Coordinated-Vermicelli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,028

lifetime

Volume

$44.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-17 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

51% 75% +$6

Other

45% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	91	$3.4K	2,447	2,381	+66	open	—	08-11 12:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	88	$2.1K	1,517	1,557	-40	open	—	08-17 10:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	58	$1.9K	1,103	1,023	+80	open	—	08-17 10:15
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	48	$1.2K	867	867	+0	open	—	08-08 10:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	35	$1.1K	669	669	+0	open	—	08-07 06:25
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	62	$1.1K	963	963	+0	open	—	08-08 13:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	75	$905	936	936	+0	open	—	08-08 13:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	72	$890	813	812	+1	open	—	08-15 13:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	43	$871	913	913	+0	open	—	08-11 12:54
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	58	$858	514	509	+5	open	—	08-17 20:11
Iran leadership change by December 31?	29	$793	437	589	-152	open	—	08-14 14:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	59	$791	464	464	+0	open	—	04-09 22:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	27	$781	474	422	+53	open	—	05-27 18:49
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	39	$762	858	515	+343	open	—	07-13 14:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	118	$718	480	479	+1	open	—	05-28 14:18
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	59	$700	633	713	-80	open	—	08-13 08:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	44	$681	486	480	+7	open	—	08-17 21:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	57	$681	476	551	-75	open	—	08-07 14:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	36	$660	448	454	-6	open	—	08-13 08:23
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	38	$647	367	433	-67	open	—	07-23 18:44
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	52	$643	435	499	-64	open	—	07-25 09:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	50	$638	389	389	+0	open	—	08-13 08:24
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	33	$611	377	377	+0	open	—	07-21 15:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	69	$590	381	381	+0	open	—	04-20 14:42
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	60	$574	639	589	+50	open	—	08-17 20:11
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	37	$558	590	428	+162	open	—	07-13 14:17
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	73	$554	410	338	+72	open	—	04-07 17:06
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	65	$545	839	839	+0	open	—	08-17 12:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	19	$528	358	304	+54	open	—	06-14 21:16
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	47	$523	649	499	+151	open	—	07-13 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 21:08:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xdca645…
08-17 20:11:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7286d6…
08-17 20:11:40	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5ca410…
08-17 19:31:45	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xfc0555…
08-17 19:31:39	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc99072…
08-17 19:30:58	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x0afcfc…
08-17 19:29:54	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xd3724a…
08-17 19:11:10	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x52557e…
08-17 18:49:13	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x147c99…
08-17 18:21:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x243eee…
08-17 12:15:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x23643c…
08-17 12:15:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xfb0401…
08-17 12:13:54	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	SELL	27	88¢	$23	0xd73e8f…
08-17 10:28:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xcfcfd6…
08-17 10:28:00	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x8fbfa1…
08-17 10:15:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x8f560e…
08-17 10:15:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x52fc2a…
08-16 19:27:21	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0xa612ca…
08-16 19:27:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x4bdda5…
08-16 11:43:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0xcd206f…
08-16 11:43:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x35726a…
08-16 11:43:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xc2f7d4…
08-16 11:43:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x3fb9ae…
08-16 11:43:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x88c862…
08-16 11:43:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0701c8…
08-16 11:43:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$12	0x4a0876…
08-16 11:43:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x61b043…
08-16 11:43:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0x5cee5b…
08-15 13:45:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	80	48¢	$39	0x4c0aec…
08-15 13:45:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	63	79¢	$49	0x1330ad…
08-15 13:45:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x918231…
08-15 13:45:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$9	0x8956f6…
08-15 13:45:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xca30ac…
08-15 13:45:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x83d743…
08-15 13:45:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x5bd5f3…
08-15 13:45:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x1abb1a…
08-15 13:45:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xf5da68…
08-15 13:45:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x5a642c…
08-15 13:45:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0xd0998d…
08-15 13:45:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x3baf53…
08-15 13:44:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0xe5c050…
08-15 13:44:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x8223de…
08-15 13:44:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xcfc821…
08-15 13:44:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0xa43639…
08-15 13:43:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0xc3ae6d…
08-15 13:43:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0x625acf…
08-15 13:09:54	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xd2cb49…
08-15 13:09:54	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x6e980e…
08-15 13:09:04	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x722ad5…
08-15 13:09:04	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x0c0eb7…
08-15 08:49:48	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8e53e6…
08-15 08:49:48	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x06f903…
08-15 08:49:28	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x95758c…
08-15 08:49:28	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x6133ec…
08-15 08:29:27	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xc91a32…
08-15 08:29:27	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5065a0…
08-15 08:07:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xd93093…
08-15 08:07:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x4a9f2f…
08-15 08:07:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x52beaa…
08-15 08:07:21	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x37dbd2…
08-15 08:07:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4470b0…
08-15 08:07:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x139f5d…
08-15 08:07:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x7c8941…
08-15 08:07:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1888d7…
08-15 08:06:46	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xcbccf9…
08-15 08:06:46	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8c53d8…
08-15 08:06:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x859c0d…
08-15 08:06:45	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x8581e5…
08-15 06:49:42	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x2d249a…
08-15 06:49:40	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xb2f1d8…
08-15 06:19:55	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe4838b…
08-15 06:19:55	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xce599a…
08-15 05:20:09	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xdc02bd…
08-15 05:20:09	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x8fb5ca…
08-14 19:51:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xcedbf2…
08-14 19:51:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x9b74a5…
08-14 19:48:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x959854…
08-14 19:48:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2fe38e…
08-14 19:47:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8288e5…
08-14 19:47:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x2a2aa0…
08-14 19:46:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	51	34¢	$17	0xa2c02b…
08-14 19:46:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x89987d…
08-14 19:33:48	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	41	29¢	$12	0xad2d4d…
08-14 19:33:48	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x219834…
08-14 19:33:45	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0x0ff6a2…
08-14 19:33:45	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x098e61…
08-14 16:02:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xab9eeb…
08-14 16:02:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x5b5b69…
08-14 16:02:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	58	24¢	$14	0xd2c9f3…
08-14 16:02:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x8f67fd…
08-14 14:56:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0xed0748…
08-14 14:56:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	63	72¢	$45	0x6d82f0…
08-14 14:56:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xde0141…
08-14 14:56:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xc9a2d2…
08-14 14:38:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xe46501…
08-14 14:38:22	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x2a0011…
08-14 14:38:06	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x9e2df1…
08-14 14:38:04	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x703351…
08-14 14:37:55	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	88	82¢	$72	0xefa3f8…
08-14 14:37:55	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	107	25¢	$27	0xd2a2f7…