Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,126,060
$4,518 in 24h
Trades
8,250
Unique wallets
797
Liquidity
$47,960
Latest YES mid
49¢
Latest NO mid
51¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-22 02:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.8¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $520.6K
vs crowd: 49% YES on $999.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 41 | $272.3K | $448.3K | $175.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 81 | $170.7K | $34.1K | +$136.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 203 | $32.4K | $18.1K | +$14.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 472 | $17.6K | $6.0K | +$11.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $127.8K | $392.8K | $265.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 33 | $16.9K | $10.2K | +$6.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 29 | $5.2K | $753 | +$4.5K |
| Median | 79 | $5.6K | $4.4K | +$1.2K |
| Below median | 132 | $8.4K | $4.3K | +$4.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 35 | $1.5K | $4.0K | $2.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 33 | $76.6K | $9.8K | +$66.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $130.7K | $46.9K | +$83.7K |
| unranked | 430 | $120.4K | $33.3K | +$87.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +663,935 | $392,259 | $392,259 | 799 | 08-22 02:00 |
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +316,690 | $124,740 | $124,885 | 21 | 08-05 15:15 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +118,531 | $68,567 | $68,567 | 98 | 08-21 16:51 |
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | +106,961 | $57,123 | $57,123 | 32 | 08-06 00:53 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +96,243 | $45,168 | $45,168 | 389 | 08-21 22:30 |
| Old-Fashioned-Turnover 0x2d95…9270 | Yes | +37,547 | $746 | $25,321 | 25 | 08-21 01:34 |
| Classic-Liberty 0xad1f…6c61 | Yes | +31,141 | $16,902 | $16,902 | 18 | 08-19 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xa701…47cd | No | +30,834 | $14,267 | $14,267 | 18 | 08-12 16:10 |
| Intelligent-Spot 0x3630…5581 | Yes | +25,679 | $9,206 | $9,378 | 94 | 08-20 16:17 |
| Scornful-Shed 0x35f2…71a3 | Yes | +24,622 | $10,621 | $10,621 | 26 | 08-18 07:42 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +20,141 | $7,647 | $7,743 | 248 | 08-21 03:02 |
| Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | +20,000 | $-1,834 | $6,406 | 30 | 08-18 17:34 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +17,318 | $3,976 | $3,976 | 23 | 08-21 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | Yes | +16,818 | $2,475 | $2,475 | 4 | 08-21 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eb4…9776 | Yes | +7,705 | $2,834 | $2,834 | 9 | 08-20 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +7,015 | $1,487 | $1,487 | 14 | 08-21 05:28 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | Yes | +5,319 | $4,700 | $4,700 | 8 | 06-08 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +4,918 | $4,122 | $4,122 | 8 | 06-08 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +4,913 | $3,516 | $118,916 | 93 | 08-20 01:46 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +4,903 | $2,532 | $2,532 | 100 | 08-21 21:26 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +4,826 | $2,324 | $2,326 | 83 | 08-21 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4be7…1115 | Yes | +4,312 | $672 | $672 | 1 | 08-21 22:02 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +4,112 | $2,551 | $2,915 | 519 | 08-22 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xcff8…0d6c | Yes | +4,027 | $1,913 | $1,913 | 1 | 07-16 21:14 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +3,801 | $1,509 | $2,492 | 541 | 08-22 00:14 |
| Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | +3,265 | $3,291 | $8,934 | 55 | 08-21 23:58 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +2,951 | $1,449 | $2,221 | 8 | 08-18 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1475…5fb7 | Yes | +2,507 | $689 | $936 | 21 | 08-21 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc2e…d96a | Yes | +2,498 | $948 | $948 | 1 | 07-22 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa863…5d68 | Yes | +2,479 | $685 | $685 | 2 | 08-19 21:07 |
| Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | +2,348 | $1,160 | $2,855 | 43 | 08-19 21:15 |
| Distant-Software 0x22e6…409f | Yes | +2,169 | $1,258 | $1,258 | 1 | 06-01 15:51 |
| Bad-Tracksuit 0x2dc8…7a07 | Yes | +2,113 | $1,076 | $1,076 | 3 | 08-01 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa205…c6c6 | No | +2,000 | $446 | $446 | 13 | 07-01 13:50 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | +1,908 | $1,110 | $1,110 | 16 | 08-18 13:36 |
| Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | +1,665 | $1,274 | $1,274 | 3 | 08-20 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +1,522 | $166 | $253 | 9 | 06-16 18:05 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,510 | $829 | $851 | 38 | 08-21 21:53 |
| Frayed-Student 0x7479…fbec | No | +1,500 | $301 | $301 | 19 | 07-06 13:31 |
| Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | +1,451 | $214 | $214 | 27 | 08-22 00:14 |
| Homely-Support-Post 0xf366…15ad | Yes | +1,437 | $982 | $982 | 41 | 06-16 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3a5…3249 | Yes | +1,374 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 08-21 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e65…079d | Yes | +1,300 | $200 | $200 | 10 | 08-21 15:27 |
| Corny-Quotation 0x5f95…01a8 | Yes | +1,216 | $503 | $503 | 9 | 08-20 06:41 |
| Homely-Support-Post 0xf366…15ad | No | +1,086 | $847 | $847 | 18 | 08-19 21:15 |
| Hearty-Sprat 0xc2db…6865 | No | +1,000 | $830 | $830 | 2 | 08-21 00:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd31…97a4 | No | +998 | $573 | $573 | 4 | 08-10 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +750 | $562 | $6,563 | 18 | 08-21 22:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 02:00:37 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x775d45… |
| 08-22 02:00:37 | Grouchy-Menorah 0x966f…2ff6 | No | SELL | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x775d45… |
| 08-22 02:00:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x775d45… |
| 08-22 02:00:37 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x775d45… |
| 08-22 01:12:19 | Brief-Sill 0xb79e…f7f1 | No | SELL | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0xf91c2d… |
| 08-22 01:12:19 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0xf91c2d… |
| 08-22 00:43:40 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x675cc4… |
| 08-22 00:43:40 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x675cc4… |
| 08-22 00:43:39 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6b4ea3… |
| 08-22 00:43:39 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x6b4ea3… |
| 08-22 00:43:37 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xac3c7d… |
| 08-22 00:43:37 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xac3c7d… |
| 08-22 00:43:36 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xee8c0a… |
| 08-22 00:43:36 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xee8c0a… |
| 08-22 00:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf90498… |
| 08-22 00:43:34 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xf90498… |
| 08-22 00:41:58 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x60d821… |
| 08-22 00:41:58 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x60d821… |
| 08-22 00:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc97956… |
| 08-22 00:41:55 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xc97956… |
| 08-22 00:41:51 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x63518b… |
| 08-22 00:41:51 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x63518b… |
| 08-22 00:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8c8a56… |
| 08-22 00:41:43 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x8c8a56… |
| 08-22 00:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf6a3a9… |
| 08-22 00:41:42 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xf6a3a9… |
| 08-22 00:41:40 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xdef56b… |
| 08-22 00:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdef56b… |
| 08-22 00:41:39 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x13bfbd… |
| 08-22 00:41:39 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x13bfbd… |
| 08-22 00:41:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xb86c3f… |
| 08-22 00:41:37 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb86c3f… |
| 08-22 00:41:37 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xb86c3f… |
| 08-22 00:39:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x588192… |
| 08-22 00:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x588192… |
| 08-22 00:39:36 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x588192… |
| 08-22 00:32:36 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x2e7daa… |
| 08-22 00:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2e7daa… |
| 08-22 00:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8987cf… |
| 08-22 00:31:55 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x8987cf… |
| 08-22 00:31:54 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa4b622… |
| 08-22 00:31:54 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xa4b622… |
| 08-22 00:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa8b76d… |
| 08-22 00:31:51 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xa8b76d… |
| 08-22 00:31:40 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xc84c4e… |
| 08-22 00:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc84c4e… |
| 08-22 00:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfa29f9… |
| 08-22 00:31:36 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xfa29f9… |
| 08-22 00:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4ee6fc… |
| 08-22 00:30:43 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x4ee6fc… |
| 08-22 00:30:40 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xf9e9b9… |
| 08-22 00:30:40 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf9e9b9… |
| 08-22 00:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x91c392… |
| 08-22 00:30:39 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x91c392… |
| 08-22 00:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xec7365… |
| 08-22 00:30:39 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xec7365… |
| 08-22 00:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x111872… |
| 08-22 00:30:37 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x111872… |
| 08-22 00:30:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x69f2e9… |
| 08-22 00:30:36 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x69f2e9… |
| 08-22 00:30:36 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x69f2e9… |
| 08-22 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0x9fcb…bf3d | No | BUY | 109 | 88¢ | $96 | 0xc0faf7… |
| 08-22 00:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | BUY | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0xc0faf7… |
| 08-22 00:14:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $16 | 0xc0faf7… |
| 08-22 00:14:54 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 153 | 12¢ | $19 | 0xc0faf7… |
| 08-22 00:14:43 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xce9ca1… |
| 08-22 00:14:43 | (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | BUY | 26 | 88¢ | $22 | 0xce9ca1… |
| 08-22 00:14:42 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x998dd5… |
| 08-22 00:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x430b…f9e0 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x998dd5… |
| 08-22 00:14:40 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 62 | 12¢ | $8 | 0x293f61… |
| 08-22 00:14:40 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x293f61… |
| 08-22 00:14:40 | (anonymous) 0xb3aa…2efc | No | BUY | 49 | 88¢ | $43 | 0x293f61… |
| 08-22 00:12:13 | (anonymous) 0x430b…f9e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x2f7c14… |
| 08-22 00:12:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x2f7c14… |
| 08-22 00:12:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x52f499… |
| 08-22 00:12:09 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x7e43bb… |
| 08-22 00:12:09 | (anonymous) 0x7b91…1e97 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x52f499… |
| 08-22 00:12:09 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7e43bb… |
| 08-22 00:04:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1370c5… |
| 08-22 00:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x60f2…25d0 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x1370c5… |
| 08-21 23:59:54 | (anonymous) 0x1fa7…40ad | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xf71abe… |
| 08-21 23:59:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xf71abe… |
| 08-21 23:59:52 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 904 | 12¢ | $112 | 0x536f86… |
| 08-21 23:59:52 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x536f86… |
| 08-21 23:59:52 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 915 | 88¢ | $801 | 0x536f86… |
| 08-21 23:59:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x536f86… |
| 08-21 23:58:19 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x688952… |
| 08-21 23:58:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x688952… |
| 08-21 23:58:19 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x688952… |
| 08-21 23:21:06 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x1130c1… |
| 08-21 23:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x09e7…f753 | No | BUY | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0x1130c1… |
| 08-21 23:14:06 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x92e02b… |
| 08-21 23:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x6265…0167 | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x92e02b… |
| 08-21 23:09:49 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xdd38f8… |
| 08-21 23:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x430b…f9e0 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xdd38f8… |
| 08-21 23:09:48 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x3940d9… |
| 08-21 23:09:48 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x3940d9… |
| 08-21 23:05:33 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x090d57… |
| 08-21 23:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x430b…f9e0 | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x090d57… |
| 08-21 23:05:31 | Barren-Sunset 0x027e…c97f | Yes | BUY | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x49569a… |