Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$307,544
$4,518 in 24h
Trades
2,974
Unique wallets
386
Liquidity
$47,960
Latest YES mid
66¢
Latest NO mid
34¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 18:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-67.3¢
(top1%: 11% YES on $3.0K
vs crowd: 79% YES on $201.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $94.3K | $12.4K | +$82.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 46 | $48.7K | $22.4K | +$26.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 106 | $13.9K | $3.7K | +$10.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 212 | $1.8K | $4.7K | $2.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $342 | $2.7K | $2.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $8.0K | $1.7K | +$6.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 24 | $3.5K | $667 | +$2.8K |
| Median | 31 | $434 | $1.1K | $676 |
| Below median | 68 | $3.8K | $563 | +$3.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $630 | $594 | +$36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $34.0K | $3.5K | +$30.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $87.5K | $9.3K | +$78.3K |
| unranked | 184 | $20.5K | $23.1K | $2.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | +52,051 | $33,125 | $33,125 | 25 | 06-24 16:10 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +48,103 | $39,244 | $39,244 | 69 | 07-08 14:45 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +33,246 | $9,178 | $9,178 | 79 | 07-06 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa701…47cd | No | +30,134 | $13,862 | $13,862 | 9 | 05-28 05:56 |
| Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | +26,518 | $2,064 | $2,508 | 20 | 07-06 13:31 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +7,499 | $5,586 | $5,586 | 73 | 06-11 01:19 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +6,861 | $2,168 | $2,168 | 24 | 07-09 18:42 |
| Several-Knot 0xbc73…9fa7 | No | +6,736 | $1,796 | $1,796 | 7 | 06-25 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | +6,224 | $4,089 | $5,669 | 14 | 07-09 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +5,528 | $6,894 | $89,054 | 61 | 07-01 17:18 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | Yes | +5,319 | $4,700 | $4,700 | 8 | 06-08 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +4,918 | $4,122 | $4,122 | 8 | 06-08 21:09 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,427 | $743 | $744 | 47 | 06-05 19:54 |
| Distant-Software 0x22e6…409f | Yes | +2,169 | $1,258 | $1,258 | 1 | 06-01 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa205…c6c6 | No | +2,000 | $446 | $446 | 13 | 07-01 13:50 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,818 | $1,296 | $1,296 | 53 | 06-05 19:41 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +1,567 | $1,230 | $1,230 | 17 | 06-07 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +1,522 | $166 | $253 | 9 | 06-16 18:05 |
| Frayed-Student 0x7479…fbec | No | +1,500 | $301 | $301 | 19 | 07-06 13:31 |
| Homely-Support-Post 0xf366…15ad | Yes | +1,437 | $982 | $982 | 41 | 06-16 16:39 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +1,000 | $320 | $320 | 11 | 06-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5175…1546 | No | +987 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 06-15 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +883 | $786 | $786 | 3 | 06-07 09:43 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +700 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 06-05 09:52 |
| Astonishing-Radio 0xc752…62e1 | Yes | +500 | $450 | $450 | 10 | 06-29 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbedd…68b7 | Yes | +474 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-03 20:41 |
| Complicated-Kale-Indicator 0x5e48…9143 | No | +456 | $228 | $449 | 35 | 07-04 22:00 |
| Cumbersome-Sense 0x114a…b24e | No | +434 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 07-06 15:44 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +425 | $-90 | $4,718 | 36 | 07-08 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb87…fa96 | No | +400 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 06-28 05:28 |
| Stiff-Crush 0x6294…33f3 | Yes | +388 | $331 | $331 | 3 | 06-07 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x65c9…3b04 | No | +388 | $135 | $135 | 2 | 06-21 19:35 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +363 | $-215 | $5,009 | 55 | 07-09 15:50 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +348 | $-35 | $187 | 34 | 06-08 02:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +346 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-16 17:55 |
| Harsh-Pillbox 0x3003…efa3 | No | +318 | $91 | $91 | 7 | 07-04 09:54 |
| Damaged-Buyer 0xfb9c…383e | No | +316 | $110 | $110 | 11 | 06-03 19:55 |
| Sturdy-Counsel 0x8d7a…3d54 | Yes | +314 | $255 | $255 | 5 | 06-22 08:52 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | +303 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 06-03 16:25 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | +300 | $257 | $257 | 3 | 06-05 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | +300 | $135 | $135 | 4 | 05-29 07:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | +300 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 06-28 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | +282 | $33 | $33 | 7 | 07-02 07:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xca29…287f | No | +263 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 06-05 03:25 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +254 | $-79 | $234 | 11 | 07-04 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd895…ad02 | No | +213 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 07-04 17:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af6…776b | No | +200 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-05 02:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 18:06:23 | Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | SELL | 260 | 66¢ | $172 | 0x0b1a3c… |
| 07-10 18:06:23 | Equatorial-Cape 0x38cc…7cee | Yes | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0x0b1a3c… |
| 07-10 18:06:23 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 160 | 34¢ | $55 | 0x0b1a3c… |
| 07-10 17:50:11 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1dfc09… |
| 07-10 17:50:11 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1dfc09… |
| 07-10 17:40:11 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x10d7b8… |
| 07-10 17:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x10d7b8… |
| 07-10 17:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa67494… |
| 07-10 17:30:13 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa67494… |
| 07-10 17:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xd1bdf0… |
| 07-10 17:27:13 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xd1bdf0… |
| 07-10 16:56:34 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe41cb9… |
| 07-10 16:56:34 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe41cb9… |
| 07-10 16:51:25 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x5af8fe… |
| 07-10 16:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x5af8fe… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | Leafy-Backbone 0x1b1c…5cca | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | Growling-Styling 0xdf37…8b49 | No | SELL | 250 | 34¢ | $84 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 5,492 | 66¢ | $3,636 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | (anonymous) 0x04f8…a547 | Yes | SELL | 6,000 | 66¢ | $3,976 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | Vital-Diversity 0x49c4…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 68¢ | $62 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 19:11:35 | Equatorial-Cape 0x38cc…7cee | Yes | BUY | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x841179… |
| 07-09 18:42:25 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xf610de… |
| 07-09 18:42:25 | (anonymous) 0x4898…c6ae | No | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xf610de… |
| 07-09 18:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x4898…c6ae | No | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x00894d… |
| 07-09 18:41:34 | Vital-Diversity 0x49c4…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x00894d… |
| 07-09 18:06:07 | Teeming-Antennae 0x6d1a…97fb | No | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x46fef5… |
| 07-09 18:06:07 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x46fef5… |
| 07-09 18:05:55 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x63ea99… |
| 07-09 18:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x4898…c6ae | No | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x63ea99… |
| 07-09 18:04:46 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x7ea3ae… |
| 07-09 18:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x4898…c6ae | No | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x7ea3ae… |
| 07-09 18:04:46 | Vital-Diversity 0x49c4…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x7ea3ae… |
| 07-09 15:50:32 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 48 | 68¢ | $33 | 0xcd9bec… |
| 07-09 15:50:32 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 48 | 32¢ | $15 | 0xcd9bec… |
| 07-09 04:16:40 | Humongous-Pharmacopoeia 0x6e35…a3bd | No | SELL | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xfd755e… |
| 07-09 04:16:40 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xfd755e… |
| 07-09 02:44:11 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 12 | 32¢ | $4 | 0xc1001d… |
| 07-09 02:44:11 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xc1001d… |
| 07-09 02:44:11 | (anonymous) 0xe37f…a74b | No | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xc1001d… |
| 07-09 02:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x0341…0cbf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x6cf726… |
| 07-09 02:43:43 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x6cf726… |
| 07-08 14:45:47 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 69¢ | $32 | 0x0f167c… |
| 07-08 14:45:47 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 41 | 31¢ | $13 | 0x0f167c… |
| 07-08 14:45:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0f167c… |
| 07-08 14:45:46 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 6,051 | 68¢ | $4,140 | 0x00a320… |
| 07-08 14:45:46 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 459 | 31¢ | $144 | 0x00a320… |
| 07-08 10:53:10 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 108 | 32¢ | $34 | 0xd47f3c… |
| 07-08 10:53:10 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 108 | 68¢ | $74 | 0xd47f3c… |
| 07-08 10:41:28 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 83 | 32¢ | $26 | 0x5de9b9… |
| 07-08 10:41:28 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 83 | 68¢ | $57 | 0x5de9b9… |
| 07-08 10:07:23 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 81 | 32¢ | $26 | 0x7fd0b9… |
| 07-08 10:07:23 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 81 | 68¢ | $55 | 0x7fd0b9… |
| 07-08 10:06:31 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 36 | 32¢ | $11 | 0xe5deec… |
| 07-08 10:06:31 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 37 | 68¢ | $25 | 0xe5deec… |
| 07-08 10:06:23 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 144 | 68¢ | $98 | 0xd41aeb… |
| 07-08 10:06:23 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 99 | 32¢ | $32 | 0xd41aeb… |
| 07-08 08:59:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x61eb51… |
| 07-08 08:59:04 | Teeming-Antennae 0x6d1a…97fb | No | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x61eb51… |
| 07-08 08:29:17 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xff0734… |
| 07-08 08:29:17 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xff0734… |
| 07-08 08:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xf2a276… |
| 07-08 08:27:37 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xf2a276… |
| 07-08 08:27:19 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 75 | 32¢ | $24 | 0x7f4c9d… |
| 07-08 08:27:19 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 68¢ | $51 | 0x7f4c9d… |
| 07-08 06:38:14 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xcd569a… |
| 07-08 06:38:14 | Leafy-Backbone 0x1b1c…5cca | Yes | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0xcd569a… |
| 07-08 06:32:59 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x501cea… |
| 07-08 06:32:59 | Leafy-Backbone 0x1b1c…5cca | Yes | BUY | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x501cea… |
| 07-08 01:51:56 | (anonymous) 0xae25…aaf4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x1d2eea… |
| 07-08 01:51:56 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x1d2eea… |
| 07-07 19:28:22 | Sweet-Vein 0x59d3…9dae | No | SELL | 153 | 32¢ | $48 | 0x26652f… |
| 07-07 19:28:22 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x26652f… |
| 07-07 19:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x26652f… |
| 07-07 19:28:22 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 113 | 32¢ | $36 | 0x26652f… |
| 07-07 17:36:05 | (anonymous) 0x0b37…c799 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xbde19f… |
| 07-07 17:36:05 | Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | SELL | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xbde19f… |
| 07-07 17:36:05 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xbde19f… |
| 07-07 17:07:58 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xa90331… |
| 07-07 17:07:58 | (anonymous) 0xb128…9916 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xa90331… |
| 07-07 16:36:26 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 101 | 34¢ | $34 | 0xcb0f2e… |
| 07-07 16:36:26 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcb0f2e… |
| 07-07 16:36:26 | Ethical-Farm 0xcecd…e0cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0xcb0f2e… |
| 07-07 16:36:26 | Querulous-Enquiry 0x381d…73d3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0xcb0f2e… |
| 07-07 16:36:26 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcb0f2e… |
| 07-07 16:36:26 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcb0f2e… |
| 07-07 09:35:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x6a13df… |
| 07-07 09:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | No | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x6a13df… |
| 07-07 09:35:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x6a13df… |
| 07-07 08:27:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x902658… |
| 07-07 08:27:04 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x902658… |
| 07-07 05:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xdc50…255f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xe80cb8… |
| 07-07 05:45:22 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xe80cb8… |
| 07-07 03:18:38 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x524b5b… |
| 07-07 03:18:38 | Ethical-Farm 0xcecd…e0cf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x524b5b… |
| 07-07 03:18:38 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x524b5b… |
| 07-06 21:21:19 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xa8856f… |
| 07-06 21:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x0b37…c799 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xa8856f… |
| 07-06 21:21:19 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xa8856f… |
| 07-06 21:10:22 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 151 | 33¢ | $50 | 0x428f88… |