Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
open
Total volume
$7,525,578
$79,472 in 24h
Trades
23,061
Unique wallets
4,887
Liquidity
$1,251,786
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-14 00:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.6¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $188.4K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $4.10M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 115 | $34.6K | $2.73M | $2.70M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 292 | $17.6K | $805.4K | $787.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 999 | $149.5K | $203.1K | $53.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3,481 | $37.2K | $119.0K | $81.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 53 | $15.9K | $172.5K | $156.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 140 | $11.7K | $1.32M | $1.31M |
| ✅ Top 10% | 90 | $2.5K | $40.2K | $37.7K |
| Median | 514 | $8.3K | $32.0K | $23.7K |
| Below median | 798 | $7.9K | $37.3K | $29.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 98 | $1.5K | $4.4K | $2.8K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 116 | $43.0K | $72.5K | $29.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 42 | $2.8K | $186.2K | $183.4K |
| unranked | 3,036 | $145.4K | $1.99M | $1.85M |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scaly-Tracksuit 0xa2cd…2ba0 | No | +1,294,848 | $1,135,713 | $1,135,713 | 221 | 06-11 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xea42…6b0d | No | +914,735 | $847,479 | $847,479 | 594 | 07-28 22:53 |
| Neglected-Antibody 0x2881…2091 | Yes | +174,813 | $13,210 | $38,553 | 10 | 07-08 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | +136,826 | $9,233 | $13,404 | 196 | 07-13 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x115a…e4a6 | Yes | +114,805 | $12,074 | $15,021 | 128 | 08-09 18:38 |
| Thorny-Trout 0xe192…c237 | Yes | +114,244 | $14,050 | $14,050 | 71 | 06-23 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b98…b1be | Yes | +112,000 | $17,920 | $17,920 | 6 | 06-03 20:47 |
| Slimy-Obligation 0x392b…352a | Yes | +103,426 | $12,476 | $20,156 | 144 | 08-05 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cb5…b536 | No | +91,000 | $83,160 | $83,160 | 3 | 07-20 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa829…691d | Yes | +79,033 | $4,771 | $4,771 | 20 | 08-04 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d6f…6292 | Yes | +69,509 | $11,040 | $11,040 | 7 | 06-02 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb09d…64c8 | Yes | +51,232 | $5,211 | $13,211 | 103 | 08-09 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc71…d033 | No | +50,000 | $43,000 | $43,000 | 1 | 06-04 11:59 |
| Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | +42,979 | $40,134 | $40,134 | 13 | 08-07 21:24 |
| Ready-Hurdle 0xf2d3…dcbd | Yes | +30,028 | $3,003 | $3,003 | 6 | 06-20 11:50 |
| Periodic-Checkroom 0x6c08…5c69 | Yes | +24,000 | $1,700 | $1,929 | 32 | 08-10 01:46 |
| Exhausted-Tanktop 0x8349…c99d | No | +23,659 | $21,766 | $21,766 | 6 | 07-01 15:03 |
| Neat-Yarmulke 0x3bcf…e964 | No | +23,566 | $22,252 | $23,932 | 25 | 08-04 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3939…56ee | No | +22,818 | $20,411 | $110,533 | 207 | 06-19 20:59 |
| Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | +21,242 | $19,711 | $19,711 | 7 | 07-15 14:19 |
| Periodic-Checkroom 0x6c08…5c69 | No | +20,900 | $19,200 | $31,540 | 70 | 08-05 17:47 |
| Bare-Toothpaste 0x8c76…06ac | No | +20,362 | $17,351 | $17,351 | 39 | 06-08 10:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf1c…2ebb | No | +20,000 | $18,200 | $18,200 | 1 | 06-20 12:34 |
| Kosher-Refuse 0x2117…5c26 | No | +18,374 | $16,760 | $25,404 | 21 | 08-06 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7008…c666 | Yes | +18,022 | $3,181 | $7,380 | 9 | 05-29 10:10 |
| Awesome-Availability 0xb1ca…1705 | No | +18,000 | $16,380 | $16,380 | 2 | 07-10 20:33 |
| Kosher-Refuse 0x2117…5c26 | Yes | +17,943 | $2,023 | $3,869 | 12 | 07-16 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8147…4fbf | Yes | +15,481 | $2,435 | $2,435 | 3 | 05-29 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5712…09a9 | No | +14,408 | $8,678 | $143,851 | 143 | 06-17 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xc19f…9d86 | No | +13,414 | $12,500 | $12,500 | 10 | 07-11 08:19 |
| Wise-Paperback 0x45a3…23e6 | Yes | +13,084 | $785 | $785 | 1 | 08-05 04:48 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +12,786 | $12,003 | $12,757 | 25 | 07-17 22:20 |
| Potable-Iris 0xe306…627e | No | +12,000 | $10,080 | $10,080 | 1 | 06-03 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa33c…3d94 | No | +11,555 | $9,938 | $9,938 | 2 | 06-05 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd96…56b4 | No | +11,518 | $10,498 | $10,889 | 7 | 07-11 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ce6…26bd | Yes | +11,362 | $1,297 | $1,297 | 10 | 06-16 03:48 |
| Noisy-Stonework 0x6561…e3c2 | Yes | +10,000 | $500 | $500 | 13 | 08-03 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x68bf…261e | Yes | +9,649 | $675 | $675 | 1 | 07-08 23:20 |
| Unhappy-Fillet 0x1cf7…fa07 | Yes | +9,302 | $905 | $905 | 15 | 07-23 06:10 |
| Zealous-Dogwood 0x1e5a…935f | Yes | +8,660 | $1,027 | $1,027 | 14 | 08-10 21:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 00:14:49 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 1,542 | 96¢ | $1,480 | 0xf009f1… |
| 08-14 00:14:49 | (anonymous) 0x4d6f…6c76 | Yes | SELL | 1,542 | 4¢ | $62 | 0xf009f1… |
| 08-13 19:09:36 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 4,800 | 5¢ | $240 | 0x6b8966… |
| 08-13 19:09:36 | Agonizing-Flight 0x1bed…749d | Yes | BUY | 4,800 | 5¢ | $240 | 0x6b8966… |
| 08-13 17:15:22 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 382 | 5¢ | $19 | 0x779ea5… |
| 08-13 17:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x8cce…e599 | No | SELL | 382 | 95¢ | $363 | 0x779ea5… |
| 08-13 17:01:54 | (anonymous) 0xde2a…725e | No | BUY | 833 | 96¢ | $800 | 0xa6e8e0… |
| 08-13 17:01:54 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 833 | 96¢ | $800 | 0xa6e8e0… |
| 08-13 16:31:57 | Vain-Hearsay 0x146d…17c7 | Yes | SELL | 550 | 4¢ | $22 | 0x286cc3… |
| 08-13 16:31:57 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 550 | 96¢ | $528 | 0x286cc3… |
| 08-13 16:26:57 | Unhappy-Cape 0x0815…3eb1 | Yes | SELL | 1,670 | 4¢ | $67 | 0x0c5f4d… |
| 08-13 16:26:57 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 1,670 | 96¢ | $1,603 | 0x0c5f4d… |
| 08-13 15:05:30 | (anonymous) 0xcbb2…a3f1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3f9fdc… |
| 08-13 15:05:30 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 36 | 96¢ | $35 | 0x3f9fdc… |
| 08-13 14:54:09 | (anonymous) 0xce64…3248 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x0e3a6f… |
| 08-13 14:54:09 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x0e3a6f… |
| 08-13 14:03:24 | Good-Natured-Copying 0x6e52…6f0d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3c409a… |
| 08-13 14:03:24 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3c409a… |
| 08-13 13:22:22 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x10653b… |
| 08-13 13:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x207a…de25 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x10653b… |
| 08-13 13:09:03 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 964 | 5¢ | $48 | 0x8d95d8… |
| 08-13 13:09:03 | Coarse-Campaign 0x60b5…2a1b | No | SELL | 964 | 95¢ | $916 | 0x8d95d8… |
| 08-13 12:39:57 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 909 | 96¢ | $873 | 0x0e7772… |
| 08-13 12:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x32b4…1b76 | Yes | SELL | 909 | 4¢ | $36 | 0x0e7772… |
| 08-13 11:46:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3d987d… |
| 08-13 11:46:06 | (anonymous) 0xcd6a…91bb | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3d987d… |
| 08-13 10:53:54 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xbda160… |
| 08-13 10:53:54 | Distorted-Spelt 0xca53…0d26 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0xbda160… |
| 08-13 09:55:27 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf69705… |
| 08-13 09:55:27 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xf69705… |
| 08-13 09:48:40 | Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x46ffe8… |
| 08-13 09:48:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x46ffe8… |
| 08-13 08:38:09 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1e43b1… |
| 08-13 08:38:09 | Incomplete-Ejector 0x88db…da63 | No | SELL | 36 | 95¢ | $35 | 0x1e43b1… |
| 08-13 07:58:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 2,106 | 5¢ | $105 | 0xb66342… |
| 08-13 07:58:21 | Worthwhile-Piece 0xa4c3…bbb2 | No | SELL | 2,106 | 95¢ | $2,001 | 0xb66342… |
| 08-13 06:50:37 | (anonymous) 0xc9f1…137c | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x1eda16… |
| 08-13 06:50:37 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x1eda16… |
| 08-13 06:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xaa46…25f4 | No | SELL | 95 | 95¢ | $90 | 0x11a67c… |
| 08-13 06:04:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 95 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x11a67c… |
| 08-13 03:46:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9d269d… |
| 08-13 03:46:49 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | SELL | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x9d269d… |
| 08-13 03:36:06 | (anonymous) 0x6537…7074 | No | SELL | 27 | 95¢ | $26 | 0x0f1a51… |
| 08-13 03:36:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0f1a51… |
| 08-13 03:28:42 | Dramatic-Reluctance 0x6d8f…8d48 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xb5f96f… |
| 08-13 03:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb5f96f… |
| 08-13 03:19:28 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 36 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x7ec52e… |
| 08-13 03:19:28 | Lighthearted-Felony 0xffff…ffb0 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7ec52e… |
| 08-13 02:03:25 | (anonymous) 0xd38b…bebd | Yes | SELL | 909 | 4¢ | $36 | 0x2a0767… |
| 08-13 02:03:25 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 909 | 96¢ | $873 | 0x2a0767… |
| 08-12 21:12:37 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x59ec8b… |
| 08-12 21:12:37 | (anonymous) 0x6319…0edf | No | SELL | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x59ec8b… |
| 08-12 21:07:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1117a1… |
| 08-12 21:07:00 | Artistic-Cria 0xd6fb…59e6 | No | SELL | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x1117a1… |
| 08-12 20:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 117 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x01334b… |
| 08-12 20:04:40 | Fragrant-Impediment 0x6274…7226 | No | SELL | 117 | 95¢ | $111 | 0x01334b… |
| 08-12 19:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xf96d…4b79 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x847262… |
| 08-12 19:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x847262… |
| 08-12 19:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x47db…9b16 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x246e5a… |
| 08-12 19:04:18 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 250 | 96¢ | $240 | 0x246e5a… |
| 08-12 18:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x7b90…d0c4 | No | SELL | 409 | 95¢ | $389 | 0xfa0135… |
| 08-12 18:53:27 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 409 | 5¢ | $20 | 0xfa0135… |
| 08-12 18:47:21 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xc492cd… |
| 08-12 18:47:21 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0xc492cd… |
| 08-12 18:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x7758…f158 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x09ae3c… |
| 08-12 18:31:03 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x09ae3c… |
| 08-12 16:24:15 | (anonymous) 0x12fb…b892 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0xdc4c77… |
| 08-12 16:24:15 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xdc4c77… |
| 08-12 16:13:15 | (anonymous) 0xa7c7…a6f8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa9374b… |
| 08-12 16:13:15 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xa9374b… |
| 08-12 15:52:30 | Quizzical-Accelerant 0x49b0…efd5 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0xd93f6e… |
| 08-12 15:52:30 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 5¢ | $50 | 0xd93f6e… |
| 08-12 15:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x676029… |
| 08-12 15:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xa7c7…a6f8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x676029… |
| 08-12 15:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 1,055 | 5¢ | $53 | 0x322b24… |
| 08-12 15:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x623a…5e86 | No | SELL | 1,055 | 95¢ | $1,002 | 0x322b24… |
| 08-12 14:51:30 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 163 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x49d843… |
| 08-12 14:51:30 | Optimal-Paramedic 0x027c…60f2 | No | SELL | 163 | 95¢ | $155 | 0x49d843… |
| 08-12 14:28:43 | Hateful-Intent 0x6239…f2d4 | Yes | SELL | 2,075 | 4¢ | $83 | 0x2b6655… |
| 08-12 14:28:43 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 2,075 | 96¢ | $1,992 | 0x2b6655… |
| 08-12 14:28:25 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 2,075 | 5¢ | $104 | 0xbda730… |
| 08-12 14:28:25 | Hateful-Intent 0x6239…f2d4 | No | SELL | 2,075 | 95¢ | $1,971 | 0xbda730… |
| 08-12 13:08:57 | Yawning-Trainer 0x1c02…6930 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x555770… |
| 08-12 13:08:57 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x555770… |
| 08-12 12:36:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc15…62e9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4f7215… |
| 08-12 12:36:33 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x4f7215… |
| 08-12 12:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 5,433 | 5¢ | $272 | 0x682f86… |
| 08-12 12:21:58 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | SELL | 5,433 | 95¢ | $5,161 | 0x682f86… |
| 08-12 11:33:10 | Sleepy-Remote 0xc413…2ca4 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x6c824a… |
| 08-12 11:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6c824a… |
| 08-12 09:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x762e…f2a8 | No | SELL | 27 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x36f8c0… |
| 08-12 09:37:15 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x36f8c0… |
| 08-12 08:50:21 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x30e746… |
| 08-12 08:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x0253…e6bd | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x30e746… |
| 08-12 06:16:48 | Neighboring-Mutt 0xf21f…d898 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xf91935… |
| 08-12 06:16:48 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf91935… |
| 08-12 06:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xaf23…377f | Yes | SELL | 323 | 5¢ | $16 | 0x2da1bc… |
| 08-12 06:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xa168…ffc3 | No | SELL | 323 | 95¢ | $307 | 0x2da1bc… |
| 08-12 05:55:42 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x24dda9… |
| 08-12 05:55:42 | Flashy-Cigarette 0x2824…a954 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x24dda9… |