Incomparable-Attitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$496

Unrealized P&L

+$166

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$65.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$247

Open exposure

$3.88K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-19 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$660

Other

27% 0% $-163

Crypto

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes		+51,673	$3,710	8¢	$3.9K	+$166	07-15 22:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	23	$5.7K	87,889	38,289	+49,600	open	—	02-06 13:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$4.1K	50,591	50,591	+0	open	—	03-29 18:32
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	6	$3.7K	51,673	0	+51,673	open	—	07-15 22:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.6K	4,652	4,652	+0	open	—	05-10 19:33
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	5	$3.5K	37,469	37,469	+0	open	—	06-26 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$3.4K	15,465	15,465	+0	open	—	06-25 13:55
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$2.4K	40,341	0	+40,341	open	—	02-03 21:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	7	$2.3K	2,326	2,326	+0	open	—	04-14 15:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$1.8K	49,757	0	+49,757	open	—	04-29 17:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	3,904	3,904	+0	open	—	05-20 19:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$1.7K	7,285	7,285	+0	open	—	04-12 19:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.7K	30,723	16,832	+13,891	open	—	04-29 17:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$1.7K	3,628	3,628	+0	No	+$660	05-04 17:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.6K	4,981	4,981	+0	open	—	04-01 23:11
por alv aro 2026 04 24 alv	2	$1.5K	747	746	+1	open	—	04-24 21:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$1.4K	19,607	19,607	+0	open	—	04-29 14:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	16	$1.3K	21,689	21,689	+0	open	—	06-21 09:15
btc updown 15m 1776024000	2	$1.2K	758	739	+19	open	—	04-12 20:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	12	$1.2K	0	12,911	-12,911	open	—	05-27 12:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 15, 2026?	2	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	04-14 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.1K	20,132	0	+20,132	open	—	05-25 19:08
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$1.0K	130,741	130,741	+0	open	—	04-29 14:35
btc updown 5m 1771451400	2	$987	568	565	+3	open	—	02-18 21:52
btc updown 5m 1771450500	2	$941	483	483	+0	open	—	02-18 21:40
btc updown 5m 1776024300	2	$901	514	506	+8	open	—	04-12 20:10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$786	489	489	+0	open	—	04-17 13:22
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	2	$757	476	476	+0	open	—	04-16 15:47
iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	1	$710	1,740	0	+1,740	open	—	06-27 20:27
btc updown 5m 1771450200	2	$693	476	468	+7	open	—	02-18 21:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$688	2,293	2,293	+0	open	—	04-12 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 16:44:01	btc updown 5m 1784479200	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9f88d9…
07-19 16:43:58	btc updown 5m 1784479200	Down	BUY	155	3¢	$4	0x01b73b…
07-19 16:43:52	btc updown 5m 1784479200	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe9b6ab…
07-19 16:43:52	btc updown 5m 1784479200	Down	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0x7ac1af…
07-19 16:43:51	btc updown 5m 1784479200	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xff1d40…
07-19 16:23:49	btc updown 5m 1784478000	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x9326e1…
07-19 16:23:07	btc updown 5m 1784478000	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x68df72…
07-19 16:23:06	btc updown 5m 1784478000	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xf6ce82…
07-18 13:49:54	btc updown 5m 1784382300	Up	BUY	255	4¢	$10	0x4153ce…
07-16 13:59:01	btc updown 5m 1784210100	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0ea6d4…
07-15 22:26:29	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14,012	7¢	$1,010	0x58dc10…
07-15 20:38:29	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15,714	7¢	$1,100	0x5922b1…
07-15 13:54:58	btc updown 5m 1784123400	Down	BUY	832	1¢	$8	0x5fa3c7…
07-15 13:33:59	btc updown 5m 1784122200	Down	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0xe3c95b…
07-15 13:24:59	btc updown 5m 1784121600	Up	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0xa3110c…
07-14 23:52:47	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,007	7¢	$600	0x90b3f1…
07-14 12:59:13	btc updown 5m 1784033700	Down	BUY	871	1¢	$9	0x476520…
07-14 12:54:50	btc updown 5m 1784033400	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3d6ac5…
07-14 12:48:25	btc updown 5m 1784033100	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb25398…
07-14 12:44:11	btc updown 5m 1784032800	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xc6cc4a…
07-14 12:39:13	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,220	6¢	$400	0xa47935…
07-12 15:29:26	btc updown 5m 1783869900	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x183f81…
07-12 15:24:31	btc updown 5m 1783869600	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x157bdd…
07-12 15:20:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,661	6¢	$100	0xe3f318…
06-27 20:27:07	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	1,740	41¢	$710	0xca40b0…
06-27 19:22:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,059	8¢	$500	0xcaa46f…
06-26 20:43:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23,784	3¢	$705	0x494070…
06-26 20:40:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	132	4¢	$5	0xa83da3…
06-26 20:38:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	Yes	BUY	4,012	1¢	$47	0x54988c…
06-26 20:33:55	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0x0d156f…
06-26 20:33:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13,466	4¢	$539	0x1cce96…
06-26 16:49:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	37,469	6¢	$2,250	0x918ff0…
06-25 13:55:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15,465	15¢	$2,251	0x75cc16…
06-21 12:21:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15,465	7¢	$1,140	0xea1205…
06-21 09:32:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,000	4¢	$160	0x7970e5…
06-21 09:15:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	21,689	1¢	$160	0x30804d…
06-20 23:02:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xb7f684…
06-20 23:02:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xcf8f37…
06-20 23:02:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0xc1d4c8…
06-20 23:01:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xab2d6e…
06-20 23:01:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	250	5¢	$13	0x0d5b33…
06-20 23:01:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	260	5¢	$14	0x6d160f…
06-20 23:00:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	292	5¢	$15	0x8be8a8…
06-20 22:58:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	217	5¢	$11	0x8b1dad…
06-20 22:56:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x1ca56c…
06-20 22:55:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	11,004	5¢	$583	0x33405f…
06-20 22:50:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	5,555	5¢	$294	0x005042…
06-20 22:50:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xf4681b…
06-20 22:49:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	3,164	5¢	$168	0x14e7c0…
06-20 22:31:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xf9c6ac…
06-20 22:23:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	308	3¢	$11	0xc16063…
05-27 13:31:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,605	10¢	$166	0x2c9f99…
05-27 12:46:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	6,531	9¢	$588	0x45ec67…
05-27 12:46:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x98d8e7…
05-27 12:46:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x9abe9c…
05-27 12:46:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd05929…
05-27 12:45:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa1a436…
05-27 12:45:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x00cc1c…
05-27 12:45:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xa67f5a…
05-27 12:45:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x600f02…
05-27 12:45:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xb62e3c…
05-27 12:45:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	6,330	9¢	$575	0xb41944…
05-27 12:45:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4b48c4…
05-27 12:45:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xd8d940…
05-25 19:08:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,868	4¢	$106	0xbd0392…
05-25 16:58:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	759	14¢	$106	0xc6b163…
05-23 20:27:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,656	11¢	$292	0x994632…
05-23 18:47:28	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	8,259	2¢	$200	0xe977f5…
05-23 12:40:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7,383	5¢	$401	0x0fbf57…
05-22 22:56:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	977	6¢	$58	0xc8a887…
05-22 22:31:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	759	5¢	$41	0x81991e…
05-22 22:17:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6,583	2¢	$158	0x8fbfaf…
05-21 18:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6,524	8¢	$501	0xddb40d…
05-21 18:15:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4,156	8¢	$320	0x0835a8…
05-20 19:03:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,904	21¢	$820	0xdf05f0…
05-13 22:34:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x80e149…
05-10 20:21:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,904	23¢	$898	0x985048…
05-10 19:33:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,652	41¢	$1,899	0xcea8f1…
05-04 22:14:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,115	31¢	$666	0x12ea37…
05-04 18:10:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,042	32¢	$333	0x508a17…
05-04 18:09:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0x6fa19c…
05-04 17:50:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,778	34¢	$604	0x5c02c8…
05-04 17:28:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,850	30¢	$555	0x9006c4…
05-03 20:46:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	995	50¢	$500	0x9db5a5…
05-03 20:34:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,859	14¢	$400	0xc98104…
05-03 20:33:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x72f58e…
05-01 13:36:52	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	3,302	5¢	$163	0xbc9b45…
04-29 17:25:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,891	3¢	$400	0x38c3a0…
04-29 17:15:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,817	1¢	$96	0x6b5a4d…
04-29 14:35:48	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	130,741	0¢	$131	0xded25d…
04-29 14:31:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19,607	0¢	$98	0xa26b3d…
04-29 14:31:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,832	2¢	$267	0xb666a5…
04-29 00:52:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,832	6¢	$1,010	0x47cb57…
04-27 17:39:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	5,528	3¢	$160	0x09662b…
04-26 22:39:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,251	4¢	$368	0x64097f…
04-26 22:35:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	6,977	4¢	$300	0xc130af…
04-26 22:34:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	7,052	4¢	$300	0x50cffb…
04-26 22:34:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2,381	4¢	$100	0x6330c9…
04-26 22:34:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2,431	4¢	$100	0x35bb71…
04-26 22:25:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	8,320	4¢	$341	0x8b0118…