Threadbare-Signal 0xb88658…dd81b3 Create alert
whale bot hot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$61.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$50.9K
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
1,265
Trades
230,114
lifetime
Volume
$2.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$56.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-11 15:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
51% 63% +$99,703
Other
26% 53% -$36,902
Sports
16% 28% -$2,041
Crypto
7% 89% +$232
Pop-Culture
1% 98% +$170
Tech
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +13,666 $13,557 100¢ $13.6K +$89 06-12 08:32
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +6,740 $6,699 100¢ $6.7K +$14 05-30 18:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +33,032 $11,962 12¢ $4.1K -$7,833 08-02 18:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +265,054 $17,529 2¢ $4.1K -$13,420 09-27 21:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +53,919 $7,887 6¢ $3.5K -$4,382 10-29 17:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +29,710 $11,761 12¢ $3.4K -$8,344 10-30 04:40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,053 $2,894 91¢ $2.8K -$127 05-28 21:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2,777 $2,360 98¢ $2.7K +$372 05-26 16:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +4,049 $1,964 50¢ $2.0K +$81 11-11 11:58
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +24,641 $6,756 8¢ $2.0K -$4,784 09-17 01:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,555 $1,197 98¢ $1.5K +$320 05-27 07:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +96,327 -$1,434 1¢ $1.4K +$2,830 10-03 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +14,459 $1,987 8¢ $1.2K -$758 07-29 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +49,450 $8,055 2¢ $1.2K -$6,868 08-14 05:21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,215 -$1,126 15¢ $-806 +$320 08-07 23:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -777 -$684 98¢ $-760 -$77 05-16 15:50
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +666 $606 98¢ $651 +$45 06-15 00:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +12,284 $2,604 4¢ $553 -$2,051 08-12 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,015 $502 54¢ $543 +$41 11-05 17:24
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -19,998 -$160 2¢ $-390 -$230 11-02 02:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -19,941 $1,353 2¢ $-319 -$1,672 09-26 16:43
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +9,394 $1,002 3¢ $315 -$687 07-20 06:41
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +209,727 $1,092 0¢ $315 -$777 09-03 00:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,053 -$142 9¢ $285 +$428 07-04 18:55
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +43,916 $368 0¢ $220 -$149 11-04 14:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +7,980 $1,458 3¢ $215 -$1,243 10-23 22:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +222 $193 97¢ $215 +$21 05-30 20:48
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +115,993 $668 0¢ $174 -$494 08-03 13:38
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,409 $1,598 1¢ $160 -$1,438 07-02 14:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +6,666 $294 2¢ $157 -$137 10-05 13:40