Incomparable-Attitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$496

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

215

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$245

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-27 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$660

Crypto

22% — —

Other

21% 0% $-163

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	23	$5.7K	87,889	38,289	+49,600	open	—	02-06 13:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$4.1K	50,591	50,591	+0	open	—	03-29 18:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.6K	4,652	4,652	+0	open	—	05-10 19:33
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$2.4K	40,341	0	+40,341	open	—	02-03 21:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	7	$2.3K	2,326	2,326	+0	open	—	04-14 15:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$1.8K	49,757	0	+49,757	open	—	04-29 17:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	3,904	3,904	+0	open	—	05-20 19:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$1.7K	7,285	7,285	+0	open	—	04-12 19:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.7K	30,723	16,832	+13,891	open	—	04-29 17:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$1.7K	3,628	3,628	+0	No	+$660	05-04 17:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.6K	4,981	4,981	+0	open	—	04-01 23:11
por alv aro 2026 04 24 alv	2	$1.5K	747	746	+1	open	—	04-24 21:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$1.4K	19,607	19,607	+0	open	—	04-29 14:31
btc updown 15m 1776024000	2	$1.2K	758	739	+19	open	—	04-12 20:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	12	$1.2K	0	12,911	-12,911	open	—	05-27 12:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	2	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	04-14 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.1K	20,132	0	+20,132	open	—	05-25 19:08
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$1.0K	130,741	130,741	+0	open	—	04-29 14:35
btc updown 5m 1771451400	2	$987	568	565	+3	open	—	02-18 21:52
btc updown 5m 1771450500	2	$941	483	483	+0	open	—	02-18 21:40
btc updown 5m 1776024300	2	$901	514	506	+8	open	—	04-12 20:10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$786	489	489	+0	open	—	04-17 13:22
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$757	476	476	+0	open	—	04-16 15:47
btc updown 5m 1771450200	2	$693	476	468	+7	open	—	02-18 21:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$688	2,293	2,293	+0	open	—	04-12 19:21
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$642	1,530	1,530	+0	open	—	04-26 12:27
btc updown 15m 1776023100	2	$631	419	405	+14	open	—	04-12 20:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$567	8,989	0	+8,989	open	—	05-27 13:31
btc updown 5m 1771458600	1	$508	678	0	+678	open	—	02-18 23:54
btc updown 15m 1776022200	2	$455	233	233	+1	open	—	04-12 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 13:31:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,605	10¢	$166	0x2c9f99…
05-27 12:46:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	6,531	9¢	$588	0x45ec67…
05-27 12:46:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x98d8e7…
05-27 12:46:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x9abe9c…
05-27 12:46:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd05929…
05-27 12:45:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa1a436…
05-27 12:45:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x00cc1c…
05-27 12:45:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa67f5a…
05-27 12:45:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x600f02…
05-27 12:45:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb62e3c…
05-27 12:45:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	6,330	9¢	$575	0xb41944…
05-27 12:45:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4b48c4…
05-27 12:45:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd8d940…
05-25 19:08:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,868	4¢	$106	0xbd0392…
05-25 16:58:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	759	14¢	$106	0xc6b163…
05-23 20:27:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,656	11¢	$292	0x994632…
05-23 18:47:28	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	8,259	2¢	$200	0xe977f5…
05-23 12:40:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7,383	5¢	$401	0x0fbf57…
05-22 22:56:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	977	6¢	$58	0xc8a887…
05-22 22:31:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	759	5¢	$41	0x81991e…
05-22 22:17:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6,583	2¢	$158	0x8fbfaf…
05-21 18:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6,524	8¢	$501	0xddb40d…
05-21 18:15:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4,156	8¢	$320	0x0835a8…
05-20 19:03:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,904	21¢	$820	0xdf05f0…
05-13 22:34:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x80e149…
05-10 20:21:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,904	23¢	$898	0x985048…
05-10 19:33:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,652	41¢	$1,899	0xcea8f1…
05-04 22:14:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,115	31¢	$666	0x12ea37…
05-04 18:10:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,042	32¢	$333	0x508a17…
05-04 18:09:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0x6fa19c…
05-04 17:50:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,778	34¢	$604	0x5c02c8…
05-04 17:28:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,850	30¢	$555	0x9006c4…
05-03 20:46:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	995	50¢	$500	0x9db5a5…
05-03 20:34:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,859	14¢	$400	0xc98104…
05-03 20:33:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x72f58e…
05-01 13:36:52	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	3,302	5¢	$163	0xbc9b45…
04-29 17:25:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,891	3¢	$400	0x38c3a0…
04-29 17:15:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,817	1¢	$96	0x6b5a4d…
04-29 14:35:48	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	130,741	0¢	$131	0xded25d…
04-29 14:31:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19,607	0¢	$98	0xa26b3d…
04-29 14:31:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,832	2¢	$267	0xb666a5…
04-29 00:52:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,832	6¢	$1,010	0x47cb57…
04-27 17:39:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5,528	3¢	$160	0x09662b…
04-26 22:39:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,251	4¢	$368	0x64097f…
04-26 22:35:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	6,977	4¢	$300	0xc130af…
04-26 22:34:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7,052	4¢	$300	0x50cffb…
04-26 22:34:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2,381	4¢	$100	0x6330c9…
04-26 22:34:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2,431	4¢	$100	0x35bb71…
04-26 22:25:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,320	4¢	$341	0x8b0118…
04-26 14:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x5328ed…
04-26 14:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x071018…
04-26 13:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	78	75¢	$59	0x24bb88…
04-26 13:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x803a54…
04-26 13:09:16	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,909	3¢	$50	0xaeb01f…
04-26 12:27:12	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,530	13¢	$196	0x44d53f…
04-25 21:58:10	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,530	29¢	$446	0x5a12fb…
04-24 21:15:20	por alv aro 2026 04 24 alv	Yes	SELL	746	100¢	$746	0x6c0520…
04-24 21:12:24	por alv aro 2026 04 24 alv	Yes	BUY	747	97¢	$725	0xb32564…
04-23 22:04:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	265	6¢	$15	0x37dea2…
04-23 19:42:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,887	5¢	$260	0x8e9317…
04-23 18:05:22	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,909	8¢	$159	0x56553a…
04-22 08:51:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14,454	7¢	$1,000	0x124b5d…
04-21 20:59:08	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	13,326	1¢	$165	0x2d162e…
04-21 16:17:56	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	130,741	1¢	$900	0x58517f…
04-21 12:25:18	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	794	6¢	$48	0x563caa…
04-21 11:59:56	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$10	0x63f310…
04-21 11:57:02	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe95ff1…
04-21 11:56:32	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	1,454	7¢	$100	0x262f6d…
04-21 11:49:20	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	1,637	6¢	$100	0xea6b21…
04-17 13:39:48	btc updown 5m 1776432900	Down	BUY	389	96¢	$373	0x125611…
04-17 13:39:10	btc updown 5m 1776432900	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$13	0xde00d5…
04-17 13:22:56	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	489	79¢	$386	0xdfe797…
04-17 13:19:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	489	82¢	$400	0x42b92e…
04-16 20:28:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	19,050	0¢	$57	0x0ba271…
04-16 15:47:44	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	96¢	$457	0x76cd7c…
04-16 13:28:30	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0x03ec99…
04-15 14:00:14	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	11,889	2¢	$273	0x50e77a…
04-14 21:58:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	592	97¢	$573	0x4c7751…
04-14 18:14:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	592	95¢	$563	0x545e7e…
04-14 15:30:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	324	61¢	$197	0x8f8f6c…
04-14 15:29:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	108	62¢	$67	0x004079…
04-14 15:24:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	432	69¢	$299	0xc8cd72…
04-13 19:27:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	863	61¢	$527	0xfbd58c…
04-13 19:25:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	SELL	1,463	36¢	$527	0xa603ea…
04-13 17:44:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	480	48¢	$230	0x17d4c9…
04-13 17:18:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	982	51¢	$500	0x3b78da…
04-13 12:19:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xbb9f33…
04-12 20:15:15	btc updown 15m 1776024000	Down	SELL	739	99¢	$732	0xb51ea4…
04-12 20:10:39	btc updown 15m 1776024000	Down	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xa581bd…
04-12 20:10:07	btc updown 5m 1776024300	Down	SELL	506	99¢	$500	0x4dcbaf…
04-12 20:09:33	btc updown 5m 1776024300	Down	BUY	514	78¢	$401	0x0159ab…
04-12 20:00:11	btc updown 15m 1776023100	Down	SELL	405	99¢	$401	0x04849a…
04-12 19:46:19	btc updown 15m 1776023100	Down	BUY	419	55¢	$230	0xb5a8b9…
04-12 19:45:21	btc updown 15m 1776022200	Down	SELL	233	99¢	$230	0x845487…
04-12 19:43:59	btc updown 15m 1776022200	Down	BUY	233	96¢	$225	0x2dbfaa…
04-12 19:40:15	btc updown 5m 1776022500	Down	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0xd14d73…
04-12 19:38:51	btc updown 5m 1776022500	Down	BUY	230	80¢	$184	0xe0ce37…
04-12 19:35:23	btc updown 5m 1776022200	Down	SELL	186	99¢	$184	0x6f57b9…
04-12 19:31:19	btc updown 5m 1776022200	Down	BUY	194	44¢	$86	0x1de3da…
04-12 19:30:13	btc updown 15m 1776021300	Up	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xded833…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	35	$18.5M	25,537	06-01 03:20
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$632.8K	8,811	06-01 00:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$96.2K	809	05-30 21:18
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	32	$3.38K	443	04-26 14:19
Sophisticated-Octet 0xc73b…a6c9	31	$833	594	05-31 16:49
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	29	$263.1K	642	06-01 05:53
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	28	$279.8K	23,565	05-31 17:26
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	28	$24.2K	2,177	05-29 23:43