Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
open
Total volume
$842,055
Trades
752
Unique wallets
183
Liquidity
$7,445
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-13 10:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 8% YES on $424.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $70 | $2.7K | $2.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $216 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 46 | $32.0K | $386.5K | $354.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 95 | $218 | $1.7K | $1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $17 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $121 | $1.7K | $1.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $324 | $320 |
| Median | 24 | $1 | $411 | $410 |
| Below median | 27 | $33 | $431 | $397 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $20 | $94 | $74 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $24 | $131 | $107 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $313 | $313 |
| unranked | 94 | $32.2K | $387.7K | $355.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horrible-Pitcher 0xf939…16af | Yes | +5,444 | $440 | $63,452 | 156 | 06-08 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xef45…c583 | No | +5,444 | $5,008 | $45,076 | 9 | 05-30 11:39 |
| Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | +1,125 | $1,059 | $1,059 | 1 | 05-30 20:09 |
| Unwieldy-Stamp 0x506b…b0fe | No | +700 | $651 | $651 | 6 | 05-31 10:21 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +400 | $20 | $68 | 3 | 05-31 21:04 |
| Advanced-Petitioner 0x2e62…b22e | Yes | +300 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-31 21:04 |
| Obedient-Mini 0x3806…d265 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-29 14:24 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 05-31 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x722e…51af | No | +200 | $186 | $186 | 5 | 05-29 21:22 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard 0x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | +157 | $1 | $31 | 2 | 06-09 11:43 |
| Extroverted-Narrative 0x9c48…b968 | No | +145 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 05-30 10:42 |
| Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | +131 | $8 | $66 | 11 | 06-02 15:28 |
| Hard-To-Find-Solicitor 0xf7cc…8c9e | No | +128 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-29 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xfac0…fdd8 | Yes | +121 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-30 21:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa15b…8ff7 | No | +115 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 06-09 11:43 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 22:55 |
| Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | +100 | $96 | $284 | 4 | 06-02 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b13…28df | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 05-31 10:21 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +89 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 05-30 21:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x94e6…2d1f | Yes | +84 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 14:27 |
| Suspicious-Plane-Literate 0xba91…1f7f | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 20:09 |
| Fruitful-Promenade-Spirit 0xf031…2883 | No | +80 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 06-01 04:28 |
| Lovable-Feedback 0xd35a…8cc7 | No | +80 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-07 05:43 |
| Snappy-Danger 0xe6c3…9ed6 | No | +74 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-30 18:31 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +73 | $66 | $560 | 16 | 06-13 08:53 |
| Interesting-Rest 0xd9b4…2d6c | Yes | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 17:47 |
| Basic-Hamster 0x5824…69a9 | No | +70 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-29 14:24 |
| Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | Yes | +69 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-08 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 4 | 06-12 06:54 |
| Yellow-Alphabet 0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | +56 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 06-05 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x280d…9faa | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-07 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf53…415d | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-30 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf3b…be1d | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 06-05 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ec4…2e6a | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-29 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3641…0ff8 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 05-29 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x75b4…3c45 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-12 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +41 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 21:22 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 7 | 05-31 04:02 |
| Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-29 18:33 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 05-31 04:17 |
| Secondary-Maximum 0xa5c7…7e7b | No | +28 | $26 | $81 | 3 | 06-09 11:48 |
| Moral-Countryside 0xb1c9…bf22 | Yes | +27 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-13 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6815…e527 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-03 01:37 |
| Affectionate-Woman 0x551a…86b9 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-31 17:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-30 01:41 |
| Glorious-Bacterium 0xadd2…9d0f | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-29 22:33 |
| Lucky-Corps 0xc78d…87eb | No | +22 | $20 | $63 | 3 | 06-09 11:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6dc…3644 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf156…8623 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +16 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 06-12 22:54 |
| Rigid-Monitor 0x00b1…bf06 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 18:06 |
| Buoyant-Molasses 0xc6ba…b46d | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 16:29 |
| Better-Rheumatism 0x9287…41f2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 15:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 10:11:18 | (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xfe91cb… |
| 06-13 10:11:18 | Delightful-Pilgrim 0xf695…0a19 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xfe91cb… |
| 06-13 08:53:51 | (anonymous) 0x8091…064f | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6c87c3… |
| 06-13 08:53:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6c87c3… |
| 06-12 22:54:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x3b9870… |
| 06-12 22:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3b9870… |
| 06-12 11:18:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2aa2c2… |
| 06-12 11:18:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2aa2c2… |
| 06-12 08:46:13 | Late-Hugger 0x7886…b35e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xedbcca… |
| 06-12 08:46:13 | (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xedbcca… |
| 06-12 06:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x7d3f1f… |
| 06-12 06:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x75b4…3c45 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x7d3f1f… |
| 06-12 06:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xc2cf…c231 | No | SELL | 106 | 96¢ | $102 | 0x7d3f1f… |
| 06-12 06:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x7d3f1f… |
| 06-11 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0x2d56…080c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xffb72e… |
| 06-11 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xffb72e… |
| 06-11 13:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x2d56…080c | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x209ce7… |
| 06-11 13:08:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x209ce7… |
| 06-11 13:07:03 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x377b21… |
| 06-11 13:07:03 | (anonymous) 0x2d56…080c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x377b21… |
| 06-11 11:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x2d56…080c | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x283909… |
| 06-11 11:55:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x283909… |
| 06-11 11:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x2d56…080c | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe061b1… |
| 06-11 11:54:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd9b…5124 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe061b1… |
| 06-11 11:44:09 | (anonymous) 0x2d56…080c | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x029ca9… |
| 06-11 11:44:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x029ca9… |
| 06-11 11:09:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x1cef56… |
| 06-11 11:09:10 | Perfumed-Handrail-Light 0x11f1…6c0c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1cef56… |
| 06-10 08:47:19 | Concerned-Formamide 0x79b2…4e6e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x803b1d… |
| 06-10 08:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x803b1d… |
| 06-10 07:22:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe9e19e… |
| 06-10 07:22:46 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe9e19e… |
| 06-09 17:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x1059…cf70 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xa89cb4… |
| 06-09 17:20:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xa89cb4… |
| 06-09 17:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x1059…cf70 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb675a0… |
| 06-09 17:17:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb675a0… |
| 06-09 11:48:00 | Big-Hearted-Pamphlet 0xe2bf…cb5a | No | SELL | 116 | 96¢ | $111 | 0x22a7b1… |
| 06-09 11:48:00 | Secondary-Maximum 0xa5c7…7e7b | No | BUY | 28 | 96¢ | $27 | 0x22a7b1… |
| 06-09 11:48:00 | Lucky-Corps 0xc78d…87eb | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x22a7b1… |
| 06-09 11:48:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 67 | 95¢ | $64 | 0x22a7b1… |
| 06-09 11:43:16 | Shameless-Workout-Orchard 0x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | SELL | 381 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x266308… |
| 06-09 11:43:16 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 62 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x266308… |
| 06-09 11:43:16 | (anonymous) 0xa15b…8ff7 | No | BUY | 115 | 96¢ | $111 | 0x266308… |
| 06-09 11:43:16 | Far-Triangle 0x90ca…08a3 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x266308… |
| 06-09 11:43:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 190 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x266308… |
| 06-09 11:43:16 | Favorable-Density 0xee67…88df | No | SELL | 763 | 96¢ | $734 | 0x266308… |
| 06-09 00:53:13 | Infinite-Skylight 0x3dba…ec65 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x0d8d80… |
| 06-09 00:53:13 | Far-Triangle 0x90ca…08a3 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x0d8d80… |
| 06-08 07:31:12 | Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf55761… |
| 06-08 07:31:12 | Horrible-Pitcher 0xf939…16af | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf55761… |
| 06-07 16:33:40 | (anonymous) 0xc29d…776d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x4d8a9e… |
| 06-07 16:33:40 | Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4d8a9e… |
| 06-07 14:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x94e6…2d1f | Yes | BUY | 84 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xe1b674… |
| 06-07 14:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x280d…9faa | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $38 | 0xe1b674… |
| 06-07 14:27:46 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 38 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe1b674… |
| 06-07 14:27:46 | (anonymous) 0x9c1c…4bc6 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe1b674… |
| 06-07 11:24:25 | Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x969572… |
| 06-07 11:24:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x969572… |
| 06-07 11:24:25 | Stimulating-Rib 0x3900…658a | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x969572… |
| 06-07 05:43:46 | Jittery-Leek 0xdf5e…4168 | No | SELL | 27 | 97¢ | $26 | 0xf7be20… |
| 06-07 05:43:46 | Lovable-Feedback 0xd35a…8cc7 | No | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xf7be20… |
| 06-07 05:43:46 | Icy-Patriot 0x2c45…014b | No | SELL | 53 | 97¢ | $52 | 0xf7be20… |
| 06-07 05:42:54 | Necessary-Battle-Pork 0x56d2…70a3 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x81ed64… |
| 06-07 05:42:54 | Jittery-Leek 0xdf5e…4168 | No | SELL | 78 | 97¢ | $75 | 0x81ed64… |
| 06-06 02:47:58 | Jittery-Leek 0xdf5e…4168 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2f0017… |
| 06-06 02:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x2f0017… |
| 06-05 19:20:10 | Scrawny-Target 0xdd45…8718 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xcb9d83… |
| 06-05 19:20:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcb9d83… |
| 06-05 18:41:48 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x56eec8… |
| 06-05 18:41:48 | Muffled-Speaker 0x6c9f…3af8 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x56eec8… |
| 06-05 18:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xaf3b…be1d | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x3bff31… |
| 06-05 18:26:58 | Orange-Paramecium 0x607a…acaa | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x3bff31… |
| 06-05 18:26:58 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bff31… |
| 06-05 14:50:06 | Yellow-Alphabet 0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8dae1e… |
| 06-05 14:50:06 | Glass-Payoff-Styling 0xdec8…933c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8dae1e… |
| 06-05 14:50:06 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x8dae1e… |
| 06-05 14:49:28 | Glass-Payoff-Styling 0xdec8…933c | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7487e5… |
| 06-05 14:49:28 | (anonymous) 0xaf3b…be1d | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x7487e5… |
| 06-05 02:05:57 | (anonymous) 0x0391…0c31 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x8483f5… |
| 06-05 02:05:57 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8483f5… |
| 06-04 17:05:37 | Yellow-Alphabet 0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa3155d… |
| 06-04 17:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa3155d… |
| 06-04 16:31:07 | Yellow-Alphabet 0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x796b2b… |
| 06-04 16:31:07 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x796b2b… |
| 06-04 11:31:10 | (anonymous) 0x280d…9faa | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x24f19a… |
| 06-04 11:31:10 | Gigantic-Radio 0x0a62…991f | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x24f19a… |
| 06-03 12:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x280d…9faa | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x57054d… |
| 06-03 12:02:44 | Melodic-Portion 0x772d…0deb | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x57054d… |
| 06-03 12:02:44 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x57054d… |
| 06-03 03:41:39 | (anonymous) 0xa9e3…d590 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2b9adc… |
| 06-03 03:41:39 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2b9adc… |
| 06-03 01:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1349d6… |
| 06-03 01:37:43 | Youthful-Whirlpool 0xdeba…9ff9 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1349d6… |
| 06-03 01:37:43 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1349d6… |
| 06-02 16:41:37 | Juvenile-Charlatan 0x1391…67cf | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xff2876… |
| 06-02 16:41:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xff2876… |
| 06-02 15:28:40 | Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x621209… |
| 06-02 15:28:40 | Moral-Countryside 0xb1c9…bf22 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x621209… |
| 06-02 15:28:40 | Straight-Seed 0xa7d9…b492 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x621209… |
| 06-02 15:28:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x621209… |