China x Japan military clash before 2027?
open
Total volume
$682,921
$1,016 in 24h
Trades
4,421
Unique wallets
858
Liquidity
$22,770
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-22 12:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.1¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $162.3K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $468.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 53 | $14.2K | $290.6K | $276.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 86 | $2.0K | $56.9K | $54.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 167 | $5.7K | $74.9K | $69.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 552 | $903 | $23.0K | $22.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 14 | $12.9K | $149.4K | $136.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 44 | $4.4K | $51.3K | $46.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 32 | $116 | $10.8K | $10.7K |
| Median | 131 | $676 | $11.4K | $10.8K |
| Below median | 120 | $155 | $7.5K | $7.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $23 | $220 | $197 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $1.4K | $10.9K | $9.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $668 | $8.3K | $7.7K |
| unranked | 461 | $2.4K | $195.4K | $193.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 0x93fb…3e4a | Yes | +157,311 | $11,884 | $11,884 | 80 | 08-04 06:02 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +53,543 | $49,539 | $83,003 | 102 | 08-22 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +40,000 | $36,829 | $36,829 | 64 | 08-08 13:30 |
| Incomparable-Attitude 0x5138…4fe5 | Yes | +33,070 | $2,408 | $5,012 | 7 | 08-09 17:28 |
| Serene-Decision 0x8b4b…541b | No | +33,002 | $31,716 | $95,728 | 105 | 07-29 12:28 |
| Impassioned-Prohibition 0xfaf9…f4c4 | No | +20,000 | $18,200 | $18,200 | 1 | 08-04 06:02 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +18,000 | $16,660 | $16,660 | 20 | 08-14 08:38 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +16,606 | $1,261 | $1,261 | 1 | 08-14 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0eee…4c52 | No | +14,060 | $12,985 | $12,985 | 74 | 07-25 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +10,800 | $9,793 | $9,793 | 42 | 08-18 13:56 |
| Massive-Phase 0x3c8a…b45a | No | +10,618 | $9,769 | $9,769 | 2 | 08-06 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x82e9…b34c | No | +10,446 | $9,819 | $9,819 | 64 | 07-14 12:39 |
| Stunning-Headquarters 0x2d4b…ca7a | No | +9,056 | $3,560 | $3,560 | 7 | 07-30 14:51 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +7,978 | $620 | $620 | 117 | 08-15 07:53 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +7,428 | $6,797 | $6,797 | 62 | 08-18 13:56 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +7,000 | $6,210 | $6,210 | 14 | 07-20 16:34 |
| International-Venue 0x7e30…1e50 | No | +6,475 | $5,948 | $5,948 | 7 | 08-07 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1545…3599 | Yes | +5,380 | $538 | $538 | 1 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Shadowy-Eve 0xed7b…1ba9 | No | +5,259 | $4,812 | $4,812 | 4 | 08-06 00:58 |
| Heartfelt-Depot 0x8f71…4e83 | No | +5,006 | $1,452 | $1,452 | 2 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xec23…90eb | No | +5,000 | $4,650 | $4,650 | 2 | 07-02 13:30 |
| Altruistic-Mochi 0x397e…fd1d | No | +4,041 | $3,637 | $3,637 | 17 | 08-02 04:24 |
| Competent-Tulip 0x57de…cd90 | No | +3,100 | $2,852 | $2,852 | 5 | 08-22 12:58 |
| Smallpeepee 0x333e…369b | No | +3,025 | $2,843 | $2,843 | 1 | 07-06 11:32 |
| Wee-Contractor-Alibi 0x61c7…5ddb | Yes | +3,012 | $251 | $391 | 3 | 08-15 07:53 |
| Quizzical-Revitalization 0xa6d9…fd2f | No | +2,000 | $1,820 | $1,820 | 16 | 08-08 13:08 |
| Gentle-Ferry 0x6d8c…99f6 | No | +1,930 | $1,865 | $5,795 | 7 | 07-12 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ee7…ce15 | No | +1,700 | $1,530 | $1,530 | 3 | 07-30 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xee47…5305 | No | +1,673 | $1,529 | $1,529 | 4 | 08-14 13:07 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +1,549 | $1,446 | $1,446 | 2 | 08-07 20:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe327…e596 | No | +1,451 | $1,364 | $1,364 | 1 | 07-11 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +1,429 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-09 17:28 |
| Ambitious-Juice 0xf097…f868 | No | +1,404 | $674 | $674 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5673…4926 | No | +1,315 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-30 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | No | +1,264 | $1,166 | $1,166 | 18 | 07-25 09:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +1,254 | $109 | $109 | 19 | 07-22 02:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a68…c1b0 | No | +1,130 | $1,006 | $1,006 | 1 | 07-20 17:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xda73…4d41 | Yes | +1,035 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-20 14:11 |
| Giddy-Sweatshop 0xf6c7…8366 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-01 11:02 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +885 | $-25 | $1,833 | 342 | 08-11 17:01 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +791 | $-16 | $281 | 22 | 08-03 03:05 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +714 | $60 | $284 | 21 | 08-21 06:54 |
| Only-Retrospective 0x1199…d5f9 | Yes | +648 | $62 | $138 | 5 | 08-21 11:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 12:58:01 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0xc6b838… |
| 08-22 12:58:01 | Competent-Tulip 0x57de…cd90 | No | BUY | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0xc6b838… |
| 08-22 12:58:00 | Giving-Sectional 0x32fc…4e43 | No | BUY | 108 | 93¢ | $100 | 0x8330a5… |
| 08-22 12:58:00 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 108 | 93¢ | $100 | 0x8330a5… |
| 08-22 12:23:51 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 103 | 93¢ | $95 | 0x46b373… |
| 08-22 12:23:51 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 103 | 93¢ | $95 | 0x46b373… |
| 08-22 02:49:06 | Sticky-Harbor 0xdfa1…e99f | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xb95a88… |
| 08-22 02:49:06 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xb95a88… |
| 08-21 11:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x256c…e7d1 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb06c30… |
| 08-21 11:37:43 | (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb06c30… |
| 08-21 11:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x256c…e7d1 | No | BUY | 456 | 91¢ | $415 | 0xc53ecc… |
| 08-21 11:26:21 | Only-Retrospective 0x1199…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 456 | 9¢ | $41 | 0xc53ecc… |
| 08-21 11:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xb17a…0f66 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc0f1cc… |
| 08-21 11:25:34 | Only-Retrospective 0x1199…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 192 | 8¢ | $15 | 0xc0f1cc… |
| 08-21 11:25:34 | Gray-Boot 0x4e09…d784 | No | BUY | 172 | 92¢ | $158 | 0xc0f1cc… |
| 08-21 07:51:45 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x29288a… |
| 08-21 07:51:45 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x29288a… |
| 08-21 06:54:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 154 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x600ec5… |
| 08-21 06:54:22 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 73 | 92¢ | $68 | 0x600ec5… |
| 08-21 06:54:22 | Gray-Boot 0x4e09…d784 | No | BUY | 228 | 92¢ | $210 | 0x600ec5… |
| 08-21 06:31:34 | (anonymous) 0x0783…5d03 | No | BUY | 46 | 92¢ | $42 | 0x98a008… |
| 08-21 06:31:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x98a008… |
| 08-21 05:00:18 | (anonymous) 0x024e…8fa1 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x815001… |
| 08-21 05:00:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x815001… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | Rowdy-Poignance 0xe180…889b | No | SELL | 2,143 | 91¢ | $1,961 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x024e…8fa1 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | Competent-Tulip 0x57de…cd90 | No | BUY | 999 | 92¢ | $919 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | SELL | 394 | 9¢ | $35 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 04:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x256c…e7d1 | No | BUY | 463 | 91¢ | $421 | 0x95d67f… |
| 08-21 03:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa7cf3a… |
| 08-21 03:11:43 | Ready-Menu 0xe06b…8aa0 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xa7cf3a… |
| 08-21 03:11:43 | Competent-Tulip 0x57de…cd90 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa7cf3a… |
| 08-21 02:50:09 | Subdued-Diversity 0xb976…8092 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x4587e2… |
| 08-21 02:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x4587e2… |
| 08-20 18:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x9050…bb1b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xbba981… |
| 08-20 18:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xbba981… |
| 08-20 13:47:07 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa712a1… |
| 08-20 13:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x8884…05c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa712a1… |
| 08-20 13:46:55 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x08e39b… |
| 08-20 13:46:55 | (anonymous) 0x85c6…bd0a | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x08e39b… |
| 08-20 13:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x7ca3…9f27 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb39152… |
| 08-20 13:46:52 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb39152… |
| 08-20 13:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x75a7…5531 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb3c300… |
| 08-20 13:46:45 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe7c4de… |
| 08-20 13:46:45 | (anonymous) 0xd92d…a2ba | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe7c4de… |
| 08-20 13:46:45 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb3c300… |
| 08-20 13:46:40 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x08c1ea… |
| 08-20 13:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x958b…e52d | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x08c1ea… |
| 08-20 06:02:00 | Terrific-Arena 0xd928…8b5e | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x9551ce… |
| 08-20 06:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x9551ce… |
| 08-19 23:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xa3d0de… |
| 08-19 23:37:19 | (anonymous) 0xe40a…db2b | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xa3d0de… |
| 08-19 14:19:06 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0xd1e113… |
| 08-19 14:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0xd1e113… |
| 08-19 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x0456…c88a | No | BUY | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x3e5c1b… |
| 08-19 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x3e5c1b… |
| 08-19 14:19:00 | (anonymous) 0xe5ab…59b1 | No | BUY | 161 | 93¢ | $150 | 0x91deee… |
| 08-19 14:19:00 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 161 | 93¢ | $150 | 0x91deee… |
| 08-19 08:39:54 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x860c5f… |
| 08-19 08:39:54 | Ready-Menu 0xe06b…8aa0 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x860c5f… |
| 08-19 06:53:36 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 87 | 93¢ | $81 | 0x9eb515… |
| 08-19 06:53:36 | (anonymous) 0x5f0e…2c88 | No | SELL | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xd31c20… |
| 08-19 06:53:36 | (anonymous) 0x256c…e7d1 | No | SELL | 49 | 92¢ | $45 | 0x9eb515… |
| 08-19 06:53:36 | (anonymous) 0xbf80…27a4 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x9eb515… |
| 08-19 06:53:36 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd31c20… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Enchanting-Populist 0x4446…f12e | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | Yes | SELL | 103 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Grouchy-Hair 0x75d0…77cb | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xbb8b…4b1c | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xb17a…0f66 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x256c…e7d1 | No | SELL | 1,051 | 92¢ | $967 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 320 | 92¢ | $294 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:56:48 | Awful-Task 0x798b…e349 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x3c0655… |
| 08-18 13:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x15184f… |
| 08-18 13:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x69f9…3c3b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x15184f… |
| 08-18 13:42:51 | (anonymous) 0x69f9…3c3b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x17532f… |
| 08-18 13:42:51 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x17532f… |
| 08-18 10:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0xbaafbd… |
| 08-18 10:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x742c…3c59 | No | SELL | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0xbaafbd… |
| 08-17 22:20:12 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf20aa0… |
| 08-17 22:20:12 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf20aa0… |
| 08-17 22:19:55 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x51d82f… |
| 08-17 22:19:55 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x51d82f… |
| 08-17 18:45:22 | Colorless-Egghead 0x06c7…3553 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x299261… |
| 08-17 18:45:22 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x299261… |
| 08-17 18:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x123808… |
| 08-17 18:09:37 | Threadbare-Tool 0xe007…a797 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x123808… |
| 08-17 17:31:12 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xfda8e7… |
| 08-17 17:31:12 | Threadbare-Tool 0xe007…a797 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xfda8e7… |
| 08-17 08:57:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 205 | 8¢ | $16 | 0x9c8039… |
| 08-17 08:57:49 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 205 | 92¢ | $189 | 0x9c8039… |
| 08-17 07:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xa666…7f8f | No | SELL | 345 | 92¢ | $317 | 0xaae5e0… |
| 08-17 07:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | BUY | 345 | 92¢ | $317 | 0xaae5e0… |