US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$30,569
$221,340 in 24h
Trades
61
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$690,685
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $19.2K | — | +$19.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $500 | $10.3K | $9.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below median | 1 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 41 | $19.6K | $10.3K | +$9.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | Yes | +33,648 | $11,420 | $12,140 | 2 | 05-05 19:51 |
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | +20,000 | $7,400 | $7,400 | 1 | 05-05 18:36 |
| Celebrated-Scratch 0x4f30…12c3 | No | +5,000 | $3,200 | $3,200 | 1 | 05-05 18:22 |
| Envious-Pennant 0xf041…dde5 | No | +5,000 | $3,350 | $3,350 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Anguished-Reparation 0x21c7…191a | No | +2,084 | $1,396 | $1,396 | 1 | 05-05 02:10 |
| Pale-Whelp 0x0238…eb0b | No | +940 | $639 | $639 | 1 | 05-05 04:05 |
| Idealistic-Assembly 0xf8dd…f76d | No | +746 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-05 10:06 |
| Dense-Deck 0xd04a…d7ec | Yes | +606 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-05 03:27 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | +500 | $335 | $335 | 10 | 05-05 11:56 |
| ombah 0xfa77…0069 | No | +433 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 05-04 20:29 |
| Circular-Native 0xae46…79a6 | No | +312 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-05 17:49 |
| Hospitable-Jack 0xaadb…85f9 | Yes | +294 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 10:55 |
| Studious-Truth 0x525a…2e69 | No | +294 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Zesty-Anticipation 0xd6d3…161c | Yes | +207 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 05-05 04:05 |
| Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | Yes | +153 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-05 04:05 |
| United-Ethnicity 0x43e2…5fbd | Yes | +100 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-05 16:32 |
| Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7 | No | +100 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Eager-Dashboard 0x927f…b921 | Yes | +75 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-05 14:14 |
| Bubbly-Independent 0x3512…c2ba | No | +73 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-05 16:14 |
| Common-Bride 0xf7da…a147 | No | +60 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 14:05 |
| Athletic-Airport 0xebcf…183c | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 03:26 |
| Vapid-Vase 0xc838…1263 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Tedious-Copying 0x6f42…6496 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 06:55 |
| Poor-Casualty 0x283d…221a | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 05:50 |
| Male-Creation 0x1025…7939 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 16:34 |
| Pertinent-Temptation 0x1e1b…0c00 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 09:16 |
| Frilly-Satisfaction 0xacf6…ce9e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Truthful-Wife 0xa261…d8e8 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 15:07 |
| Villainous-Greens 0x0604…7bf6 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa951…e6b3 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 02:15 |
| Tart-Beginner 0x9f19…53e9 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 21:14 |
| Shady-Overexertion 0x7ba5…b5b8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 12:51 |
| Pristine-Occasion 0x029c…7583 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 01:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:51:28 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 36¢ | $360 | 0xb57ef1… |
| 05-05 18:36:44 | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | Yes | BUY | 20,000 | 37¢ | $7,400 | 0x7a3e69… |
| 05-05 18:26:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 36¢ | $10 | 0x960791… |
| 05-05 18:22:46 | Celebrated-Scratch 0x4f30…12c3 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 64¢ | $3,200 | 0xc83025… |
| 05-05 18:08:02 | Swift-Oil 0x22b0…ef31 | Yes | SELL | 131 | 36¢ | $47 | 0x6b3d2f… |
| 05-05 17:49:56 | Circular-Native 0xae46…79a6 | No | BUY | 312 | 64¢ | $200 | 0x45dfea… |
| 05-05 16:34:32 | Male-Creation 0x1025…7939 | No | BUY | 9 | 66¢ | $6 | 0x595d41… |
| 05-05 16:32:38 | United-Ethnicity 0x43e2…5fbd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0x8ac3dd… |
| 05-05 16:14:52 | Bubbly-Independent 0x3512…c2ba | No | BUY | 73 | 66¢ | $48 | 0xc3cd7f… |
| 05-05 15:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x4672…025a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xc7df59… |
| 05-05 15:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x4672…025a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xce55fe… |
| 05-05 15:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x4672…025a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xd3fa16… |
| 05-05 15:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x4672…025a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x49bfef… |
| 05-05 15:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x4672…025a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xc3d657… |
| 05-05 15:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x6729…d586 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 34¢ | $18 | 0xfc638e… |
| 05-05 15:07:26 | Truthful-Wife 0xa261…d8e8 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x778947… |
| 05-05 14:14:46 | Eager-Dashboard 0x927f…b921 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x529d4f… |
| 05-05 14:14:44 | Eager-Dashboard 0x927f…b921 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x2135da… |
| 05-05 14:10:32 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | Yes | BUY | 34,648 | 34¢ | $11,780 | 0x825df4… |
| 05-05 14:05:24 | Common-Bride 0xf7da…a147 | No | BUY | 60 | 67¢ | $40 | 0xe36b35… |
| 05-05 12:51:36 | Shady-Overexertion 0x7ba5…b5b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x92bfa5… |
| 05-05 12:36:36 | Tight-Attitude 0x5458…2143 | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x5fdc83… |
| 05-05 11:56:40 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x5787c8… |
| 05-05 11:56:28 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0xd710aa… |
| 05-05 11:55:16 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x559f39… |
| 05-05 11:51:38 | Polite-Input 0xe94a…0ff1 | No | SELL | 113 | 66¢ | $74 | 0x11c178… |
| 05-05 11:36:42 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x9aa466… |
| 05-05 11:26:42 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x1d2966… |
| 05-05 11:16:48 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x1251ec… |
| 05-05 11:10:22 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x1ba83f… |
| 05-05 11:10:10 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x9e7b21… |
| 05-05 11:06:28 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x4e20c7… |
| 05-05 11:06:22 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0xe008a7… |
| 05-05 10:55:18 | Hospitable-Jack 0xaadb…85f9 | Yes | BUY | 294 | 34¢ | $100 | 0x6f510b… |
| 05-05 10:26:20 | Villainous-Greens 0x0604…7bf6 | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xd24d8e… |
| 05-05 10:06:32 | Idealistic-Assembly 0xf8dd…f76d | No | BUY | 746 | 67¢ | $500 | 0x72b5cc… |
| 05-05 09:16:22 | Pertinent-Temptation 0x1e1b…0c00 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xba1b18… |
| 05-05 08:25:04 | Oily-Barracks 0xbf03…6aea | Yes | SELL | 79 | 33¢ | $26 | 0x77ba18… |
| 05-05 07:50:08 | Studious-Truth 0x525a…2e69 | No | BUY | 294 | 68¢ | $200 | 0xd94e21… |
| 05-05 06:55:12 | Tedious-Copying 0x6f42…6496 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xdded87… |
| 05-05 06:10:08 | Wary-Height 0xf588…189f | Yes | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x71a259… |
| 05-05 05:50:56 | Poor-Casualty 0x283d…221a | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x708477… |
| 05-05 04:05:36 | Grim-Injoke 0x86ee…511f | Yes | BUY | 153 | 33¢ | $51 | 0x4b6c68… |
| 05-05 04:05:16 | Zesty-Anticipation 0xd6d3…161c | Yes | BUY | 141 | 33¢ | $47 | 0x811c13… |
| 05-05 04:05:06 | Pale-Whelp 0x0238…eb0b | No | BUY | 940 | 68¢ | $639 | 0x977956… |
| 05-05 03:27:54 | Dense-Deck 0xd04a…d7ec | Yes | BUY | 606 | 33¢ | $200 | 0x5069bc… |
| 05-05 03:26:22 | Athletic-Airport 0xebcf…183c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x74e786… |
| 05-05 03:00:16 | Zesty-Anticipation 0xd6d3…161c | Yes | BUY | 66 | 33¢ | $22 | 0xd2ccb2… |
| 05-05 02:15:16 | (anonymous) 0xa951…e6b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x10a829… |
| 05-05 02:10:20 | Anguished-Reparation 0x21c7…191a | No | BUY | 2,084 | 67¢ | $1,396 | 0x6b9d79… |
| 05-05 01:49:38 | Pristine-Occasion 0x029c…7583 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x94f051… |
| 05-04 22:24:48 | Slight-Change 0xcdca…952e | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x472cc7… |
| 05-04 21:34:38 | Fragrant-Consignment-Extent 0xeac2…d85b | No | SELL | 9 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xfbe8ee… |
| 05-04 21:14:34 | Tart-Beginner 0x9f19…53e9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x840d61… |
| 05-04 20:44:46 | Vapid-Vase 0xc838…1263 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x8c3945… |
| 05-04 20:44:46 | Vapid-Vase 0xc838…1263 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xea032c… |
| 05-04 20:39:50 | Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x0867a9… |
| 05-04 20:39:44 | Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7 | No | BUY | 50 | 67¢ | $34 | 0x4878c9… |
| 05-04 20:29:36 | ombah 0xfa77…0069 | No | BUY | 433 | 67¢ | $290 | 0xb94b45… |
| 05-04 20:24:40 | Envious-Pennant 0xf041…dde5 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 67¢ | $3,350 | 0x29da12… |
| 05-04 20:09:42 | Frilly-Satisfaction 0xacf6…ce9e | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x95ddba… |