Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,742,350
$9,766 in 24h
Trades
13,463
Unique wallets
1,467
Liquidity
$60,228
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 10:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-57.6¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $261.9K
vs crowd: 59% YES on $1.12M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 56 | $227.6K | $358.4K | $130.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 142 | $151.0K | $44.9K | +$106.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 385 | $215.3K | $38.9K | +$176.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 884 | $71.5K | $12.8K | +$58.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 23 | $4.6K | $257.3K | $252.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 66 | $22.6K | $5.5K | +$17.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 71 | $34.5K | $2.4K | +$32.1K |
| Median | 112 | $9.9K | $5.1K | +$4.9K |
| Below median | 158 | $19.9K | $5.6K | +$14.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 47 | $8.4K | $3.1K | +$5.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 57 | $5.0K | $14.7K | $9.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 23 | $201.1K | $91.7K | +$109.3K |
| unranked | 910 | $359.5K | $69.7K | +$289.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +474,345 | $235,806 | $235,806 | 490 | 07-26 11:53 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +270,889 | $175,452 | $175,452 | 225 | 07-31 14:09 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +176,441 | $61,738 | $61,738 | 222 | 07-30 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x128e…abfa | Yes | +58,002 | $27,755 | $27,755 | 84 | 07-31 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe23b…7c42 | Yes | +51,076 | $24,319 | $24,319 | 16 | 07-22 18:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4dae…3ea8 | Yes | +43,188 | $22,021 | $33,717 | 24 | 07-30 20:13 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +34,663 | $22,901 | $22,901 | 639 | 07-31 13:30 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +33,799 | $11,112 | $11,112 | 580 | 07-31 22:06 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +30,000 | $20,855 | $28,155 | 72 | 07-08 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +28,204 | $17,522 | $25,396 | 15 | 07-18 21:15 |
| Shadowy-Sanction 0x0340…6907 | Yes | +25,985 | $12,690 | $32,489 | 70 | 07-31 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +23,370 | $16,603 | $16,603 | 26 | 06-25 17:04 |
| Gifted-Organisation 0xdbad…9352 | No | +21,570 | $7,480 | $7,480 | 14 | 06-25 13:51 |
| Whirlwind-Assurance 0x90d0…e7b5 | Yes | +21,473 | $9,983 | $9,983 | 8 | 07-24 11:29 |
| Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | +20,002 | $10,194 | $10,194 | 18 | 07-31 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x919e…4e9b | Yes | +16,667 | $8,000 | $8,000 | 1 | 07-25 11:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ced…5452 | Yes | +14,988 | $7,727 | $55,467 | 31 | 07-31 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa759…ea9e | Yes | +14,810 | $6,538 | $6,538 | 2 | 07-24 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e50…606b | Yes | +11,354 | $6,980 | $6,980 | 2 | 07-13 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0a1…31e3 | Yes | +11,297 | $6,030 | $6,030 | 16 | 07-31 01:07 |
| Mushy-Asymmetry 0xe738…df65 | No | +10,819 | $3,513 | $3,513 | 47 | 06-18 10:08 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +8,649 | $4,173 | $4,173 | 27 | 07-28 15:01 |
| Private-Vine 0x9b4b…7a73 | Yes | +7,850 | $4,625 | $25,975 | 48 | 07-03 18:38 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +7,741 | $3,323 | $19,026 | 72 | 07-30 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | +6,400 | $3,880 | $3,880 | 11 | 07-12 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x867c…a0cc | Yes | +5,704 | $2,795 | $2,795 | 2 | 07-15 14:44 |
| Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | +5,672 | $2,508 | $14,272 | 80 | 07-31 21:02 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | +5,475 | $2,689 | $15,473 | 158 | 07-28 13:50 |
| Improbable-Crepe 0x61d9…d1c4 | Yes | +5,064 | $3,076 | $3,076 | 2 | 07-14 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +5,044 | $2,124 | $2,202 | 7 | 06-16 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +5,024 | $3,219 | $3,219 | 14 | 06-07 23:27 |
| Skinny-Eurocentrism 0xaf7b…dd49 | No | +4,976 | $2,328 | $2,328 | 4 | 07-30 13:39 |
| Marvelous-Sentencing 0xe8ce…6da0 | Yes | +4,903 | $2,027 | $2,439 | 3 | 07-22 22:34 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +4,881 | $1,798 | $1,798 | 12 | 06-02 15:35 |
| Pungent-Lot 0xa247…7175 | Yes | +4,408 | $2,789 | $2,789 | 10 | 06-10 03:11 |
| Cold-Angstrom 0x57c0…60c5 | Yes | +4,112 | $2,392 | $2,392 | 5 | 06-03 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a08…9513 | Yes | +4,086 | $1,956 | $1,956 | 2 | 07-22 07:58 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | +3,830 | $2,559 | $14,626 | 77 | 08-01 10:58 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | Yes | +3,712 | $1,460 | $12,567 | 110 | 07-28 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ff1…bd17 | Yes | +3,686 | $1,851 | $1,851 | 21 | 07-26 20:00 |
| Horrible-Marketing 0xd8c6…9211 | Yes | +3,488 | $1,934 | $2,140 | 6 | 08-01 04:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x04f8…a547 | Yes | +3,074 | $2,183 | $2,183 | 1 | 06-18 14:13 |
| Wrathful-Scarification 0x730a…51a0 | No | +3,000 | $590 | $990 | 19 | 06-06 08:45 |
| High-Bow 0xb5aa…5bd7 | No | +2,851 | $1,097 | $1,097 | 9 | 07-19 08:46 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | No | +2,773 | $769 | $769 | 41 | 07-31 04:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 10:58:38 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 172 | 42¢ | $72 | 0x1e850f… |
| 08-01 10:58:38 | Perfect-Publishing 0xb2dc…b433 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 58¢ | $100 | 0x1e850f… |
| 08-01 09:50:42 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 300 | 42¢ | $126 | 0xabc5bb… |
| 08-01 09:50:42 | Late-Mantua 0x7dff…1f35 | No | SELL | 300 | 42¢ | $126 | 0xabc5bb… |
| 08-01 07:15:35 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | SELL | 203 | 42¢ | $85 | 0x50ffcb… |
| 08-01 07:15:35 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 203 | 42¢ | $85 | 0x50ffcb… |
| 08-01 07:14:57 | Knotty-Current 0x6e82…091f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xb4d7a5… |
| 08-01 07:14:57 | (anonymous) 0x71b3…2ec3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xb4d7a5… |
| 08-01 05:57:23 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 17 | 42¢ | $7 | 0x09a210… |
| 08-01 05:57:23 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0x09a210… |
| 08-01 05:45:18 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 67 | 42¢ | $28 | 0x4c6c41… |
| 08-01 05:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 58¢ | $39 | 0x4c6c41… |
| 08-01 05:33:39 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x7f9c0f… |
| 08-01 05:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x7f9c0f… |
| 08-01 05:32:59 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 375 | 58¢ | $218 | 0x216d4f… |
| 08-01 05:32:59 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 375 | 42¢ | $158 | 0x216d4f… |
| 08-01 05:24:12 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf13c4d… |
| 08-01 05:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xf13c4d… |
| 08-01 05:23:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 213 | 42¢ | $89 | 0xe4bccb… |
| 08-01 05:23:38 | Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | BUY | 111 | 42¢ | $47 | 0xe4bccb… |
| 08-01 05:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 324 | 58¢ | $188 | 0xe4bccb… |
| 08-01 04:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 58¢ | $63 | 0x68ca31… |
| 08-01 04:59:15 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 108 | 42¢ | $45 | 0x68ca31… |
| 08-01 04:34:54 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 517 | 42¢ | $217 | 0xf4776a… |
| 08-01 04:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x4894…aef8 | Yes | BUY | 517 | 58¢ | $300 | 0xf4776a… |
| 08-01 04:02:09 | Horrible-Marketing 0xd8c6…9211 | Yes | SELL | 180 | 57¢ | $103 | 0x1f3f74… |
| 08-01 04:02:09 | Knotty-Current 0x6e82…091f | Yes | BUY | 180 | 57¢ | $103 | 0x1f3f74… |
| 08-01 03:38:57 | (anonymous) 0xf800…05af | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xbeec14… |
| 08-01 03:38:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xbeec14… |
| 08-01 03:05:12 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 81 | 42¢ | $34 | 0x1ce57c… |
| 08-01 03:05:12 | (anonymous) 0x6d05…86a0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x1ce57c… |
| 08-01 03:05:12 | Cheerful-Sugar 0x9aa1…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 58¢ | $59 | 0x1ce57c… |
| 07-31 22:06:45 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x4e123e… |
| 07-31 22:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x34de…6d75 | No | SELL | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x4e123e… |
| 07-31 22:06:45 | (anonymous) 0xe38b…8996 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x4e123e… |
| 07-31 21:02:12 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 57¢ | $11 | 0x657778… |
| 07-31 21:02:12 | Gloomy-Faculty 0x7843…fd3c | Yes | SELL | 137 | 57¢ | $78 | 0x657778… |
| 07-31 21:02:12 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | SELL | 101 | 43¢ | $43 | 0x657778… |
| 07-31 21:02:12 | Knotty-Current 0x6e82…091f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x657778… |
| 07-31 20:47:21 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 98 | 42¢ | $41 | 0x6d47da… |
| 07-31 20:47:21 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x6d47da… |
| 07-31 20:47:21 | Dreary-Encouragement 0x6ccc…653f | Yes | BUY | 103 | 58¢ | $60 | 0x6d47da… |
| 07-31 16:03:45 | (anonymous) 0x0f93…e8c0 | No | BUY | 233 | 43¢ | $100 | 0xba36cb… |
| 07-31 16:03:45 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | No | SELL | 199 | 43¢ | $86 | 0xba36cb… |
| 07-31 16:03:45 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 57¢ | $11 | 0xba36cb… |
| 07-31 16:03:45 | Cheerful-Sugar 0x9aa1…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 57¢ | $8 | 0xba36cb… |
| 07-31 14:59:11 | Ironclad-Supervisor 0x03ed…c077 | No | BUY | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x4fb9ac… |
| 07-31 14:59:11 | Cheerful-Sugar 0x9aa1…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x4fb9ac… |
| 07-31 14:43:20 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 42 | 43¢ | $18 | 0xb4a34f… |
| 07-31 14:43:20 | Cheerful-Sugar 0x9aa1…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 57¢ | $33 | 0xb4a34f… |
| 07-31 14:43:20 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xb4a34f… |
| 07-31 14:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x70f3…d4ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x33d11d… |
| 07-31 14:16:30 | (anonymous) 0xeed3…1e40 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x33d11d… |
| 07-31 14:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x3da8bc… |
| 07-31 14:14:53 | (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | No | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x3da8bc… |
| 07-31 14:10:42 | (anonymous) 0xeed3…1e40 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 57¢ | $13 | 0xcd59c7… |
| 07-31 14:10:42 | Extraneous-Scenario 0xd6f1…dd82 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 57¢ | $30 | 0xcd59c7… |
| 07-31 14:10:42 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0xcd59c7… |
| 07-31 14:09:59 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 17 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x64a7be… |
| 07-31 14:09:59 | (anonymous) 0x13ef…5691 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 57¢ | $10 | 0x64a7be… |
| 07-31 14:09:29 | (anonymous) 0x99dc…7d0a | No | BUY | 4,539 | 44¢ | $1,997 | 0x2c2eeb… |
| 07-31 14:09:29 | Starry-Mapping 0x0d12…371a | No | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x2c2eeb… |
| 07-31 14:09:29 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 4,550 | 56¢ | $2,548 | 0x2c2eeb… |
| 07-31 14:09:29 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x2c2eeb… |
| 07-31 14:06:57 | (anonymous) 0x13ef…5691 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 56¢ | $10 | 0xb7aa17… |
| 07-31 14:06:57 | Starry-Mapping 0x0d12…371a | No | BUY | 17 | 44¢ | $8 | 0xb7aa17… |
| 07-31 14:06:42 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 998 | 55¢ | $549 | 0xf290e7… |
| 07-31 14:06:42 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | BUY | 925 | 45¢ | $416 | 0xf290e7… |
| 07-31 14:06:42 | Reflecting-Severity 0xb0ea…5843 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 55¢ | $22 | 0xf290e7… |
| 07-31 14:06:42 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 33 | 45¢ | $15 | 0xf290e7… |
| 07-31 13:53:38 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x74b777… |
| 07-31 13:53:38 | (anonymous) 0xba00…527b | Yes | BUY | 21 | 55¢ | $12 | 0x74b777… |
| 07-31 13:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x13ef…5691 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0xd512c8… |
| 07-31 13:52:33 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | BUY | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0xd512c8… |
| 07-31 13:52:30 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | BUY | 3,000 | 45¢ | $1,350 | 0x91fb62… |
| 07-31 13:52:30 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 55¢ | $1,650 | 0x91fb62… |
| 07-31 13:52:29 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | BUY | 6,000 | 45¢ | $2,700 | 0xd1602b… |
| 07-31 13:52:29 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | BUY | 6,000 | 55¢ | $3,300 | 0xd1602b… |
| 07-31 13:30:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xc35344… |
| 07-31 13:30:09 | (anonymous) 0x99dc…7d0a | No | BUY | 950 | 46¢ | $437 | 0xc35344… |
| 07-31 13:30:09 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xc35344… |
| 07-31 13:30:09 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | BUY | 847 | 54¢ | $457 | 0xc35344… |
| 07-31 12:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x128e…abfa | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 54¢ | $540 | 0xf1340f… |
| 07-31 12:05:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xf1340f… |
| 07-31 12:05:36 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | SELL | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0xf1340f… |
| 07-31 12:05:36 | Magnificent-Membrane 0x666a…da22 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xf1340f… |
| 07-31 12:05:36 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 80 | 46¢ | $37 | 0xf1340f… |
| 07-31 12:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x99dc…7d0a | No | BUY | 1,150 | 46¢ | $529 | 0xf1340f… |
| 07-31 11:53:38 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | BUY | 36 | 45¢ | $16 | 0x626938… |
| 07-31 11:53:38 | (anonymous) 0xac3c…f3ca | No | SELL | 36 | 45¢ | $16 | 0x626938… |
| 07-31 11:53:26 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xe3b8cd… |
| 07-31 11:53:26 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xe3b8cd… |
| 07-31 11:53:26 | Stormy-Footnote 0x78fe…5262 | No | BUY | 40 | 46¢ | $18 | 0xe3b8cd… |
| 07-31 11:18:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x51f5a1… |
| 07-31 11:18:44 | (anonymous) 0x99dc…7d0a | No | BUY | 2,125 | 45¢ | $956 | 0x51f5a1… |
| 07-31 11:18:44 | Shadowy-Sanction 0x0340…6907 | Yes | BUY | 1,985 | 55¢ | $1,092 | 0x51f5a1… |
| 07-31 11:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0x51f5a1… |
| 07-31 10:42:15 | (anonymous) 0x99dc…7d0a | No | BUY | 4 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x522f98… |
| 07-31 10:42:15 | (anonymous) 0xf364…530b | No | SELL | 4 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x522f98… |
| 07-31 10:26:36 | Shadowy-Sanction 0x0340…6907 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0xe40881… |