Thin-Septicaemia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

391

Trades

855

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 09-01 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

74% 80% +$1

Crypto

18% 78% +$0

Politics

5% 79% +$0

Sports

1% 22% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	3	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:38
bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	4	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-20 10:34
will bitcoin reach 68k july 27 august 2 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-02 19:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	6	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-09 21:59
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$58	40	18	+23	No	+$0	08-30 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-29 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on August 4?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-04 09:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-11 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on July 20?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 26?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-27 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 4?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-03 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 9?	5	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-08 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on June 27?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-27 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-26 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 3?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-03 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 15:40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-06 07:28
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-31 18:07
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-26 14:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on July 2?	4	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-02 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 19?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-19 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C or higher on July 11?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:53
Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-13 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 11?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-11 12:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-12 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-12 13:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 12:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xb7b127…
09-01 07:45:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9bd0a2…
08-31 22:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd6a3c…
08-31 21:32:28	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0765e9…
08-31 18:13:48	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xda2e5f…
08-31 18:07:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1e3af1…
08-31 17:18:04	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9acb9b…
08-31 12:33:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdaadcf…
08-31 06:20:09	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe4153c…
08-31 03:41:33	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x75b2b4…
08-30 22:28:21	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in August?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd27f9…
08-30 22:19:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xaa9a31…
08-30 21:59:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in August?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf64c32…
08-30 20:59:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in August?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcaf244…
08-30 20:40:13	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xd7ee81…
08-30 19:46:01	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $102 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2234ae…
08-30 17:33:06	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6a0eaf…
08-30 14:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x64fba7…
08-30 14:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xed460b…
08-30 11:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9a2069…
08-30 08:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on August 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd77aa7…
08-30 01:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x317a6b…
08-30 00:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe48192…
08-30 00:14:31	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 29 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c81f6…
08-29 23:46:09	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc185cf…
08-29 21:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x152be7…
08-29 18:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb3c490…
08-29 17:31:51	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x330795…
08-29 16:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd092a…
08-29 16:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xaa11cb…
08-29 16:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e5d23…
08-29 14:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa3722…
08-29 10:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbe7966…
08-28 13:42:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcf3df0…
08-27 19:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x646b59…
08-27 19:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 28?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xea3582…
08-27 17:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacd330…
08-27 12:39:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x89def7…
08-27 12:37:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9083d5…
08-27 10:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x2618dc…
08-27 06:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x80047f…
08-27 06:08:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb4cc26…
08-27 04:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59c551…
08-27 03:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x521db0…
08-27 02:49:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe601cf…
08-26 20:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb53138…
08-26 17:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x94a2a9…
08-26 16:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x49a96d…
08-26 12:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7f8eef…
08-25 16:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x386ad5…
08-25 12:31:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4f5d0d…
08-25 11:04:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4501c2…
08-25 11:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x770346…
08-25 08:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x23a0e8…
08-25 05:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0e9eca…
08-25 05:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x873a6d…
08-25 01:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xd4dfbb…
08-24 23:23:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb930fe…
08-24 21:50:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xce8a4a…
08-24 18:46:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcaee2b…
08-24 17:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x328435…
08-24 09:15:45	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd7f156…
08-24 04:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe1f16d…
08-24 03:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4ddb08…
08-23 17:46:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe4377…
08-23 17:32:06	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd043c8…
08-23 17:25:55	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd85e42…
08-23 12:09:37	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x295bfa…
08-14 16:01:01	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf74ec6…
08-14 14:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 15?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x8d0f7f…
08-14 13:36:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd510e0…
08-14 13:23:24	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2c406c…
08-14 12:12:21	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3440b6…
08-14 11:53:36	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x542da5…
08-14 08:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7621a4…
08-14 06:50:12	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x760e0d…
08-14 02:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 14?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2cc980…
08-14 01:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0ed25f…
08-13 21:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb808f…
08-13 14:05:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3c29b1…
08-13 13:39:48	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x86b7c1…
08-13 13:39:30	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa350e2…
08-13 13:30:01	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x21d9b8…
08-13 09:17:45	Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0a76d6…
08-13 08:54:25	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3fa92b…
08-13 07:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7abb07…
08-13 07:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xda70ab…
08-13 07:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa114c9…
08-13 01:45:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48de95…
08-12 22:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe74abb…
08-12 20:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfbd668…
08-12 18:13:09	Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd4530d…
08-12 13:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x62dcae…
08-12 07:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xeab8f6…
08-12 02:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xde8115…
08-12 02:00:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xab9952…
08-11 23:13:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xad7127…
08-11 15:41:12	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3336da…
08-11 15:39:43	ethereum above 2000 on august 11 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcc21a8…
08-11 14:22:51	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0480ce…