Coordinated-Vermicelli — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,262

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-26 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 75% +$6

Other

39% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	76	$2.9K	2,012	1,946	+66	open	—	07-23 21:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	62	$1.4K	1,011	1,051	-40	open	—	07-26 11:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	40	$1.3K	763	683	+80	open	—	07-26 04:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	29	$838	503	503	+0	open	—	07-23 21:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	59	$791	464	464	+0	open	—	04-09 22:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	27	$781	474	422	+53	open	—	05-27 18:49
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	39	$762	858	515	+343	open	—	07-13 14:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	118	$718	480	479	+1	open	—	05-28 14:18
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	38	$647	367	433	-67	open	—	07-23 18:44
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	52	$643	435	499	-64	open	—	07-25 09:05
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	33	$611	377	377	+0	open	—	07-21 15:22
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	40	$592	480	374	+106	open	—	07-26 17:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	69	$590	381	381	+0	open	—	04-20 14:42
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	37	$558	590	428	+162	open	—	07-13 14:17
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	73	$554	410	338	+72	open	—	04-07 17:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	19	$528	358	304	+54	open	—	06-14 21:16
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	47	$523	649	499	+151	open	—	07-13 14:17
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	27	$518	308	308	+0	open	—	07-24 09:07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	84	$508	381	381	+0	open	—	04-21 18:11
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	52	$497	520	600	-80	open	—	07-25 01:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	34	$496	361	361	+0	open	—	07-26 18:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	38	$491	542	480	+62	open	—	07-26 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	42	$479	464	442	+23	open	—	07-11 18:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	21	$458	327	319	+8	open	—	06-17 18:13
will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	24	$424	393	333	+60	open	—	07-22 21:19
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	20	$422	400	300	+100	open	—	07-26 15:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	27	$395	273	273	+0	open	—	07-02 11:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	22	$394	464	464	+0	open	—	07-20 18:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	35	$388	248	391	-144	open	—	06-17 18:13
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	35	$381	233	233	+0	open	—	07-13 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 18:23:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	71	85¢	$60	0xa037f4…
07-26 18:23:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x60c557…
07-26 18:23:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	80	22¢	$18	0x50b1a1…
07-26 18:23:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x361f85…
07-26 17:35:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x6792bf…
07-26 17:35:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0b4812…
07-26 15:28:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xf4b4ee…
07-26 15:28:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x3506be…
07-26 15:28:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0x19abb8…
07-26 15:28:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x0933c1…
07-26 15:28:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xcaf4c0…
07-26 15:28:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xa533ab…
07-26 15:28:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0x47fa5c…
07-26 15:28:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x286af1…
07-26 15:27:15	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x556ca7…
07-26 15:27:15	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x299b10…
07-26 15:27:12	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xf1cbc1…
07-26 15:27:12	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xb1a945…
07-26 15:27:12	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x8f8e3a…
07-26 15:27:12	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x7a487f…
07-26 15:27:12	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x042088…
07-26 15:27:10	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xe73c8c…
07-26 15:27:10	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x993392…
07-26 15:27:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x092c5c…
07-26 12:01:51	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0xce16db…
07-26 12:01:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x704490…
07-26 12:01:49	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xe6604a…
07-26 12:01:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x7154b6…
07-26 12:01:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xc9ae40…
07-26 12:01:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x20827b…
07-26 11:39:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x42e22c…
07-26 11:39:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x292e20…
07-26 11:21:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x658c8b…
07-26 11:21:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x4987cb…
07-26 11:21:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x3122ad…
07-26 11:21:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x93a08a…
07-26 11:21:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x81c628…
07-26 11:21:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x03b3ce…
07-26 10:41:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0x92b78e…
07-26 10:41:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x47a7f4…
07-26 09:09:25	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xa58535…
07-26 09:09:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x662119…
07-26 04:47:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0x3d1068…
07-26 04:47:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x2a3259…
07-26 04:47:37	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x2b45cc…
07-26 04:47:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x12349c…
07-26 04:47:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x5a9892…
07-26 04:47:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x04aa8a…
07-26 02:18:22	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf27320…
07-26 02:18:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1cad7c…
07-26 02:17:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x2d1a84…
07-26 02:17:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x1fd0ac…
07-26 01:15:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x921e10…
07-26 01:15:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x27907d…
07-26 01:15:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x269b55…
07-26 01:15:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x060e14…
07-26 01:15:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xf77330…
07-26 01:15:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x9f6e9f…
07-26 01:15:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xe43c45…
07-26 01:15:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x7571b4…
07-26 01:15:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x64c7fd…
07-26 01:15:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$5	0xfeeaaf…
07-26 00:32:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xa173b5…
07-26 00:32:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x978fed…
07-26 00:25:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x256d15…
07-26 00:25:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x0ae239…
07-26 00:21:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0xda39d2…
07-26 00:21:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x2d2cbf…
07-25 22:35:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7ad8ad…
07-25 22:35:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x41e554…
07-25 22:34:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xb3cb2e…
07-25 22:34:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xa50480…
07-25 21:48:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xdd1faf…
07-25 21:48:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x09f8c8…
07-25 21:48:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x370d99…
07-25 21:48:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf64ecf…
07-25 21:48:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1fbdd1…
07-25 21:48:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x890336…
07-25 21:48:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x4fb374…
07-25 21:48:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x00aa23…
07-25 21:48:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa52ea2…
07-25 21:48:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x31cd7c…
07-25 21:31:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0xb424ba…
07-25 21:31:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x754e74…
07-25 21:31:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xdabb31…
07-25 21:31:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	27	72¢	$20	0xbf2520…
07-25 21:21:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf48139…
07-25 21:21:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x7908fc…
07-25 21:19:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xe10dad…
07-25 21:19:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x82c98a…
07-25 21:19:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x4fc49c…
07-25 21:19:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0x6e8ad9…
07-25 20:06:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xf022f9…
07-25 20:06:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x7b4b9e…
07-25 20:03:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x63002e…
07-25 20:03:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x0fcf21…
07-25 19:27:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xf65783…
07-25 19:27:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x66791d…
07-25 18:02:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0x446974…
07-25 18:02:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x0d6d7b…