Coordinated-Vermicelli 0x66bec8…871148
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Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,222
lifetime
Volume
$17.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$194
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 07-06 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 75% +$6
Other
30% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -80 $-76 94¢ $-76 +$0 07-05 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +66 $59 70¢ $47 $-12 06-26 16:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +91 $22 22¢ $21 $-1 07-05 13:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +23 $7 86¢ $20 +$13 06-23 14:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +15 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 06-22 14:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $9 40¢ $7 $-1 07-06 07:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -25 $-1 26¢ $-7 $-6 06-19 19:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -40 $-10 12¢ $-5 +$5 07-05 16:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-6 48¢ $1 +$7 07-03 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -0 $-3 100¢ $-0 +$2 06-26 16:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1 $-3 14¢ $-0 +$3 07-02 11:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +0 $-13 88¢ $0 +$13 07-05 08:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $0 16¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 10:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-2 52¢ $0 +$2 07-04 04:42