Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open
Total volume
$4,819,003
$226,518 in 24h
Trades
20,883
Unique wallets
3,321
Liquidity
$735,475
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 10:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.5¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $625.8K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $2.39M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 182 | $345.6K | $1.40M | $1.05M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 312 | $112.5K | $313.6K | $201.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 568 | $49.2K | $92.4K | $43.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,257 | $33.4K | $44.6K | $11.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 101 | $188.5K | $437.3K | $248.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 157 | $19.9K | $233.2K | $213.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 140 | $9.0K | $55.8K | $46.8K |
| Median | 406 | $10.6K | $24.0K | $13.4K |
| Below median | 489 | $13.6K | $23.2K | $9.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 99 | $7.8K | $21.4K | $13.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 125 | $84.1K | $262.2K | $178.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 61 | $111.1K | $478.4K | $367.3K |
| unranked | 1,741 | $96.0K | $311.5K | $215.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +183,023 | $150,922 | $150,922 | 282 | 06-19 10:36 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +170,587 | $34,257 | $34,257 | 92 | 06-13 18:58 |
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +140,293 | $18,604 | $72,037 | 209 | 06-21 05:08 |
| Murky-Sleepiness 0x0a85…fe9d | Yes | +126,000 | $20,920 | $20,920 | 60 | 06-05 14:47 |
| Spherical-Doc 0xf5c4…0926 | No | +97,366 | $81,194 | $87,834 | 64 | 06-07 19:41 |
| Rare-Diarist 0xb1fa…1a14 | Yes | +57,395 | $11,300 | $18,550 | 50 | 06-12 17:09 |
| Hidden-Roadway 0xd576…d5e3 | Yes | +43,757 | $9,645 | $9,645 | 24 | 06-10 22:35 |
| Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | No | +39,427 | $34,029 | $34,029 | 85 | 06-21 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x84a7…9743 | Yes | +37,925 | $5,500 | $5,500 | 1 | 06-19 20:08 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | No | +33,333 | $28,999 | $28,999 | 144 | 06-17 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d15…c454 | Yes | +30,890 | $5,251 | $5,251 | 1 | 05-28 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe665…7d42 | No | +25,000 | $20,750 | $20,750 | 1 | 06-03 22:50 |
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | +24,473 | $20,580 | $163,364 | 153 | 06-21 02:43 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +22,592 | $1,807 | $1,807 | 2 | 06-14 22:11 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | +21,211 | $17,422 | $17,422 | 42 | 06-12 17:08 |
| Jubilant-Aggradation 0x9812…644f | Yes | +21,077 | $3,700 | $3,700 | 2 | 06-13 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d33…5502 | No | +20,000 | $16,800 | $16,800 | 1 | 06-05 12:56 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +20,000 | $17,600 | $17,600 | 1 | 06-16 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | +19,657 | $17,200 | $17,200 | 1 | 06-21 02:43 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +18,998 | $15,000 | $15,000 | 26 | 06-11 12:24 |
| Grubby-Chandelier 0x2c39…56dc | No | +18,667 | $16,110 | $40,222 | 16 | 06-14 23:52 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | No | +17,620 | $15,398 | $33,216 | 11 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6000…f302 | Yes | +17,590 | $2,795 | $2,795 | 18 | 06-14 20:54 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +17,329 | $267 | $14,103 | 171 | 06-21 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x48af…89cc | Yes | +17,200 | $3,092 | $8,468 | 4 | 06-05 23:51 |
| Defenseless-Maracas 0x6063…61ae | Yes | +17,198 | $2,924 | $2,924 | 1 | 06-02 12:38 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +16,719 | $3,025 | $3,075 | 17 | 06-20 19:29 |
| Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | +15,689 | $13,435 | $13,435 | 19 | 06-20 14:23 |
| studmuffin6969 0xa8af…325e | No | +15,537 | $12,676 | $46,073 | 82 | 06-20 09:49 |
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +15,000 | $13,050 | $13,050 | 2 | 06-17 17:50 |
| Rigid-Census 0xd312…7236 | Yes | +14,678 | $2,640 | $3,308 | 19 | 06-19 20:08 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +12,922 | $1,501 | $1,501 | 34 | 06-21 10:12 |
| Primary-Illiteracy-Floodplain 0xcf01…3b2d | No | +12,500 | $9,885 | $9,885 | 2 | 05-30 03:21 |
| Primary-Illiteracy-Floodplain 0xcf01…3b2d | Yes | +12,400 | $2,596 | $2,596 | 20 | 05-30 08:42 |
| Educated-Casino 0xf7fe…e42a | Yes | +12,187 | $1,863 | $4,648 | 125 | 06-06 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x173f…69b0 | No | +11,690 | $9,702 | $9,702 | 38 | 06-05 13:05 |
| Weak-Dinner 0xb1a2…372a | No | +10,678 | $8,969 | $8,969 | 1 | 06-07 02:15 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | No | +10,621 | $8,380 | $8,380 | 14 | 06-15 00:01 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +10,475 | $8,377 | $8,377 | 29 | 06-19 20:08 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +10,278 | $8,539 | $16,808 | 46 | 06-17 13:30 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +10,241 | $1,338 | $1,338 | 33 | 06-16 16:41 |
| Essential-Impairment 0xdc26…7e7d | No | +10,000 | $8,800 | $8,800 | 1 | 06-17 20:08 |
| Late-Birch 0x4da7…355e | No | +9,666 | $7,156 | $7,156 | 18 | 06-11 14:48 |
| Mortified-Keystone 0x86e9…4cdf | Yes | +9,600 | $1,674 | $1,674 | 5 | 06-10 00:37 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +8,745 | $7,737 | $9,476 | 62 | 06-15 16:15 |
| Substantial-Delivery 0xf9d5…fba3 | Yes | +8,625 | $2,039 | $5,809 | 45 | 06-19 11:57 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +8,456 | $-1,393 | $102,436 | 751 | 06-19 10:36 |
| Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | +8,012 | $246 | $29,385 | 368 | 06-21 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x328d…f7a9 | No | +7,716 | $6,270 | $6,270 | 4 | 06-11 13:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 10:13:17 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3e60ce… |
| 06-21 10:13:17 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x3e60ce… |
| 06-21 10:13:05 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe958d0… |
| 06-21 10:13:05 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Shoes 0xed45…0d29 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe958d0… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2020ae… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x2020ae… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe20e1b… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6c58aa… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0xe20e1b… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x6c58aa… |
| 06-21 10:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xbb65…1407 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x62eacd… |
| 06-21 10:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x62eacd… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x18a8e3… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | (anonymous) 0xe015…8ee4 | No | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0xffffc5… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x18a8e3… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0xffffc5… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 528 | 87¢ | $459 | 0x64582a… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x64582a… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x9281…b6b5 | Yes | BUY | 723 | 13¢ | $94 | 0x64582a… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 13¢ | $23 | 0x64582a… |
| 06-21 09:45:10 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7c7f45… |
| 06-21 09:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7c7f45… |
| 06-21 09:45:07 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb7342c… |
| 06-21 09:45:07 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb7342c… |
| 06-21 09:45:05 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x938b4c… |
| 06-21 09:45:05 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc3c22d… |
| 06-21 09:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x4308…b51d | Yes | SELL | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xc3c22d… |
| 06-21 09:45:05 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x938b4c… |
| 06-21 09:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x743687… |
| 06-21 09:30:16 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x743687… |
| 06-21 09:30:13 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe95521… |
| 06-21 09:30:13 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x68b970… |
| 06-21 09:30:13 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe95521… |
| 06-21 09:30:13 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x68b970… |
| 06-21 09:30:11 | Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | No | BUY | 70 | 88¢ | $62 | 0xd2229f… |
| 06-21 09:30:11 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6eacb8… |
| 06-21 09:30:11 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 70 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xd2229f… |
| 06-21 09:30:11 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6eacb8… |
| 06-21 09:24:05 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x82947d… |
| 06-21 09:24:05 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x82947d… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa0886a… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x06b225… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4841ff… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x715bb1… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4841ff… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x715bb1… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x06b225… |
| 06-21 09:22:13 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa0886a… |
| 06-21 09:22:10 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa25c57… |
| 06-21 09:22:10 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa25c57… |
| 06-21 09:22:10 | Indolent-Shingle 0x9312…a285 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x8dc2dc… |
| 06-21 09:22:10 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x8dc2dc… |
| 06-21 09:01:49 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x12e944… |
| 06-21 09:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x5f59…e61d | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x12e944… |
| 06-21 08:27:35 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 110 | 13¢ | $14 | 0x556b63… |
| 06-21 08:27:35 | Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | No | SELL | 110 | 87¢ | $96 | 0x556b63… |
| 06-21 08:16:49 | Unsung-Opinion 0xd20e…b050 | No | SELL | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xfb7446… |
| 06-21 08:16:49 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xfb7446… |
| 06-21 08:07:05 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x16a658… |
| 06-21 08:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x16a658… |
| 06-21 08:07:04 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c8c9a… |
| 06-21 08:07:04 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c8c9a… |
| 06-21 08:07:02 | Pleasant-Squid 0xa73a…27d9 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4ee27e… |
| 06-21 08:07:02 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4ee27e… |
| 06-21 07:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x5eb3…55c2 | No | SELL | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x679994… |
| 06-21 07:31:08 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x679994… |
| 06-21 07:22:17 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6ef726… |
| 06-21 07:22:17 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6ef726… |
| 06-21 07:21:59 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x6139b1… |
| 06-21 07:21:59 | Beloved-Soldier 0x2b81…88e7 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x6139b1… |
| 06-21 07:21:58 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa7b8bf… |
| 06-21 07:21:58 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x71545b… |
| 06-21 07:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa7b8bf… |
| 06-21 07:21:58 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x71545b… |
| 06-21 07:21:56 | Pleasant-Squid 0xa73a…27d9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe92105… |
| 06-21 07:21:56 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x464c70… |
| 06-21 07:21:56 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe92105… |
| 06-21 07:21:56 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x464c70… |
| 06-21 07:21:55 | (anonymous) 0x5eb3…55c2 | No | BUY | 35 | 88¢ | $31 | 0xc2b87a… |
| 06-21 07:21:55 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 35 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xc2b87a… |
| 06-21 07:12:22 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd97b75… |
| 06-21 07:12:22 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd97b75… |
| 06-21 07:12:11 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xaffd20… |
| 06-21 07:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x3660…0ca0 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xaffd20… |
| 06-21 07:12:11 | Busy-Bat 0xce50…1e2d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x82d43f… |
| 06-21 07:12:11 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x82d43f… |
| 06-21 06:42:32 | (anonymous) 0x7744…23f2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xac0550… |
| 06-21 06:42:32 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xac0550… |
| 06-21 06:42:26 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4775d9… |
| 06-21 06:42:26 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xba334e… |
| 06-21 06:42:26 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xba334e… |
| 06-21 06:42:26 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4775d9… |
| 06-21 06:42:25 | Busy-Bat 0xce50…1e2d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x455982… |
| 06-21 06:42:25 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x455982… |
| 06-21 06:42:23 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd87d64… |
| 06-21 06:42:23 | Pleasant-Squid 0xa73a…27d9 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd87d64… |
| 06-21 06:27:32 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x98b321… |
| 06-21 06:27:32 | Thankful-Diagram 0xaff2…d585 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x98b321… |
| 06-21 05:53:14 | Scarce-Lumberman 0xd5b0…f655 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 13¢ | $20 | 0xa7c3b9… |
| 06-21 05:53:14 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 154 | 13¢ | $20 | 0xa7c3b9… |