Threadbare-Signal 0xb88658…dd81b3
whale bot hot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$61.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$35.3K
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
1,262
Trades
229,996
lifetime
Volume
$2.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$75.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 15:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Politics
51% 63% +$99,936
Other
26% 53% -$36,902
Sports
16% 28% -$2,041
Crypto
7% 89% +$232
Pop-Culture
1% 98% +$170
Tech
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +13,666 $13,557 100¢ $13.6K +$75 06-12 08:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +53,924 $7,888 18¢ $10.0K +$2,088 10-12 16:23
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No +6,740 $6,699 100¢ $6.7K +$7 05-30 18:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +265,054 $17,529 2¢ $5.0K -$12,493 09-27 21:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +24,641 $6,756 20¢ $4.9K -$1,828 09-17 01:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +29,606 $11,749 16¢ $4.9K -$6,863 10-18 20:10
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,666 $3,633 100¢ $3.7K +$27 06-20 05:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +33,032 $11,962 10¢ $3.1K -$8,824 08-02 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +49,450 $8,055 6¢ $2.7K -$5,335 08-14 05:21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +2,777 $2,360 97¢ $2.7K +$328 05-26 16:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,053 $2,894 87¢ $2.7K -$235 05-28 21:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +96,327 -$1,434 2¢ $2.0K +$3,457 10-03 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +14,459 $1,987 11¢ $1.5K -$469 07-29 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,555 $1,197 94¢ $1.5K +$272 05-27 07:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +12,284 $2,604 10¢ $1.2K -$1,375 08-12 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +2,377 $1,112 50¢ $1.2K +$65 10-26 14:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +7,980 $1,458 14¢ $1.1K -$381 10-23 22:04
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,215 -$1,126 19¢ $-1001 +$124 08-07 23:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -777 -$684 96¢ $-745 -$61 05-16 15:50
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +209,727 $1,092 0¢ $734 -$358 09-03 00:02
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +666 $606 98¢ $649 +$43 06-15 00:50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -19,941 $1,353 3¢ $-638 -$1,991 09-26 16:43
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +9,394 $1,002 6¢ $517 -$485 07-20 06:41
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,409 $1,598 4¢ $513 -$1,085 07-02 14:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +949 $468 52¢ $498 +$30 10-25 22:10
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +63,791 $254 1¢ $415 +$160 10-15 04:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,053 -$142 13¢ $394 +$536 07-04 18:55
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +43,987 $369 1¢ $330 -$39 08-14 06:20
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +115,993 $668 0¢ $232 -$436 08-03 13:38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +1,396 $447 16¢ $216 -$231 08-05 06:30