China x Japan military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$554,377
$1,016 in 24h
Trades
3,693
Unique wallets
747
Liquidity
$22,770
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-02 04:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.7¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $143.7K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $387.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 42 | $10.8K | $256.8K | $245.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 74 | $1.6K | $36.3K | $34.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 135 | $5.1K | $56.5K | $51.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 496 | $874 | $19.3K | $18.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $10.8K | $132.9K | $122.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 41 | $4.4K | $26.9K | $22.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $78 | $6.2K | $6.1K |
| Median | 124 | $301 | $10.1K | $9.8K |
| Below median | 104 | $62 | $5.2K | $5.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $48 | $152 | $104 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $70 | $10.0K | $9.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $549 | $8.0K | $7.5K |
| unranked | 391 | $2.1K | $169.5K | $167.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +135,251 | $9,898 | $9,898 | 79 | 07-30 09:06 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +64,129 | $59,384 | $73,158 | 81 | 07-21 02:56 |
| Incomparable-Attitude 0x5138…4fe5 | Yes | +51,673 | $3,710 | $3,710 | 6 | 07-15 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +39,482 | $36,353 | $36,353 | 48 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +33,002 | $31,716 | $95,728 | 105 | 07-29 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c82…1f13 | No | +20,188 | $18,290 | $18,290 | 7 | 07-20 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0eee…4c52 | No | +14,060 | $12,985 | $12,985 | 74 | 07-25 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x82e9…b34c | No | +10,446 | $9,819 | $9,819 | 64 | 07-14 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +9,100 | $8,229 | $8,229 | 27 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Stunning-Headquarters 0x2d4b…ca7a | No | +9,056 | $3,560 | $3,560 | 7 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +7,000 | $6,210 | $6,210 | 14 | 07-20 16:34 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +6,778 | $526 | $526 | 98 | 08-01 10:09 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +6,403 | $5,856 | $5,856 | 52 | 08-02 04:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1545…3599 | Yes | +5,380 | $538 | $538 | 1 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Heartfelt-Depot 0x8f71…4e83 | No | +5,006 | $1,452 | $1,452 | 2 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +5,000 | $4,650 | $4,650 | 2 | 07-02 13:30 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +4,410 | $4,031 | $4,031 | 3 | 07-20 17:28 |
| Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | +4,041 | $3,637 | $3,637 | 17 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | +3,025 | $2,843 | $2,843 | 1 | 07-06 11:32 |
| International-Venue 0x7e30…1e50 | No | +2,120 | $1,942 | $1,942 | 5 | 08-01 09:59 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +1,930 | $1,865 | $5,795 | 7 | 07-12 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +1,700 | $1,530 | $1,530 | 3 | 07-30 22:20 |
| Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | +1,504 | $1,394 | $1,831 | 16 | 08-01 09:59 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe327…e596 | No | +1,451 | $1,364 | $1,364 | 1 | 07-11 05:17 |
| Ambitious-Juice 0xf097…f868 | No | +1,404 | $674 | $674 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5673…4926 | No | +1,315 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | +1,264 | $1,166 | $1,166 | 18 | 07-25 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +1,254 | $109 | $109 | 19 | 07-22 02:15 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | No | +1,208 | $382 | $382 | 2 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a68…c1b0 | No | +1,130 | $1,006 | $1,006 | 1 | 07-20 17:45 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +1,081 | $1,016 | $1,016 | 1 | 07-06 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xda73…4d41 | Yes | +1,035 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ac…1fe4 | No | +1,027 | $945 | $945 | 2 | 08-01 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…1f97 | No | +1,024 | $952 | $952 | 1 | 07-18 06:19 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +1,002 | $3 | $262 | 21 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-01 11:02 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +1,000 | $860 | $860 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +593 | $-42 | $1,738 | 330 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +499 | $47 | $199 | 10 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:24:48 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 191 | 9¢ | $17 | 0xa69d4f… |
| 08-02 04:24:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 9¢ | $17 | 0xa69d4f… |
| 08-02 04:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xe6db66… |
| 08-02 04:24:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe6db66… |
| 08-02 04:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 4,576 | 90¢ | $4,118 | 0x6908e9… |
| 08-02 04:24:33 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x6908e9… |
| 08-02 04:24:33 | Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x6908e9… |
| 08-02 04:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x1545…3599 | Yes | BUY | 5,380 | 10¢ | $538 | 0x6908e9… |
| 08-02 04:24:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 191 | 10¢ | $19 | 0x6908e9… |
| 08-02 03:59:44 | Mixed-Yang 0xb4a3…739a | No | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x694ee4… |
| 08-02 03:59:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x694ee4… |
| 08-02 03:59:44 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x694ee4… |
| 08-02 03:23:17 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0xa8ac50… |
| 08-02 03:23:17 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xa8ac50… |
| 08-02 03:23:17 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 17 | 91¢ | $16 | 0xa8ac50… |
| 08-02 01:29:59 | Pushy-Headlight 0x3c4a…0be9 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xc628e7… |
| 08-02 01:29:59 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xc628e7… |
| 08-01 23:52:29 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 57 | 91¢ | $52 | 0x90231b… |
| 08-01 23:52:29 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 57 | 91¢ | $52 | 0x90231b… |
| 08-01 22:24:45 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 59 | 91¢ | $54 | 0x836c07… |
| 08-01 22:24:45 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 59 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x836c07… |
| 08-01 18:48:17 | (anonymous) 0x96ac…8316 | Yes | SELL | 165 | 8¢ | $13 | 0xbc98be… |
| 08-01 18:48:17 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 165 | 92¢ | $152 | 0xbc98be… |
| 08-01 16:42:53 | Breakable-Pressurization 0xf903…dc0c | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x0dd1d7… |
| 08-01 16:42:53 | Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x0dd1d7… |
| 08-01 16:42:14 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x802d57… |
| 08-01 16:42:14 | Breakable-Pressurization 0xf903…dc0c | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x802d57… |
| 08-01 16:16:21 | Pushy-Headlight 0x3c4a…0be9 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xca649f… |
| 08-01 16:16:21 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xca649f… |
| 08-01 16:01:20 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x4cdd38… |
| 08-01 16:01:20 | Chilly-Alternative 0x38fd…c6bb | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x4cdd38… |
| 08-01 13:59:30 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x10ac8d… |
| 08-01 13:59:30 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 218 | 91¢ | $198 | 0x10ac8d… |
| 08-01 13:59:30 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | BUY | 210 | 91¢ | $191 | 0x10ac8d… |
| 08-01 13:44:29 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0x6bbe68… |
| 08-01 13:44:29 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | BUY | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0x6bbe68… |
| 08-01 13:21:15 | Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | BUY | 217 | 92¢ | $200 | 0x4778e5… |
| 08-01 13:21:15 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 217 | 92¢ | $200 | 0x4778e5… |
| 08-01 12:39:11 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | SELL | 49 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x952d40… |
| 08-01 12:39:11 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 69 | 91¢ | $63 | 0x952d40… |
| 08-01 12:39:11 | Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x952d40… |
| 08-01 11:18:36 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 400 | 91¢ | $364 | 0x92a2b8… |
| 08-01 11:18:36 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 400 | 91¢ | $364 | 0x92a2b8… |
| 08-01 11:02:08 | Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | BUY | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0x51114e… |
| 08-01 11:02:08 | Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 10¢ | $100 | 0x51114e… |
| 08-01 10:53:23 | Humiliating-Brick 0xa09f…7ba6 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd41403… |
| 08-01 10:53:23 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd41403… |
| 08-01 10:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x69f9…3c3b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x304a11… |
| 08-01 10:14:02 | Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x304a11… |
| 08-01 10:13:51 | Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x20dd2d… |
| 08-01 10:13:51 | (anonymous) 0xbf72…2a2c | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x20dd2d… |
| 08-01 10:09:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 91 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x57be61… |
| 08-01 10:09:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 9¢ | $17 | 0xdd128b… |
| 08-01 10:09:38 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 300 | 91¢ | $273 | 0xdd128b… |
| 08-01 10:09:38 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 91 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x57be61… |
| 08-01 10:09:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 109 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xdd128b… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 549 | 90¢ | $494 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | International-Venue 0x7e30…1e50 | No | BUY | 222 | 90¢ | $200 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 191 | 10¢ | $19 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | BUY | 382 | 90¢ | $344 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x79ca…f4ef | No | SELL | 2,483 | 90¢ | $2,245 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 09:59:12 | Daring-Mineshaft 0xc4a7…898a | No | BUY | 27 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x1f53cd… |
| 08-01 05:18:51 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0xc68d26… |
| 08-01 05:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x15fa…f856 | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0xc68d26… |
| 08-01 02:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x2567…715e | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xbe3188… |
| 08-01 02:08:45 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xbe3188… |
| 08-01 01:11:42 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 145 | 92¢ | $133 | 0x0f8cc6… |
| 08-01 01:11:42 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 145 | 92¢ | $133 | 0x0f8cc6… |
| 08-01 00:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xf9ac…1fe4 | No | BUY | 929 | 92¢ | $855 | 0x4a6648… |
| 08-01 00:04:11 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 929 | 92¢ | $855 | 0x4a6648… |
| 07-31 23:38:41 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x66f701… |
| 07-31 23:38:41 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x66f701… |
| 07-31 23:37:51 | (anonymous) 0xf9ac…1fe4 | No | BUY | 98 | 92¢ | $90 | 0x70df04… |
| 07-31 23:37:51 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 96 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x70df04… |
| 07-31 23:37:51 | Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x70df04… |
| 07-31 20:39:44 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc66d91… |
| 07-31 20:39:44 | Fickle-Chord 0x34ed…9948 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc66d91… |
| 07-31 17:52:06 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 202 | 91¢ | $184 | 0x6b99b5… |
| 07-31 17:52:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 191 | 9¢ | $17 | 0x6b99b5… |
| 07-31 17:52:06 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x6b99b5… |
| 07-31 16:53:15 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x97d0f8… |
| 07-31 16:53:15 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x97d0f8… |
| 07-31 16:09:44 | (anonymous) 0xf885…5274 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x4ba7ed… |
| 07-31 16:09:44 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x4ba7ed… |
| 07-31 16:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x714f…9c52 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xf44a22… |
| 07-31 16:09:42 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf44a22… |
| 07-31 16:09:41 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x13fece… |
| 07-31 16:09:41 | Spiffy-Syrup 0xaf38…cb2f | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0d9a7d… |
| 07-31 16:09:41 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 90 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x13fece… |
| 07-31 16:09:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 191 | 8¢ | $15 | 0x13fece… |
| 07-31 16:09:41 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0d9a7d… |
| 07-31 16:09:41 | Massive-Phase 0x3c8a…b45a | No | BUY | 292 | 92¢ | $269 | 0x13fece… |
| 07-31 11:00:35 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 4,451 | 90¢ | $4,006 | 0x5e2696… |
| 07-31 11:00:35 | Zigzag-Octet 0x1c00…7af4 | No | SELL | 4,546 | 90¢ | $4,091 | 0x5e2696… |
| 07-31 11:00:35 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | Yes | SELL | 95 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x5e2696… |
| 07-31 10:47:48 | Trifling-Verse 0x87de…0e1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9ff9b5… |
| 07-31 10:47:48 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9ff9b5… |
| 07-31 10:08:32 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0009ba… |
| 07-31 10:08:32 | (anonymous) 0xc71d…56fa | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x0009ba… |