Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$843,898
$4,518 in 24h
Trades
4,968
Unique wallets
593
Liquidity
$47,960
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 19:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-22.5¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $429.3K
vs crowd: 52% YES on $764.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $261.8K | $324.3K | $62.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 63 | $101.6K | $26.7K | +$74.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 157 | $26.9K | $8.2K | +$18.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 343 | $9.5K | $5.7K | +$3.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $127.8K | $301.5K | $173.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 23 | $12.1K | $2.5K | +$9.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $4.8K | $744 | +$4.1K |
| Median | 50 | $2.7K | $1.6K | +$1.1K |
| Below median | 100 | $6.5K | $1.9K | +$4.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 22 | $956 | $1.4K | $398 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 26 | $72.0K | $5.8K | +$66.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $127.5K | $21.5K | +$106.0K |
| unranked | 317 | $45.4K | $27.9K | +$17.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +518,444 | $300,974 | $300,974 | 335 | 07-30 05:21 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +316,834 | $124,813 | $124,813 | 19 | 07-27 23:27 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +107,688 | $67,054 | $67,054 | 92 | 07-24 02:44 |
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | +102,961 | $55,011 | $55,011 | 31 | 08-01 14:50 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +58,885 | $21,285 | $21,285 | 132 | 08-01 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa701…47cd | No | +30,134 | $13,862 | $13,862 | 9 | 05-28 05:56 |
| Classic-Liberty 0xad1f…6c61 | Yes | +26,970 | $15,935 | $15,935 | 17 | 07-27 05:23 |
| Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | +26,518 | $2,064 | $2,508 | 20 | 07-06 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +12,550 | $7,054 | $112,512 | 84 | 08-01 02:02 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +10,471 | $4,977 | $4,977 | 97 | 08-01 14:49 |
| Several-Knot 0xbc73…9fa7 | No | +6,736 | $1,796 | $1,796 | 7 | 06-25 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | +6,314 | $4,142 | $5,922 | 20 | 07-13 18:14 |
| Gracious-Fame 0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | +6,009 | $2,632 | $2,632 | 3 | 07-30 17:34 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | Yes | +5,319 | $4,700 | $4,700 | 8 | 06-08 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +4,918 | $4,122 | $4,122 | 8 | 06-08 21:09 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +4,348 | $1,968 | $1,968 | 5 | 08-01 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xcff8…0d6c | Yes | +4,027 | $1,913 | $1,913 | 1 | 07-16 21:14 |
| Rural-Inventory 0x61ee…932c | No | +3,512 | $1,650 | $1,650 | 2 | 07-15 08:02 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +3,239 | $1,175 | $1,177 | 64 | 08-01 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc2e…d96a | Yes | +2,498 | $948 | $948 | 1 | 07-22 16:43 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +2,327 | $1,518 | $1,518 | 59 | 08-01 16:25 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +2,250 | $829 | $6,053 | 71 | 07-28 13:48 |
| Distant-Software 0x22e6…409f | Yes | +2,169 | $1,258 | $1,258 | 1 | 06-01 15:51 |
| Bad-Tracksuit 0x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | +2,113 | $1,076 | $1,076 | 3 | 08-01 10:15 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +2,009 | $649 | $5,457 | 44 | 08-01 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa205…c6c6 | No | +2,000 | $446 | $446 | 13 | 07-01 13:50 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +1,735 | $950 | $1,315 | 339 | 08-01 18:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +1,522 | $166 | $253 | 9 | 06-16 18:05 |
| Frayed-Student 0x7479…fbec | No | +1,500 | $301 | $301 | 19 | 07-06 13:31 |
| Homely-Support-Post 0xf366…15ad | Yes | +1,437 | $982 | $982 | 41 | 06-16 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb09b…f506 | Yes | +1,422 | $674 | $674 | 4 | 07-20 06:53 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +1,357 | $679 | $1,662 | 346 | 08-01 19:07 |
| Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | +1,320 | $486 | $658 | 14 | 07-22 16:19 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,294 | $692 | $714 | 28 | 07-31 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x097a…afdd | Yes | +1,243 | $570 | $570 | 3 | 07-31 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | Yes | +1,001 | $460 | $460 | 3 | 08-01 14:31 |
| Gorgeous-Bulldozer 0xee98…113d | Yes | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-15 13:57 |
| Witty-Vanilla 0xc78e…4718 | Yes | +1,000 | $411 | $411 | 2 | 08-01 14:49 |
| Scornful-Shed 0x35f2…71a3 | Yes | +1,000 | $473 | $473 | 1 | 08-01 14:32 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +1,000 | $320 | $320 | 11 | 06-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5921…9b66 | Yes | +971 | $550 | $550 | 2 | 07-27 16:27 |
| Shocked-Halfbrother 0x66da…edd8 | Yes | +900 | $411 | $411 | 5 | 07-22 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +883 | $786 | $786 | 3 | 06-07 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x65c9…3b04 | No | +607 | $251 | $251 | 4 | 07-19 19:56 |
| Cumbersome-Sense 0x114a…b24e | No | +434 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 07-06 15:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:07:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x34fc6c… |
| 08-01 19:07:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x34fc6c… |
| 08-01 18:37:03 | Droopy-Duty 0x1790…315b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x7e1858… |
| 08-01 18:37:03 | Mundane-Acid 0x548c…af84 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x7e1858… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | Glistening-Grasshopper 0x437d…fcdb | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 238 | 50¢ | $120 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | Mundane-Acid 0x548c…af84 | No | BUY | 48 | 51¢ | $25 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:36:23 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0xe09dcb… |
| 08-01 18:28:41 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0xee1ef9… |
| 08-01 18:28:41 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 47¢ | $4 | 0xee1ef9… |
| 08-01 18:28:41 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0xee1ef9… |
| 08-01 18:28:41 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 242 | 46¢ | $111 | 0xee1ef9… |
| 08-01 18:28:41 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0xee1ef9… |
| 08-01 18:28:41 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xee1ef9… |
| 08-01 17:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x21d5…b6d5 | No | SELL | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xcd2b36… |
| 08-01 17:09:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xcd2b36… |
| 08-01 16:35:12 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x0b6c79… |
| 08-01 16:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x0b6c79… |
| 08-01 16:30:26 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 45¢ | $23 | 0xc30b13… |
| 08-01 16:30:26 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 52 | 55¢ | $29 | 0xc30b13… |
| 08-01 16:25:51 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x857cc8… |
| 08-01 16:25:51 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x857cc8… |
| 08-01 14:50:54 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 2,985 | 41¢ | $1,224 | 0xeca1c2… |
| 08-01 14:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 2,985 | 41¢ | $1,224 | 0xeca1c2… |
| 08-01 14:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 2,571 | 41¢ | $1,054 | 0x9dbbc8… |
| 08-01 14:50:30 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 2,571 | 41¢ | $1,054 | 0x9dbbc8… |
| 08-01 14:50:09 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 2,163 | 41¢ | $887 | 0x086b76… |
| 08-01 14:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x5f62…d989 | No | SELL | 28 | 56¢ | $16 | 0x086b76… |
| 08-01 14:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 2,192 | 41¢ | $900 | 0x086b76… |
| 08-01 14:49:47 | Witty-Vanilla 0xc78e…4718 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 41¢ | $13 | 0x32abf7… |
| 08-01 14:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 1,842 | 41¢ | $757 | 0x32abf7… |
| 08-01 14:49:47 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 1,660 | 41¢ | $680 | 0x32abf7… |
| 08-01 14:49:47 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 42¢ | $63 | 0x32abf7… |
| 08-01 14:49:24 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 42¢ | $42 | 0xb75c5b… |
| 08-01 14:49:24 | Witty-Vanilla 0xc78e…4718 | Yes | BUY | 968 | 41¢ | $398 | 0xb75c5b… |
| 08-01 14:49:24 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 42¢ | $63 | 0xb75c5b… |
| 08-01 14:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 1,519 | 41¢ | $629 | 0xb75c5b… |
| 08-01 14:49:24 | (anonymous) 0xc221…92a8 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 42¢ | $125 | 0xb75c5b… |
| 08-01 14:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x5f62…d989 | No | SELL | 28 | 54¢ | $15 | 0xbded37… |
| 08-01 14:47:39 | (anonymous) 0xc221…92a8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xbded37… |
| 08-01 14:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xbded37… |
| 08-01 14:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 45¢ | $20 | 0xbded37… |
| 08-01 14:43:03 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xeefa5e… |
| 08-01 14:43:03 | Guilty-Bottle 0xde60…462f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xeefa5e… |
| 08-01 14:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xeefa5e… |
| 08-01 14:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 950 | 42¢ | $404 | 0xd6be54… |
| 08-01 14:42:36 | (anonymous) 0xc504…7a4c | No | SELL | 617 | 58¢ | $354 | 0xd6be54… |
| 08-01 14:42:36 | (anonymous) 0xc221…92a8 | Yes | BUY | 292 | 42¢ | $124 | 0xd6be54… |
| 08-01 14:42:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xd6be54… |
| 08-01 14:42:36 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xd6be54… |
| 08-01 14:42:36 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xd6be54… |
| 08-01 14:41:50 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 43¢ | $43 | 0x2551ea… |
| 08-01 14:41:50 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 43¢ | $52 | 0x2551ea… |
| 08-01 14:41:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x2551ea… |
| 08-01 14:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x74da36… |
| 08-01 14:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 654 | 46¢ | $302 | 0x557935… |
| 08-01 14:36:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x74da36… |
| 08-01 14:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x5f62…d989 | No | SELL | 240 | 54¢ | $129 | 0x557935… |
| 08-01 14:36:12 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 46¢ | $46 | 0x557935… |
| 08-01 14:32:42 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 48¢ | $38 | 0x4d8797… |
| 08-01 14:32:42 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x4d8797… |
| 08-01 14:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x4d8797… |
| 08-01 14:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 1,100 | 47¢ | $521 | 0x4d8797… |
| 08-01 14:32:42 | Scornful-Shed 0x35f2…71a3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 47¢ | $473 | 0x4d8797… |
| 08-01 14:31:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x0b1931… |
| 08-01 14:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | SELL | 1,700 | 48¢ | $818 | 0x0b1931… |
| 08-01 14:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x5f62…d989 | No | SELL | 76 | 52¢ | $39 | 0x0b1931… |
| 08-01 14:31:36 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 920 | 48¢ | $442 | 0x0b1931… |
| 08-01 14:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | Yes | BUY | 550 | 48¢ | $265 | 0x0b1931… |
| 08-01 13:25:36 | (anonymous) 0x5f62…d989 | No | SELL | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xb7ae47… |
| 08-01 13:25:36 | (anonymous) 0xf0fc…03de | No | BUY | 123 | 51¢ | $63 | 0xb7ae47… |
| 08-01 10:15:15 | Bad-Tracksuit 0x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | BUY | 1,010 | 49¢ | $500 | 0xe84581… |
| 08-01 10:15:15 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 990 | 51¢ | $500 | 0xe84581… |
| 08-01 10:15:15 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xe84581… |
| 08-01 10:15:15 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 11 | 51¢ | $6 | 0xe84581… |
| 08-01 08:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xdf0e5f… |
| 08-01 08:17:06 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xdf0e5f… |
| 08-01 06:04:00 | Muffled-Halfsister 0x0110…af5d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x22734a… |
| 08-01 06:04:00 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x22734a… |
| 08-01 05:38:48 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xb2b37d… |
| 08-01 05:38:48 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xb2b37d… |
| 08-01 05:38:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb2b37d… |
| 08-01 05:37:42 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x5f1421… |
| 08-01 05:37:42 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x5f1421… |
| 08-01 02:02:02 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xa258c9… |
| 08-01 02:02:02 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xa258c9… |
| 08-01 02:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 48¢ | $15 | 0xa258c9… |
| 08-01 02:02:02 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | SELL | 17 | 52¢ | $9 | 0xa258c9… |
| 07-31 21:20:00 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x9b0ea9… |
| 07-31 21:20:00 | (anonymous) 0xad86…5038 | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x9b0ea9… |
| 07-31 21:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x0921e8… |
| 07-31 21:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x21d5…b6d5 | No | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x0921e8… |
| 07-31 18:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x6fee…f3b1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x5e5d95… |
| 07-31 18:19:33 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x5e5d95… |
| 07-31 17:15:33 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x41a723… |
| 07-31 17:15:33 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 14 | 53¢ | $7 | 0x41a723… |
| 07-31 17:15:33 | (anonymous) 0x097a…afdd | Yes | BUY | 106 | 47¢ | $50 | 0x41a723… |