(anonymous) 0xe23495…e3304a
whale hot 6W streak
3Unusual bets: 3 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$161.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$78.5K
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
465
Trades
19,922
lifetime
Volume
$10.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$524
Open exposure
$442.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-28 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Politics
64% 47% +$151,844
Other
32% 40% +$8,625
Sports
3% 23% +$5,657
Tech
1% 40% -$5,117
Crypto
0% 30% +$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +102,335 $80,985 82¢ $83.4K +$2,418 10-16 09:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +63,502 $48,032 97¢ $61.6K +$13,564 10-04 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +40,101 -$5,341 88¢ $35.5K +$40,830 09-30 04:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +45,168 $24,468 68¢ $30.5K +$6,021 10-27 20:22
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +30,065 $27,935 98¢ $29.5K +$1,529 10-28 00:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +34,812 $15,496 66¢ $23.2K +$7,655 10-16 02:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +102,335 $20,208 18¢ $18.9K -$1,276 10-16 00:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +15,999 $11,622 96¢ $15.3K +$3,690 10-25 23:40
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +16,422 $9,015 86¢ $14.0K +$5,025 09-20 12:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +15,000 $9,390 92¢ $13.9K +$4,485 08-05 10:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +13,082 $11,181 86¢ $11.3K +$135 10-11 19:01
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +13,909 $6,940 78¢ $10.9K +$3,944 10-15 08:27
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +12,000 $9,360 80¢ $9.5K +$180 10-27 21:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16,468 $11,269 50¢ $8.2K -$3,117 10-28 05:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +8,000 $7,472 98¢ $7.8K +$368 10-24 22:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,367 $6,665 94¢ $7.8K +$1,157 10-02 10:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,833 $7,678 74¢ $7.3K -$352 09-24 02:16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +14,392 $6,971 44¢ $6.4K -$602 10-10 04:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,000 $5,696 74¢ $5.2K -$481 09-22 18:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +5,176 $4,755 99¢ $5.1K +$387 10-01 18:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5,686 $3,063 87¢ $5.0K +$1,909 10-24 18:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +40,101 $10,509 12¢ $4.6K -$5,897 10-15 23:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +16,833 $4,370 26¢ $4.3K -$77 10-24 18:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,771 $2,640 99¢ $3.7K +$1,094 08-12 11:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,055 $4,233 72¢ $3.6K -$619 10-22 17:39
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +15,648 $4,005 23¢ $3.6K -$406 10-28 03:03
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +7,659 $3,616 44¢ $3.3K -$285 09-22 05:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +14,917 $6,351 22¢ $3.2K -$3,106 09-20 01:02
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +3,227 $2,488 92¢ $3.0K +$497 10-01 17:28
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,760 $3,094 62¢ $3.0K -$119 10-24 18:34