China x Japan military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$173,508
$1,016 in 24h
Trades
1,567
Unique wallets
434
Liquidity
$22,770
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-09 18:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.1¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $61.7K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $121.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $4.5K | $68.6K | $64.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 34 | $639 | $20.0K | $19.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 68 | $687 | $15.6K | $14.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 309 | $742 | $10.4K | $9.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $4.6K | $57.0K | $52.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $652 | $7.8K | $7.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $1 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
| Median | 53 | $130 | $2.8K | $2.7K |
| Below median | 73 | $11 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $73 | $4.6K | $4.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $291 | $608 | $316 |
| unranked | 240 | $795 | $35.2K | $34.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +59,038 | $4,301 | $4,301 | 56 | 07-04 06:21 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +52,771 | $48,996 | $48,996 | 33 | 07-04 20:11 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +8,636 | $8,032 | $8,032 | 35 | 07-06 11:33 |
| Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | +7,862 | $7,185 | $7,185 | 26 | 07-08 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +6,539 | $6,081 | $6,081 | 29 | 07-09 18:27 |
| Incomparable-Attitude 0x5138…4fe5 | Yes | +6,059 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-27 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +5,000 | $4,650 | $4,650 | 2 | 07-02 13:30 |
| Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | +3,025 | $2,843 | $2,843 | 1 | 07-06 11:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +3,000 | $2,750 | $2,750 | 23 | 06-28 04:51 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +2,378 | $206 | $206 | 32 | 07-06 12:04 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +1,633 | $1,482 | $1,482 | 18 | 07-06 15:21 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +1,600 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 07-06 11:32 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +1,307 | $77 | $290 | 97 | 07-08 09:52 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +1,106 | $1,017 | $1,017 | 4 | 06-27 19:22 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +1,081 | $1,016 | $1,016 | 1 | 07-06 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xee47…5305 | No | +879 | $800 | $800 | 2 | 06-08 12:29 |
| Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | +826 | $759 | $759 | 3 | 07-03 23:43 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +741 | $24 | $598 | 89 | 07-06 22:34 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +725 | $677 | $742 | 7 | 07-04 15:48 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +720 | $619 | $6,794 | 55 | 07-07 05:32 |
| Rotating-Seabass 0xe238…d3fc | Yes | +700 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-06 11:32 |
| Incomplete-Cherry 0x107f…bb8c | No | +700 | $651 | $651 | 2 | 07-04 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xda0f…2a19 | No | +531 | $496 | $496 | 6 | 07-04 15:59 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +500 | $464 | $464 | 10 | 07-06 12:22 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +500 | $465 | $465 | 1 | 07-04 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c91…afaa | Yes | +435 | $35 | $35 | 17 | 06-29 21:22 |
| Limited-Spec 0x41c7…0df5 | No | +368 | $339 | $339 | 5 | 06-28 16:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +367 | $345 | $345 | 3 | 07-08 18:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3285…f63d | No | +323 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 06-22 06:39 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +321 | $335 | $4,265 | 3 | 06-28 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +310 | $28 | $144 | 23 | 06-21 06:26 |
| Jumpy-Blank 0x1693…5d20 | No | +300 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 07-04 17:18 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +268 | $20 | $40 | 2 | 06-02 17:35 |
| Chilly-Alternative 0x38fd…c6bb | No | +250 | $232 | $232 | 4 | 06-01 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x963e…04a0 | Yes | +214 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-06 03:07 |
| Old-Pop 0xde7d…499e | No | +209 | $193 | $717 | 8 | 06-11 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x4387…92be | No | +204 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-28 14:57 |
| Focused-Artificer 0xf454…7ecc | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-01 13:17 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +171 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 06-02 17:35 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +164 | $152 | $152 | 4 | 07-04 06:21 |
| Unkempt-Elongation 0xdc30…a0dc | No | +162 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 07-02 10:59 |
| Gray-Danger 0x6104…e358 | No | +161 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 06-01 09:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 18:27:13 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x1363fb… |
| 07-09 18:27:13 | Sugary-Passport 0x4fa2…c7b7 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1363fb… |
| 07-09 16:13:01 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe1b101… |
| 07-09 16:13:01 | Dull-Grandma 0x7fd3…ef99 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe1b101… |
| 07-09 09:42:56 | Itchy-Piano 0xbed8…fd44 | No | SELL | 76 | 93¢ | $71 | 0x00cb12… |
| 07-09 09:42:56 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 76 | 93¢ | $71 | 0x00cb12… |
| 07-09 07:47:34 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x16b69f… |
| 07-09 07:47:34 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x16b69f… |
| 07-09 07:47:32 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x8ee5bc… |
| 07-09 07:47:32 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x8ee5bc… |
| 07-09 07:47:31 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x297a7a… |
| 07-09 07:47:31 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x297a7a… |
| 07-09 07:47:29 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2821da… |
| 07-09 07:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x2821da… |
| 07-09 07:47:26 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x86bdde… |
| 07-09 07:47:26 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x86bdde… |
| 07-09 07:30:58 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7e12be… |
| 07-09 07:30:58 | Lone-Start 0x421d…29bd | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7e12be… |
| 07-09 07:30:52 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x9eede8… |
| 07-09 07:30:52 | Sarcastic-Level 0x6559…bbb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x9eede8… |
| 07-09 07:30:52 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb1dd57… |
| 07-09 07:30:52 | Spotted-Reservoir 0x068e…0b4f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb1dd57… |
| 07-09 07:30:49 | Liquid-Bun 0x936c…daa1 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe2ded8… |
| 07-09 07:30:49 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbdef88… |
| 07-09 07:30:49 | Frank-Steel 0x6c83…ea52 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbdef88… |
| 07-09 07:30:49 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe2ded8… |
| 07-09 06:40:32 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x787028… |
| 07-09 06:40:32 | Terrific-Arena 0xd928…8b5e | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x787028… |
| 07-09 05:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xe45de0… |
| 07-09 05:04:29 | Calm-Elephant 0x742d…100e | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xe45de0… |
| 07-09 03:28:14 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x0f866d… |
| 07-09 03:28:14 | (anonymous) 0xbfba…583c | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x0f866d… |
| 07-09 03:23:40 | Subdued-Diversity 0xb976…8092 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc88c9f… |
| 07-09 03:23:40 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc88c9f… |
| 07-08 22:15:04 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x95e3b9… |
| 07-08 22:15:04 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x95e3b9… |
| 07-08 18:33:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x0519d4… |
| 07-08 18:33:47 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x0519d4… |
| 07-08 16:20:59 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x20ac64… |
| 07-08 16:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x0fd9…cbd0 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x20ac64… |
| 07-08 16:15:56 | (anonymous) 0xe4e8…b071 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xbfbf2d… |
| 07-08 16:15:56 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xbfbf2d… |
| 07-08 16:15:56 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xbfbf2d… |
| 07-08 12:33:46 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 399 | 93¢ | $371 | 0x9f477d… |
| 07-08 12:33:46 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | SELL | 399 | 93¢ | $371 | 0x9f477d… |
| 07-08 09:52:02 | Motherly-Clone 0xe8d6…d5db | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x66c0fd… |
| 07-08 09:52:02 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x66c0fd… |
| 07-08 07:25:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xeb480e… |
| 07-08 07:25:37 | Apt-Time 0xa09a…2b5d | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xeb480e… |
| 07-08 07:05:08 | Handsome-Jicama 0x950a…6790 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x28cf93… |
| 07-08 07:05:08 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x28cf93… |
| 07-08 02:32:46 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xb28490… |
| 07-08 02:32:46 | Candid-Digestive 0x91cb…3c4d | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xb28490… |
| 07-07 19:14:29 | (anonymous) 0x13da…40b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x687d15… |
| 07-07 19:14:29 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x687d15… |
| 07-07 16:56:13 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x3b399a… |
| 07-07 16:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x4c06…8158 | No | SELL | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x3b399a… |
| 07-07 16:09:20 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x1c626a… |
| 07-07 16:09:20 | Reflecting-Numeracy 0x0156…3644 | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x1c626a… |
| 07-07 12:46:44 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x06cdc9… |
| 07-07 12:46:44 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x06cdc9… |
| 07-07 09:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x407a…24e4 | No | SELL | 442 | 93¢ | $411 | 0xce6d25… |
| 07-07 09:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 442 | 93¢ | $411 | 0xce6d25… |
| 07-07 09:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x568d…739c | No | SELL | 510 | 93¢ | $474 | 0x8bebc5… |
| 07-07 09:45:29 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 510 | 93¢ | $474 | 0x8bebc5… |
| 07-07 09:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xdfc9…6ef4 | No | SELL | 501 | 93¢ | $466 | 0x713ee7… |
| 07-07 09:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 501 | 93¢ | $466 | 0x713ee7… |
| 07-07 09:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 478 | 93¢ | $444 | 0xff35a3… |
| 07-07 09:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x72e6…6c4b | No | SELL | 478 | 93¢ | $444 | 0xff35a3… |
| 07-07 09:35:10 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 558 | 93¢ | $519 | 0x0c3b58… |
| 07-07 09:35:10 | (anonymous) 0xdeed…95b9 | No | SELL | 558 | 93¢ | $519 | 0x0c3b58… |
| 07-07 09:26:40 | (anonymous) 0x2b81…5b74 | No | SELL | 348 | 93¢ | $323 | 0xbae39a… |
| 07-07 09:26:40 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 348 | 93¢ | $323 | 0xbae39a… |
| 07-07 09:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x44a1…fc9a | No | SELL | 358 | 93¢ | $333 | 0x7b044e… |
| 07-07 09:26:25 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 358 | 93¢ | $333 | 0x7b044e… |
| 07-07 09:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x12b7…35df | No | SELL | 560 | 93¢ | $521 | 0xd8e6f7… |
| 07-07 09:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 560 | 93¢ | $521 | 0xd8e6f7… |
| 07-07 09:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 400 | 93¢ | $372 | 0x7cd0e0… |
| 07-07 09:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xa13f…2a2c | No | SELL | 400 | 93¢ | $372 | 0x7cd0e0… |
| 07-07 09:16:44 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 388 | 93¢ | $360 | 0x00b8d9… |
| 07-07 09:16:44 | (anonymous) 0x92a5…66b0 | No | SELL | 388 | 93¢ | $360 | 0x00b8d9… |
| 07-07 09:16:29 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 364 | 93¢ | $339 | 0x669366… |
| 07-07 09:16:29 | (anonymous) 0xa2f3…65de | No | SELL | 364 | 93¢ | $339 | 0x669366… |
| 07-07 09:08:56 | (anonymous) 0x14d1…129f | No | SELL | 540 | 93¢ | $502 | 0x9ed8af… |
| 07-07 09:08:56 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 540 | 93¢ | $502 | 0x9ed8af… |
| 07-07 08:09:43 | Free-Tent 0x4aa5…0de9 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4999b0… |
| 07-07 08:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x4999b0… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | Dead-Meander 0x758d…d822 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xee98a4… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | Agitated-Office 0x022d…ab31 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa7c2d0… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa7c2d0… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | Safe-Pain 0x2522…9714 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1fdfcf… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xee98a4… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3bd079… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | Silver-Mound 0x4b9c…dc95 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x3bd079… |
| 07-07 08:09:41 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1fdfcf… |
| 07-07 07:57:05 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7b3ef6… |
| 07-07 07:57:05 | Free-Tent 0x4aa5…0de9 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7b3ef6… |
| 07-07 07:57:04 | Dead-Meander 0x758d…d822 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6b4679… |
| 07-07 07:57:04 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6b4679… |
| 07-07 07:57:02 | Safe-Pain 0x2522…9714 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xcacbbc… |