Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$13.1K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
444
lifetime
Volume
$320.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$722
Open exposure
$52.9K
7 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 06-13 18:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62%
Tech
27%
Other
11%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +58,766 $20,521 50¢ $29.7K +$9,155 06-13 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +51,065 $8,417 24¢ $12.5K +$4,094 06-13 18:01
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +7,375 $2,977 64¢ $4.8K +$1,780 06-13 05:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +20,032 $2,078 11¢ $2.2K +$156 06-13 17:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +11,837 $4,695 18¢ $2.2K $-2,505 06-13 14:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,546 $967 55¢ $1.4K +$433 06-11 18:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +4,575 $137 $101 $-37 06-12 17:10