Known-Use 0x21ffd2…a90d71
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.30K
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
633
Trades
594,480
lifetime
Volume
$23.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$75.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
50% 59% $-1,119
Politics
30% 62% $-6,161
Crypto
11% 80% +$1,344
Sports
6% 58% $-192
Tech
2% 100% +$44
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 7882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +10,340 $9,355 100¢ $10.3K +$959 06-23 05:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +3,879 $3,706 100¢ $3.9K +$169 06-16 19:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3,720 $3,263 100¢ $3.7K +$448 06-18 11:29
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +6,077 $3,860 60¢ $3.6K $-244 06-30 21:05
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +6,477 $3,516 55¢ $3.5K +$14 06-30 17:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +3,481 $2,396 100¢ $3.5K +$1,080 06-30 11:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,834 $3,158 86¢ $3.3K +$120 06-30 21:09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +2,977 $2,850 100¢ $3.0K +$121 06-26 20:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +2,765 $2,716 100¢ $2.8K +$46 06-25 23:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,512 $2,199 100¢ $2.5K +$306 06-29 14:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +2,432 $2,274 100¢ $2.4K +$155 07-01 00:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,174 $2,150 75¢ $2.4K +$230 06-30 14:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,739 $2,338 86¢ $2.4K +$32 06-30 13:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,039 $2,052 74¢ $2.3K +$212 06-26 06:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,606 $1,819 59¢ $2.1K +$309 06-30 03:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,252 $1,570 90¢ $2.0K +$467 06-28 00:36
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +2,026 $1,414 100¢ $2.0K +$602 06-29 16:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4,671 $2,316 41¢ $1.9K $-401 06-25 02:03
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +4,267 $1,464 40¢ $1.7K +$264 06-28 21:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,681 $1,838 46¢ $1.7K $-163 06-30 18:21
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +3,568 $2,273 46¢ $1.6K $-649 06-30 05:30
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1,557 $1,490 100¢ $1.5K +$60 06-23 15:56
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +2,832 $898 55¢ $1.5K +$645 06-28 09:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,674 $1,454 56¢ $1.5K +$43 06-29 13:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +1,491 $1,440 100¢ $1.5K +$50 06-19 13:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,724 $1,327 86¢ $1.5K +$148 06-29 10:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,450 $1,383 100¢ $1.4K +$65 06-22 00:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,435 $1,286 100¢ $1.4K +$144 06-28 13:46
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,425 $1,376 100¢ $1.4K +$48 06-29 23:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,440 $1,356 96¢ $1.4K +$22 06-27 15:54