(anonymous) 0x17b8dd…01d5d1
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$42.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.78K
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
564
Trades
16,500
lifetime
Volume
$1.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$127.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 10-31 03:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Sports
72% 47% -$41,871
Other
17% 44% -$1,852
Politics
9% 65% +$1,076
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$4
Crypto
0% 100% +$53
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 2314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +29,745 $26,407 88¢ $26.3K -$83 10-31 04:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +25,588 $8,374 30¢ $7.5K -$825 10-30 18:21
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +16,668 $5,825 37¢ $6.2K +$342 10-30 22:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13,341 $7,840 46¢ $6.1K -$1,770 10-30 15:14
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +6,825 $6,052 88¢ $6.0K -$12 10-31 01:59
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,155 $5,777 49¢ $6.0K +$179 10-31 03:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +7,179 $5,025 80¢ $5.7K +$683 10-31 04:20
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +15,092 $4,655 31¢ $4.7K +$69 10-31 04:10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +69,938 $6,175 6¢ $4.5K -$1,629 10-31 03:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +4,782 $4,531 94¢ $4.5K -$61 10-30 21:17
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +5,108 $4,308 84¢ $4.3K -$17 10-31 00:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +5,873 $3,945 66¢ $3.9K -$39 10-31 04:08
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,365 $3,507 80¢ $3.5K -$17 10-31 00:52
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11,748 $3,830 30¢ $3.5K -$365 10-30 16:26
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +3,619 $3,186 90¢ $3.3K +$89 10-29 14:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,288 $3,515 30¢ $3.0K -$480 10-28 22:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +12,643 $3,111 24¢ $3.0K -$140 10-30 19:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8,633 $4,364 34¢ $2.9K -$1,472 10-30 21:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +10,886 $2,662 26¢ $2.8K +$168 10-31 04:11
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +3,945 $2,918 71¢ $2.8K -$117 10-30 16:36
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +7,042 $2,902 38¢ $2.7K -$226 10-31 03:52
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +4,383 $2,061 48¢ $2.1K +$43 10-30 21:24
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6,728 $2,127 31¢ $2.1K -$41 10-31 03:16
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +36,900 $2,846 6¢ $2.0K -$817 10-30 19:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,867 $1,741 94¢ $1.7K +$5 10-30 14:15
Blue wave in 2026? No +12,210 $1,800 12¢ $1.5K -$274 10-30 09:43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +9,787 $1,369 14¢ $1.3K -$48 10-30 22:42
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +1,321 $1,106 88¢ $1.2K +$50 10-29 23:59
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +1,092 $1,005 95¢ $1.0K +$32 10-29 17:34
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +1,088 $1,037 95¢ $1.0K -$4 10-29 17:55