(anonymous) 0x17b8dd…01d5d1
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$42.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.78K
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
552
Trades
14,961
lifetime
Volume
$1.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$88.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 10-30 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Sports
78% 47% -$41,871
Other
13% 39% -$1,608
Politics
7% 65% +$1,076
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$4
Crypto
0% 100% +$53
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 2314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11,578 $10,257 88¢ $10.2K -$10 10-29 21:42
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +13,323 $4,468 39¢ $5.2K +$728 10-30 02:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +15,530 $5,417 32¢ $5.0K -$370 10-29 01:04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +75,120 $6,440 6¢ $4.9K -$1,557 10-30 02:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +6,008 $4,097 79¢ $4.7K +$649 10-29 22:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +11,219 $6,978 42¢ $4.7K -$2,322 10-30 02:51
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +5,092 $4,294 86¢ $4.4K +$85 10-29 09:21
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +5,554 $4,113 70¢ $3.9K -$198 10-30 02:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5,366 $3,305 72¢ $3.8K +$532 10-30 02:49
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +3,619 $3,186 91¢ $3.3K +$107 10-29 14:57
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10,415 $3,291 31¢ $3.3K -$26 10-30 02:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,288 $3,515 30¢ $3.1K -$377 10-28 22:08
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +3,552 $3,155 88¢ $3.1K -$47 10-29 17:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,025 $3,095 30¢ $2.7K -$433 10-28 17:44
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +7,130 $2,935 36¢ $2.5K -$404 10-29 23:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +38,489 $2,926 6¢ $2.5K -$424 10-30 00:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +7,695 $4,068 32¢ $2.4K -$1,644 10-30 02:51
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,640 $2,449 66¢ $2.4K -$28 10-29 20:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,125 $2,402 72¢ $2.2K -$167 10-30 02:47
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2,769 $2,185 80¢ $2.2K +$44 10-30 01:16
Blue wave in 2026? No +11,147 $1,672 14¢ $1.5K -$168 10-30 00:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,530 $1,444 94¢ $1.4K +$2 10-29 20:54
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +4,424 $1,393 32¢ $1.4K +$23 10-29 20:37
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +1,321 $1,106 87¢ $1.1K +$43 10-29 23:59
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +1,088 $1,037 95¢ $1.0K -$3 10-29 17:55
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +1,092 $1,005 94¢ $1.0K +$21 10-29 17:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,078 $999 94¢ $1.0K +$9 10-29 17:48
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +7,436 $1,040 14¢ $1.0K -$36 10-30 01:36
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,480 $774 62¢ $925 +$151 10-30 01:21
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +895 $840 99¢ $884 +$45 10-29 21:53