Realized P&L
-$309
Unrealized P&L
-$100
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
409
Trades
203,051
lifetime
Volume
$1.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$6
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 10-30 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Politics
60% 1% -$97
Other
21% 1% -$57
Sports
18% 1% -$122
Tech
0% 12% -$1
Crypto
0% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 2424 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4 $9 99¢ $4 -$5 10-30 22:33
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $5 100¢ $0 -$5 10-30 22:23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 19:26
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $7 99¢ $0 -$7 10-30 20:02
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 07-12 03:24
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $6 100¢ $0 -$6 10-30 18:54
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 22:13
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 -$1 10-30 14:49
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 07-08 15:08
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $4 100¢ $0 -$4 10-27 03:09
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $5 100¢ $0 -$5 10-30 21:12
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 -$1 10-30 10:40
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $6 99¢ $0 -$6 10-30 22:14
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $11 99¢ $0 -$11 10-30 17:44
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $4 100¢ $0 -$4 10-30 20:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? No +0 $6 100¢ $0 -$6 10-30 22:28
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $7 100¢ $0 -$7 10-30 21:33
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $5 100¢ $0 -$5 10-30 21:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 15:28
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No — +0 $2 100¢ $0 -$2 09-19 13:52
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $5 100¢ $0 -$5 10-30 19:32
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 11:57
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 13:48
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 $2 97¢ $0 -$2 10-30 00:59
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-29 15:12
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 12:02
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $5 100¢ $0 -$5 10-30 22:00
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $3 100¢ $0 -$3 10-27 04:44
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $5 100¢ $0 -$5 10-30 19:31
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-30 15:50