Coordinated-Vermicelli 0x66bec8…871148
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Realized P&L
+$422
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
126
Trades
6,946
lifetime
Volume
$68.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$169
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 10-29 05:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Politics
53% 64% +$212
Other
42% 62% +$186
Tech
3% 100% +$15
Crypto
2% 60% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +50 $31 65¢ $33 +$1 10-29 11:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +40 $29 62¢ $25 -$4 10-28 21:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +44 $17 46¢ $21 +$3 10-28 13:47
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +18 $15 86¢ $16 +$1 10-29 02:36
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +19 $15 81¢ $16 +$1 10-29 04:08
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +17 $14 82¢ $14 +$0 10-28 19:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +17 $9 76¢ $13 +$4 10-27 20:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +13 $7 60¢ $8 +$0 10-28 20:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +11 $7 72¢ $8 +$1 10-28 21:25
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +20 $5 26¢ $5 $0 10-28 19:33
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $5 22¢ $4 -$1 10-29 04:08
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $7 21¢ $4 -$2 10-29 02:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +5 $4 64¢ $3 -$1 10-27 16:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 -$3 86¢ $0 +$4 08-14 14:38
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 10-28 12:00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +0 -$1 93¢ $0 +$1 10-23 23:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 10-26 13:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-22 09:16
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 -$11 56¢ $0 +$11 10-27 23:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 08-26 08:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 09-28 13:02
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 10-14 07:56
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 Yes +0 -$1 86¢ $0 +$1 10-28 05:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$5 95¢ $0 +$5 10-26 14:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$4 98¢ $0 +$4 10-19 16:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 10-01 18:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 09-06 05:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 07-20 15:24
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$12 99¢ $0 +$12 10-26 14:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +0 -$3 98¢ $0 +$3 10-09 07:54