Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$534
Hit rate
42.8%
Resolved
92
Trades
185
lifetime
Volume
$907
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$85
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-26 21:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
79% 42% -$18
Politics
8% 44% -$43
Crypto
8% 57% +$6
Tech
2% 71% +$3
Sports
2% 46% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,937 $599 4¢ $72 -$527 09-17 12:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-13 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 22:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 08-05 16:11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-08 12:28
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-19 13:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-18 21:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-23 14:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +33 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 10-04 15:21
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-22 12:19
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-09 12:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-28 16:59
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +104 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-02 15:35
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 09-22 13:56
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +36 $1 1¢ $0 $0 09-30 14:40
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +19 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-30 16:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-24 12:55
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +13 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-11 21:14
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-30 20:03