Threadbare-Signal 0xb88658…dd81b3
whale bot hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$31.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.57K
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
23
Trades
101,586
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$41.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
63% 33% +$31,833
Other
25% 29% $-137
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 720 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +42,047 $7,186 26¢ $10.7K +$3,536 07-20 10:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +19,566 $7,953 34¢ $6.6K $-1,398 07-19 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +15,760 $6,849 36¢ $5.6K $-1,255 07-19 08:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +62,575 $4,391 8¢ $5.3K +$928 07-19 04:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3,171 $1,883 80¢ $2.5K +$638 06-22 08:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +8,027 $1,428 29¢ $2.3K +$859 07-20 11:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +7,866 $1,650 22¢ $1.7K +$41 07-20 20:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +11,339 $1,657 14¢ $1.5K $-126 07-19 16:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +10,760 $1,036 8¢ $915 $-122 07-16 01:06
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +7,292 $520 6¢ $474 $-46 07-19 22:23
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +4,289 $477 10¢ $429 $-48 07-20 06:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +9,317 $523 4¢ $405 $-118 07-12 00:23
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +6,779 $608 5¢ $346 $-262 07-19 19:16
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +333 $302 95¢ $318 +$16 06-15 00:50
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +345 $270 90¢ $309 +$39 07-01 19:31
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,672 $355 12¢ $307 $-48 06-29 17:02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +222 $193 90¢ $200 +$7 05-30 20:48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +557 $200 30¢ $170 $-30 07-17 11:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +1,196 $116 14¢ $161 +$45 07-15 13:34
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +11,173 $172 1¢ $156 $-15 07-21 06:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +524 $131 22¢ $118 $-13 07-19 22:56
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +130 $98 84¢ $108 +$10 06-08 05:32
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +111 $101 93¢ $103 +$2 06-01 13:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +111 $77 78¢ $87 +$11 05-29 16:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,111 $78 7¢ $74 $-3 05-31 18:17
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +515 $75 12¢ $59 $-16 06-14 02:06
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +1,298 $116 4¢ $47 $-69 07-11 23:30
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +615 $60 8¢ $46 $-14 07-02 14:12
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -409 $-62 11¢ $-43 +$19 07-21 00:07
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes +563 $34 7¢ $39 +$5 06-26 08:27