Known-Use 0x21ffd2…a90d71
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.31K
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
633
Trades
594,836
lifetime
Volume
$23.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$56.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
50% 59% $-1,119
Politics
30% 62% $-6,161
Crypto
11% 80% +$1,344
Sports
6% 58% $-192
Tech
2% 100% +$44
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 7882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3,720 $3,263 100¢ $3.7K +$441 06-18 11:29
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +6,276 $3,979 58¢ $3.7K $-308 07-01 05:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,109 $3,516 86¢ $3.5K $-2 07-01 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,646 $2,996 86¢ $3.2K +$157 07-01 07:29
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5,523 $2,991 55¢ $3.0K +$46 07-01 07:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,512 $2,199 100¢ $2.5K +$308 06-29 14:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,174 $2,150 76¢ $2.4K +$246 06-30 14:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,039 $2,052 74¢ $2.3K +$212 06-26 06:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,606 $1,819 58¢ $2.1K +$291 06-30 03:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,252 $1,570 90¢ $2.0K +$467 06-28 00:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4,671 $2,316 42¢ $1.9K $-378 06-25 02:03
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +3,345 $1,175 55¢ $1.8K +$648 07-01 07:25
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +4,267 $1,464 42¢ $1.8K +$307 06-28 21:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +3,681 $1,838 45¢ $1.7K $-181 06-30 18:21
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +3,568 $2,273 46¢ $1.6K $-649 06-30 05:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2,674 $1,454 57¢ $1.5K +$70 06-29 13:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,724 $1,327 86¢ $1.5K +$156 06-29 10:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,435 $1,286 100¢ $1.4K +$147 06-28 13:46
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,425 $1,376 100¢ $1.4K +$48 06-29 23:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,440 $1,356 96¢ $1.4K +$23 06-27 15:54
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2,158 $1,072 62¢ $1.3K +$255 06-30 14:57
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1,336 $1,253 97¢ $1.3K +$45 06-30 03:45
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,330 $1,561 38¢ $1.3K $-280 07-01 01:49
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,375 $1,243 92¢ $1.3K +$27 07-01 08:00
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,302 $1,187 94¢ $1.2K +$33 06-27 08:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,514 $527 76¢ $1.2K +$624 06-27 18:38
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,266 $934 88¢ $1.1K +$173 06-28 07:35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays +2,835 $1,532 39¢ $1.1K $-426 06-30 03:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,621 $1,216 64¢ $1.0K $-170 06-30 16:29
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,147 $1,060 91¢ $1.0K $-16 06-28 19:29