China x Japan military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$525,242
$1,016 in 24h
Trades
3,549
Unique wallets
719
Liquidity
$22,770
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-30 18:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.7¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $143.6K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $369.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 38 | $10.8K | $201.3K | $190.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 73 | $1.5K | $76.0K | $74.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 125 | $4.5K | $55.8K | $51.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 482 | $872 | $18.4K | $17.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $10.7K | $132.9K | $122.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 36 | $4.3K | $24.3K | $20.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $78 | $6.5K | $6.4K |
| Median | 123 | $301 | $10.0K | $9.7K |
| Below median | 96 | $60 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $23 | $133 | $110 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $98 | $10.0K | $9.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $546 | $7.7K | $7.2K |
| unranked | 377 | $1.6K | $156.6K | $155.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +135,251 | $9,898 | $9,898 | 79 | 07-30 09:06 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +64,129 | $59,384 | $73,158 | 81 | 07-21 02:56 |
| Incomparable-Attitude 0x5138…4fe5 | Yes | +51,673 | $3,710 | $3,710 | 6 | 07-15 22:26 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +33,002 | $31,716 | $95,728 | 105 | 07-29 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +28,906 | $26,825 | $26,825 | 43 | 07-30 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c82…1f13 | No | +20,188 | $18,290 | $18,290 | 7 | 07-20 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0eee…4c52 | No | +14,060 | $12,985 | $12,985 | 74 | 07-25 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x82e9…b34c | No | +10,446 | $9,819 | $9,819 | 64 | 07-14 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +9,100 | $8,229 | $8,229 | 27 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Stunning-Headquarters 0x2d4b…ca7a | No | +9,056 | $3,560 | $3,560 | 7 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +7,000 | $6,210 | $6,210 | 14 | 07-20 16:34 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +6,219 | $479 | $479 | 86 | 07-30 15:11 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +5,603 | $5,132 | $5,132 | 48 | 07-30 14:50 |
| Heartfelt-Depot 0x8f71…4e83 | No | +5,006 | $1,452 | $1,452 | 2 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +5,000 | $4,650 | $4,650 | 2 | 07-02 13:30 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +4,410 | $4,031 | $4,031 | 3 | 07-20 17:28 |
| Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | +3,025 | $2,843 | $2,843 | 1 | 07-06 11:32 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | +2,778 | $1,778 | $1,778 | 5 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | +2,227 | $2,005 | $2,005 | 9 | 07-20 21:26 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +1,930 | $1,865 | $5,795 | 7 | 07-12 06:39 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +1,629 | $58 | $207 | 15 | 07-30 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +1,500 | $1,350 | $1,350 | 2 | 07-30 14:50 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe327…e596 | No | +1,451 | $1,364 | $1,364 | 1 | 07-11 05:17 |
| Ambitious-Juice 0xf097…f868 | No | +1,404 | $674 | $674 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +1,346 | $1,250 | $1,687 | 14 | 07-30 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5673…4926 | No | +1,315 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +1,312 | $1,052 | $1,052 | 10 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | +1,264 | $1,166 | $1,166 | 18 | 07-25 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +1,254 | $109 | $109 | 19 | 07-22 02:15 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | +1,208 | $382 | $382 | 2 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a68…c1b0 | No | +1,130 | $1,006 | $1,006 | 1 | 07-20 17:45 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +1,081 | $1,016 | $1,016 | 1 | 07-06 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xda73…4d41 | Yes | +1,035 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…1f97 | No | +1,024 | $952 | $952 | 1 | 07-18 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x22ff…5254 | No | +1,000 | $840 | $840 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +580 | $-34 | $1,563 | 317 | 07-30 15:01 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +499 | $47 | $199 | 10 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c91…afaa | Yes | +435 | $35 | $35 | 17 | 06-29 21:22 |
| Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | Yes | +400 | $28 | $64 | 4 | 07-30 14:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:05:35 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | Yes | BUY | 299 | 9¢ | $27 | 0xe482c8… |
| 07-30 18:05:35 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 299 | 9¢ | $27 | 0xe482c8… |
| 07-30 17:45:30 | Zigzag-Octet 0x1c00…7af4 | No | SELL | 2,043 | 91¢ | $1,859 | 0x22be0f… |
| 07-30 17:45:30 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1,993 | 91¢ | $1,814 | 0x22be0f… |
| 07-30 17:45:30 | (anonymous) 0xb59b…916b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x22be0f… |
| 07-30 17:05:38 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x854a8f… |
| 07-30 17:05:38 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x854a8f… |
| 07-30 15:21:50 | Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x84afef… |
| 07-30 15:21:50 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x84afef… |
| 07-30 15:21:50 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x84afef… |
| 07-30 15:15:20 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | SELL | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x632646… |
| 07-30 15:15:20 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x632646… |
| 07-30 15:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 328 | 91¢ | $298 | 0xa90161… |
| 07-30 15:12:06 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | SELL | 368 | 91¢ | $335 | 0xa90161… |
| 07-30 15:12:06 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa90161… |
| 07-30 15:12:06 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xa90161… |
| 07-30 15:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xa90161… |
| 07-30 15:11:39 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x30d029… |
| 07-30 15:11:39 | Baggy-Magazine 0x4204…d93d | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x30d029… |
| 07-30 15:03:24 | (anonymous) 0x09ad…5e6f | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x4bd74b… |
| 07-30 15:03:24 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x4bd74b… |
| 07-30 15:01:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 9¢ | $17 | 0x7194bc… |
| 07-30 15:01:54 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7194bc… |
| 07-30 15:01:54 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 172 | 91¢ | $157 | 0x7194bc… |
| 07-30 15:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xdd6b68… |
| 07-30 15:00:12 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xdd6b68… |
| 07-30 15:00:08 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 38 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x8075dc… |
| 07-30 15:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8075dc… |
| 07-30 15:00:08 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 48 | 91¢ | $44 | 0x8075dc… |
| 07-30 14:59:59 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 85 | 90¢ | $76 | 0x96d11b… |
| 07-30 14:59:59 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 844 | 90¢ | $763 | 0x96d11b… |
| 07-30 14:59:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 180 | 91¢ | $164 | 0x96d11b… |
| 07-30 14:59:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 159 | 10¢ | $16 | 0x96d11b… |
| 07-30 14:59:59 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x96d11b… |
| 07-30 14:59:51 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 211 | 89¢ | $188 | 0xc84221… |
| 07-30 14:59:51 | Unlawful-Adulthood 0xe087…bc81 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc84221… |
| 07-30 14:59:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 11¢ | $21 | 0xc84221… |
| 07-30 14:59:51 | Only-Thermometer 0x2232…a2c5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc84221… |
| 07-30 14:59:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 185 | 12¢ | $22 | 0x07c1b0… |
| 07-30 14:59:47 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 185 | 88¢ | $163 | 0x07c1b0… |
| 07-30 14:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x66ec…3adf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xfdce91… |
| 07-30 14:55:09 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 142 | 87¢ | $123 | 0xfdce91… |
| 07-30 14:55:09 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xfdce91… |
| 07-30 14:55:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 130 | 13¢ | $17 | 0xfdce91… |
| 07-30 14:54:23 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 244 | 86¢ | $210 | 0xdcbb3e… |
| 07-30 14:54:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xdcbb3e… |
| 07-30 14:54:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 14¢ | $27 | 0xdcbb3e… |
| 07-30 14:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdcbb3e… |
| 07-30 14:54:23 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xdcbb3e… |
| 07-30 14:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xc754…bb99 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x54899f… |
| 07-30 14:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x54899f… |
| 07-30 14:52:21 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x08a909… |
| 07-30 14:52:21 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x08a909… |
| 07-30 14:52:21 | Canine-Tie 0xea1d…e993 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x08a909… |
| 07-30 14:52:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xffd124… |
| 07-30 14:52:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xffd124… |
| 07-30 14:51:47 | Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $29 | 0xab7c58… |
| 07-30 14:51:47 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xab7c58… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | SELL | 60 | 71¢ | $43 | 0x2b7bfa… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xaa6e87… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2a48da… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 1,500 | 30¢ | $450 | 0x2b7bfa… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xe4cb…5276 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xaa6e87… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xe4cb…5276 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb0c43c… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | SELL | 7,493 | 29¢ | $2,179 | 0x2b7bfa… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x51f174… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xe4cb…5276 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2a48da… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xe4cb…5276 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x51f174… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Stunning-Headquarters 0x2d4b…ca7a | No | BUY | 927 | 28¢ | $260 | 0x2b7bfa… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Heartfelt-Depot 0x8f71…4e83 | No | BUY | 2,503 | 29¢ | $726 | 0x2b7bfa… |
| 07-30 14:51:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb0c43c… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Silent-Obsidian 0x57b0…76f4 | No | BUY | 200 | 64¢ | $128 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Terrific-Epoxy 0xf784…ab48 | No | BUY | 100 | 57¢ | $57 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | BUY | 708 | 30¢ | $212 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Ambitious-Juice 0xf097…f868 | No | BUY | 1,404 | 48¢ | $674 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | SELL | 20,590 | 55¢ | $11,331 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Stunning-Headquarters 0x2d4b…ca7a | No | BUY | 2,424 | 33¢ | $800 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 136 | 15¢ | $20 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x5673…4926 | No | BUY | 1,315 | 38¢ | $500 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 86¢ | $860 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 679 | 88¢ | $597 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 222 | 14¢ | $31 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 200 | 14¢ | $28 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x8bdd…8463 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x22ff…5254 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 84¢ | $840 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | BUY | 377 | 47¢ | $177 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0xa2ad…825c | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:51:08 | (anonymous) 0xac83…26c4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xf774fe… |
| 07-30 14:50:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5dac2e… |
| 07-30 14:50:27 | White-Coinsurance 0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x5dac2e… |
| 07-30 14:50:26 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 89¢ | $178 | 0x51c1f9… |
| 07-30 14:50:26 | (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | BUY | 500 | 88¢ | $440 | 0x51c1f9… |