Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
open
Total volume
$17,261,051
$342,505 in 24h
Trades
59,370
Unique wallets
10,067
Liquidity
$524,735
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 19:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $3.10M
vs crowd: 9% YES on $10.07M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 292 | $128.7K | $6.13M | $6.00M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 684 | $217.7K | $2.11M | $1.89M |
| 🐟 Fish | 2,044 | $415.7K | $704.2K | $288.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7,047 | $94.9K | $266.1K | $171.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 336 | $196.1K | $2.91M | $2.71M |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 647 | $61.0K | $1.13M | $1.07M |
| ✅ Top 10% | 606 | $5.7K | $154.2K | $148.4K |
| Median | 2,638 | $7.7K | $155.3K | $147.6K |
| Below median | 3,765 | $42.0K | $397.5K | $355.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 699 | $17.6K | $133.1K | $115.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 604 | $173.0K | $535.0K | $362.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 367 | $162.9K | $3.60M | $3.43M |
| unranked | 405 | $190.8K | $196.8K | $6.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scaly-Tracksuit 0xa2cd…2ba0 | No | +1,455,976 | $1,270,874 | $1,270,874 | 223 | 06-11 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf695…17ac | Yes | +919,827 | $32,394 | $32,394 | 232 | 10-14 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xea42…6b0d | No | +919,337 | $851,804 | $851,804 | 603 | 07-29 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f6…3fd4 | Yes | +888,366 | $36,711 | $38,867 | 247 | 10-26 19:10 |
| Wilted-Echidna 0x8c80…02c3 | No | +450,378 | $367,141 | $367,141 | 64 | 05-08 13:52 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +389,345 | $368,918 | $551,311 | 374 | 10-23 13:41 |
| Thorny-Trout 0xe192…c237 | Yes | +315,886 | $43,937 | $43,937 | 264 | 06-23 21:38 |
| Obvious-Solidarity 0x6ff0…7760 | Yes | +296,428 | $53,390 | $53,390 | 45 | 05-11 11:52 |
| Neglected-Antibody 0x2881…2091 | Yes | +254,825 | $28,320 | $53,662 | 19 | 07-08 08:17 |
| Perfect-Plier 0xa3a3…c2f9 | No | +197,974 | $181,516 | $181,516 | 9 | 10-25 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa829…691d | Yes | +183,342 | $9,356 | $9,356 | 56 | 10-26 14:37 |
| Yearly-Riot-Pantry 0x6ed9…ed43 | Yes | +176,824 | $33,887 | $33,887 | 5 | 05-08 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cb5…b536 | No | +91,000 | $83,160 | $83,160 | 3 | 07-20 18:21 |
| Favorable-Webinar 0xac48…2feb | No | +90,771 | $78,971 | $78,971 | 2 | 05-15 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0633…e789 | Yes | +83,000 | $12,810 | $12,810 | 186 | 05-27 13:51 |
| Periodic-Checkroom 0x6c08…5c69 | Yes | +78,700 | $4,779 | $5,025 | 159 | 09-16 10:07 |
| Periodic-Checkroom 0x6c08…5c69 | No | +77,900 | $72,980 | $97,012 | 240 | 09-15 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d6f…6292 | Yes | +69,509 | $11,040 | $11,040 | 7 | 06-02 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf36…fb53 | Yes | +62,461 | $2,403 | $2,403 | 5 | 09-08 07:42 |
| Detailed-Poison 0xad96…d498 | No | +59,938 | $57,820 | $57,820 | 12 | 10-12 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa3b…6900 | Yes | +56,679 | $9,626 | $22,839 | 252 | 10-09 16:20 |
| Remorseful-Island 0x4d14…2366 | No | +51,824 | $49,301 | $49,301 | 33 | 10-23 13:01 |
| Wise-Paperback 0x45a3…23e6 | Yes | +51,404 | $7,083 | $7,083 | 3 | 08-05 04:48 |
| Nimble-Pit 0x3006…e9f4 | No | +50,682 | $43,424 | $43,424 | 5 | 05-14 22:42 |
| Slimy-Obligation 0x392b…352a | Yes | +50,670 | $17,359 | $33,283 | 180 | 10-25 11:09 |
| Nippy-Detainment 0x6b25…8963 | No | +46,741 | $39,730 | $39,730 | 1 | 05-26 07:51 |
| Kosher-Refuse 0x2117…5c26 | No | +44,985 | $42,241 | $50,884 | 37 | 10-23 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x33d2…952e | No | +42,271 | $40,612 | $123,916 | 97 | 09-21 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc8d…dd77 | Yes | +40,591 | $1,466 | $1,466 | 7 | 10-05 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0eee…4c52 | No | +39,831 | $32,193 | $51,665 | 67 | 10-21 01:52 |
| Zbinik 0xa9f3…4bce | No | +35,951 | $34,190 | $34,190 | 5 | 10-19 03:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +35,893 | $1,460 | $1,847 | 125 | 10-26 07:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +35,893 | $34,519 | $40,140 | 97 | 10-26 15:46 |
| Pessimistic-Skiing 0x5c6b…f32b | No | +35,122 | $34,000 | $34,000 | 2 | 09-23 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d4f…18d3 | Yes | +31,594 | $1,443 | $1,443 | 3 | 10-12 18:04 |
| Bare-Toothpaste 0x8c76…06ac | No | +31,113 | $26,499 | $26,499 | 43 | 06-08 10:24 |
| Ready-Hurdle 0xf2d3…dcbd | Yes | +30,028 | $3,003 | $3,003 | 6 | 06-20 11:50 |
| SwissMiss 0xdbad…9c95 | No | +30,000 | $24,300 | $24,300 | 1 | 05-06 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ce6…26bd | Yes | +29,768 | $3,904 | $3,904 | 26 | 06-16 03:48 |
| Exhausted-Tanktop 0x8349…c99d | No | +28,666 | $26,618 | $26,618 | 9 | 10-06 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x500b…da2a | Yes | +28,074 | $1,063 | $1,063 | 2 | 09-22 15:28 |
| Astonishing-Cure 0x52e3…82d2 | No | +26,343 | $24,934 | $46,046 | 3 | 06-19 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e30…b3f6 | Yes | +26,299 | $3,566 | $3,566 | 5 | 05-19 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a2b…ae0c | Yes | +26,228 | $1,038 | $1,038 | 159 | 10-19 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a2b…ae0c | No | +26,228 | $25,233 | $25,233 | 160 | 10-19 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e89…e735 | Yes | +25,641 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 08-25 23:35 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +25,403 | $1,175 | $1,286 | 8 | 10-20 02:17 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +25,403 | $24,324 | $24,324 | 7 | 10-19 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5104…b761 | Yes | +25,375 | $1,012 | $1,012 | 151 | 10-19 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5104…b761 | No | +25,375 | $24,417 | $24,417 | 163 | 10-19 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0509…6e98 | Yes | +24,832 | $2,028 | $2,028 | 84 | 08-24 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xc517…f390 | Yes | +23,753 | $943 | $943 | 182 | 10-19 02:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 19:10:38 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | SELL | 5,000 | 96¢ | $4,790 | 0x68eb40… |
| 10-26 19:10:38 | (anonymous) 0xa0f6…3fd4 | Yes | SELL | 4,628 | 4¢ | $194 | 0x68eb40… |
| 10-26 19:10:38 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 372 | 96¢ | $356 | 0x68eb40… |
| 10-26 19:09:24 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 96¢ | $958 | 0x71ae69… |
| 10-26 19:09:24 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 96¢ | $958 | 0x71ae69… |
| 10-26 17:55:20 | Illiterate-Reaction 0xb6dc…2e5b | Yes | SELL | 74 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xa3f8e5… |
| 10-26 17:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 74 | 96¢ | $71 | 0xa3f8e5… |
| 10-26 17:53:26 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 478 | 96¢ | $458 | 0x9f5dce… |
| 10-26 17:53:26 | (anonymous) 0xdfba…9398 | No | SELL | 478 | 96¢ | $458 | 0x9f5dce… |
| 10-26 16:50:44 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8ef009… |
| 10-26 16:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xb8d3…ff1f | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8ef009… |
| 10-26 16:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x149fd2… |
| 10-26 16:27:21 | Hateful-Baseboard 0xba27…e1b3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x149fd2… |
| 10-26 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x62ce…d2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x23c235… |
| 10-26 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x23c235… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 691 | 96¢ | $663 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0xcd3e…501d | Yes | SELL | 2,553 | 4¢ | $104 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0xcfb0…0de3 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b01…24a9 | No | SELL | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | Yes | BUY | 112 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 667 | 96¢ | $640 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | (anonymous) 0x5aae…36f5 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 4¢ | $10 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:46:26 | Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xdb7734… |
| 10-26 15:33:56 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 157 | 96¢ | $151 | 0x2e3d10… |
| 10-26 15:33:56 | (anonymous) 0x6918…49ea | Yes | BUY | 157 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x2e3d10… |
| 10-26 15:03:17 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 126 | 96¢ | $121 | 0x0a58f6… |
| 10-26 15:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x0a58f6… |
| 10-26 15:02:29 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 105 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x482b57… |
| 10-26 15:02:29 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x482b57… |
| 10-26 14:40:09 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 126 | 96¢ | $120 | 0xdc1d7b… |
| 10-26 14:40:09 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xdc1d7b… |
| 10-26 14:39:09 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 161 | 96¢ | $154 | 0xe2e5e0… |
| 10-26 14:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xad67…54e1 | No | SELL | 161 | 96¢ | $154 | 0xe2e5e0… |
| 10-26 14:37:54 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xfa558b… |
| 10-26 14:37:54 | (anonymous) 0xa829…691d | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xfa558b… |
| 10-26 14:36:00 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 214 | 96¢ | $205 | 0x58b375… |
| 10-26 14:36:00 | (anonymous) 0xa829…691d | Yes | BUY | 214 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x58b375… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x2eef…266f | No | BUY | 296 | 96¢ | $284 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021 | No | BUY | 200 | 96¢ | $192 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x5aae…36f5 | No | BUY | 300 | 96¢ | $288 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 691 | 96¢ | $663 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xa7f0…bac0 | No | BUY | 199 | 96¢ | $191 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xac34…b1d8 | No | BUY | 260 | 96¢ | $249 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x0b30…778b | No | BUY | 293 | 96¢ | $281 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xa829…691d | Yes | BUY | 3,898 | 4¢ | $160 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xcfb0…0de3 | No | BUY | 276 | 96¢ | $265 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xb04f…057f | No | BUY | 294 | 96¢ | $282 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | BUY | 418 | 96¢ | $401 | 0x770706… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b01…24a9 | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x31fd47… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x31fd47… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xa7f0…bac0 | No | BUY | 76 | 96¢ | $73 | 0x31fd47… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xf9b8…52d6 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x31fd47… |
| 10-26 14:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x31fd47… |
| 10-26 13:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x3539…7282 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0cf260… |
| 10-26 13:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0cf260… |
| 10-26 13:55:02 | Snarling-Dugout 0x3a9d…841f | Yes | SELL | 176 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x0cf260… |
| 10-26 13:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 66 | 96¢ | $63 | 0x0cf260… |
| 10-26 13:53:09 | Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xce85ff… |
| 10-26 13:53:09 | (anonymous) 0xb7a5…5824 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xce85ff… |
| 10-26 13:49:00 | Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | Yes | SELL | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x658068… |
| 10-26 13:49:00 | (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x658068… |
| 10-26 13:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x5faa…4f92 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x091665… |
| 10-26 13:44:32 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x091665… |
| 10-26 13:22:54 | (anonymous) 0xfe1c…4d62 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x530c36… |
| 10-26 13:22:54 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x530c36… |
| 10-26 13:22:51 | (anonymous) 0xfe1c…4d62 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4cffad… |
| 10-26 13:22:51 | Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4cffad… |
| 10-26 13:07:59 | Thorny-Preference 0xad38…1ca1 | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x356f44… |
| 10-26 13:07:59 | Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x356f44… |
| 10-26 12:06:20 | Crowded-Millstone 0xf3ca…60ae | Yes | SELL | 406 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xb652ff… |
| 10-26 12:06:20 | (anonymous) 0x2602…a3cf | No | SELL | 118 | 96¢ | $113 | 0xb652ff… |
| 10-26 12:06:20 | (anonymous) 0xcfb0…0de3 | Yes | BUY | 272 | 4¢ | $11 | 0xb652ff… |
| 10-26 12:06:20 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xb652ff… |
| 10-26 11:37:26 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 160 | 96¢ | $153 | 0xbd4fcc… |
| 10-26 11:37:26 | (anonymous) 0xec2d…aa0c | No | SELL | 160 | 96¢ | $153 | 0xbd4fcc… |
| 10-26 11:17:42 | (anonymous) 0x0b37…6f94 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8ffeb3… |
| 10-26 11:17:42 | (anonymous) 0x635e…6973 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8ffeb3… |
| 10-26 09:53:56 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 210 | 96¢ | $202 | 0x0f0a8e… |
| 10-26 09:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x37c7…c06c | No | SELL | 210 | 96¢ | $202 | 0x0f0a8e… |
| 10-26 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x6724…64b4 | No | BUY | 521 | 96¢ | $500 | 0xa15a99… |
| 10-26 09:53:44 | Grown-Hypothesis 0x8b01…24a9 | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0xa15a99… |
| 10-26 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0xa0f6…3fd4 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xa15a99… |
| 10-26 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x1dfd…c1e1 | No | SELL | 293 | 96¢ | $281 | 0xa15a99… |
| 10-26 09:53:39 | (anonymous) 0xecef…75fa | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3e69d1… |
| 10-26 09:53:39 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3e69d1… |
| 10-26 09:52:12 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 1,000 | 96¢ | $958 | 0xe20839… |
| 10-26 09:52:12 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 96¢ | $958 | 0xe20839… |
| 10-26 09:35:41 | (anonymous) 0x4659…54af | No | SELL | 118 | 96¢ | $113 | 0x5c9364… |
| 10-26 09:35:41 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 118 | 96¢ | $113 | 0x5c9364… |
| 10-26 09:08:02 | (anonymous) 0xd1bb…8f58 | No | BUY | 182 | 96¢ | $175 | 0x43fb27… |
| 10-26 09:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x1dfd…c1e1 | No | SELL | 182 | 96¢ | $175 | 0x43fb27… |
| 10-26 09:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x1dfd…c1e1 | No | SELL | 505 | 96¢ | $484 | 0xb15c2e… |
| 10-26 09:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x842e…50ab | Yes | SELL | 505 | 4¢ | $21 | 0xb15c2e… |
| 10-26 09:01:56 | (anonymous) 0x842e…50ab | No | SELL | 505 | 96¢ | $484 | 0x7815c1… |
| 10-26 09:01:56 | Favorite-Latitude 0xbcf3…9d88 | No | BUY | 505 | 96¢ | $484 | 0x7815c1… |
| 10-26 08:31:06 | (anonymous) 0x32af…43c3 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe3be36… |
| 10-26 08:31:06 | (anonymous) 0x1dfd…c1e1 | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xe3be36… |
| 10-26 07:43:50 | (anonymous) 0x3258…5650 | No | BUY | 195 | 96¢ | $187 | 0x392ee5… |