Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$70,009
$140 in 24h
Trades
614
Unique wallets
236
Liquidity
$29,396
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-28 07:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.5¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 19% YES on $29.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $264 | $7.8K | $7.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 38 | $4.7K | $4.6K | +$63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 57 | $149 | $7.4K | $7.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 121 | $354 | $4.1K | $3.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $114 | $922 | $809 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $1.9K | $7.4K | $5.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $143 | $2.4K | $2.2K |
| Median | 15 | $2 | $297 | $295 |
| Below median | 23 | $88 | $785 | $697 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $25 | $683 | $659 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $69 | $242 | $173 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $21 | $489 | $468 |
| unranked | 141 | $3.1K | $10.8K | $7.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +5,698 | $1,689 | $1,689 | 9 | 07-27 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3072…7601 | No | +5,000 | $3,460 | $3,460 | 1 | 07-21 16:00 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +4,997 | $3,798 | $3,798 | 1 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Squeaky-Monument 0x9e80…f694 | No | +1,927 | $1,451 | $1,451 | 7 | 06-29 17:37 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +1,742 | $1,193 | $1,193 | 8 | 07-16 03:14 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,679 | $1,251 | $1,251 | 5 | 07-20 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c07…2907 | No | +1,506 | $1,054 | $1,054 | 1 | 06-30 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf491…1cb7 | No | +1,015 | $711 | $711 | 1 | 06-30 13:46 |
| Closed-Sailboat 0x758e…bf3f | No | +1,000 | $760 | $760 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +839 | $580 | $603 | 13 | 07-23 11:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | +715 | $541 | $541 | 5 | 06-06 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | +700 | $421 | $421 | 1 | 07-04 20:59 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +665 | $472 | $472 | 11 | 07-27 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cd2…772d | No | +659 | $443 | $1,262 | 2 | 06-30 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x19a7…55fc | No | +637 | $446 | $446 | 1 | 06-30 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +542 | $375 | $375 | 4 | 07-28 06:13 |
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +484 | $111 | $111 | 5 | 06-30 07:31 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +432 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 06-21 23:39 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +430 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-01 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6db…9a93 | No | +378 | $265 | $265 | 1 | 06-30 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +327 | $222 | $222 | 2 | 07-24 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5175…1546 | No | +300 | $203 | $203 | 2 | 07-16 11:19 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +219 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-05 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e1…c580 | Yes | +200 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-20 19:54 |
| Strong-Refrigerator 0x9292…2cd1 | Yes | +200 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-13 20:16 |
| Smug-Sediment 0x3c08…99d7 | No | +169 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 06-05 12:57 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +150 | $126 | $276 | 6 | 07-27 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x808f…87b2 | No | +150 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-14 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc4d…d451 | No | +149 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 06-30 13:54 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +143 | $92 | $92 | 3 | 07-09 11:44 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +140 | $105 | $105 | 5 | 07-25 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe90e…dafa | Yes | +140 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-20 13:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +134 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 07-21 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | +100 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 07-23 11:42 |
| Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | No | +100 | $63 | $63 | 3 | 07-09 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6392…fad5 | Yes | +100 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 07-15 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +84 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-06 15:23 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +80 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-28 07:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0xd01b…1a5d | No | SELL | 80 | 71¢ | $57 | 0xa36edb… |
| 07-28 07:26:00 | Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | BUY | 80 | 71¢ | $57 | 0xa36edb… |
| 07-28 06:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 76 | 69¢ | $53 | 0x61cc4b… |
| 07-28 06:13:06 | (anonymous) 0xab9a…cb7b | No | SELL | 76 | 69¢ | $53 | 0x61cc4b… |
| 07-28 05:02:36 | (anonymous) 0xdae1…7b04 | No | SELL | 61 | 69¢ | $42 | 0x5db344… |
| 07-28 05:02:36 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 61 | 69¢ | $42 | 0x5db344… |
| 07-28 05:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 35 | 69¢ | $24 | 0x03340b… |
| 07-28 05:00:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x03340b… |
| 07-28 05:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x86cb…86a0 | No | SELL | 55 | 69¢ | $38 | 0x03340b… |
| 07-27 15:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x9c8d…8bbb | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x832144… |
| 07-27 15:02:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x832144… |
| 07-27 10:24:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd34126… |
| 07-27 10:24:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x6a1b58… |
| 07-27 10:24:48 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x6a1b58… |
| 07-27 10:24:48 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd34126… |
| 07-27 10:24:37 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x8b0c66… |
| 07-27 10:24:37 | Well-Off-Brook 0x6eb2…a21b | No | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x8b0c66… |
| 07-27 09:32:49 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 200 | 72¢ | $145 | 0x6ffad1… |
| 07-27 09:32:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 28¢ | $9 | 0x6ffad1… |
| 07-27 09:32:49 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 28¢ | $65 | 0x6ffad1… |
| 07-27 03:50:52 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x595158… |
| 07-27 03:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x595158… |
| 07-27 03:50:48 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0xb54937… |
| 07-27 03:50:48 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0xb54937… |
| 07-27 03:50:36 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x3343da… |
| 07-27 03:50:36 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x3343da… |
| 07-27 03:50:21 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0xc086b9… |
| 07-27 03:50:21 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0xc086b9… |
| 07-27 03:46:51 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x8fdbdc… |
| 07-27 03:46:51 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x8fdbdc… |
| 07-27 03:43:16 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xd2cfaf… |
| 07-27 03:43:16 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xd2cfaf… |
| 07-27 03:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x1b4772… |
| 07-27 03:43:03 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x1b4772… |
| 07-27 03:40:49 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xdf45d8… |
| 07-27 03:40:49 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | SELL | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xdf45d8… |
| 07-27 03:40:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 120 | 73¢ | $87 | 0x80615e… |
| 07-27 03:40:45 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 120 | 73¢ | $87 | 0x80615e… |
| 07-27 03:40:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xb1bb86… |
| 07-27 03:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xb1bb86… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 31 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | No | BUY | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 27¢ | $138 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 120 | 73¢ | $88 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-27 03:40:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xcbe2c6… |
| 07-25 18:34:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x2a2ccc… |
| 07-25 18:34:43 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0x2a2ccc… |
| 07-25 17:08:31 | Massive-Recall 0x37c2…64e0 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x4fb781… |
| 07-25 17:08:31 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 27 | 73¢ | $20 | 0x4fb781… |
| 07-25 17:08:31 | Scarce-Cappelletti 0xa0f1…5b5c | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x4fb781… |
| 07-25 17:08:31 | Well-Off-Brook 0x6eb2…a21b | No | BUY | 9 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x4fb781… |
| 07-25 14:16:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x20fc2f… |
| 07-25 14:16:43 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x20fc2f… |
| 07-25 14:16:42 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x6e4e8f… |
| 07-25 14:16:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x6e4e8f… |
| 07-25 14:16:34 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $9 | 0x4cc75c… |
| 07-25 14:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 28¢ | $9 | 0x4cc75c… |
| 07-25 14:16:31 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 47 | 70¢ | $33 | 0x075df3… |
| 07-25 14:16:31 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x075df3… |
| 07-25 14:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x075df3… |
| 07-25 00:07:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0xb8f730… |
| 07-25 00:07:43 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xcca952… |
| 07-25 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x4ffd…438e | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xcca952… |
| 07-25 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x7cbb…8fbd | No | SELL | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0xb8f730… |
| 07-24 13:38:00 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xb7810b… |
| 07-24 13:38:00 | Flashy-Robotics 0xea67…554b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xb7810b… |
| 07-24 13:38:00 | Frizzy-Carabao 0xec95…e9d5 | No | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xb7810b… |
| 07-24 10:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x0e31c3… |
| 07-24 10:34:58 | Frizzy-Carabao 0xec95…e9d5 | No | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x0e31c3… |
| 07-24 10:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x1a06c3… |
| 07-24 10:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xc2a7…3909 | No | SELL | 339 | 69¢ | $235 | 0x1a06c3… |
| 07-24 10:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 369 | 69¢ | $256 | 0x1a06c3… |
| 07-24 08:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x2aa7…6a6a | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x34eba1… |
| 07-24 08:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x34eba1… |
| 07-24 00:35:28 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 31¢ | $37 | 0xd2238e… |
| 07-24 00:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xc2a7…3909 | No | SELL | 121 | 69¢ | $83 | 0xd2238e… |
| 07-23 11:43:43 | Sniveling-Mama 0x9697…0b38 | No | SELL | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x90be6a… |
| 07-23 11:43:43 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x90be6a… |
| 07-23 11:42:25 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x92499e… |
| 07-23 11:42:25 | Sniveling-Mama 0x9697…0b38 | No | SELL | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x92499e… |
| 07-23 08:35:18 | (anonymous) 0xc2a7…3909 | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xc119ae… |
| 07-23 08:35:18 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc119ae… |
| 07-21 19:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x437741… |
| 07-21 19:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x9c8d…8bbb | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x437741… |
| 07-21 19:37:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x9160f5… |
| 07-21 19:37:55 | (anonymous) 0xb24e…c0be | No | SELL | 363 | 68¢ | $247 | 0x9160f5… |
| 07-21 19:37:55 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 322 | 68¢ | $219 | 0x9160f5… |
| 07-21 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x3072…7601 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 69¢ | $3,460 | 0xad85df… |
| 07-21 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0xc2a7…3909 | No | SELL | 287 | 69¢ | $198 | 0xad85df… |
| 07-21 16:00:40 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 72 | 69¢ | $50 | 0xad85df… |
| 07-21 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x7fd3…6020 | No | SELL | 754 | 69¢ | $522 | 0xad85df… |
| 07-21 16:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x94f3…4a17 | No | SELL | 754 | 69¢ | $522 | 0xad85df… |