Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$790,290
$9,766 in 24h
Trades
6,015
Unique wallets
751
Liquidity
$60,228
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 09:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-52.0¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $12.2K
vs crowd: 68% YES on $362.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 37 | $97.5K | $56.3K | +$41.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 93 | $49.9K | $28.9K | +$21.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 158 | $71.6K | $23.8K | +$47.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 463 | $26.2K | $8.1K | +$18.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $1.9K | $10.3K | $8.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 37 | $4.4K | $3.2K | +$1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 42 | $7.6K | $1.7K | +$5.9K |
| Median | 67 | $1.4K | $4.8K | $3.4K |
| Below median | 85 | $7.3K | $3.3K | +$4.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 30 | $3.2K | $2.7K | +$526 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 37 | $1.8K | $10.0K | $8.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 27 | $77.6K | $52.7K | +$24.9K |
| unranked | 416 | $139.9K | $28.5K | +$111.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +111,649 | $75,418 | $75,418 | 97 | 06-19 09:12 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +66,915 | $22,647 | $22,647 | 114 | 06-17 21:23 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +33,000 | $22,885 | $22,885 | 48 | 06-08 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ced…5452 | Yes | +32,337 | $23,803 | $23,803 | 6 | 06-05 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +22,468 | $15,858 | $15,858 | 24 | 06-18 20:44 |
| Gifted-Organisation 0xdbad…9352 | No | +15,315 | $5,878 | $5,878 | 10 | 06-14 02:39 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +13,731 | $9,243 | $9,243 | 249 | 06-20 02:45 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +12,308 | $3,727 | $3,727 | 194 | 06-20 09:00 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65 | No | +10,819 | $3,513 | $3,513 | 47 | 06-18 10:08 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +7,727 | $3,193 | $13,467 | 69 | 06-17 02:06 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +6,314 | $4,504 | $4,504 | 73 | 06-19 17:29 |
| Private-Vine 0x9b4b…7a73 | Yes | +5,294 | $3,062 | $9,538 | 10 | 06-16 07:43 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +5,123 | $3,599 | $3,599 | 59 | 06-19 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +5,044 | $2,124 | $2,202 | 7 | 06-16 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +5,024 | $3,219 | $3,219 | 14 | 06-07 23:27 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +4,881 | $1,798 | $1,798 | 12 | 06-02 15:35 |
| Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | +4,408 | $2,789 | $2,789 | 10 | 06-10 03:11 |
| Horrible-Marketing 0xd8c6…9211 | No | +4,300 | $1,333 | $1,333 | 1 | 06-05 00:33 |
| Cold-Angstrom 0x57c0…60c5 | Yes | +4,112 | $2,392 | $2,392 | 5 | 06-03 05:18 |
| Fresh-Interval 0xdc6d…10fa | No | +3,665 | $1,117 | $1,117 | 13 | 06-06 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +3,500 | $1,290 | $1,290 | 5 | 06-03 23:36 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +3,203 | $1,224 | $15,396 | 36 | 06-15 00:45 |
| Improbable-Crepe 0x61d9…d1c4 | Yes | +3,149 | $2,061 | $2,061 | 1 | 06-16 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x04f8…a547 | Yes | +3,074 | $2,183 | $2,183 | 1 | 06-18 14:13 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | Yes | +3,000 | $2,320 | $2,320 | 4 | 06-05 21:04 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | No | +3,000 | $590 | $990 | 19 | 06-06 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xcda2…5ac4 | No | +2,961 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-04 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x98f6…4e6e | Yes | +2,634 | $1,810 | $1,810 | 3 | 06-16 18:40 |
| Disloyal-Fork 0x6053…8908 | Yes | +2,632 | $1,500 | $1,500 | 1 | 05-31 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x861f…177d | Yes | +2,423 | $1,740 | $1,740 | 4 | 06-10 08:50 |
| Darling-Eurocentrism-Stepbrother 0x9a69…c2a0 | No | +2,176 | $604 | $628 | 8 | 06-11 17:38 |
| Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | +2,108 | $1,338 | $1,474 | 18 | 06-19 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bbe…b9dc | No | +2,100 | $557 | $1,177 | 8 | 06-13 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | +2,014 | $1,067 | $1,067 | 4 | 05-30 05:00 |
| Writhing-Claim 0xe708…47d7 | No | +2,010 | $802 | $802 | 4 | 06-02 13:05 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +1,600 | $489 | $489 | 6 | 06-05 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4324…a086 | Yes | +1,554 | $1,072 | $1,072 | 1 | 06-05 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cf7…c86c | Yes | +1,523 | $917 | $3,801 | 20 | 06-18 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f10…8b9b | No | +1,459 | $730 | $730 | 2 | 05-28 00:49 |
| Grand-Tensor 0x6453…5553 | No | +1,441 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 06-03 05:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 09:00:20 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xa741ea… |
| 06-20 09:00:20 | Euphoric-Contribution 0xb8ca…d987 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xa741ea… |
| 06-20 08:01:08 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x52101f… |
| 06-20 08:01:08 | Which-Exhaust-Thunderstorm 0xb649…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x52101f… |
| 06-20 02:45:56 | (anonymous) 0xcdb5…bbaf | No | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x83e944… |
| 06-20 02:45:56 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x83e944… |
| 06-20 02:45:56 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x83e944… |
| 06-20 02:45:08 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x2bb103… |
| 06-20 02:45:08 | (anonymous) 0xcdb5…bbaf | No | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x2bb103… |
| 06-19 21:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x07bb…fcca | Yes | BUY | 47 | 72¢ | $34 | 0xc334c5… |
| 06-19 21:07:08 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0xc334c5… |
| 06-19 21:07:08 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | SELL | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0xc334c5… |
| 06-19 20:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 72¢ | $25 | 0xd84511… |
| 06-19 20:13:22 | Sentimental-Pepperoni 0xc2d1…5287 | Yes | SELL | 306 | 72¢ | $219 | 0xd84511… |
| 06-19 20:13:22 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 91 | 71¢ | $65 | 0xd84511… |
| 06-19 20:13:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xd84511… |
| 06-19 20:13:22 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 71¢ | $10 | 0xd84511… |
| 06-19 19:52:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x52e5ec… |
| 06-19 19:52:44 | Tedious-Bean 0xb36b…7804 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 72¢ | $144 | 0x52e5ec… |
| 06-19 19:52:44 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 178 | 72¢ | $128 | 0x52e5ec… |
| 06-19 19:52:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x52e5ec… |
| 06-19 19:52:44 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 13 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x52e5ec… |
| 06-19 19:34:10 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 93 | 73¢ | $68 | 0x2f2123… |
| 06-19 19:34:10 | (anonymous) 0xec86…8ef3 | Yes | SELL | 217 | 73¢ | $159 | 0x2f2123… |
| 06-19 19:34:10 | Shiny-Spleen 0xd5d4…f720 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0x2f2123… |
| 06-19 19:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x2f2123… |
| 06-19 19:34:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x2f2123… |
| 06-19 18:48:08 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x8b597c… |
| 06-19 18:48:08 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x8b597c… |
| 06-19 17:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x1f18…dc6d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xe30fce… |
| 06-19 17:39:13 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xe30fce… |
| 06-19 17:29:31 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x5ad37b… |
| 06-19 17:29:31 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x5ad37b… |
| 06-19 15:51:47 | Ethical-Schedule 0x0d51…5789 | No | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x070fe8… |
| 06-19 15:51:47 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x070fe8… |
| 06-19 15:51:26 | Ethical-Schedule 0x0d51…5789 | No | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x5aec75… |
| 06-19 15:51:26 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x5aec75… |
| 06-19 14:36:34 | Unequaled-Deployment 0x6b0d…b014 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xd6c832… |
| 06-19 14:36:34 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xd6c832… |
| 06-19 13:10:32 | Keen-Nectar 0x736e…a144 | No | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xfac878… |
| 06-19 13:10:32 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xfac878… |
| 06-19 13:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xfac878… |
| 06-19 12:52:11 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 74¢ | $13 | 0xe96530… |
| 06-19 12:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x9b47…1327 | No | SELL | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xe96530… |
| 06-19 10:43:01 | Unused-Tsunami 0xe63f…398c | No | SELL | 31 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xff6650… |
| 06-19 10:43:01 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 74¢ | $23 | 0xff6650… |
| 06-19 10:14:49 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x06606f… |
| 06-19 10:14:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x06606f… |
| 06-19 10:14:49 | Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed…c077 | No | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x06606f… |
| 06-19 10:07:31 | Powerful-Headrest 0xe987…3477 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x193828… |
| 06-19 10:07:31 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 45 | 26¢ | $12 | 0x193828… |
| 06-19 10:07:31 | (anonymous) 0x4def…b34f | Yes | BUY | 47 | 74¢ | $35 | 0x193828… |
| 06-19 09:26:16 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf580f6… |
| 06-19 09:26:16 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0xf580f6… |
| 06-19 09:25:20 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x472354… |
| 06-19 09:25:20 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x472354… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 73¢ | $25 | 0x163556… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x163556… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | (anonymous) 0x58c8…e4ed | Yes | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x286e9a… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | Bright-Interconnection 0x598b…d526 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x163556… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x286e9a… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x163556… |
| 06-19 09:12:50 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x163556… |
| 06-19 07:41:53 | Bright-Interconnection 0x598b…d526 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xa56a00… |
| 06-19 07:41:53 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xa56a00… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 39 | 71¢ | $28 | 0xca524c… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | (anonymous) 0x3365…972a | No | SELL | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xca524c… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xca524c… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xca524c… |
| 06-19 06:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xa66d…0859 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 71¢ | $54 | 0xca524c… |
| 06-19 02:01:43 | Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed…c077 | No | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc5c5a9… |
| 06-19 02:01:43 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xc5c5a9… |
| 06-19 02:01:43 | Colossal-Packaging 0x11d2…f7b6 | No | SELL | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xc5c5a9… |
| 06-19 00:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xbe6510… |
| 06-19 00:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x8dea…d99c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 71¢ | $20 | 0xbe6510… |
| 06-19 00:57:32 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 28 | 71¢ | $20 | 0xbe6510… |
| 06-18 23:22:55 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xfff0eb… |
| 06-18 23:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x3991…3d0f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xfff0eb… |
| 06-18 22:35:52 | Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed…c077 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xad73aa… |
| 06-18 22:35:52 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xad73aa… |
| 06-18 22:35:52 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xad73aa… |
| 06-18 21:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xc911…a7ff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xf27f7f… |
| 06-18 21:29:13 | Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed…c077 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xf27f7f… |
| 06-18 20:44:10 | Bright-Interconnection 0x598b…d526 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xa79ca9… |
| 06-18 20:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xa79ca9… |
| 06-18 20:44:10 | Muffled-Zoologist 0x6d04…0e1b | No | BUY | 107 | 28¢ | $30 | 0xa79ca9… |
| 06-18 20:44:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0xa79ca9… |
| 06-18 20:44:10 | Welcome-Roommate 0x102a…c34d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 72¢ | $10 | 0xa79ca9… |
| 06-18 20:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0xa79ca9… |
| 06-18 18:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x4d5a2e… |
| 06-18 18:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x1e79…2091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x4d5a2e… |
| 06-18 18:25:59 | Outlying-Trapezium 0x4f80…6c49 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xe43cc9… |
| 06-18 18:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0xe43cc9… |
| 06-18 16:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x0b7a…8304 | Yes | SELL | 884 | 72¢ | $637 | 0x621c42… |
| 06-18 16:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | BUY | 884 | 72¢ | $637 | 0x621c42… |
| 06-18 16:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x0b7a…8304 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xff3ab3… |
| 06-18 16:06:53 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xff3ab3… |
| 06-18 15:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x188f…26d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd31439… |
| 06-18 15:48:02 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xd31439… |
| 06-18 15:48:02 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | BUY | 34 | 73¢ | $25 | 0xd31439… |