Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,725
lifetime
Volume
$9.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$73
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-09 10:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
85% 75% +$6
Crypto
11%
Other
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -64 $-48 82¢ $-52 $-4 05-28 01:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -40 $-17 31¢ $-12 +$4 05-28 01:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-6 68¢ $-7 $-1 06-09 10:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-0 90¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 10:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1 $-0 30¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 10:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -0 $-2 77¢ $-0 +$1 06-09 10:46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 +$0 06-09 10:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-4 84¢ $-0 +$4 06-09 10:45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 66¢ $-0 +$0 06-09 10:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -0 $-0 45¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 10:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $1 36¢ $-0 $-1 06-09 10:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $0 38¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 10:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 16¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 10:45