Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6.77K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,795
lifetime
Volume
$2.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$674
Open exposure
$72.3K
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-23 15:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
71%
Other
18%
Sports
7%
Tech
4%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 434 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +64,901 $19,934 46¢ $30.2K +$10,245 07-23 20:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +64,546 $15,961 30¢ $19.7K +$3,725 07-23 20:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10,685 $6,865 78¢ $8.3K +$1,469 07-16 21:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +8,469 $6,475 77¢ $6.5K +$47 07-23 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,524 $2,679 70¢ $2.4K $-229 07-16 04:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5,920 $3,466 34¢ $2.0K $-1,483 07-16 16:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,001 $1,261 64¢ $1.3K +$10 07-23 19:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +4,305 $985 22¢ $947 $-38 07-23 00:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +34,265 $7,026 $377 $-6,649 07-23 11:42
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +5,033 $674 $352 $-322 07-17 01:11
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +247 $240 96¢ $237 $-3 07-16 00:44