Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$625,304
$20,904 in 24h
Trades
16,972
Unique wallets
3,668
Liquidity
$98,552
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-25 04:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +22.6¢ (top1%: 53% YES on $56.0K vs crowd: 30% YES on $392.6K)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 52 $28.0K $108.6K $80.5K
🐬 Dolphin 125 $22.2K $37.9K $15.7K
🐟 Fish 344 $36.1K $39.2K $3.2K
🦐 Shrimp 3,147 $33.0K $87.6K $54.6K
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 28 $29.7K $26.3K +$3.4K
🏆 Top 5% 76 $13.6K $16.7K $3.1K
✅ Top 10% 41 $3.1K $9.1K $6.0K
Median 608 $7.6K $17.3K $9.8K
Below median 379 $4.1K $14.6K $10.5K
⚠️ Bottom 10% 30 $2.0K $6.1K $4.1K
🔻 Bottom 5% 48 $7.7K $11.0K $3.3K
💀 Bottom 1% 30 $9.7K $54.4K $44.8K
unranked 2,428 $41.8K $117.8K $76.0K
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Unwitting-Beanie 0x48ee…008c Yes +20,995 $5,643 $8,861 22 07-15 05:41
(anonymous) 0xa2c6…757b Yes +20,972 $7,216 $7,216 5 06-16 16:25
Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 No +19,455 $14,358 $14,358 65 07-13 20:49
Fuzzy-Astrolabe 0xab19…4876 No +15,376 $10,625 $19,836 38 07-25 04:51
Giving-Petticoat 0xd426…334a Yes +14,277 $3,781 $5,810 70 07-16 02:36
Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22…808a Yes +10,000 $2,500 $2,500 20 07-09 09:22
(anonymous) 0x29c2…6bd4 Yes +9,500 $2,375 $2,375 5 07-02 00:29
Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 No +9,024 $6,086 $6,086 11 06-15 14:58
(anonymous) 0xe234…304a No +8,469 $6,475 $6,475 19 07-23 19:09
(anonymous) 0x742d…203b No +8,467 $6,350 $6,350 1 07-01 21:35
Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f Yes +8,065 $2,327 $2,827 35 07-08 11:45
(anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 No +7,973 $5,587 $5,587 22 07-12 11:45
Neat-Harbour 0x61ea…bbf7 Yes +7,623 $1,908 $1,908 9 07-07 21:26
Diligent-Brocolli 0x66d7…5b7b Yes +7,107 $1,951 $1,951 3 06-08 05:30
Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 Yes +6,688 $1,440 $1,440 36 07-23 06:26
(anonymous) 0x498d…3e20 No +6,667 $5,000 $5,000 2 07-06 22:32
Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 No +6,390 $4,424 $4,424 115 06-22 00:02
Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b No +5,000 $3,782 $6,938 9 07-16 23:12
Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 No +4,676 $3,373 $5,469 13 07-22 19:59
Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 No +4,650 $3,771 $7,252 14 07-22 20:10
Untimely-Catamaran 0xd286…2322 Yes +4,519 $2,150 $10,836 49 07-23 05:26
Bulky-Antler 0x7447…a16d Yes +4,472 $1,159 $1,159 2 07-10 22:19
Darling-Socks 0xd7a2…2b21 Yes +4,000 $1,380 $4,082 42 07-09 19:50
Bad-Screwdriver 0xea66…bb43 No +3,916 $3,000 $3,000 1 06-27 02:43
Soggy-Twig 0x1dd1…a156 Yes +3,760 $1,121 $2,353 35 07-22 19:59
(anonymous) 0x7a8d…262f No +3,610 $3,003 $3,003 5 07-24 00:31
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c Yes +3,359 $943 $944 356 06-30 12:09
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c No +3,359 $2,415 $2,415 353 06-30 17:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 No +3,060 $2,088 $5,864 86 07-22 19:59
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf Yes +3,057 $879 $879 40 07-20 13:59
(anonymous) 0x85c1…e110 Yes +2,800 $896 $896 7 05-29 02:26
(anonymous) 0xb5f2…f61a No +2,783 $2,000 $2,000 1 06-15 09:06
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf No +2,715 $1,912 $1,912 36 07-20 07:59
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 Yes +2,317 $648 $3,149 101 07-22 16:14
(anonymous) 0x0b56…3f6b No +2,030 $1,299 $1,299 8 06-16 16:25
ddAnon 0x07a6…2e31 No +2,026 $1,646 $1,646 9 07-23 13:34
Rusty-Canoe 0xbef5…1c5a Yes +2,000 $480 $480 1 07-15 05:41
Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 No +2,000 $1,500 $1,500 1 07-09 09:47
Clever-Selfesteem 0xb520…c3d0 No +2,000 $1,500 $1,500 1 07-01 12:21
(anonymous) 0x28eb…5424 No +1,948 $1,500 $1,500 1 07-15 15:07
Extraneous-Spasm-Octet 0xc8df…7140 Yes +1,754 $298 $298 3 07-21 07:14
Grown-Flanker 0xc4c1…7324 No +1,673 $805 $5,585 6 07-24 10:18
(anonymous) 0x6868…a90a No +1,600 $1,210 $1,210 7 07-03 08:50
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b Yes +1,530 $453 $453 3 06-08 16:14
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 No +1,402 $1,183 $18,987 101 07-24 14:38
Well-Lit-Hyena 0xdbb4…afe9 Yes +1,382 $335 $868 8 07-04 23:11
(anonymous) 0x5950…8c48 Yes +1,300 $328 $328 4 06-30 14:50
Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b9…e44e No +1,271 $826 $826 1 06-16 10:57
Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c Yes +1,250 $508 $508 1 06-16 20:42
Corny-Virus 0x93ef…468b No +1,200 $828 $828 5 06-05 01:53
(anonymous) 0x7655…358c Yes +1,154 $300 $300 1 07-08 15:37
Nonstop-Antique 0xb2c4…43e8 Yes +1,145 $300 $300 2 07-22 18:46
Concerned-Legislature 0x3759…3911 No +1,090 $747 $1,355 23 07-23 05:26
(anonymous) 0xfc91…31eb No +1,053 $800 $800 1 07-03 14:12
Impish-Cupola 0xc406…ba02 Yes +1,000 $260 $260 1 07-13 20:49
(anonymous) 0x0f2b…665a No +1,000 $700 $700 4 06-05 20:20
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 Yes +1,000 $230 $230 3 07-05 19:35
Medical-Chard 0x6c07…ed9e Yes +950 $294 $294 1 06-05 06:27
Common-Tributary 0x002d…2561 Yes +950 $188 $708 18 07-04 19:08
Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f Yes +829 $227 $305 11 07-01 12:21