Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
open
Total volume
$1,303,029
$10,846 in 24h
Trades
42,775
Unique wallets
4,829
Liquidity
$320,731
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2028-11-08
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 22:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.4¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $54.5K
vs crowd: 3% YES on $691.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 65 | $5.9K | $153.1K | $147.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 294 | $2.3K | $146.6K | $144.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1,904 | $4.8K | $292.2K | $287.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,566 | $5.2K | $81.4K | $76.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 48 | $6.0K | $48.5K | $42.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 201 | $1.6K | $80.7K | $79.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 345 | $807 | $29.1K | $28.3K |
| Median | 1,648 | $1.3K | $170.4K | $169.0K |
| Below median | 1,994 | $1.7K | $158.5K | $156.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 71 | $2.8K | $30.7K | $27.9K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 152 | $2.5K | $72.7K | $70.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $471 | $57.1K | $56.6K |
| unranked | 344 | $1.0K | $25.7K | $24.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xea3d…1600 | Yes | +231,638 | $1,593 | $1,593 | 7 | 10-15 04:39 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | +127,479 | $637 | $637 | 2 | 08-15 12:46 |
| Unhappy-Maker-Importance 0xb575…bea5 | Yes | +110,362 | $896 | $1,498 | 11 | 09-11 15:48 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +63,791 | $254 | $2,321 | 1,845 | 10-15 04:39 |
| Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | +55,000 | $54,643 | $54,643 | 389 | 10-26 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e18…581c | Yes | +52,312 | $236 | $236 | 902 | 10-09 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f31…44e9 | Yes | +51,889 | $374 | $374 | 4 | 10-24 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x1125…71f1 | Yes | +48,870 | $277 | $577 | 27 | 08-20 17:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ac6…f108 | Yes | +46,857 | $255 | $255 | 6 | 10-13 07:38 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +33,333 | $167 | $167 | 82 | 07-21 07:43 |
| Helpless-Walnut-Box 0xd847…ae3a | Yes | +29,999 | $180 | $180 | 313 | 08-02 05:21 |
| Flowery-Kilogram 0xe3ff…805c | Yes | +22,000 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-22 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0441…194c | Yes | +20,854 | $154 | $154 | 139 | 10-06 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xda74…3105 | Yes | +17,731 | $122 | $122 | 2 | 10-26 09:01 |
| 0x16cbe223607a6513ae76d1e3751c78e4eabc2704 0x16cb…2704 | No | +14,153 | $14,033 | $14,033 | 260 | 09-29 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x042d…bcc1 | Yes | +13,336 | $107 | $107 | 2 | 06-22 11:11 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +11,311 | $11,243 | $11,243 | 2 | 10-15 04:24 |
| Sandy-Sweater 0x89e8…0af7 | Yes | +10,941 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 09-18 09:14 |
| Earnest-Potential 0xc10c…9bb3 | Yes | +6,706 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-13 04:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fe1…4ff8 | Yes | +6,169 | $43 | $43 | 20 | 10-21 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | Yes | +4,765 | $25 | $25 | 105 | 10-21 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e4…38f1 | Yes | +4,000 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-02 04:03 |
| Piercing-Withdrawal 0x00f1…df41 | Yes | +3,500 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-15 21:46 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +2,990 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 08-23 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc00…aba0 | Yes | +2,857 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-24 22:08 |
| Proper-Opening 0x0d09…dd55 | No | +2,000 | $1,986 | $1,986 | 20 | 10-15 04:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | Yes | +1,773 | $10 | $134 | 104 | 05-22 05:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +901 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-04 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…2f69 | Yes | +625 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 21:57 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | +625 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x42b3…c57e | Yes | +625 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 22:14 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +584 | -$18 | $597 | 304 | 10-26 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8150…e988 | Yes | +550 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-29 23:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…fb49 | No | +540 | $538 | $538 | 2 | 09-28 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c4…92c2 | Yes | +500 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-21 07:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c4…92c2 | No | +500 | $498 | $498 | 18 | 07-21 14:18 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +260 | $257 | $257 | 4 | 05-07 16:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:54:38 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6eca0a… |
| 10-26 22:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x6eca0a… |
| 10-26 22:54:11 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x35ae50… |
| 10-26 22:54:11 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x35ae50… |
| 10-26 21:21:36 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x0886af… |
| 10-26 21:21:36 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0886af… |
| 10-26 20:16:30 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6b30f… |
| 10-26 20:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc6b30f… |
| 10-26 20:16:05 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49e434… |
| 10-26 20:16:05 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x49e434… |
| 10-26 18:59:33 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe30993… |
| 10-26 18:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe30993… |
| 10-26 18:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd9564a… |
| 10-26 18:59:03 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9564a… |
| 10-26 18:50:29 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2a8977… |
| 10-26 18:50:29 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a8977… |
| 10-26 18:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x27d8ab… |
| 10-26 18:45:12 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x27d8ab… |
| 10-26 17:59:30 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xbd9030… |
| 10-26 17:59:30 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbd9030… |
| 10-26 17:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77cd5c… |
| 10-26 17:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x77cd5c… |
| 10-26 17:47:20 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1f56df… |
| 10-26 17:47:20 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f56df… |
| 10-26 17:46:36 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd5a280… |
| 10-26 17:46:36 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5a280… |
| 10-26 17:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb786c3… |
| 10-26 17:38:41 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb786c3… |
| 10-26 17:38:03 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf71e4d… |
| 10-26 17:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf71e4d… |
| 10-26 17:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x871e94… |
| 10-26 17:04:54 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x871e94… |
| 10-26 17:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x9353e2… |
| 10-26 17:04:17 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9353e2… |
| 10-26 16:24:18 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x834aff… |
| 10-26 16:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x834aff… |
| 10-26 16:23:50 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26fb4d… |
| 10-26 16:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x26fb4d… |
| 10-26 15:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x21e9fb… |
| 10-26 15:14:18 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21e9fb… |
| 10-26 15:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3031ef… |
| 10-26 15:13:41 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3031ef… |
| 10-26 15:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x357d6a… |
| 10-26 15:05:54 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x357d6a… |
| 10-26 15:05:41 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f18b1… |
| 10-26 15:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x2f18b1… |
| 10-26 14:55:41 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x876b72… |
| 10-26 14:55:41 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x876b72… |
| 10-26 14:55:27 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x85e2e3… |
| 10-26 14:55:27 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85e2e3… |
| 10-26 14:11:36 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c103b… |
| 10-26 14:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x6c103b… |
| 10-26 14:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5d6cf7… |
| 10-26 14:01:38 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d6cf7… |
| 10-26 13:50:23 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc550c4… |
| 10-26 13:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc550c4… |
| 10-26 13:50:15 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x727395… |
| 10-26 13:50:15 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x727395… |
| 10-26 13:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb91394… |
| 10-26 13:37:11 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb91394… |
| 10-26 13:10:00 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x63875a… |
| 10-26 13:10:00 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63875a… |
| 10-26 12:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc42164… |
| 10-26 12:46:45 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc42164… |
| 10-26 12:46:30 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4da011… |
| 10-26 12:46:30 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4da011… |
| 10-26 12:30:00 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x8a2519… |
| 10-26 12:30:00 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8a2519… |
| 10-26 12:29:26 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a2097… |
| 10-26 12:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x1a2097… |
| 10-26 12:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2e81c5… |
| 10-26 12:10:33 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e81c5… |
| 10-26 12:05:15 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd55213… |
| 10-26 12:05:15 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd55213… |
| 10-26 11:05:47 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9e6e1a… |
| 10-26 11:05:47 | Chubby-Hatred 0x6211…4708 | No | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x9e6e1a… |
| 10-26 11:05:32 | Chubby-Hatred 0x6211…4708 | No | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xadf42c… |
| 10-26 11:05:32 | Vivid-Solution 0x52c2…0556 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xadf42c… |
| 10-26 11:05:17 | Chubby-Hatred 0x6211…4708 | No | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xdb909d… |
| 10-26 11:05:17 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdb909d… |
| 10-26 09:01:12 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 709 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xbba60f… |
| 10-26 09:01:12 | Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | BUY | 2,500 | 99¢ | $2,482 | 0xbba60f… |
| 10-26 09:01:12 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 10,308 | 1¢ | $72 | 0xbba60f… |
| 10-26 09:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xda74…3105 | Yes | BUY | 14,559 | 1¢ | $102 | 0xbba60f… |
| 10-26 09:00:00 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | SELL | 970 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xf247eb… |
| 10-26 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xda74…3105 | Yes | BUY | 3,172 | 1¢ | $20 | 0xf247eb… |
| 10-26 09:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf247eb… |
| 10-26 09:00:00 | Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | BUY | 2,152 | 99¢ | $2,139 | 0xf247eb… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3e58fd… |
| 10-26 08:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3e58fd… |
| 10-26 08:43:08 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x500a86… |
| 10-26 08:43:08 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x500a86… |
| 10-26 07:31:12 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1c2fd0… |
| 10-26 07:31:12 | Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1c2fd0… |
| 10-26 07:24:47 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb4792d… |
| 10-26 07:24:47 | Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb4792d… |
| 10-26 06:51:30 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02163c… |
| 10-26 06:51:30 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x02163c… |
| 10-26 06:51:26 | Sarcastic-Porcelain 0x0c26…d223 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xc1d3f2… |
| 10-26 06:51:26 | Sizzling-Chafe 0x27b2…55d7 | No | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xc1d3f2… |