Flashy-Bid 0xc4086b…0f4675
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$66.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.5K
Hit rate
92.8%
Resolved
430
Trades
15,954
lifetime
Volume
$19.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.23K
Open exposure
$166.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 09:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Politics
55% 77% +$13,329
Other
41% 77% +$51,723
Crypto
3% 100% +$1,808
Sports
1% 57% -$1,961
Tech
0% 50% +$1,086
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$313
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 549 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +24,714 $24,622 100¢ $24.7K +$67 11-01 00:37
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +23,155 $20,210 88¢ $20.5K +$282 11-01 06:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +25,254 $16,137 70¢ $17.8K +$1,667 11-01 04:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +21,251 $14,161 83¢ $17.6K +$3,478 11-01 10:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +21,000 $13,357 72¢ $15.0K +$1,658 10-31 16:20
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +15,000 $14,295 98¢ $14.8K +$472 10-31 16:33
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +12,034 $11,901 99¢ $11.9K +$48 11-01 01:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +24,958 $8,729 46¢ $11.6K +$2,876 10-31 12:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +9,370 $7,685 86¢ $8.0K +$344 08-26 08:56
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,399 $5,365 72¢ $6.0K +$640 11-01 10:21
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5,000 $4,304 98¢ $4.9K +$608 10-31 16:33
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +3,421 $3,335 98¢ $3.4K +$31 10-31 10:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,506 $199 62¢ $2.8K +$2,617 10-30 04:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +43,033 $1,721 4¢ $1.9K +$215 11-01 01:20
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +4,262 $895 24¢ $1.0K +$149 11-01 00:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -3,750 -$1,817 28¢ $-1031 +$786 09-05 18:33
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $840 42¢ $830 -$10 10-22 19:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3,484 $1,377 18¢ $645 -$732 10-27 15:46
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $198 52¢ $515 +$317 10-30 12:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +1,012 $459 44¢ $450 -$9 10-26 21:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +793 $270 44¢ $345 +$75 10-23 12:53
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$166 1¢ $-183 -$17 08-14 20:14
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$33 1¢ $-183 -$149 08-14 14:09
Blue wave in 2026? No +1,576 $173 12¢ $181 +$8 11-01 06:40
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -230 -$180 52¢ $-119 +$61 07-22 23:01
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +18,506 $69 0¢ $83 +$15 10-31 17:15
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$100 0¢ $-75 +$25 10-23 11:06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +75 $9 66¢ $50 +$42 10-31 17:53
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,092 -$55 0¢ $-21 +$34 07-24 16:55
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +274 $88 6¢ $16 -$71 10-24 23:49