Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,310

lifetime

Volume

$2.36M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$444

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$216,939

Crypto

17% — —

Other

16% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-18,321

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	112	$134.9K	88,648	113,653	-25,005	open	—	02-28 19:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	25	$130.3K	90,511	142,419	-51,908	open	—	02-28 19:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	17	$109.9K	279,161	0	+279,161	open	—	07-23 03:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	286	$103.2K	305,354	0	+305,354	Yes	+$202,194	04-29 23:08
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	104	$91.6K	3,487	102,260	-98,772	open	—	06-17 22:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	66	$84.6K	87,500	87,500	+0	open	—	05-25 22:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	55	$79.1K	357,058	0	+357,058	open	—	07-16 00:41
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	70	$74.8K	0	78,690	-78,690	open	—	02-28 06:32
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	14	$70.7K	284,874	0	+284,874	open	—	07-20 23:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	22	$68.3K	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	07-07 01:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	33	$66.1K	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	04-29 14:58
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	536	$60.8K	415,406	0	+415,406	open	—	07-15 16:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$59.4K	49,095	49,095	+0	open	—	04-02 01:11
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	77	$58.4K	48,960	48,960	+0	open	—	04-01 18:34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	128	$52.4K	47,893	47,911	-18	open	—	02-28 13:44
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	93	$52.1K	275,253	0	+275,253	open	—	06-23 18:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$48.6K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	04-28 21:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$46.3K	47,344	25,172	+22,172	open	—	05-25 02:51
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	9	$43.3K	22,050	24,554	-2,505	open	—	06-22 02:14
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	22	$41.8K	51,956	25,385	+26,571	open	—	06-05 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$41.4K	22,000	22,000	+0	open	—	04-02 03:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	27	$39.7K	27,231	27,231	+0	open	—	03-21 20:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	65	$39.0K	15,289	29,435	-14,146	open	—	06-28 04:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	22	$38.9K	85,983	0	+85,983	open	—	06-13 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	55	$30.8K	40,148	40,148	+0	Yes	+$14,745	05-08 18:51
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	112	$29.9K	102,206	59,931	+42,275	open	—	07-24 16:25
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	23	$29.9K	32,288	16,201	+16,086	open	—	06-28 03:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	27	$27.4K	26,344	26,344	+0	open	—	05-25 23:04
will uae strike iran by march 31	141	$24.0K	118,601	0	+118,601	open	—	03-22 00:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	23	$22.3K	104,944	0	+104,944	open	—	06-23 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:27:40	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x509d7a…
07-25 07:15:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x658640…
07-25 06:56:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x84b35c…
07-25 06:52:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc843ec…
07-25 06:12:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x47101b…
07-25 05:14:39	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x449475…
07-25 05:09:34	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5cb18b…
07-25 05:02:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcf61ea…
07-25 04:46:39	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,073	7¢	$73	0x178820…
07-25 03:22:49	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5ee0f3…
07-25 03:16:54	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	13¢	$54	0x880bbd…
07-25 02:33:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x257e7a…
07-25 02:10:39	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xed590c…
07-25 01:34:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15,560	30¢	$4,668	0xc6eba7…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	Yes	BUY	849	75¢	$634	0x54bab6…
07-25 01:28:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x75de22…
07-25 01:25:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x63b732…
07-25 01:25:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf4dcc2…
07-25 01:23:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf04e46…
07-25 01:05:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x06292b…
07-25 01:02:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xeb285f…
07-25 00:45:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	469	30¢	$141	0x1bd035…
07-25 00:33:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x127ab1…
07-25 00:29:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0x159115…
07-25 00:28:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7d163a…
07-25 00:27:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0b80d9…
07-25 00:25:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb1970e…
07-25 00:21:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcc6ce4…
07-25 00:05:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x035f4a…
07-24 23:39:55	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3e0686…
07-24 23:34:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6ce5c2…
07-24 23:29:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	436	30¢	$131	0x5404fc…
07-24 23:28:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8e2ebf…
07-24 23:26:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	450	30¢	$135	0x20dc25…
07-24 23:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x738a78…
07-24 23:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x05d401…
07-24 23:26:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32,623	30¢	$9,787	0x68cc01…
07-24 22:58:10	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9c6c30…
07-24 21:57:18	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x9b7181…
07-24 21:42:30	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6a8e4d…
07-24 20:57:37	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4f4ce2…
07-24 19:53:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	23¢	$21	0x77d399…
07-24 19:45:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,434	23¢	$330	0x5d6d2d…
07-24 19:41:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc53a18…
07-24 19:28:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	449	23¢	$103	0xe1065d…
07-24 19:19:21	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0x4a7877…
07-24 18:28:24	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2525d8…
07-24 17:34:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x160b25…
07-24 16:51:48	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x6e35c5…
07-24 16:51:48	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x658049…
07-24 16:51:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	7¢	$4	0x82dd5f…
07-24 16:37:37	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa66cda…
07-24 16:27:46	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x284a81…
07-24 16:25:51	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	11,092	25¢	$2,773	0x1d2c99…
07-24 16:23:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$13	0x094a28…
07-24 16:23:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$13	0x6ccf14…
07-24 16:22:42	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x781bfa…
07-24 16:17:52	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd51919…
07-24 16:17:30	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x38b543…
07-24 16:16:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x4b9acd…
07-24 16:11:40	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0x08cff1…
07-24 16:10:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0xa2771c…
07-24 16:10:42	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x603ba7…
07-24 16:09:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	2,694	25¢	$677	0xf667c4…
07-24 15:54:45	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x35849e…
07-24 15:47:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	5,870	23¢	$1,350	0x1e7d62…
07-24 15:47:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	3,000	23¢	$690	0x6eda05…
07-24 15:47:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0xa86706…
07-24 15:47:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xa16372…
07-24 15:46:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	2,174	23¢	$500	0x2dda15…
07-24 15:45:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x4d3241…
07-24 15:45:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0xe8173c…
07-24 15:39:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	509	23¢	$117	0xcaaa67…
07-24 15:38:54	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	1,346	23¢	$309	0x527dd2…
07-24 15:37:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	870	23¢	$200	0xb64598…
07-24 15:36:57	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	870	23¢	$200	0x7ded40…
07-24 15:35:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	1,200	23¢	$276	0xc39e21…
07-24 15:34:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	1,435	23¢	$330	0x5665a9…
07-24 15:31:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	87	23¢	$20	0x9a6356…
07-24 15:20:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xb547cb…
07-24 15:19:58	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	170	23¢	$39	0x111580…
07-24 15:14:58	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	112	23¢	$26	0xb69beb…
07-24 15:12:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	174	23¢	$40	0xf4263d…
07-24 15:10:54	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	911	7¢	$65	0x7607a5…
07-24 15:10:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	2,000	23¢	$460	0xce6ddb…
07-24 15:09:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0xd44113…
07-24 15:08:52	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x6eaa3f…
07-24 15:01:21	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0x060112…
07-24 14:40:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf56fa2…
07-24 14:40:21	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xa3407b…
07-24 14:30:58	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x1387d9…
07-24 14:30:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xa83421…
07-24 14:25:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x16bb57…
07-24 14:24:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x650472…
07-24 14:24:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0x6e9b5d…
07-24 14:24:31	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	95	26¢	$25	0xd38fc0…
07-24 14:22:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x6550f9…
07-24 14:22:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	132	26¢	$34	0xe86ab4…
07-24 14:08:07	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x581aa3…
07-24 12:43:45	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9a93da…