Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$23,704
$140 in 24h
Trades
148
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$29,396
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 16:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-22.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $390
vs crowd: 23% YES on $12.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $33 | $5.6K | $5.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $2.6K | $658 | +$2.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $31 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $125 | $231 | $106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2 | $388 | $386 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $1 | $5.3K | $5.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $13 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Median | 7 | — | $175 | $175 |
| Below median | 8 | $15 | $32 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $8 | $304 | $297 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $31 | $5 | +$26 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1 | $49 | $47 |
| unranked | 31 | $2.8K | $2.1K | +$679 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | +11,058 | $2,614 | $2,614 | 3 | 06-11 21:55 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +4,997 | $3,798 | $3,798 | 1 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Closed-Sailboat 0x758e…bf3f | No | +1,000 | $760 | $760 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +879 | $699 | $699 | 4 | 06-08 12:49 |
| Squeaky-Monument 0x9e80…f694 | No | +750 | $564 | $564 | 2 | 06-14 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | +715 | $541 | $541 | 5 | 06-06 14:24 |
| Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | +500 | $388 | $388 | 1 | 06-01 13:48 |
| Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | +500 | $375 | $375 | 3 | 06-11 21:55 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +430 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-01 13:48 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +385 | $284 | $307 | 3 | 06-14 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +232 | $177 | $177 | 3 | 06-06 15:23 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +219 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-05 22:24 |
| Smug-Sediment 0x3c08…99d7 | No | +169 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 06-05 12:57 |
| Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | +165 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-05 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +84 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-06 15:23 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +75 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-02 11:27 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +66 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-13 08:02 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +50 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-14 22:00 |
| Oval-Grip 0x03bd…d854 | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-01 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fbf…4953 | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-10 13:13 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +41 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4a0…22ee | No | +41 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 16:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | No | +36 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-04 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-02 11:27 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +30 | $21 | $180 | 8 | 06-10 13:13 |
| Aware-Private 0x1748…5e9e | Yes | +29 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-14 20:07 |
| Required-Toothpaste 0x6053…923d | Yes | +28 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-11 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $12 | 6 | 06-15 01:47 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +13 | $10 | $30 | 3 | 06-11 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| Sunny-Retention-Participant 0xd47f…a319 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-01 13:48 |
| Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-06 17:43 |
| Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 08:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x020d…118b | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 11:27 |
| Downright-Loincloth 0x5012…9a5c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 09:51 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 09:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xadf6…704e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 20:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 16:58:07 | (anonymous) 0xc4a0…22ee | No | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x5b8ec5… |
| 06-15 16:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | SELL | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x5b8ec5… |
| 06-15 01:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | BUY | 41 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x6b6de9… |
| 06-15 01:47:21 | (anonymous) 0xb090…28d1 | No | SELL | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0xa2b11b… |
| 06-15 01:47:21 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0xa2b11b… |
| 06-15 01:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x6b6de9… |
| 06-15 01:47:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x6b6de9… |
| 06-14 22:00:40 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 46 | 73¢ | $34 | 0x72a229… |
| 06-14 22:00:40 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x72a229… |
| 06-14 22:00:40 | Squeaky-Monument 0x9e80…f694 | No | BUY | 500 | 73¢ | $366 | 0x72a229… |
| 06-14 22:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x1cd2…772d | No | SELL | 559 | 73¢ | $410 | 0x72a229… |
| 06-14 20:43:01 | Burdensome-Kielbasa 0xf2ab…97a4 | No | SELL | 354 | 74¢ | $262 | 0xaa1aa7… |
| 06-14 20:43:01 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 354 | 74¢ | $262 | 0xaa1aa7… |
| 06-14 20:07:52 | Aware-Private 0x1748…5e9e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x15e0b8… |
| 06-14 20:07:52 | (anonymous) 0xadf6…704e | No | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x15e0b8… |
| 06-14 03:19:00 | (anonymous) 0x8f9c…eeb3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfa4f39… |
| 06-14 03:19:00 | Aware-Private 0x1748…5e9e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfa4f39… |
| 06-14 03:18:34 | Stale-Subsidy 0xb046…d3d1 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xc3374d… |
| 06-14 03:18:34 | Aware-Private 0x1748…5e9e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xc3374d… |
| 06-13 08:02:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 66 | 74¢ | $49 | 0x855d0c… |
| 06-13 08:02:39 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 114 | 25¢ | $29 | 0x855d0c… |
| 06-13 08:02:39 | (anonymous) 0x402b…5130 | No | SELL | 180 | 75¢ | $134 | 0x855d0c… |
| 06-12 20:23:12 | Scientific-Ideal 0x6af6…296e | No | SELL | 241 | 75¢ | $181 | 0x99dd08… |
| 06-12 20:23:12 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 241 | 25¢ | $60 | 0x99dd08… |
| 06-12 18:16:51 | (anonymous) 0xe2cd…6d57 | No | SELL | 236 | 75¢ | $177 | 0xb62e29… |
| 06-12 18:16:51 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 236 | 25¢ | $59 | 0xb62e29… |
| 06-12 00:11:27 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x499025… |
| 06-12 00:11:27 | Decent-Forest 0x55cb…5b72 | No | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x499025… |
| 06-11 21:55:15 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 1,667 | 25¢ | $417 | 0xfc4f8f… |
| 06-11 21:55:15 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | BUY | 1,875 | 25¢ | $469 | 0xfc4f8f… |
| 06-11 21:55:15 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 208 | 75¢ | $156 | 0xfc4f8f… |
| 06-11 20:31:24 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x686c7e… |
| 06-11 20:31:24 | Regular-Bladder 0x88f5…828a | No | SELL | 301 | 75¢ | $227 | 0x686c7e… |
| 06-11 20:31:24 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 277 | 75¢ | $208 | 0x686c7e… |
| 06-11 20:31:24 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x686c7e… |
| 06-11 13:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x022d…960d | No | SELL | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x9b480b… |
| 06-11 13:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xcb05…accb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x9b480b… |
| 06-11 10:06:45 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x714cf8… |
| 06-11 10:06:45 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x714cf8… |
| 06-11 03:00:58 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x9fcac6… |
| 06-11 03:00:58 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x9fcac6… |
| 06-11 03:00:58 | Required-Toothpaste 0x6053…923d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x9fcac6… |
| 06-10 13:15:00 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 560 | 25¢ | $140 | 0x15932a… |
| 06-10 13:15:00 | Adventurous-Apparel 0x5682…97af | No | SELL | 560 | 75¢ | $420 | 0x15932a… |
| 06-10 13:13:22 | Aromatic-Invasion-Everybody 0x3d60…6df2 | No | SELL | 22 | 75¢ | $16 | 0xed5ff9… |
| 06-10 13:13:22 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xed5ff9… |
| 06-10 13:13:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xc557b9… |
| 06-10 13:13:19 | (anonymous) 0x5fbf…4953 | No | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0xc557b9… |
| 06-10 13:13:19 | Adventurous-Apparel 0x5682…97af | No | SELL | 70 | 75¢ | $52 | 0xc557b9… |
| 06-09 08:57:46 | Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x36a369… |
| 06-09 08:57:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x36a369… |
| 06-08 12:49:19 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | SELL | 471 | 78¢ | $367 | 0x3ecd2e… |
| 06-08 12:49:19 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 471 | 78¢ | $367 | 0x3ecd2e… |
| 06-08 07:07:49 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 29 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x827674… |
| 06-08 07:07:49 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x827674… |
| 06-08 07:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x08df…06eb | No | SELL | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x827674… |
| 06-08 07:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x827674… |
| 06-06 17:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf4976d… |
| 06-06 17:43:33 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | BUY | 11 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xf4976d… |
| 06-06 15:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 84 | 76¢ | $64 | 0x5dab33… |
| 06-06 15:23:30 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 24¢ | $21 | 0x5dab33… |
| 06-06 14:24:01 | Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x536c8f… |
| 06-06 14:24:01 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x536c8f… |
| 06-06 14:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | BUY | 28 | 76¢ | $21 | 0x536c8f… |
| 06-06 12:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | BUY | 500 | 76¢ | $379 | 0x947dc1… |
| 06-06 12:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | SELL | 500 | 76¢ | $379 | 0x947dc1… |
| 06-06 12:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x8f9c…eeb3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xeae5e5… |
| 06-06 12:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xeae5e5… |
| 06-06 12:25:37 | Stale-Subsidy 0xb046…d3d1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xaa58d2… |
| 06-06 12:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xaa58d2… |
| 06-06 12:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | BUY | 18 | 76¢ | $14 | 0xaa58d2… |
| 06-06 09:21:31 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x7fdb9a… |
| 06-06 09:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x7fdb9a… |
| 06-05 22:24:54 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x896920… |
| 06-05 22:24:54 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 110 | 23¢ | $25 | 0x896920… |
| 06-05 22:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x896920… |
| 06-05 22:24:54 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 134 | 77¢ | $103 | 0x896920… |
| 06-05 16:12:45 | (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | BUY | 165 | 76¢ | $124 | 0x24b830… |
| 06-05 16:12:45 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | BUY | 165 | 24¢ | $40 | 0x24b830… |
| 06-05 12:57:51 | Smug-Sediment 0x3c08…99d7 | No | BUY | 109 | 77¢ | $84 | 0xea10bc… |
| 06-05 12:57:51 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 109 | 23¢ | $25 | 0xea10bc… |
| 06-05 12:57:42 | Smug-Sediment 0x3c08…99d7 | No | BUY | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0xed7aec… |
| 06-05 12:57:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0xed7aec… |
| 06-05 09:51:46 | Serpentine-Merchant 0x3d70…e9b0 | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x1db3fd… |
| 06-05 09:51:46 | Downright-Loincloth 0x5012…9a5c | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x1db3fd… |
| 06-05 06:28:03 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x37556b… |
| 06-05 06:28:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x37556b… |
| 06-05 04:25:31 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 25¢ | $13 | 0x8060cf… |
| 06-05 04:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x8060cf… |
| 06-05 04:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xbd9e…1944 | No | SELL | 45 | 75¢ | $34 | 0x8060cf… |
| 06-04 16:14:16 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 37 | 73¢ | $27 | 0xa0cb27… |
| 06-04 16:14:16 | (anonymous) 0xf57d…bf12 | No | SELL | 37 | 73¢ | $27 | 0xa0cb27… |
| 06-04 05:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $21 | 0xa47e61… |
| 06-04 05:53:18 | Uneven-Neighborhood 0xc81c…e454 | No | SELL | 48 | 73¢ | $35 | 0xa47e61… |
| 06-04 05:53:18 | (anonymous) 0xf57d…bf12 | No | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0xa47e61… |
| 06-04 01:38:30 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | No | SELL | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0x7929bf… |
| 06-04 01:38:30 | (anonymous) 0xf57d…bf12 | No | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0x7929bf… |
| 06-04 01:38:30 | (anonymous) 0x3791…158f | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7929bf… |
| 06-02 12:21:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 24¢ | $31 | 0x948ba7… |
| 06-02 12:21:00 | Closed-Sailboat 0x758e…bf3f | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x948ba7… |