Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
open
Total volume
$13,684
$1,236 in 24h
Trades
229
Unique wallets
88
Liquidity
$62,670
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2027-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 18:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+54.9¢
(top1%: 70% YES on $648
vs crowd: 15% YES on $9.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $341 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $338 | $669 | $331 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $745 | $344 | +$401 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 69 | $67 | $5.3K | $5.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $455 | $193 | +$262 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | $50 | $40 |
| Median | 6 | — | $98 | $98 |
| Below median | 10 | $17 | $175 | $159 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $318 | $300 | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $120 | $47 | +$73 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 59 | $567 | $5.0K | $4.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Offramp 0x527b…eb08 | Yes | +2,902 | $377 | $377 | 1 | 05-31 12:39 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +2,416 | $286 | $396 | 30 | 06-05 00:35 |
| Limp-Tablecloth 0x94bd…6184 | No | +2,000 | $1,750 | $1,750 | 2 | 05-31 12:39 |
| Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | +1,701 | $195 | $442 | 18 | 06-09 18:09 |
| Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | +1,442 | $1,269 | $3,051 | 16 | 06-08 14:18 |
| Considerate-Swivel 0x7a01…624a | No | +1,136 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 13:53 |
| Faraway-Eurocentrism 0x613c…e423 | Yes | +800 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-09 18:08 |
| Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | +408 | $360 | $860 | 9 | 06-06 22:27 |
| Oily-Holder 0x9e13…f525 | Yes | +300 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-09 18:09 |
| Silky-Trapezium 0xc10b…e3e0 | No | +258 | $227 | $227 | 2 | 06-02 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf38a…6fcb | No | +227 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-30 18:46 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | +222 | $193 | $193 | 1 | 05-30 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x363d…9251 | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 06-01 08:23 |
| Voluminous-Sign 0x162c…d511 | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 2 | 06-04 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f0b…dc8b | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 06-05 00:35 |
| Required-Career 0xc568…2f4f | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 1 | 05-29 00:46 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 13:56 |
| Vapid-Turf 0xb225…d4a1 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-01 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0855…794c | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-29 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x55ba…3322 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-01 06:55 |
| Frigid-Stallion 0x896a…7b9c | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-02 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb983…c0e9 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-03 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x21bd…ddc0 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4276…84e9 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 15:05 |
| Gullible-Serum 0xc1d3…0d96 | No | +60 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-06 14:43 |
| Firm-Buy 0xc576…51d8 | Yes | +57 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 10:46 |
| Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-07 11:40 |
| Super-Stab 0x2377…4186 | No | +48 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 05-31 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24f…b185 | No | +39 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-01 13:59 |
| Spectacular-Mercury 0x637f…f1f8 | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-08 13:01 |
| Truthful-Veranda 0xc259…8684 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-02 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x35e6…7278 | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-30 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x19bb…e7b1 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 19:29 |
| Outgoing-Story 0xa24c…f804 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb92e…7b9e | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8143…d965 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 14:18 |
| Carefree-Activist 0x05ed…bf70 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 12:29 |
| Front-Goodbye 0x575f…70d3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-31 12:39 |
| Which-Livestock 0x6855…4ec8 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 15:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2328…5ada | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-31 21:37 |
| Responsible-Pillar 0xa499…96a8 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 10:34 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 20:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 18:09:27 | Oily-Holder 0x9e13…f525 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x249a6e… |
| 06-09 18:09:27 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x249a6e… |
| 06-09 18:08:09 | Faraway-Eurocentrism 0x613c…e423 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 13¢ | $104 | 0x8456f8… |
| 06-09 18:08:09 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 220 | 13¢ | $29 | 0x8456f8… |
| 06-09 18:08:09 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 567 | 13¢ | $74 | 0x8456f8… |
| 06-09 18:08:09 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8456f8… |
| 06-08 19:54:04 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd62ca9… |
| 06-08 19:54:04 | Creepy-Heritage 0x3118…1a6e | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xd62ca9… |
| 06-08 14:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x8143…d965 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x10b885… |
| 06-08 14:18:00 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x10b885… |
| 06-08 13:01:09 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x066b13… |
| 06-08 13:01:09 | Spectacular-Mercury 0x637f…f1f8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x066b13… |
| 06-08 12:58:19 | Spectacular-Mercury 0x637f…f1f8 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x6a9e7c… |
| 06-08 12:58:19 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x6a9e7c… |
| 06-08 11:48:16 | Harmful-Detective 0x4203…6646 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x71fc4c… |
| 06-08 11:48:16 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x71fc4c… |
| 06-08 08:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x1377…af39 | No | SELL | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x46abda… |
| 06-08 08:26:27 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 13¢ | $20 | 0x46abda… |
| 06-07 22:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xccd7…e2bc | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x03425a… |
| 06-07 22:06:06 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x03425a… |
| 06-07 22:05:07 | Taut-Chive 0x9af9…04ba | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x95f2c5… |
| 06-07 22:05:07 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x95f2c5… |
| 06-07 16:01:31 | Jolly-Might 0x8181…83d1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x7599a7… |
| 06-07 16:01:31 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 22 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x7599a7… |
| 06-07 11:40:07 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xf939b4… |
| 06-07 11:40:07 | Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xf939b4… |
| 06-07 08:31:36 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa4851e… |
| 06-07 08:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x21bd…ddc0 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xa4851e… |
| 06-07 06:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x1ed4…f4a1 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x4c6ed4… |
| 06-07 06:12:55 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x4c6ed4… |
| 06-07 05:26:24 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x90351e… |
| 06-07 05:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x690a…3d81 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x90351e… |
| 06-07 00:40:42 | Definitive-Anticodon 0xf294…7967 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x0ffd7f… |
| 06-07 00:40:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 246 | 13¢ | $32 | 0x0ffd7f… |
| 06-07 00:40:42 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 76 | 88¢ | $67 | 0x0c282d… |
| 06-07 00:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x4e15…4fd3 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x0c282d… |
| 06-07 00:40:42 | Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | SELL | 341 | 87¢ | $297 | 0x0ffd7f… |
| 06-07 00:39:58 | Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | BUY | 341 | 88¢ | $300 | 0x81c46c… |
| 06-07 00:39:58 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 341 | 88¢ | $300 | 0x81c46c… |
| 06-06 22:27:15 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 101 | 88¢ | $89 | 0x49c9be… |
| 06-06 22:27:15 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 101 | 88¢ | $89 | 0x49c9be… |
| 06-06 21:31:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 157 | 13¢ | $20 | 0x64b75d… |
| 06-06 21:31:36 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 157 | 87¢ | $136 | 0x64b75d… |
| 06-06 20:56:57 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | SELL | 109 | 87¢ | $95 | 0x38b3e5… |
| 06-06 20:56:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 109 | 13¢ | $14 | 0x38b3e5… |
| 06-06 19:29:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x15d4ec… |
| 06-06 19:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x19bb…e7b1 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x15d4ec… |
| 06-06 18:23:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 130 | 13¢ | $17 | 0x29befb… |
| 06-06 18:23:24 | Nutritious-Brush-Inspector 0x5979…7fbd | No | SELL | 130 | 87¢ | $113 | 0x29befb… |
| 06-06 14:43:04 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x0a2d92… |
| 06-06 14:43:04 | Gullible-Serum 0xc1d3…0d96 | No | BUY | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x0a2d92… |
| 06-06 13:35:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x00688a… |
| 06-06 13:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x6a0e…5200 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x00688a… |
| 06-06 12:45:58 | Digital-Subsidence 0x1c16…df00 | No | SELL | 116 | 87¢ | $101 | 0x0c4b0a… |
| 06-06 12:45:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 116 | 13¢ | $15 | 0x0c4b0a… |
| 06-06 11:18:51 | Exemplary-Hypothermia 0xa594…95f6 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x47eee5… |
| 06-06 11:18:51 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x47eee5… |
| 06-06 07:58:27 | (anonymous) 0xb92e…7b9e | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xb3d021… |
| 06-06 07:58:27 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xb3d021… |
| 06-06 04:16:03 | Wild-Planula 0x46a4…eb7c | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x1ff9de… |
| 06-06 04:16:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1ff9de… |
| 06-05 23:17:10 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x02a064… |
| 06-05 23:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x2ede…3b69 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x02a064… |
| 06-05 16:56:06 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x77ead5… |
| 06-05 16:56:06 | Fickle-Halt-Window 0x279c…2b82 | No | BUY | 369 | 88¢ | $324 | 0x77ead5… |
| 06-05 16:56:06 | Frightened-Freight 0x829c…cd41 | No | SELL | 347 | 88¢ | $306 | 0x77ead5… |
| 06-05 16:56:06 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x77ead5… |
| 06-05 01:36:46 | Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | No | BUY | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0x2138b3… |
| 06-05 01:36:46 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | SELL | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0x2138b3… |
| 06-05 00:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x5f0b…dc8b | No | BUY | 200 | 88¢ | $176 | 0x08e0fe… |
| 06-05 00:35:46 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x08e0fe… |
| 06-05 00:35:46 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 103 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x08e0fe… |
| 06-04 20:35:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6175a9… |
| 06-04 20:35:13 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6175a9… |
| 06-04 16:53:43 | Slimy-Cyclone 0x4bc4…3b49 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x0c639e… |
| 06-04 16:53:43 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x0c639e… |
| 06-04 16:03:21 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x62a4d8… |
| 06-04 16:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x1a54…b101 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x62a4d8… |
| 06-04 14:31:39 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xa11d5a… |
| 06-04 14:31:39 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 46 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xa11d5a… |
| 06-04 13:54:39 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x4d804e… |
| 06-04 13:54:39 | Nutritious-Brush-Inspector 0x5979…7fbd | No | BUY | 130 | 88¢ | $114 | 0x4d804e… |
| 06-04 13:53:16 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 1,136 | 12¢ | $136 | 0x489045… |
| 06-04 13:53:16 | Considerate-Swivel 0x7a01…624a | No | BUY | 1,136 | 88¢ | $1,000 | 0x489045… |
| 06-04 12:37:43 | Voluminous-Sign 0x162c…d511 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x72db14… |
| 06-04 12:37:43 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x72db14… |
| 06-04 12:33:27 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x4aff0e… |
| 06-04 12:33:27 | Voluminous-Sign 0x162c…d511 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x4aff0e… |
| 06-04 10:06:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x09cb99… |
| 06-04 10:06:39 | Sharp-Mentor 0x506e…142d | No | SELL | 26 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x09cb99… |
| 06-04 10:05:58 | Sharp-Mentor 0x506e…142d | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x7523db… |
| 06-04 10:05:58 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7523db… |
| 06-04 01:15:30 | Accomplished-Pew 0x5d80…78a7 | No | SELL | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x0bec0c… |
| 06-04 01:15:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0bec0c… |
| 06-03 20:49:21 | Energetic-Centimeter 0xabe1…fad0 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xface68… |
| 06-03 20:49:21 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xface68… |
| 06-03 10:46:59 | Firm-Buy 0xc576…51d8 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x66375f… |
| 06-03 10:46:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 57 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x66375f… |
| 06-03 08:15:46 | (anonymous) 0x6ae7…ea18 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xbddefc… |
| 06-03 08:15:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbddefc… |