Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,641

lifetime

Volume

$2.59M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$460

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$216,939

Crypto

18% — —

Other

16% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-18,321

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	112	$134.9K	88,648	113,653	-25,005	open	—	02-28 19:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	25	$130.3K	90,511	142,419	-51,908	open	—	02-28 19:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	21	$124.9K	316,834	144	+316,690	open	—	08-05 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	44	$119.1K	399,995	150,000	+249,995	open	—	08-12 03:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	286	$103.2K	305,354	0	+305,354	Yes	+$202,194	04-29 23:08
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	104	$91.6K	3,487	102,260	-98,772	open	—	06-17 22:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	66	$84.6K	87,500	87,500	+0	open	—	05-25 22:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	55	$79.1K	357,058	0	+357,058	open	—	07-16 00:41
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	70	$74.8K	0	78,690	-78,690	open	—	02-28 06:32
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	14	$70.7K	284,874	0	+284,874	open	—	07-20 23:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	22	$68.3K	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	07-07 01:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	33	$66.1K	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	04-29 14:58
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	536	$60.8K	415,406	0	+415,406	open	—	07-15 16:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$59.4K	49,095	49,095	+0	open	—	04-02 01:11
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	77	$58.4K	48,960	48,960	+0	open	—	04-01 18:34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	128	$52.4K	47,893	47,911	-18	open	—	02-28 13:44
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	93	$52.1K	275,253	0	+275,253	open	—	06-23 18:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$48.6K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	04-28 21:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	11	$46.3K	47,344	25,172	+22,172	open	—	05-25 02:51
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	9	$43.3K	22,050	24,554	-2,505	open	—	06-22 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	12	$41.8K	157,077	0	+157,077	open	—	08-14 00:16
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	22	$41.8K	51,956	25,385	+26,571	open	—	06-05 14:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$41.4K	22,000	22,000	+0	open	—	04-02 03:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	27	$39.7K	27,231	27,231	+0	open	—	03-21 20:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	65	$39.0K	15,289	29,435	-14,146	open	—	06-28 04:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	22	$38.9K	85,983	0	+85,983	open	—	06-13 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	55	$30.8K	40,148	40,148	+0	Yes	+$14,745	05-08 18:51
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	112	$29.9K	102,206	59,931	+42,275	open	—	07-24 16:25
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	23	$29.9K	32,288	16,201	+16,086	open	—	06-28 03:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	27	$27.4K	26,344	26,344	+0	open	—	05-25 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 02:53:57	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	2,000	33¢	$660	0x6f1d41…
08-14 00:16:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,865	23¢	$3,944	0xdea3aa…
08-14 00:16:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,170	36¢	$3,661	0xb47fa3…
08-13 18:45:31	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xf4c211…
08-13 14:38:25	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x1aeea9…
08-13 14:28:55	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	409	32¢	$131	0xa16a2f…
08-13 12:44:19	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf48ee3…
08-13 12:20:25	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x88114d…
08-13 09:25:18	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xf835bf…
08-13 06:42:55	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x43cc40…
08-13 02:10:36	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xd01e12…
08-13 02:10:21	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x226e76…
08-12 12:42:31	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xbef398…
08-12 10:59:28	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	74	32¢	$24	0x48626c…
08-12 10:44:00	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0xc243c8…
08-12 08:03:07	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x03c194…
08-12 08:00:21	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x1f4071…
08-12 03:14:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50,000	19¢	$9,500	0x5ba4b3…
08-12 03:01:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49,994	19¢	$9,499	0xd2c20e…
08-12 02:38:01	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	129	32¢	$41	0x3ae58c…
08-11 23:45:37	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x3e52a3…
08-11 23:32:54	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	1,613	32¢	$516	0x9415e2…
08-11 21:35:40	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	5,000	31¢	$1,550	0x0685d8…
08-11 20:18:21	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	2,164	31¢	$671	0x5726c8…
08-11 20:18:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xe335cf…
08-11 15:44:09	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x2e72a2…
08-11 13:27:57	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1c3549…
08-11 01:56:07	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x62a09f…
08-10 23:45:34	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	61	29¢	$18	0x33097e…
08-10 07:31:54	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	101	29¢	$29	0x14163f…
08-10 01:19:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60,608	7¢	$4,243	0x41d4e1…
08-09 18:08:49	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	36,086	2¢	$815	0x796014…
08-09 02:19:01	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	23,315	2¢	$557	0x39248f…
08-09 02:18:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	20,654	2¢	$390	0xf0035d…
08-08 15:33:24	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1f01a6…
08-08 15:17:36	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3a973f…
08-08 15:17:33	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x5bf97d…
08-08 14:37:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x7ff2d4…
08-08 07:49:51	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x42c103…
08-08 06:33:00	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x86fc5d…
08-08 00:47:52	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x575a56…
08-08 00:46:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,481	25¢	$2,571	0xa8a636…
08-07 23:34:24	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x7f3354…
08-07 23:34:16	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xaec1b4…
08-07 23:16:46	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x647f04…
08-07 21:37:09	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	111	29¢	$32	0x3bb300…
08-07 17:31:19	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	290	29¢	$84	0x176cfa…
08-07 17:02:34	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb50f16…
08-07 17:02:30	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x39d5cc…
08-07 13:33:46	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x48683d…
08-07 13:33:42	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0x70b3bf…
08-07 10:09:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	4,995	30¢	$1,498	0xde8176…
08-07 03:16:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	8,200	30¢	$2,460	0xd253be…
08-07 01:57:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,026	27¢	$277	0xf19cc9…
08-07 01:57:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,599	28¢	$2,392	0x43eafd…
08-06 22:01:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50,000	18¢	$9,000	0xba74a9…
08-06 00:46:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	4,018	30¢	$1,205	0xc18f0d…
08-05 18:59:50	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	3,433	30¢	$1,030	0x996a3d…
08-05 18:59:44	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	5,371	29¢	$1,547	0x5d9d96…
08-05 15:15:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	50¢	$54	0xd16efd…
08-05 15:15:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0xeef0c2…
08-05 03:23:47	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	692	26¢	$180	0xef8afa…
08-04 22:29:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50,000	17¢	$8,500	0x669c4d…
08-04 19:14:20	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc4a033…
08-04 17:18:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,234	25¢	$559	0xfb708b…
08-04 12:06:23	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0x268767…
08-04 06:02:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22,060	9¢	$1,985	0x860497…
08-04 04:15:57	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb76b13…
08-04 03:08:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50,000	22¢	$11,000	0xa6b67d…
08-04 02:36:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50,000	22¢	$11,000	0xd0a261…
08-04 02:17:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x1f8c2d…
08-04 02:16:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xee975f…
08-04 02:15:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,048	26¢	$1,573	0x7e4bc3…
08-03 00:39:33	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	276	62¢	$171	0x2e5046…
08-02 02:11:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50,000	21¢	$10,500	0x4d4c5d…
08-02 02:10:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50,000	21¢	$10,500	0x7f94e6…
08-01 21:26:23	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x07abb6…
08-01 21:10:39	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc2b399…
08-01 15:57:39	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x95754c…
08-01 14:46:20	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x72c8f2…
08-01 14:23:12	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	8¢	$304	0xd632f4…
08-01 13:23:06	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x982b67…
08-01 13:21:32	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	Yes	BUY	2,812	26¢	$731	0x5ced3e…
08-01 08:08:08	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	1,082	8¢	$82	0xbddf02…
08-01 08:08:03	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfbbd61…
08-01 00:36:11	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xee2f53…
08-01 00:36:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	28¢	$13	0xa87bb2…
08-01 00:35:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xe38814…
08-01 00:35:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x49f0cd…
08-01 00:35:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xeb2725…
08-01 00:35:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0x32fc4c…
08-01 00:35:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x0ed833…
08-01 00:35:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xee2475…
08-01 00:35:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xc4dd80…
08-01 00:35:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xa64ab0…
08-01 00:35:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x9575f8…
08-01 00:21:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x9cb4bc…
08-01 00:21:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x5bbf68…
08-01 00:21:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc98635…
08-01 00:21:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7b2229…