Realized P&L
+$198.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$26.4K
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,678
lifetime
Volume
$1.97M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$422
Open exposure
$139.8K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 04:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
73% 100% +$216,939
Other
14%
Crypto
10%
Sports
3% 0% $-18,321
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +208,579 $53,115 20¢ $40.7K $-12,442 06-27 02:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +50,000 $23,511 74¢ $36.8K +$13,239 06-22 14:33
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +275,253 $52,092 13¢ $35.8K $-16,309 06-23 18:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +124,854 $26,220 14¢ $16.9K $-9,365 07-02 04:08
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -10,925 $-4,389 38¢ $-4097 +$292 06-15 20:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,075 $4,017 16¢ $3.1K $-906 06-30 11:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +10,863 $1,626 $923 $-703 05-29 09:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +11,681 $986 $876 $-110 07-02 10:59
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? Yes +798 $446 50¢ $399 $-47 06-05 03:49
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +422 $239 60¢ $251 +$12 05-29 13:46
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -316 $-38 12¢ $-39 $-2 06-28 04:25
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +377 $53 $23 $-30 05-28 20:30