Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

41,490

lifetime

Volume

$1.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-03 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 14% $-350

Other

13% 100% +$129

Politics

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 1885 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$212.4K	208,900	5,555	+203,345	open	—	06-03 11:15
will company k be accused of insider trading	1	$51.6K	52,217	0	+52,217	open	—	02-26 13:41
btc updown 15m 1773108000	6	$36.5K	38,882	0	+38,882	open	—	03-10 02:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$34.9K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	02-03 14:20
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$33.2K	33,333	0	+33,333	open	—	04-29 23:22
will axiom be accused of insider trading	47	$27.6K	58,485	23,441	+35,045	open	—	02-26 13:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	394	$19.7K	46,060	25,349	+20,711	open	—	04-15 23:13
will binance be accused of insider trading	2	$16.7K	16,820	0	+16,820	open	—	02-26 13:42
btc updown 5m 1773207600	60	$11.0K	6,554	5,554	+1,000	open	—	03-11 05:43
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	18	$10.4K	18,344	3,952	+14,392	open	—	02-19 23:26
btc updown 15m 1770126300	352	$9.4K	12,886	7,886	+5,000	open	—	02-03 13:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	19	$9.2K	25,430	16,425	+9,005	open	—	02-27 17:22
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	15	$8.7K	11,790	11,790	-0	open	—	02-17 18:19
btc updown 15m 1771106400	198	$8.3K	9,340	3,237	+6,103	open	—	02-14 22:14
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	23	$8.2K	3,880	6,447	-2,567	open	—	04-12 15:16
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	8	$7.8K	10,398	0	+10,398	open	—	02-27 17:42
will company b be accused of insider trading	27	$7.5K	11,572	7,947	+3,625	open	—	02-26 13:44
btc updown 15m 1769576400	267	$7.4K	6,194	5,988	+206	open	—	01-28 05:14
btc updown 15m 1770197400	252	$7.3K	15,481	1,233	+14,248	open	—	02-04 09:46
btc updown 5m 1771384800	47	$7.1K	7,746	0	+7,746	open	—	02-18 03:24
btc updown 15m 1770207300	329	$6.7K	16,214	0	+16,214	open	—	02-04 12:29
btc updown 5m 1775832300	85	$6.4K	6,497	0	+6,497	open	—	04-10 14:51
btc updown 5m 1771123500	47	$5.6K	5,816	0	+5,816	open	—	02-15 02:49
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$4.8K	3,817	3,817	+0	open	—	04-16 13:27
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	8	$4.8K	4,859	0	+4,859	open	—	04-27 20:53
btc updown 15m 1770198300	275	$4.7K	10,170	0	+10,170	open	—	02-04 09:59
btc updown 5m 1771384200	124	$4.5K	7,282	0	+7,282	open	—	02-18 03:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	12	$4.4K	2,337	2,337	+0	open	—	02-21 06:23
btc updown 15m 1770209100	202	$4.1K	8,340	0	+8,340	open	—	02-04 12:59
btc updown 15m 1770137100	232	$3.9K	10,983	0	+10,983	open	—	02-03 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 11:15:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,555	100¢	$5,538	0xee2040…
06-03 04:02:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,555	100¢	$5,533	0x531754…
06-02 22:22:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	203,345	99¢	$201,311	0x54852a…
05-07 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xc36d9f…
05-07 03:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x838cc6…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xda49cc…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xac76ea…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x83c6e3…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	217	11¢	$24	0x75abf0…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x664cb4…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x3060b5…
05-07 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x24a8be…
05-07 03:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xce7d92…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xfb25c0…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf692be…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xec96a2…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe83ede…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc9d032…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	65	19¢	$12	0x9ecfea…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0x964996…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	19¢	$13	0x884f8c…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x6e3887…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x3b7a15…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x33b7c8…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x30a340…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x19dd20…
05-07 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	333	19¢	$64	0x3d1a2a…
05-07 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe07a05…
05-07 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8dd91a…
05-07 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0xe397ac…
05-07 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xe38352…
05-07 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xb0f10f…
05-07 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9cd59e…
05-07 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x7e8417…
05-07 03:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xef7e7b…
05-07 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe5fd8b…
05-07 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xd92a19…
05-07 02:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9b5054…
05-07 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xbb90be…
05-07 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	316	5¢	$16	0xa078e7…
05-07 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x6b0dd3…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xeeb776…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd65def…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xa0201b…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x7e6ac0…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7ddbd7…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7733a7…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x7416df…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x39ba1e…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x391a61…
05-07 02:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2e36bf…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,132	1¢	$11	0xfc4abc…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	302	1¢	$3	0xf065b0…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe23b6b…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xde653b…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0xdd9a8c…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	691	1¢	$7	0xaedf92…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x959cdd…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x89b886…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x83852a…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x619bf9…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6092b4…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x39bf87…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x3531a1…
05-07 02:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x041f9c…
05-07 02:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3,333	2¢	$67	0x9d54a8…
05-07 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcebf1e…
05-07 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaaa1bd…
05-07 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x8eba74…
05-07 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7b5e1f…
05-07 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x4dbc3d…
05-07 02:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x40a5bc…
05-07 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xd534ed…
05-07 02:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2,041	2¢	$41	0x99d0b9…
05-07 02:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	666	1¢	$7	0x73451c…
05-07 02:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	247	59¢	$147	0x337b9b…
05-07 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf948f4…
05-07 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbba48e…
05-07 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	182	26¢	$47	0xa7b4df…
05-07 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x94e5b1…
05-07 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x87d695…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf8a4c0…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xe07df3…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xcf47c4…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xc759a7…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x991410…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x88932b…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x5f51dc…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x435fa4…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x42a546…
05-07 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x229ef6…
04-29 23:22:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	33,333	100¢	$33,200	0xad52d5…
04-28 20:20:42	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x9a3e75…
04-28 20:20:38	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	No	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0x74a976…
04-27 20:53:10	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2,357	99¢	$2,333	0x4d3044…
04-27 20:52:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	202	97¢	$196	0x966574…
04-27 20:52:12	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	395	97¢	$382	0x89003a…
04-27 20:52:06	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	648	97¢	$628	0xe5bc28…
04-27 20:52:04	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x487d77…
04-27 20:51:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x5c6bad…