Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$79,543
$140 in 24h
Trades
755
Unique wallets
263
Liquidity
$29,396
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-16 17:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.4¢
(top1%: 10% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 20% YES on $36.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $305 | $10.0K | $9.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 46 | $6.3K | $7.3K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 67 | $309 | $7.6K | $7.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 127 | $467 | $4.1K | $3.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $114 | $1.0K | $926 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $3.4K | $7.8K | $4.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $146 | $3.0K | $2.8K |
| Median | 17 | $2 | $304 | $302 |
| Below median | 26 | $90 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $25 | $824 | $800 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $109 | $892 | $783 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $21 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| unranked | 157 | $3.4K | $11.4K | $8.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +10,904 | $3,235 | $3,235 | 16 | 08-12 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3072…7601 | No | +5,000 | $3,460 | $3,460 | 1 | 07-21 16:00 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +4,997 | $3,798 | $3,798 | 1 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +2,521 | $1,739 | $1,739 | 9 | 08-05 16:14 |
| Striking-Saucer 0x1e55…e3e2 | No | +2,000 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 2 | 08-12 01:04 |
| Squeaky-Monument 0x9e80…f694 | No | +1,927 | $1,451 | $1,451 | 7 | 06-29 17:37 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +1,679 | $1,251 | $1,251 | 5 | 07-20 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c07…2907 | No | +1,506 | $1,054 | $1,054 | 1 | 06-30 13:41 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +1,165 | $819 | $819 | 12 | 08-02 03:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf491…1cb7 | No | +1,015 | $711 | $711 | 1 | 06-30 13:46 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +1,011 | $699 | $722 | 18 | 08-15 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +1,000 | $692 | $692 | 5 | 08-02 03:42 |
| Closed-Sailboat 0x758e…bf3f | No | +1,000 | $760 | $760 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | +800 | $560 | $560 | 2 | 08-10 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x151d…4497 | No | +715 | $541 | $541 | 5 | 06-06 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x19a7…55fc | No | +637 | $446 | $446 | 1 | 06-30 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $340 | $340 | 3 | 08-02 21:09 |
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +484 | $111 | $111 | 5 | 06-30 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x93d2…49ce | Yes | +473 | $140 | $140 | 2 | 08-10 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +462 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 08-02 21:09 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +432 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 06-21 23:39 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +430 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-01 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6db…9a93 | No | +378 | $265 | $265 | 1 | 06-30 13:56 |
| Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | +300 | $203 | $1,812 | 11 | 08-12 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5175…1546 | No | +300 | $203 | $203 | 2 | 07-16 11:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +290 | $225 | $441 | 9 | 08-10 16:55 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +219 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-05 22:24 |
| Strong-Refrigerator 0x9292…2cd1 | Yes | +200 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-13 20:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e1…c580 | Yes | +200 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-20 19:54 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +200 | $138 | $151 | 5 | 08-03 09:40 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +181 | $125 | $1,039 | 27 | 08-13 10:37 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +181 | $134 | $134 | 7 | 08-13 10:41 |
| Smug-Sediment 0x3c08…99d7 | No | +169 | $130 | $130 | 2 | 06-05 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x808f…87b2 | No | +150 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 07-14 04:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc4d…d451 | No | +149 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 06-30 13:54 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | No | +143 | $92 | $92 | 3 | 07-09 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe90e…dafa | Yes | +140 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-20 13:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +134 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 07-21 09:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +113 | $37 | $51 | 6 | 08-13 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cd2…772d | No | +109 | $64 | $1,640 | 3 | 08-12 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6392…fad5 | Yes | +100 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 07-15 07:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 17:53:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x6a4756… |
| 08-16 17:53:52 | Runny-Carotene 0x7023…db8f | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x6a4756… |
| 08-15 19:06:58 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x94556b… |
| 08-15 19:06:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x94556b… |
| 08-13 10:46:33 | Unsung-Chainstay 0xf2f2…d9a0 | No | SELL | 31 | 68¢ | $21 | 0x0bf7d6… |
| 08-13 10:46:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x0bf7d6… |
| 08-13 10:46:33 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x0bf7d6… |
| 08-13 10:41:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xb8ca34… |
| 08-13 10:41:52 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xb8ca34… |
| 08-13 10:37:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 70¢ | $11 | 0xbf1785… |
| 08-13 10:37:09 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 21 | 70¢ | $15 | 0xbf1785… |
| 08-13 10:37:09 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xbf1785… |
| 08-13 09:49:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x808bb3… |
| 08-13 09:49:42 | Clean-Therapy 0xb442…d6ee | No | BUY | 36 | 69¢ | $25 | 0x808bb3… |
| 08-13 09:49:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x808bb3… |
| 08-12 13:50:09 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 45 | 68¢ | $31 | 0xdfe04e… |
| 08-12 13:50:09 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xdfe04e… |
| 08-12 13:50:09 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x3602a4… |
| 08-12 13:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xdfe04e… |
| 08-12 13:50:09 | Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x3602a4… |
| 08-12 13:50:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0xdfe04e… |
| 08-12 13:50:07 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 50 | 69¢ | $34 | 0x385df9… |
| 08-12 13:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x1cd2…772d | No | SELL | 550 | 69¢ | $378 | 0x385df9… |
| 08-12 13:50:07 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0x385df9… |
| 08-12 13:50:07 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 300 | 69¢ | $206 | 0x385df9… |
| 08-12 13:50:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0x385df9… |
| 08-12 13:50:07 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 50 | 69¢ | $34 | 0x385df9… |
| 08-12 01:04:51 | Striking-Saucer 0x1e55…e3e2 | No | BUY | 1,949 | 70¢ | $1,364 | 0x866392… |
| 08-12 01:04:51 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x866392… |
| 08-12 01:04:51 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,979 | 30¢ | $594 | 0x866392… |
| 08-11 17:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x260335… |
| 08-11 17:32:27 | (anonymous) 0xb4de…cb5c | No | SELL | 125 | 70¢ | $88 | 0x260335… |
| 08-11 17:32:27 | Easy-Going-Level 0x3f1f…feae | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x260335… |
| 08-11 17:32:27 | Striking-Saucer 0x1e55…e3e2 | No | BUY | 51 | 70¢ | $36 | 0x260335… |
| 08-11 17:32:27 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 30¢ | $18 | 0x260335… |
| 08-10 16:55:36 | (anonymous) 0x93d2…49ce | Yes | BUY | 200 | 30¢ | $59 | 0x2c7093… |
| 08-10 16:55:36 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | BUY | 200 | 70¢ | $141 | 0x2c7093… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Sunny-Retention-Participant 0xd47f…a319 | No | SELL | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Easy-Going-Level 0x3f1f…feae | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x5948…6b4c | No | SELL | 46 | 70¢ | $32 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | BUY | 600 | 70¢ | $419 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x93d2…49ce | Yes | BUY | 273 | 30¢ | $81 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 115 | 69¢ | $80 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-10 16:55:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 47 | 70¢ | $33 | 0xc31ab4… |
| 08-08 09:10:12 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x066d5c… |
| 08-08 09:10:12 | (anonymous) 0xb192…ebc8 | No | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x066d5c… |
| 08-08 06:52:10 | (anonymous) 0xb209…2639 | No | SELL | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0xfb937d… |
| 08-08 06:52:10 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | No | BUY | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0xfb937d… |
| 08-08 01:17:49 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 45 | 67¢ | $30 | 0x8367f6… |
| 08-08 01:17:49 | Chilly-Siding 0xcfde…4006 | No | BUY | 45 | 67¢ | $30 | 0x8367f6… |
| 08-08 00:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x9142…45d0 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xbb2e40… |
| 08-08 00:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x7aa0…8d4f | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xbb2e40… |
| 08-08 00:02:06 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | SELL | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xbb2e40… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | (anonymous) 0x8912…90dc | No | SELL | 300 | 71¢ | $214 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 29¢ | $17 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 71¢ | $71 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 47 | 72¢ | $34 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 45 | 71¢ | $32 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-07 08:02:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x9552fa… |
| 08-05 21:55:21 | Recent-Stallion 0x917b…cb42 | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xbcec39… |
| 08-05 21:55:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xbcec39… |
| 08-05 16:14:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 170 | 70¢ | $119 | 0x9783fe… |
| 08-05 16:14:35 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 778 | 70¢ | $546 | 0x9783fe… |
| 08-05 16:14:35 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x9783fe… |
| 08-05 16:14:35 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0x9783fe… |
| 08-05 16:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | SELL | 498 | 70¢ | $349 | 0x9783fe… |
| 08-05 06:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x32e9…1825 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xbff4ec… |
| 08-05 06:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | SELL | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xbff4ec… |
| 08-04 06:27:30 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xd8e843… |
| 08-04 06:27:30 | (anonymous) 0xf8e6…b991 | No | SELL | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xd8e843… |
| 08-04 03:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | SELL | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x87fe73… |
| 08-04 03:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x08f1…fc30 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x87fe73… |
| 08-04 01:32:23 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | No | BUY | 90 | 70¢ | $63 | 0xb7d528… |
| 08-04 01:32:23 | (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | SELL | 90 | 70¢ | $63 | 0xb7d528… |
| 08-03 23:26:54 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x710678… |
| 08-03 23:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x93b7…7d51 | No | SELL | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x710678… |
| 08-03 21:59:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x78293c… |
| 08-03 21:59:08 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x78293c… |
| 08-03 09:40:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0x078784… |
| 08-03 09:40:42 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb86f34… |
| 08-03 09:40:42 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 130 | 69¢ | $89 | 0x078784… |
| 08-03 09:40:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xb86f34… |
| 08-03 09:40:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x078784… |
| 08-02 21:09:15 | Ecstatic-Beanie 0x8c78…13ed | No | BUY | 127 | 67¢ | $85 | 0xb93475… |
| 08-02 21:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 173 | 68¢ | $118 | 0xb93475… |
| 08-02 21:09:15 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xb93475… |
| 08-02 21:09:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 68¢ | $8 | 0xb93475… |
| 08-02 21:09:15 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 462 | 32¢ | $150 | 0xb93475… |
| 08-02 21:09:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0xb93475… |
| 08-02 09:12:24 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x4b5a3d… |
| 08-02 09:12:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x4b5a3d… |
| 08-02 03:42:17 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 500 | 69¢ | $346 | 0x92df64… |
| 08-02 03:42:17 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 458 | 69¢ | $317 | 0x92df64… |
| 08-02 03:42:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 70¢ | $35 | 0x92df64… |
| 08-02 03:42:17 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,058 | 31¢ | $325 | 0x92df64… |
| 08-02 03:42:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 69¢ | $35 | 0x92df64… |