Flashy-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

10,368

lifetime

Volume

$15.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.50K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$654

Other

38% 100% +$429

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 432 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	566	$1.41M	689,722	744,141	-54,419	open	—	03-04 16:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	326	$983.1K	507,514	503,926	+3,588	open	—	04-01 12:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	475	$827.6K	467,500	513,146	-45,646	open	—	04-08 13:24
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	85	$691.2K	303,199	389,611	-86,412	open	—	01-04 00:21
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	31	$656.7K	339,210	319,000	+20,210	open	—	04-30 19:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	58	$492.2K	266,895	237,876	+29,019	open	—	06-03 13:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	195	$428.2K	226,018	229,951	-3,933	open	—	05-31 08:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	80	$388.7K	133,398	278,402	-145,004	open	—	04-10 12:16
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	148	$366.6K	167,514	203,821	-36,307	open	—	01-30 04:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	50	$356.9K	273,005	86,620	+186,385	open	—	06-17 11:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	62	$347.5K	186,321	162,000	+24,321	open	—	03-25 09:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	100	$307.7K	187,111	127,111	+60,000	open	—	06-18 00:21
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	67	$273.0K	137,637	135,970	+1,667	open	—	06-17 08:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	163	$242.6K	88,692	160,136	-71,444	open	—	02-03 07:12
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$216.7K	216,967	0	+216,967	open	—	07-09 15:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	225	$204.0K	117,092	105,358	+11,735	open	—	02-01 05:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	59	$190.2K	98,502	103,301	-4,799	open	—	04-27 13:42
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	137	$177.0K	177,238	0	+177,238	open	—	06-07 19:21
Iran leadership change by March 13?	188	$176.4K	90,852	90,095	+757	open	—	03-14 11:27
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	22	$169.7K	170,000	0	+170,000	open	—	07-22 19:45
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	5	$168.2K	168,400	0	+168,400	open	—	03-08 01:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	324	$165.8K	89,690	93,851	-4,161	open	—	04-20 09:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	212	$165.6K	91,966	93,683	-1,718	open	—	04-01 02:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	48	$163.1K	77,349	86,145	-8,796	open	—	04-29 22:04
will iran strike israel on march 10	36	$159.5K	64,981	95,344	-30,363	open	—	03-17 01:45
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	19	$153.9K	61,218	93,790	-32,573	open	—	01-31 02:56
will edgex launch a token in 2025	197	$144.5K	75,000	69,686	+5,314	open	—	01-02 01:26
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	20	$141.0K	121,230	20,000	+101,230	Yes	+$201	05-04 04:55
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	32	$125.6K	125,820	0	+125,820	open	—	06-30 19:06
will trump say jesus this week march 8	37	$125.3K	95,518	30,000	+65,518	open	—	03-11 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 06:38:00	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	202	73¢	$147	0xc4278e…
08-08 06:38:00	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	202	73¢	$147	0x07a525…
08-08 06:37:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xf81648…
08-08 06:35:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	2,026	74¢	$1,490	0xcb7850…
08-08 06:32:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	79¢	$3,950	0xe1ef68…
08-07 21:12:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	492	83¢	$409	0xecd00b…
08-07 21:11:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,200	83¢	$996	0xda7d02…
08-07 21:04:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xf0693e…
08-07 21:04:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xb123fe…
08-07 21:01:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xedf0e0…
08-07 21:00:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xf0db97…
08-07 21:00:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x1ab05c…
08-07 20:59:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,297	83¢	$2,736	0x63076d…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	81¢	$4,050	0x9a72ae…
08-05 15:35:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	299	89¢	$266	0x6154a1…
08-05 11:35:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	190	88¢	$167	0x39471b…
08-05 11:21:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2,271	88¢	$1,999	0x09ee4e…
08-05 10:36:44	will trump praise vladimir putin by july 31 20260626214328048	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xdf9971…
08-05 10:24:23	will trump praise vladimir putin by july 31 20260626214328048	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xec4d15…
08-05 10:23:50	will trump praise vladimir putin by july 31 20260626214328048	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x6d0a44…
08-05 02:15:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2,760	83¢	$2,291	0xd2a112…
08-04 18:49:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6,823	82¢	$5,595	0x1218a1…
08-04 18:44:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x9cfdcd…
08-04 18:42:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x509da9…
08-04 18:42:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x494818…
08-04 18:41:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x2cd43c…
08-04 18:39:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,076	82¢	$882	0xd99dd4…
08-04 18:31:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb11244…
08-04 18:27:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x8816f9…
08-04 18:21:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0xe8ca95…
08-04 18:21:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0xd93441…
08-04 18:21:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0xdb52ec…
08-04 18:21:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16,356	82¢	$13,412	0x3216c6…
08-04 16:46:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4,250	81¢	$3,443	0x4fd4c9…
08-04 16:45:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xd7e333…
08-04 16:45:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	240	81¢	$194	0xbc92ce…
08-04 16:45:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x59268f…
08-04 16:45:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xbb1997…
08-04 16:45:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7a76e2…
08-04 16:45:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xc7a0fe…
08-04 16:45:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xa78aa7…
08-04 16:45:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x62ba1d…
08-04 16:45:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x28d55b…
08-04 16:45:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xb90c66…
08-04 16:45:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4abb0f…
08-04 16:45:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x4d6256…
08-04 16:45:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xdcfc09…
08-04 16:45:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x996d70…
08-04 16:45:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x30c5d0…
08-04 16:45:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	81¢	$2,430	0xf01aae…
08-04 16:45:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x03cdb7…
08-04 16:45:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0x96cd15…
08-04 16:45:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1f598f…
08-04 16:45:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xb8a6bc…
08-04 16:45:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x9a76da…
08-04 16:45:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	48	81¢	$39	0x8e4418…
08-04 16:45:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x088f7d…
08-04 16:45:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14,215	81¢	$11,514	0x8ffdc0…
08-04 15:26:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	556	81¢	$451	0x3e3ea6…
08-04 14:13:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	460	81¢	$373	0x524e46…
08-04 13:54:17	will trump praise emmanuel macron by july 31 20260626214328037	Yes	BUY	272	0¢	$1	0x396d2f…
08-04 13:52:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xca4fe2…
08-04 13:40:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	34	81¢	$28	0x8a0a85…
08-04 13:38:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xe01bf1…
08-04 13:35:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x884dfd…
08-04 13:34:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xd49048…
08-04 13:32:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xc75271…
08-04 13:30:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xd14ec2…
08-04 13:28:09	will trump praise emmanuel macron by july 31 20260626214328037	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2e6fa2…
08-04 13:21:47	will trump praise emmanuel macron by july 31 20260626214328037	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x4fbc4b…
08-04 13:18:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0xa5fc62…
08-04 13:17:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,767	72¢	$1,273	0x35c6e4…
08-04 13:14:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	410	73¢	$300	0x02fcee…
08-04 12:54:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,088	64¢	$697	0x11a1c7…
08-04 12:04:18	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$0	0x4ee8b5…
08-04 11:57:59	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1023db…
08-04 11:51:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	24,485	80¢	$19,588	0xfe38d2…
08-04 11:46:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0xfc07ea…
08-04 11:12:59	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xc09b2a…
08-04 11:05:29	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa0ce59…
08-04 10:54:17	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xaef04f…
08-04 10:52:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,205	76¢	$916	0xf98c2c…
08-04 10:51:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,043	63¢	$657	0xa217e8…
08-04 10:51:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	47	63¢	$29	0x603828…
08-04 10:50:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,211	61¢	$1,341	0xb61447…
08-04 10:39:12	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by july 31 2026 20260626210612732	Yes	BUY	531	0¢	$2	0xa3bf1b…
08-04 10:39:09	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x498eaa…
08-04 10:36:27	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0c7ba7…
08-04 10:35:30	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2056f0…
08-04 10:35:27	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3a4ab6…
08-04 10:21:44	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	BUY	670	0¢	$1	0x191409…
08-04 10:21:33	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2693c0…
08-04 10:19:59	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1c4dbe…
08-04 10:14:21	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x93398f…
08-04 10:14:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	79¢	$3,950	0x4d095b…
08-04 10:12:51	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa6f5d7…
08-04 10:12:51	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x03afb0…
08-04 10:12:50	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x465197…
08-04 10:12:39	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x36337e…
08-04 10:08:35	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1ee397…