Realized P&L
+$162.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$62.3K
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
464
Trades
19,615
lifetime
Volume
$10.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$520
Open exposure
$405.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-27 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Politics
63%
47%
+$153,591
Other
32%
40%
+$8,625
Sports
3%
23%
+$5,657
Tech
2%
40%
-$5,117
Crypto
0%
30%
+$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 1373 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 502 | $1.02M | 1,994,936 | 1,994,936 | +0 | Yes | +$58,875 | 06-17 15:41 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 1,026 | $889.4K | 549,243 | 529,243 | +20,000 | No | +$2,163 | 09-16 08:22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 1,981 | $820.9K | 1,404,202 | 1,199,532 | +204,670 | open | — | 10-16 09:48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 554 | $501.8K | 537,069 | 456,868 | +80,201 | open | — | 10-15 23:15 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 259 | $425.3K | 337,365 | 312,955 | +24,411 | No | +$45,307 | 10-26 01:43 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 407 | $320.4K | 376,286 | 376,286 | +0 | Yes | +$30,034 | 10-26 01:59 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 117 | $273.8K | 218,703 | 218,703 | +0 | Yes | +$28,595 | 06-17 15:39 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 566 | $264.5K | 217,531 | 183,701 | +33,831 | Yes | +$2,630 | 09-21 04:00 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | 548 | $221.0K | 271,541 | 193,866 | +77,676 | Yes | +$3,860 | 08-11 12:54 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | 57 | $198.3K | 175,809 | 34,133 | +141,676 | Yes | +$10,810 | 06-18 00:09 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 164 | $174.0K | 199,947 | 44,325 | +155,622 | Yes | +$8,185 | 07-09 06:54 |
| us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 | 263 | $150.3K | 305,245 | 291,179 | +14,067 | open | — | 10-27 05:03 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 122 | $128.5K | 70,000 | 70,000 | +0 | open | — | 10-22 14:47 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 71 | $123.8K | 236,720 | 83,017 | +153,703 | open | — | 10-27 04:44 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | 154 | $114.5K | 161,698 | 54,182 | +107,516 | Yes | +$479 | 08-02 23:46 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6 | $112.6K | 112,758 | 0 | +112,758 | Yes | +$113 | 07-20 00:45 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 1,102 | $105.4K | 89,176 | 77,708 | +11,468 | open | — | 10-27 06:36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 651 | $103.1K | 391,430 | 355,190 | +36,240 | No | -$8,938 | 06-28 03:18 |
| fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance | 2 | $97.0K | 100,000 | 100,000 | +0 | England | -$1,000 | 07-06 00:52 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | 540 | $96.2K | 541,847 | 541,847 | +0 | No | -$13,316 | 08-24 18:40 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 150 | $94.1K | 99,020 | 63,852 | +35,168 | open | — | 10-25 23:00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 59 | $75.5K | 69,142 | 69,142 | +0 | Yes | +$6,295 | 09-03 05:11 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3 | 55 | $75.0K | 47,075 | 40,032 | +7,043 | Yes | +$2,635 | 08-03 07:07 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | 35 | $72.7K | 87,589 | 22,251 | +65,338 | No | -$327 | 08-30 20:26 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | 231 | $68.2K | 129,611 | 122,570 | +7,041 | open | — | 10-24 01:19 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 55 | $68.2K | 125,012 | 0 | +125,012 | Yes | +$6,795 | 07-29 18:00 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 321 | $67.9K | 64,663 | 32,413 | +32,250 | Yes | +$11,074 | 10-26 22:30 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | 1 | $66.8K | 66,883 | 0 | +66,883 | No | +$67 | 07-19 21:54 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | 138 | $64.8K | 137,923 | 66,864 | +71,059 | No | -$2,006 | 06-18 04:04 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 166 | $64.6K | 74,092 | 39,280 | +34,812 | open | — | 10-16 02:55 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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