Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open
Total volume
$4,823,336
$226,518 in 24h
Trades
20,964
Unique wallets
3,326
Liquidity
$735,475
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 13:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.5¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $615.0K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $2.39M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 182 | $346.1K | $1.40M | $1.05M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 312 | $112.6K | $313.6K | $201.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 569 | $49.3K | $92.7K | $43.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,262 | $33.6K | $44.6K | $11.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 85 | $185.6K | $429.4K | $243.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 172 | $23.4K | $241.2K | $217.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 141 | $9.1K | $55.8K | $46.7K |
| Median | 409 | $10.7K | $24.0K | $13.3K |
| Below median | 494 | $13.6K | $37.8K | $24.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 98 | $7.9K | $8.6K | $729 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 113 | $82.7K | $259.0K | $176.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 67 | $112.4K | $483.1K | $370.7K |
| unranked | 1,746 | $96.1K | $311.6K | $215.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +183,023 | $150,922 | $150,922 | 282 | 06-19 10:36 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +170,587 | $34,257 | $34,257 | 92 | 06-13 18:58 |
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +140,293 | $18,604 | $72,037 | 209 | 06-21 05:08 |
| Murky-Sleepiness 0x0a85…fe9d | Yes | +126,000 | $20,920 | $20,920 | 60 | 06-05 14:47 |
| Spherical-Doc 0xf5c4…0926 | No | +97,366 | $81,194 | $87,834 | 64 | 06-07 19:41 |
| Rare-Diarist 0xb1fa…1a14 | Yes | +57,395 | $11,300 | $18,550 | 50 | 06-12 17:09 |
| Hidden-Roadway 0xd576…d5e3 | Yes | +43,757 | $9,645 | $9,645 | 24 | 06-10 22:35 |
| Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | No | +39,427 | $34,029 | $34,029 | 85 | 06-21 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x84a7…9743 | Yes | +37,925 | $5,500 | $5,500 | 1 | 06-19 20:08 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | No | +33,333 | $28,999 | $28,999 | 144 | 06-17 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d15…c454 | Yes | +30,890 | $5,251 | $5,251 | 1 | 05-28 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe665…7d42 | No | +25,000 | $20,750 | $20,750 | 1 | 06-03 22:50 |
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | +24,473 | $20,580 | $163,364 | 153 | 06-21 02:43 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +22,592 | $1,807 | $1,807 | 2 | 06-14 22:11 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | +21,211 | $17,422 | $17,422 | 42 | 06-12 17:08 |
| Jubilant-Aggradation 0x9812…644f | Yes | +21,077 | $3,700 | $3,700 | 2 | 06-13 11:44 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +20,000 | $17,600 | $17,600 | 1 | 06-16 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d33…5502 | No | +20,000 | $16,800 | $16,800 | 1 | 06-05 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | +19,657 | $17,200 | $17,200 | 1 | 06-21 02:43 |
| Adolescent-Trousers 0x95bf…e00b | No | +18,998 | $15,000 | $15,000 | 26 | 06-11 12:24 |
| Grubby-Chandelier 0x2c39…56dc | No | +18,667 | $16,110 | $40,222 | 16 | 06-14 23:52 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | No | +17,620 | $15,398 | $33,216 | 11 | 06-15 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6000…f302 | Yes | +17,590 | $2,795 | $2,795 | 18 | 06-14 20:54 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +17,329 | $267 | $14,103 | 171 | 06-21 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x48af…89cc | Yes | +17,200 | $3,092 | $8,468 | 4 | 06-05 23:51 |
| Defenseless-Maracas 0x6063…61ae | Yes | +17,198 | $2,924 | $2,924 | 1 | 06-02 12:38 |
| Back-Panel 0x174b…5a55 | Yes | +16,719 | $3,025 | $3,075 | 17 | 06-20 19:29 |
| Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | +15,689 | $13,435 | $13,435 | 19 | 06-20 14:23 |
| studmuffin6969 0xa8af…325e | No | +15,537 | $12,676 | $46,073 | 82 | 06-20 09:49 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +15,125 | $1,765 | $1,765 | 38 | 06-21 13:41 |
| Unfolded-Saffron 0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | +15,000 | $13,050 | $13,050 | 2 | 06-17 17:50 |
| Rigid-Census 0xd312…7236 | Yes | +14,678 | $2,640 | $3,308 | 19 | 06-19 20:08 |
| Primary-Illiteracy-Floodplain 0xcf01…3b2d | No | +12,500 | $9,885 | $9,885 | 2 | 05-30 03:21 |
| Primary-Illiteracy-Floodplain 0xcf01…3b2d | Yes | +12,400 | $2,596 | $2,596 | 20 | 05-30 08:42 |
| Educated-Casino 0xf7fe…e42a | Yes | +12,187 | $1,863 | $4,648 | 125 | 06-06 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x173f…69b0 | No | +11,690 | $9,702 | $9,702 | 38 | 06-05 13:05 |
| Weak-Dinner 0xb1a2…372a | No | +10,678 | $8,969 | $8,969 | 1 | 06-07 02:15 |
| Fearful-Congress 0x60a9…5a71 | No | +10,621 | $8,380 | $8,380 | 14 | 06-15 00:01 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +10,475 | $8,377 | $8,377 | 29 | 06-19 20:08 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +10,278 | $8,539 | $16,808 | 46 | 06-17 13:30 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +10,241 | $1,338 | $1,338 | 33 | 06-16 16:41 |
| Essential-Impairment 0xdc26…7e7d | No | +10,000 | $8,800 | $8,800 | 1 | 06-17 20:08 |
| Late-Birch 0x4da7…355e | No | +9,666 | $7,156 | $7,156 | 18 | 06-11 14:48 |
| Mortified-Keystone 0x86e9…4cdf | Yes | +9,600 | $1,674 | $1,674 | 5 | 06-10 00:37 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +8,745 | $7,737 | $9,476 | 62 | 06-15 16:15 |
| Substantial-Delivery 0xf9d5…fba3 | Yes | +8,625 | $2,039 | $5,809 | 45 | 06-19 11:57 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +8,456 | $-1,393 | $102,436 | 751 | 06-19 10:36 |
| Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | +8,012 | $246 | $29,385 | 368 | 06-21 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x328d…f7a9 | No | +7,716 | $6,270 | $6,270 | 4 | 06-11 13:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 13:42:11 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 53 | 87¢ | $46 | 0x8f4c46… |
| 06-21 13:42:11 | Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bd…ceaa | Yes | BUY | 53 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x8f4c46… |
| 06-21 13:41:56 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x6132cd… |
| 06-21 13:41:56 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6132cd… |
| 06-21 13:41:40 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x499796… |
| 06-21 13:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x499796… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | (anonymous) 0xfeb6…5f3a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x00fbe0… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 49 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x78ca4f… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 13¢ | $14 | 0x31b001… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x78ca4f… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xa33a7a… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x00fbe0… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa33a7a… |
| 06-21 13:41:38 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 106 | 87¢ | $93 | 0x31b001… |
| 06-21 13:41:37 | Honest-Fava 0x1a83…a9a0 | Yes | SELL | 532 | 12¢ | $64 | 0x26c101… |
| 06-21 13:41:37 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 532 | 12¢ | $64 | 0x26c101… |
| 06-21 13:39:40 | Worthy-Bull 0x418f…5f3b | Yes | BUY | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x627dc3… |
| 06-21 13:39:40 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xca6356… |
| 06-21 13:39:40 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 70 | 87¢ | $61 | 0x627dc3… |
| 06-21 13:39:40 | Mean-Archrival-Indigence 0x0979…bf02 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xca6356… |
| 06-21 13:39:34 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 87¢ | $1,740 | 0x2b076f… |
| 06-21 13:39:34 | Sleepy-Equality 0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 13¢ | $260 | 0x2b076f… |
| 06-21 13:11:35 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2e37b7… |
| 06-21 13:11:35 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x2e37b7… |
| 06-21 13:11:35 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xb8df9c… |
| 06-21 13:11:35 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb8df9c… |
| 06-21 13:11:34 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5a1916… |
| 06-21 13:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xbb20…7c01 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5a1916… |
| 06-21 13:11:05 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x630d0b… |
| 06-21 13:11:05 | (anonymous) 0xbb20…7c01 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x630d0b… |
| 06-21 12:29:25 | (anonymous) 0xe2ee…d1c4 | Yes | BUY | 269 | 13¢ | $35 | 0x2edd0d… |
| 06-21 12:29:25 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 269 | 87¢ | $234 | 0x2edd0d… |
| 06-21 12:26:26 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x7f2199… |
| 06-21 12:26:26 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x7f2199… |
| 06-21 12:23:04 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xdf625e… |
| 06-21 12:23:04 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xdf625e… |
| 06-21 12:21:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd4875c… |
| 06-21 12:21:14 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xd4875c… |
| 06-21 12:19:29 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xfdbb87… |
| 06-21 12:19:29 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xfdbb87… |
| 06-21 12:17:49 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x643509… |
| 06-21 12:17:49 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x643509… |
| 06-21 12:16:23 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa957dd… |
| 06-21 12:16:23 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xa957dd… |
| 06-21 12:16:20 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x619312… |
| 06-21 12:16:20 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x619312… |
| 06-21 12:16:08 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x21521f… |
| 06-21 12:16:08 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x21521f… |
| 06-21 12:15:28 | (anonymous) 0x4b27…f860 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa95033… |
| 06-21 12:15:28 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xa95033… |
| 06-21 12:14:23 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x9bd4c8… |
| 06-21 12:14:23 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x9bd4c8… |
| 06-21 12:14:10 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 166 | 87¢ | $144 | 0xf74468… |
| 06-21 12:14:10 | Humongous-Maybe 0xc5bd…ceaa | Yes | BUY | 166 | 13¢ | $22 | 0xf74468… |
| 06-21 12:14:05 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 83 | 87¢ | $72 | 0x71c429… |
| 06-21 12:14:05 | Affectionate-Solitaire 0xca97…5409 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x71c429… |
| 06-21 12:13:46 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Shoes 0xed45…0d29 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xaca37b… |
| 06-21 12:13:46 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xaca37b… |
| 06-21 12:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc6f264… |
| 06-21 12:13:41 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xc6f264… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 227 | 87¢ | $198 | 0x129a51… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 332 | 13¢ | $43 | 0x129a51… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 105 | 87¢ | $91 | 0x129a51… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x4f1b30… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x88734b… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 92 | 87¢ | $80 | 0x88734b… |
| 06-21 12:13:35 | (anonymous) 0x7ba9…60ab | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4f1b30… |
| 06-21 12:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x506e42… |
| 06-21 12:13:34 | Clean-Repeat 0xe9ce…711f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xac9fbd… |
| 06-21 12:13:34 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x506e42… |
| 06-21 12:13:34 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xac9fbd… |
| 06-21 12:13:32 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 1,661 | 12¢ | $199 | 0xb6f78c… |
| 06-21 12:13:32 | (anonymous) 0x8714…eeb8 | Yes | SELL | 1,661 | 12¢ | $199 | 0xb6f78c… |
| 06-21 12:13:32 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe9b7e6… |
| 06-21 12:13:32 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xe9b7e6… |
| 06-21 11:24:55 | Confused-Strip 0x9399…ddbf | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x60903b… |
| 06-21 11:24:55 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x60903b… |
| 06-21 11:05:05 | Calm-Guerrilla 0x9d5c…46c3 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x0e05b2… |
| 06-21 11:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 77 | 87¢ | $67 | 0x0e05b2… |
| 06-21 11:04:44 | Tepid-Hydrolyze 0xd011…e928 | No | SELL | 81 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x3d2b15… |
| 06-21 11:04:44 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 81 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x3d2b15… |
| 06-21 10:13:17 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3e60ce… |
| 06-21 10:13:17 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x3e60ce… |
| 06-21 10:13:05 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe958d0… |
| 06-21 10:13:05 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Shoes 0xed45…0d29 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe958d0… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe20e1b… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0xe20e1b… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6c58aa… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x2020ae… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x6c58aa… |
| 06-21 10:13:02 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2020ae… |
| 06-21 10:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x62eacd… |
| 06-21 10:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xbb65…1407 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x62eacd… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0xffffc5… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | (anonymous) 0xe015…8ee4 | No | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0xffffc5… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x18a8e3… |
| 06-21 10:12:59 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x18a8e3… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | (anonymous) 0x9281…b6b5 | Yes | BUY | 723 | 13¢ | $94 | 0x64582a… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | Proper-Annual-Topsail 0x6edf…1011 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 13¢ | $23 | 0x64582a… |
| 06-21 10:12:23 | (anonymous) 0xbc54…680f | No | BUY | 528 | 87¢ | $459 | 0x64582a… |