Threadbare-Signal 0xb88658…dd81b3
whale bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$31.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.16K
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
23
Trades
99,257
lifetime
Volume
$1.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$41.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 18:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
64% 33% +$31,833
Other
24% 29% $-137
Crypto
11% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 2295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +70,696 $5,577 14¢ $9.5K +$3,967 06-26 11:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +16,071 $6,980 41¢ $6.6K $-391 06-27 04:12
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +33,488 $3,944 16¢ $5.5K +$1,515 06-30 19:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +5,286 $5,031 100¢ $5.3K +$245 06-17 10:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,692 $5,270 43¢ $5.0K $-243 06-29 08:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,171 $1,883 70¢ $2.2K +$353 06-22 08:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +6,284 $1,030 16¢ $1.0K +$7 06-29 19:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +6,316 $770 11¢ $663 $-107 06-23 15:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +2,023 $480 26¢ $516 +$36 06-30 16:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +4,375 $488 12¢ $503 +$15 06-28 04:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +555 $500 90¢ $502 +$3 06-21 21:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +168,891 $3,197 0¢ $422 $-2,775 06-21 16:41
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,672 $355 15¢ $387 +$32 06-29 17:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +7,095 $427 5¢ $372 $-55 06-24 12:34
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +3,606 $251 10¢ $343 +$92 06-24 21:42
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +333 $302 94¢ $311 +$9 06-15 00:50
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +347 $272 84¢ $293 +$21 06-30 09:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +3,049 $449 10¢ $290 $-159 06-29 18:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +1,445 $333 16¢ $238 $-95 06-21 16:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +197,933 $700 0¢ $198 $-502 06-27 21:37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +222 $193 88¢ $196 +$3 05-30 20:48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +257 $106 42¢ $107 +$0 06-26 10:14
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +111 $101 94¢ $104 +$3 06-01 13:50
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +130 $98 80¢ $104 +$6 06-08 05:32
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +103,093 $462 0¢ $103 $-359 06-22 14:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -649 $-2,231 15¢ $-94 +$2,137 06-29 02:40
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,111 $78 8¢ $89 +$11 05-31 18:17
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +1,254 $115 7¢ $83 $-32 06-24 21:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +111 $77 74¢ $83 +$6 05-29 16:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +53,421 $-340 0¢ $80 +$420 06-28 22:47