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x20dedf… |
| 07-07 22:32:46 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x20dedf… |
| 07-07 16:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x8ae9…0103 | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfb08ae… |
| 07-07 16:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfb08ae… |
| 07-07 15:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x108f…7937 | Yes | BUY | 880 | 9¢ | $79 | 0x45e0e7… |
| 07-07 15:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x7058…1a0a | No | BUY | 1,000 | 91¢ | $910 | 0x45e0e7… |
| 07-07 15:07:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 120 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x45e0e7… |
| 07-07 08:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x363d…9251 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x389bac… |
| 07-07 08:01:49 | (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x389bac… |
| 07-07 07:38:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x960f12… |
| 07-07 07:38:29 | Ragged-Safety 0x46c1…bab9 | No | BUY | 16 | 91¢ | $15 | 0x960f12… |
| 07-07 05:27:08 | Unusual-Decoder 0x06f9…f52b | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xc825e9… |
| 07-07 05:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xf263…9ef4 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xc825e9… |
| 07-07 02:36:10 | (anonymous) 0x1301…b544 | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x25a7c8… |
| 07-07 02:36:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x25a7c8… |
| 07-06 17:53:08 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 932 | 9¢ | $84 | 0xd27695… |
| 07-06 17:53:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 794 | 9¢ | $71 | 0xd27695… |
| 07-06 17:53:08 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 138 | 9¢ | $12 | 0xd27695… |
| 07-06 14:17:58 | Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | BUY | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x976e4c… |
| 07-06 14:17:58 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x976e4c… |
| 07-06 09:22:47 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 74 | 90¢ | $66 | 0x28d717… |
| 07-06 09:22:47 | (anonymous) 0xf755…3ccb | No | SELL | 114 | 90¢ | $102 | 0x28d717… |
| 07-06 09:22:47 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x28d717… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 8¢ | $20 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Handsome-Midden 0x1bad…63e9 | No | BUY | 3,319 | 90¢ | $3,000 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | SELL | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 83 | 91¢ | $76 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 952 | 10¢ | $95 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 500 | 9¢ | $45 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 08:56:35 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9a3062… |
| 07-06 04:48:40 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x87b5c1… |
| 07-06 04:48:40 | Strong-Execution 0xd135…f865 | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x87b5c1… |
| 07-06 04:38:10 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa10ff7… |
| 07-06 04:38:10 | Sticky-Salsa 0x3667…c92f | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0xa10ff7… |
| 07-06 04:32:49 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x80ec75… |
| 07-06 04:32:49 | Vital-Hourglass 0x2d25…a9d1 | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x80ec75… |
| 07-06 03:23:47 | Showy-Purity 0x255c…a296 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x4ee44f… |
| 07-06 03:23:47 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x4ee44f… |
| 07-06 02:09:40 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x578069… |
| 07-06 02:09:40 | Chubby-Signature 0x08f2…1976 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x578069… |
| 07-05 23:44:32 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 352 | 89¢ | $314 | 0xef4ec7… |
| 07-05 23:44:32 | Moist-Order 0x8bc8…97dc | No | BUY | 500 | 89¢ | $445 | 0xef4ec7… |
| 07-05 23:44:32 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xef4ec7… |
| 07-05 23:44:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 952 | 11¢ | $105 | 0xef4ec7… |
| 07-05 23:20:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 39 | 90¢ | $35 | 0xa37b55… |
| 07-05 23:20:07 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 39 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xa37b55… |
| 07-05 22:30:01 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 67 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xabed28… |
| 07-05 22:30:01 | Sardonic-Poncho 0xefb1…1cf2 | No | BUY | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0xabed28… |