Flashy-Bid 0xc4086b…0f4675 Create alert
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$113.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.2K
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
492
Trades
16,925
lifetime
Volume
$21.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.26K
Open exposure
$108.3K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 16:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Politics
58% 80% +$59,359
Other
38% 78% +$53,093
Crypto
3% 100% +$1,808
Sports
1% 57% -$1,961
Tech
0% 50% +$1,086
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$313
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 569 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +50,316 $45,451 96¢ $48.6K +$3,104 11-04 11:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +27,054 $9,589 58¢ $15.8K +$6,237 11-02 22:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14,296 $12,004 92¢ $13.2K +$1,148 11-04 05:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +10,700 $8,769 91¢ $9.7K +$962 11-04 04:02
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +5,438 $5,432 100¢ $5.4K +$5 11-04 17:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6,049 $2,515 61¢ $3.7K +$1,175 11-04 03:00
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +2,803 $2,800 100¢ $2.8K -$1 11-04 05:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,280 $1,971 85¢ $1.9K -$43 11-04 15:34
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +2,000 $1,660 80¢ $1.6K -$50 11-04 17:43
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? No +1,276 $1,275 100¢ $1.3K +$1 11-04 17:27
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1,000 $871 89¢ $892 +$21 11-02 14:19
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +660 $659 100¢ $659 +$0 11-04 11:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3,484 $1,377 18¢ $627 -$750 10-27 15:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +793 $270 55¢ $438 +$167 10-23 12:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +687 $188 57¢ $395 +$207 11-04 03:01
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$33 2¢ $-257 -$224 08-14 14:09
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +204 $202 100¢ $203 +$1 11-04 14:18
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +197 $187 100¢ $197 +$10 11-04 03:52
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$166 1¢ $-174 -$8 08-14 20:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +300 $146 42¢ $126 -$20 11-03 20:57
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$100 0¢ $-75 +$25 10-23 11:06
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +18,506 $69 0¢ $65 -$4 10-31 17:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +74 $8 70¢ $52 +$44 11-03 15:12
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$17 0¢ $-25 -$8 11-02 15:31
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -16,598 -$33 0¢ $-25 +$8 08-08 08:27
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6,092 -$55 0¢ $-21 +$34 07-24 16:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +11 -$86 98¢ $11 +$97 07-01 14:03
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? Yes +8 $2 100¢ $8 +$6 11-02 21:30
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +0 -$53 100¢ $0 +$53 10-31 04:00