Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,093,690
$9,766 in 24h
Trades
10,062
Unique wallets
1,086
Liquidity
$60,228
Latest YES mid
64¢
Latest NO mid
36¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 14:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-51.7¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $19.0K
vs crowd: 71% YES on $534.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 47 | $167.8K | $87.1K | +$80.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 120 | $90.3K | $28.6K | +$61.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 251 | $94.0K | $27.5K | +$66.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 667 | $29.7K | $9.4K | +$20.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $3.8K | $15.2K | $11.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 54 | $10.8K | $4.8K | +$6.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 52 | $20.4K | $2.1K | +$18.3K |
| Median | 86 | $2.1K | $4.9K | $2.8K |
| Below median | 132 | $12.1K | $4.5K | +$7.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 39 | $6.0K | $2.8K | +$3.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 44 | $3.2K | $11.8K | $8.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 30 | $142.5K | $68.1K | +$74.4K |
| unranked | 631 | $180.8K | $38.3K | +$142.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +189,550 | $132,719 | $132,719 | 185 | 07-08 02:34 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +121,841 | $35,907 | $35,907 | 188 | 07-10 13:52 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +30,000 | $20,855 | $28,155 | 72 | 07-08 13:08 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +26,721 | $18,797 | $18,797 | 486 | 07-10 13:52 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +24,830 | $6,820 | $6,820 | 450 | 07-10 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +23,370 | $16,603 | $16,603 | 26 | 06-25 17:04 |
| Gifted-Organisation 0xdbad…9352 | No | +21,570 | $7,480 | $7,480 | 14 | 06-25 13:51 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65 | No | +10,819 | $3,513 | $3,513 | 47 | 06-18 10:08 |
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +10,419 | $3,427 | $3,427 | 30 | 07-09 18:07 |
| Private-Vine 0x9b4b…7a73 | Yes | +7,850 | $4,625 | $25,975 | 48 | 07-03 18:38 |
| Shadowy-Sanction 0x0340…6907 | Yes | +6,831 | $3,204 | $23,002 | 56 | 07-05 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +6,322 | $5,592 | $9,292 | 5 | 07-10 08:16 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +5,972 | $2,637 | $14,143 | 78 | 07-04 00:03 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +5,125 | $1,855 | $16,679 | 48 | 07-10 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +5,044 | $2,124 | $2,202 | 7 | 06-16 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +5,024 | $3,219 | $3,219 | 14 | 06-07 23:27 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +4,881 | $1,798 | $1,798 | 12 | 06-02 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +4,500 | $1,590 | $1,590 | 7 | 06-22 03:00 |
| Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | +4,408 | $2,789 | $2,789 | 10 | 06-10 03:11 |
| Cold-Angstrom 0x57c0…60c5 | Yes | +4,112 | $2,392 | $2,392 | 5 | 06-03 05:18 |
| Improbable-Crepe 0x61d9…d1c4 | Yes | +3,149 | $2,061 | $2,061 | 1 | 06-16 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x04f8…a547 | Yes | +3,074 | $2,183 | $2,183 | 1 | 06-18 14:13 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | +3,000 | $2,320 | $2,320 | 4 | 06-05 21:04 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | No | +3,000 | $590 | $990 | 19 | 06-06 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xcda2…5ac4 | No | +2,961 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 08:54 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | No | +2,686 | $731 | $731 | 40 | 07-08 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +2,634 | $1,810 | $1,810 | 3 | 06-16 18:40 |
| Disloyal-Fork 0x6053…8908 | Yes | +2,632 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 05-31 20:49 |
| Skinny-Eurocentrism 0xaf7b…dd49 | No | +2,401 | $944 | $944 | 2 | 07-07 01:52 |
| Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother 0x9a69…c2a0 | No | +2,176 | $604 | $628 | 8 | 06-11 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +2,100 | $557 | $1,177 | 8 | 06-13 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | +2,014 | $1,067 | $1,067 | 4 | 05-30 05:00 |
| Writhing-Claim 0xe708…47d7 | No | +2,010 | $802 | $802 | 4 | 06-02 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,300 | $1,300 | 8 | 07-10 08:16 |
| Swift-Toast 0xfa10…8f6b | Yes | +1,992 | $1,596 | $1,596 | 8 | 06-26 02:29 |
| High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | +1,851 | $577 | $577 | 7 | 06-22 08:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 14:55:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xe8881f… |
| 07-10 14:55:52 | Wary-Bafflement 0x75f9…dbb0 | No | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xe8881f… |
| 07-10 14:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x25cb…281d | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xf3e9d6… |
| 07-10 14:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x19aa…c089 | No | SELL | 60 | 35¢ | $21 | 0xf3e9d6… |
| 07-10 14:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0xf3e9d6… |
| 07-10 14:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xf3e9d6… |
| 07-10 14:05:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 65¢ | $12 | 0xf3e9d6… |
| 07-10 14:05:01 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xf3e9d6… |
| 07-10 14:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x69bc…577d | No | SELL | 159 | 35¢ | $56 | 0x575775… |
| 07-10 14:00:32 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 119 | 35¢ | $41 | 0x575775… |
| 07-10 14:00:32 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x575775… |
| 07-10 14:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…e629 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x575775… |
| 07-10 13:52:17 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xf1bf17… |
| 07-10 13:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x5ee7…5a3e | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xf1bf17… |
| 07-10 13:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x2641…d114 | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xae96f1… |
| 07-10 13:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x3756b9… |
| 07-10 13:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x0df0…1376 | No | BUY | 14 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x3756b9… |
| 07-10 13:52:11 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xae96f1… |
| 07-10 13:52:11 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x3756b9… |
| 07-10 13:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x67aec7… |
| 07-10 13:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x6768…fa71 | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x67aec7… |
| 07-10 13:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x0573…7d33 | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x389c18… |
| 07-10 13:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x389c18… |
| 07-10 13:52:08 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xde82a8… |
| 07-10 13:52:08 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xde82a8… |
| 07-10 12:38:49 | Quiet-Apartment 0xcd14…1c17 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0xcaf3a2… |
| 07-10 12:38:49 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0xcaf3a2… |
| 07-10 11:48:44 | (anonymous) 0x40c6…98d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xe1fcf3… |
| 07-10 11:48:44 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xe1fcf3… |
| 07-10 11:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x40c6…98d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xec3cc0… |
| 07-10 11:26:41 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xec3cc0… |
| 07-10 09:45:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3843ea… |
| 07-10 09:45:53 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3843ea… |
| 07-10 09:45:53 | Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | BUY | 33 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x3843ea… |
| 07-10 09:45:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x3843ea… |
| 07-10 09:29:53 | (anonymous) 0x0df0…1376 | No | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0xf43be4… |
| 07-10 09:29:53 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xf43be4… |
| 07-10 09:29:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xf43be4… |
| 07-10 09:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x6768…fa71 | No | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xab7391… |
| 07-10 09:29:52 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xe7b5be… |
| 07-10 09:29:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xab7391… |
| 07-10 09:29:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xe7b5be… |
| 07-10 09:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xe7b5be… |
| 07-10 09:29:50 | (anonymous) 0x105f…2d90 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x6f8697… |
| 07-10 09:29:50 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x6f8697… |
| 07-10 08:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x105f…2d90 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xa96df9… |
| 07-10 08:54:32 | (anonymous) 0x1c7e…b429 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xa96df9… |
| 07-10 08:17:02 | (anonymous) 0x13ef…5691 | No | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x14d19e… |
| 07-10 08:17:02 | Bright-Interconnection 0x598b…d526 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x14d19e… |
| 07-10 08:17:01 | Sunny-Strudel 0x5d81…360e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x130fdc… |
| 07-10 08:17:01 | (anonymous) 0x3c0c…5f40 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x43160a… |
| 07-10 08:17:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x43160a… |
| 07-10 08:17:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xd5b994… |
| 07-10 08:17:01 | Snappy-Alcove 0x12ea…1c4c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0xd5b994… |
| 07-10 08:17:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x130fdc… |
| 07-10 08:16:59 | (anonymous) 0xf332…c01c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x8e038c… |
| 07-10 08:16:59 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x8e038c… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Selfish-Shampoo 0x45a3…12f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Sturdy-Counsel 0x8d7a…3d54 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $19 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Equatorial-Cape 0x38cc…7cee | Yes | BUY | 170 | 65¢ | $110 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 829 | 65¢ | $539 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | SELL | 2,356 | 65¢ | $1,532 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 08:16:58 | Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | SELL | 1,000 | 35¢ | $350 | 0xacd028… |
| 07-10 05:04:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x573714… |
| 07-10 05:04:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xfa25ae… |
| 07-10 05:04:46 | Tempting-Child 0x5492…f47a | No | SELL | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x573714… |
| 07-10 05:04:46 | Tempting-Child 0x5492…f47a | No | SELL | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xfa25ae… |
| 07-10 03:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 65¢ | $39 | 0x6818dd… |
| 07-10 03:05:11 | (anonymous) 0x19aa…c089 | No | BUY | 60 | 35¢ | $21 | 0x6818dd… |
| 07-10 02:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 65¢ | $40 | 0x2da957… |
| 07-10 02:51:47 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 65¢ | $40 | 0x2da957… |
| 07-10 02:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0x7662ea… |
| 07-10 02:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x3c0c…5f40 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0x7662ea… |
| 07-10 02:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xae0c52… |
| 07-10 02:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xea32e6… |
| 07-10 02:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xf65f3c… |
| 07-10 02:51:32 | Sunny-Strudel 0x5d81…360e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xf65f3c… |
| 07-10 02:51:32 | Snappy-Alcove 0x12ea…1c4c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xea32e6… |
| 07-10 02:51:32 | (anonymous) 0xf332…c01c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0xae0c52… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | SELL | 483 | 66¢ | $319 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | No | SELL | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | Uniform-Dugout 0x4227…1eea | Yes | BUY | 340 | 66¢ | $224 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:51:31 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0xeddde5… |
| 07-10 02:44:10 | Uniform-Dugout 0x4227…1eea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xceef6d… |
| 07-10 02:44:10 | Uniform-Dugout 0x4227…1eea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x9fc7ca… |
| 07-10 02:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x0df0…1376 | No | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x9fc7ca… |
| 07-10 02:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x6768…fa71 | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xceef6d… |
| 07-10 02:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x19aa…c089 | No | SELL | 60 | 32¢ | $19 | 0x0ea69e… |
| 07-10 02:44:08 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x0ea69e… |
| 07-10 02:44:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x0ea69e… |
| 07-10 02:44:08 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | BUY | 38 | 32¢ | $12 | 0x0ea69e… |