Noted-Dark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-28 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 56% $-61

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	7	$81	120	120	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$77	50	50	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	6	$74	68	37	+31	Up	$-5	05-06 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$71	51	46	+5	Down	+$16	05-06 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	6	$67	69	69	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$60	38	38	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$60	535	30	+505	Up	$-0	05-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$57	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	05-06 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	8	$45	48	48	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	7	$35	66	44	+23	open	—	05-25 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$35	70	0	+70	Down	$-35	05-06 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	8	$33	28	28	+0	open	—	05-25 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$30	46	0	+46	Down	$-22	05-06 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	05-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$28	22	22	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$26	25	25	+0	Down	+$6	05-08 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	$-25	05-06 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	$-25	05-06 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Up	+$14	05-06 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	$-25	05-06 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	+$8	05-06 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	Down	+$6	05-06 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-25 11:29
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	3	$20	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 18:55
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	4	$20	33	33	+0	open	—	05-15 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$19	26	7	+18	Up	$-5	05-06 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$19	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$18	27	27	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x113e56…
05-28 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa09641…
05-28 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xada756…
05-28 08:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe761ca…
05-28 08:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x296a66…
05-28 08:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xacdee7…
05-28 08:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x836077…
05-28 08:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x2a2400…
05-28 08:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7b89fa…
05-28 08:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xe9fbe2…
05-28 08:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x332983…
05-28 08:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xeeaee6…
05-28 08:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xa5a42c…
05-28 08:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x81806e…
05-28 08:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x1a6f8e…
05-28 08:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb3b9a9…
05-28 08:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xbcf9f0…
05-28 08:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x81dd6d…
05-25 12:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x2a8bc9…
05-25 12:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x67f116…
05-25 12:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdeb3a0…
05-25 12:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x1da638…
05-25 12:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xc584ed…
05-25 12:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xade84a…
05-25 12:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x175d53…
05-25 12:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x0cff85…
05-25 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x82a95f…
05-25 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe7eaa1…
05-25 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x21e07c…
05-25 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xe73f31…
05-25 11:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x6c9907…
05-25 11:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7b4b28…
05-25 11:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x176c37…
05-25 11:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x802852…
05-25 11:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfd40a0…
05-25 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5ad2d4…
05-25 11:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x2238a5…
05-25 11:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xc44336…
05-25 11:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x633f69…
05-25 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x581c13…
05-25 11:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x3c73a3…
05-25 11:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x3132bf…
05-25 11:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcedc42…
05-25 11:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xce66fb…
05-25 11:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x54acc4…
05-25 11:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x7e9df0…
05-25 11:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb8f70a…
05-25 11:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x2cf305…
05-25 11:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x475d7b…
05-25 11:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x74a3c8…
05-25 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc77078…
05-25 11:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x65d89a…
05-25 11:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x825d1d…
05-25 11:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0b654a…
05-25 11:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x80bddd…
05-25 11:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xeb3e72…
05-25 11:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x468e35…
05-25 11:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x885ef9…
05-25 11:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2456cf…
05-25 11:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3d9dbc…
05-25 11:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x726aa7…
05-25 11:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf3d2d1…
05-25 11:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd9ad54…
05-25 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf4891e…
05-25 10:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x667806…
05-25 10:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xba919c…
05-25 10:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbea946…
05-25 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x21bac5…
05-16 09:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9338c2…
05-16 09:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4ea45f…
05-16 09:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x6398f0…
05-16 09:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7fab9a…
05-16 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xab4720…
05-16 09:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x270375…
05-16 08:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xcb5ef8…
05-16 08:18:01	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xeb6130…
05-15 05:28:34	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf28cac…
05-15 05:27:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3e3de4…
05-15 05:26:49	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe57726…
05-15 05:26:40	Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x45669d…
05-15 05:25:41	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xe348ee…
05-14 18:56:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x9630dd…
05-14 18:55:15	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0xc24256…
05-14 18:15:29	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x80b83b…
05-14 18:09:15	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xd60dc7…
05-14 18:03:00	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1770f5…
05-14 17:58:27	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x646f23…
05-14 15:50:53	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x2ef7ea…
05-14 15:50:00	Will Trump say "Sovereign" or "Sovereignty" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2cc611…
05-14 15:49:53	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x654e06…
05-14 15:36:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x12040e…
05-14 09:15:40	Chirayu Rana sued?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb2ac39…
05-14 08:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6a5da8…
05-14 08:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x699969…
05-14 08:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5b8f4c…
05-14 08:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04e24f…
05-14 08:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x50f21e…
05-14 08:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x611f4b…
05-14 08:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeda375…
05-14 08:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x2d193e…