Threadbare-Signal 0xb88658…dd81b3
whale bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$31.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
23
Trades
94,430
lifetime
Volume
$1.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$13.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-10 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
61% 33% +$31,833
Other
26% 29% $-137
Crypto
12% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 2684 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +12,462 $5,570 38¢ $4.8K $-772 06-09 21:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,688 $3,518 46¢ $3.5K $-20 06-09 23:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +6,448 $1,307 20¢ $1.3K $-49 06-09 21:50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +4,539 $591 14¢ $613 +$22 06-09 02:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,361 $832 36¢ $497 $-335 05-30 19:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,416 $286 12¢ $302 +$16 06-05 00:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,388 $-95 18¢ $243 +$338 06-10 00:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,293 $-555 6¢ $-214 +$341 06-06 10:56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +222 $193 88¢ $194 +$1 05-30 20:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +929 $177 18¢ $172 $-5 06-09 13:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,871 $46 8¢ $159 +$113 06-07 01:21
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,111 $78 11¢ $122 +$44 05-31 18:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +764 $107 16¢ $118 +$11 06-03 03:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +15,047 $122 1¢ $113 $-9 06-08 07:21
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +366 $98 29¢ $104 +$6 06-09 18:25
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +111 $102 93¢ $103 +$1 06-08 07:31
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +111 $101 92¢ $102 +$1 06-01 13:50
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +130 $98 78¢ $100 +$2 06-08 05:32
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +1,779 $56 5¢ $93 +$37 06-08 11:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +111 $77 74¢ $82 +$5 05-29 16:24
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -570 $-63 12¢ $-66 $-3 06-01 06:51
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +111 $52 40¢ $45 $-7 06-06 17:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1,656 $-194 3¢ $43 +$237 06-09 14:22
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $40 12¢ $38 $-2 06-01 09:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -139 $-54 26¢ $-37 +$17 06-10 06:40
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +36 $30 86¢ $31 +$1 06-09 15:37
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +268 $20 10¢ $25 +$5 06-02 17:35
Another Elon baby by June 30? Yes +258 $10 8¢ $20 +$10 06-09 21:22
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -333 $-20 4¢ $-13 +$6 05-28 00:45
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +43 $8 25¢ $11 +$3 05-31 06:24