Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$3,425
$47,168 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$5,794,258
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $439 | $439 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $2 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 23 | $1 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noted-Dark 0x5ab4…2391 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:12 |
| Meager-Handholding 0xa457…d7e1 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:25 |
| Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | +440 | $439 | $439 | 1 | 05-05 18:02 |
| Imaginative-Ad 0xb322…0067 | No | +288 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 05-04 23:04 |
| Delayed-Exterior 0xe948…069d | No | +247 | $247 | $247 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Ambitious-Head 0x1159…056c | No | +189 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 05-04 23:04 |
| Suspicious-Composite 0x9034…904b | No | +179 | $179 | $179 | 1 | 05-05 19:26 |
| Vivid-Tuxedo 0x5f29…56de | No | +147 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 05-05 05:15 |
| Tense-Shovel 0x604c…b499 | No | +114 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Previous-Charger 0xf36b…fd99 | No | +109 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-05 03:24 |
| Gentle-Goddess 0x708d…f983 | No | +76 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 18:36 |
| Purple-Region 0x46ec…4d5b | No | +63 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 05-05 20:29 |
| Same-Yarn 0x306d…fd58 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 20:54 |
| Thin-Septicaemia 0x9fc3…c216 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 04:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:54:52 | Same-Yarn 0x306d…fd58 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x37d026… |
| 05-05 20:29:58 | Purple-Region 0x46ec…4d5b | No | BUY | 63 | 100¢ | $63 | 0x994f65… |
| 05-05 19:53:06 | Thoughtful-Role 0x0fe1…3ea4 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe091e… |
| 05-05 19:26:30 | Suspicious-Composite 0x9034…904b | No | BUY | 179 | 100¢ | $179 | 0xf0daf9… |
| 05-05 19:12:48 | Noted-Dark 0x5ab4…2391 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfa88c4… |
| 05-05 18:36:54 | Gentle-Goddess 0x708d…f983 | No | BUY | 76 | 100¢ | $76 | 0x925c4b… |
| 05-05 18:23:12 | Pleasant-Measure 0xfef3…9b41 | No | SELL | 281 | 100¢ | $281 | 0x823a4f… |
| 05-05 18:23:10 | Apprehensive-Chard 0x8a29…a81e | No | SELL | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x9bf3cb… |
| 05-05 18:18:14 | (anonymous) 0x4c5c…f81b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39a806… |
| 05-05 18:02:42 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 440 | 100¢ | $439 | 0x769f5d… |
| 05-05 10:21:24 | Loving-Proof 0x9b7b…e3d1 | No | SELL | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0x8abb15… |
| 05-05 10:11:32 | Necessary-Shoestring 0x84ea…e0f5 | No | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0xfe34ce… |
| 05-05 09:16:12 | Tense-Shovel 0x604c…b499 | No | BUY | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0x504cb4… |
| 05-05 07:10:00 | Noteworthy-Platter 0x3e36…31d7 | No | SELL | 177 | 100¢ | $177 | 0xab1a43… |
| 05-05 05:15:06 | Vivid-Tuxedo 0x5f29…56de | No | BUY | 147 | 100¢ | $147 | 0xfbf02a… |
| 05-05 04:30:04 | Thin-Septicaemia 0x9fc3…c216 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x45d97d… |
| 05-05 04:25:52 | Meager-Handholding 0xa457…d7e1 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbfa26a… |
| 05-05 03:24:52 | Previous-Charger 0xf36b…fd99 | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x021520… |
| 05-05 03:22:22 | Vague-Basement 0x9297…efeb | No | SELL | 138 | 100¢ | $138 | 0x64468a… |
| 05-05 02:00:14 | Rusty-Needle 0x76e4…ec8d | No | SELL | 170 | 100¢ | $170 | 0x85b6f0… |
| 05-05 00:09:56 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 326 | 100¢ | $325 | 0x8d3300… |
| 05-04 23:14:36 | Vague-Basement 0x9297…efeb | No | BUY | 138 | 100¢ | $138 | 0xc19b0d… |
| 05-04 23:04:52 | Imaginative-Ad 0xb322…0067 | No | BUY | 288 | 100¢ | $288 | 0x3f12c5… |
| 05-04 23:04:24 | Ambitious-Head 0x1159…056c | No | BUY | 189 | 100¢ | $189 | 0x6f6f8e… |
| 05-04 20:19:48 | Delayed-Exterior 0xe948…069d | No | BUY | 247 | 100¢ | $247 | 0x9ec115… |