Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$196,670
$4,518 in 24h
Trades
2,033
Unique wallets
287
Liquidity
$47,960
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 11:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-37.0¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $722
vs crowd: 75% YES on $140.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $58.6K | $7.0K | +$51.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $35.3K | $20.1K | +$15.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 69 | $8.5K | $4.5K | +$4.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 162 | $2.8K | $3.7K | $865 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $273 | $449 | $176 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $7.8K | $1.6K | +$6.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $2.7K | $556 | +$2.1K |
| Median | 26 | $227 | $860 | $633 |
| Below median | 48 | $1.4K | $335 | +$1.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $569 | $478 | +$91 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $23.8K | $3.1K | +$20.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $52.6K | $6.4K | +$46.3K |
| unranked | 139 | $15.9K | $21.6K | $5.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | +38,882 | $23,009 | $23,009 | 19 | 06-19 02:10 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | Yes | +33,746 | $27,785 | $27,785 | 45 | 06-15 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa701…47cd | No | +30,134 | $13,862 | $13,862 | 9 | 05-28 05:56 |
| Beneficial-Limit 0xb2cd…c187 | No | +25,920 | $1,886 | $2,330 | 12 | 06-11 01:19 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +21,743 | $6,285 | $6,285 | 54 | 06-19 09:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +12,600 | $10,881 | $38,460 | 38 | 06-19 02:10 |
| Energetic-Producer 0x5eb0…5012 | No | +10,000 | $2,083 | $4,528 | 33 | 06-06 14:53 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +7,499 | $5,586 | $5,586 | 73 | 06-11 01:19 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | Yes | +5,319 | $4,700 | $4,700 | 8 | 06-08 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +4,918 | $4,122 | $4,122 | 8 | 06-08 21:09 |
| Several-Knot 0xbc73…9fa7 | No | +4,135 | $1,383 | $1,383 | 6 | 06-04 15:10 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,427 | $743 | $744 | 47 | 06-05 19:54 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +2,221 | $1,667 | $1,667 | 27 | 06-17 19:46 |
| Distant-Software 0x22e6…409f | Yes | +2,169 | $1,258 | $1,258 | 1 | 06-01 15:51 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,818 | $1,296 | $1,296 | 53 | 06-05 19:41 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +1,567 | $1,230 | $1,230 | 17 | 06-07 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +1,522 | $166 | $253 | 9 | 06-16 18:05 |
| Homely-Support-Post 0xf366…15ad | Yes | +1,437 | $982 | $982 | 41 | 06-16 16:39 |
| Frayed-Student 0x7479…fbec | No | +1,385 | $273 | $273 | 16 | 06-14 18:04 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +1,363 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 24 | 06-17 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa205…c6c6 | No | +1,300 | $380 | $380 | 3 | 06-05 05:57 |
| Frightened-Trouble 0x7f3c…5613 | No | +1,000 | $320 | $320 | 11 | 06-03 19:55 |
| Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | +997 | $503 | $1,208 | 7 | 06-20 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5175…1546 | No | +987 | $400 | $400 | 2 | 06-15 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +883 | $786 | $786 | 3 | 06-07 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | +711 | $470 | $470 | 8 | 06-17 17:08 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +700 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 06-05 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbedd…68b7 | Yes | +474 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-03 20:41 |
| Complicated-Kale-Indicator 0x5e48…9143 | No | +389 | $98 | $106 | 9 | 06-20 08:43 |
| Stiff-Crush 0x6294…33f3 | Yes | +388 | $331 | $331 | 3 | 06-07 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x65c9…3b04 | No | +355 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 06-15 14:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +348 | $-35 | $187 | 34 | 06-08 02:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +346 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-16 17:55 |
| Damaged-Buyer 0xfb9c…383e | No | +316 | $110 | $110 | 11 | 06-03 19:55 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | +303 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 06-03 16:25 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | +300 | $257 | $257 | 3 | 06-05 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…aefe | No | +300 | $135 | $135 | 4 | 05-29 07:44 |
| Sturdy-Counsel 0x8d7a…3d54 | Yes | +294 | $239 | $239 | 3 | 06-15 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xca29…287f | No | +263 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 06-05 03:25 |
| Used-Commitment-Undertaker 0xfab6…e94c | No | +225 | $-14 | $76 | 8 | 06-15 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af6…776b | No | +200 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-05 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8df…d316 | No | +166 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-03 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xdafd…55eb | Yes | +157 | $92 | $113 | 7 | 06-05 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | +150 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 06-02 03:05 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +146 | $112 | $112 | 17 | 06-11 01:19 |
| Miserable-Pseudoscience 0x0016…cfed | No | +145 | $50 | $50 | 5 | 06-03 08:46 |
| Well-Documented-Workout 0xf2c3…0b5e | No | +140 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-17 08:32 |
| Stylish-Pendulum 0xbcf7…b2bd | Yes | +138 | $-19 | $1,393 | 7 | 06-17 16:28 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +136 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-05 14:14 |
| Youthful-Attorney 0x09e7…f4a4 | No | +125 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-18 15:21 |
| Cylindrical-Clinic 0xc58c…e7b6 | No | +103 | $23 | $1,065 | 58 | 06-15 17:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 11:34:28 | Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 73¢ | $35 | 0x5f406f… |
| 06-20 11:34:28 | Negligible-Impala 0x77e1…4ae2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x5f406f… |
| 06-20 11:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x5f406f… |
| 06-20 11:34:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x5f406f… |
| 06-20 11:34:28 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x5f406f… |
| 06-20 11:34:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 13 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x5f406f… |
| 06-20 08:43:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb7f226… |
| 06-20 08:43:44 | Complicated-Kale-Indicator 0x5e48…9143 | No | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xb7f226… |
| 06-20 08:43:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xb7f226… |
| 06-20 08:02:10 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x4c1f3f… |
| 06-20 08:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x4c1f3f… |
| 06-19 09:12:38 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x562bca… |
| 06-19 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xcff0…8b8b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x562bca… |
| 06-19 09:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xa01a…8215 | No | SELL | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x562bca… |
| 06-19 02:10:44 | (anonymous) 0xdc50…255f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x1d0bca… |
| 06-19 02:10:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x1d0bca… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Alive-Bolero 0x7b7a…8f44 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x155e88… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Snappy-Alcove 0x12ea…1c4c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x21e4d9… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Sunny-Strudel 0x5d81…360e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x481d32… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x42a0af… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Mixed-Saviour 0xb4ab…571d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x42a0af… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x481d32… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x21e4d9… |
| 06-19 02:10:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x155e88… |
| 06-19 02:10:29 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 354 | 81¢ | $286 | 0x45ac04… |
| 06-19 02:10:29 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | SELL | 354 | 81¢ | $286 | 0x45ac04… |
| 06-19 02:09:56 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 1,604 | 81¢ | $1,296 | 0x7eeb69… |
| 06-19 02:09:56 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 1,604 | 19¢ | $308 | 0x7eeb69… |
| 06-18 23:22:53 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xf6308e… |
| 06-18 23:22:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf6308e… |
| 06-18 21:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | Yes | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x93f0db… |
| 06-18 21:29:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x93f0db… |
| 06-18 15:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x5d0a…1936 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x59ae61… |
| 06-18 15:40:53 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 31 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x59ae61… |
| 06-18 15:40:53 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x59ae61… |
| 06-18 15:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xe5c6…0b43 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x942d83… |
| 06-18 15:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x942d83… |
| 06-18 15:40:35 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 124 | 81¢ | $100 | 0x942d83… |
| 06-18 15:40:35 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 53 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x942d83… |
| 06-18 15:40:35 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 61 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x942d83… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $11 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 75¢ | $11 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 189 | 24¢ | $46 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | (anonymous) 0x891f…68fb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | Youthful-Attorney 0x09e7…f4a4 | No | BUY | 100 | 26¢ | $26 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | (anonymous) 0xf8fd…efdb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-18 15:21:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa7b15d… |
| 06-17 19:46:32 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x27c8b4… |
| 06-17 19:46:32 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x27c8b4… |
| 06-17 17:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x2c78…6701 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x296cce… |
| 06-17 17:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x296cce… |
| 06-17 16:28:50 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x5be741… |
| 06-17 16:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xdc50…255f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x5be741… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0xd2ebd5… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | Alive-Bolero 0x7b7a…8f44 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0xc32fc6… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | Mixed-Saviour 0xb4ab…571d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0xd2ebd5… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0xc32fc6… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | Snappy-Alcove 0x12ea…1c4c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x89174d… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x3e1a17… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | Sunny-Strudel 0x5d81…360e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x3e1a17… |
| 06-17 16:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x89174d… |
| 06-17 16:28:17 | Stylish-Pendulum 0xbcf7…b2bd | Yes | BUY | 296 | 73¢ | $216 | 0x4e5aa8… |
| 06-17 16:28:17 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | SELL | 311 | 73¢ | $227 | 0x4e5aa8… |
| 06-17 16:28:17 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x4e5aa8… |
| 06-17 14:51:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb04c00… |
| 06-17 14:51:07 | Stylish-Pendulum 0xbcf7…b2bd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xb04c00… |
| 06-17 14:51:07 | Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | SELL | 244 | 74¢ | $180 | 0xb04c00… |
| 06-17 14:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xc221…92a8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 74¢ | $148 | 0xb04c00… |
| 06-17 14:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xb04c00… |
| 06-17 14:51:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xb04c00… |
| 06-17 12:30:17 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | Yes | SELL | 219 | 76¢ | $166 | 0xe6fd87… |
| 06-17 12:30:17 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 219 | 76¢ | $166 | 0xe6fd87… |
| 06-17 11:10:35 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 58 | 76¢ | $44 | 0xd57d35… |
| 06-17 11:10:35 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 58 | 24¢ | $14 | 0xd57d35… |
| 06-17 09:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xe5c6…0b43 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x09315f… |
| 06-17 09:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xdfbc…4f24 | No | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x09315f… |
| 06-17 08:55:14 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 33 | 75¢ | $25 | 0xdbdbf5… |
| 06-17 08:55:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xdbdbf5… |
| 06-17 08:55:14 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 23 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xdbdbf5… |
| 06-17 08:32:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x592694… |
| 06-17 08:32:49 | Stylish-Pendulum 0xbcf7…b2bd | Yes | BUY | 145 | 73¢ | $106 | 0x592694… |
| 06-17 08:32:49 | Well-Documented-Workout 0xf2c3…0b5e | No | BUY | 140 | 27¢ | $38 | 0x592694… |
| 06-17 07:27:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd18db4… |
| 06-17 07:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xd18db4… |
| 06-17 07:27:52 | Spotless-Yoyo 0xf00e…4733 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xd18db4… |
| 06-17 07:27:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xd18db4… |
| 06-17 02:23:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xc03417… |
| 06-17 02:23:49 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 210 | 29¢ | $61 | 0xc03417… |
| 06-17 02:23:49 | (anonymous) 0xc221…92a8 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 71¢ | $142 | 0xc03417… |
| 06-16 19:58:04 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 134 | 72¢ | $97 | 0xef3a22… |
| 06-16 19:58:04 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 134 | 28¢ | $37 | 0xef3a22… |
| 06-16 19:40:59 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 104 | 28¢ | $29 | 0x204072… |
| 06-16 19:40:59 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 104 | 72¢ | $75 | 0x204072… |
| 06-16 19:39:02 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x99707e… |
| 06-16 19:39:02 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 35 | 72¢ | $25 | 0x99707e… |
| 06-16 18:22:58 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 70 | 71¢ | $50 | 0xf3d284… |
| 06-16 18:22:58 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 71¢ | $34 | 0xf3d284… |
| 06-16 18:22:58 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xf3d284… |
| 06-16 18:22:52 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 71¢ | $90 | 0xadb8ca… |
| 06-16 18:22:52 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 127 | 71¢ | $90 | 0xadb8ca… |