Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,234,157
$9,766 in 24h
Trades
15,960
Unique wallets
1,780
Liquidity
$60,228
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-21 20:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-56.5¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $361.6K
vs crowd: 58% YES on $1.49M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 66 | $249.1K | $503.4K | $254.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 177 | $273.4K | $65.9K | +$207.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 450 | $192.6K | $44.6K | +$148.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,087 | $146.5K | $15.6K | +$130.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 24 | $4.7K | $356.9K | $352.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 76 | $32.2K | $25.5K | +$6.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 85 | $41.9K | $2.1K | +$39.8K |
| Median | 150 | $15.4K | $6.7K | +$8.7K |
| Below median | 175 | $24.6K | $6.9K | +$17.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 55 | $15.6K | $3.5K | +$12.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 71 | $8.8K | $18.0K | $9.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 25 | $207.3K | $116.4K | +$90.9K |
| unranked | 1,119 | $511.1K | $93.4K | +$417.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | +538,138 | $266,731 | $266,731 | 546 | 08-21 16:04 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +283,025 | $180,057 | $180,057 | 240 | 08-21 06:23 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | No | +216,350 | $80,864 | $80,864 | 254 | 08-21 10:15 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | No | +100,996 | $65,418 | $88,556 | 118 | 08-21 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x128e…abfa | Yes | +84,549 | $42,363 | $42,363 | 104 | 08-17 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe23b…7c42 | Yes | +51,076 | $24,319 | $24,319 | 16 | 07-22 18:46 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +41,396 | $26,431 | $26,616 | 762 | 08-21 20:19 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +39,510 | $13,823 | $13,823 | 667 | 08-21 20:08 |
| Shadowy-Sanction 0x0340…6907 | Yes | +34,965 | $17,034 | $36,832 | 83 | 08-20 04:36 |
| Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | +30,002 | $14,594 | $14,594 | 26 | 08-02 11:41 |
| Fresh-Cinema 0x277e…7d32 | Yes | +27,716 | $20,236 | $28,775 | 78 | 08-21 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x919e…4e9b | Yes | +24,404 | $10,000 | $10,000 | 2 | 08-21 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cbb…2587 | Yes | +23,370 | $16,603 | $16,603 | 26 | 06-25 17:04 |
| Gifted-Organisation 0xdbad…9352 | No | +21,570 | $7,480 | $7,480 | 14 | 06-25 13:51 |
| Whirlwind-Assurance 0x90d0…e7b5 | Yes | +21,530 | $10,010 | $10,010 | 9 | 08-19 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8369…680b | Yes | +18,922 | $6,623 | $6,623 | 1 | 08-20 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x73be…2b67 | Yes | +17,017 | $6,096 | $6,096 | 2 | 08-20 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ced…5452 | Yes | +15,326 | $7,978 | $63,376 | 37 | 08-14 10:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xa759…ea9e | Yes | +14,810 | $6,538 | $6,538 | 2 | 07-24 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0a1…31e3 | Yes | +11,968 | $6,373 | $6,373 | 17 | 08-01 14:28 |
| Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | +11,655 | $5,602 | $6,889 | 42 | 08-21 11:35 |
| Tender-Sycamore 0x7992…48bf | Yes | +11,642 | $6,514 | $7,578 | 22 | 08-17 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e50…606b | Yes | +11,354 | $6,980 | $6,980 | 2 | 07-13 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xaeda…a39e | Yes | +10,655 | $5,896 | $5,896 | 3 | 08-17 11:45 |
| Rewarding-Brownie 0x3546…c697 | Yes | +8,427 | $2,900 | $15,438 | 9 | 08-20 04:10 |
| Indelible-Roast 0x9231…2212 | No | +8,376 | $3,642 | $19,345 | 82 | 08-19 15:43 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | +7,967 | $4,152 | $4,295 | 5 | 08-20 13:27 |
| Private-Vine 0x9b4b…7a73 | Yes | +7,850 | $4,625 | $25,975 | 48 | 07-03 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d4b…198c | Yes | +6,864 | $3,844 | $3,844 | 1 | 08-02 11:41 |
| Dark-Clan 0x6dc4…6770 | No | +6,573 | $3,464 | $3,964 | 12 | 08-21 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bd1…bd11 | Yes | +6,400 | $3,880 | $3,880 | 11 | 07-12 21:18 |
| Emotional-Secretary 0x69b9…1284 | Yes | +5,875 | $2,954 | $2,954 | 20 | 08-20 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a6f…8b59 | Yes | +5,792 | $1,911 | $1,911 | 4 | 08-21 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x867c…a0cc | Yes | +5,704 | $2,795 | $2,795 | 2 | 07-15 14:44 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +5,400 | $2,432 | $2,432 | 7 | 08-12 11:56 |
| Alive-Thunderstorm 0x8dc7…116f | No | +5,208 | $2,336 | $2,336 | 6 | 08-16 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | +5,178 | $2,995 | $17,469 | 38 | 08-21 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3e3…b829 | Yes | +5,081 | $1,423 | $1,423 | 2 | 08-21 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f86…c192 | Yes | +5,080 | $2,907 | $2,907 | 3 | 08-02 11:43 |
| Improbable-Crepe 0x61d9…d1c4 | Yes | +5,064 | $3,076 | $3,076 | 2 | 07-14 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | No | +5,044 | $2,124 | $2,202 | 7 | 06-16 18:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7300…e52c | Yes | +5,024 | $3,219 | $3,219 | 14 | 06-07 23:27 |
| Electric-Architect 0x72f7…92f7 | No | +5,000 | $2,600 | $2,600 | 1 | 08-19 16:39 |
| Peaceful-Illusion 0x2e4d…f703 | No | +5,000 | $2,110 | $2,110 | 5 | 08-10 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x394a…ba4d | Yes | +4,951 | $1,386 | $1,386 | 1 | 08-21 01:23 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +4,881 | $1,798 | $1,798 | 12 | 06-02 15:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 20:19:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 73 | 26¢ | $19 | 0x94d2fa… |
| 08-21 20:19:25 | Keen-Softening 0xe879…6d22 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 26¢ | $19 | 0x94d2fa… |
| 08-21 20:08:18 | (anonymous) 0x6d05…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xfd6988… |
| 08-21 20:08:18 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0xfd6988… |
| 08-21 19:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xebe1cf… |
| 08-21 19:33:31 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0xebe1cf… |
| 08-21 19:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x9063…f42f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe64a9f… |
| 08-21 19:31:36 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe64a9f… |
| 08-21 19:31:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xe64a9f… |
| 08-21 18:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xa701…47cd | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x30b82f… |
| 08-21 18:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x2928…ef26 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x30b82f… |
| 08-21 18:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xa701…47cd | No | SELL | 53 | 75¢ | $40 | 0x1f0bca… |
| 08-21 18:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x4c3d…e48b | Yes | SELL | 153 | 25¢ | $38 | 0x1f0bca… |
| 08-21 18:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x3309…efce | No | SELL | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0x1f0bca… |
| 08-21 17:22:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xa8b93e… |
| 08-21 17:22:07 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa8b93e… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | (anonymous) 0xc221…92a8 | Yes | SELL | 1,909 | 25¢ | $471 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | (anonymous) 0x1cfa…f0c6 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | SELL | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 741 | 25¢ | $185 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:48:06 | (anonymous) 0x6916…2fd4 | No | SELL | 822 | 76¢ | $625 | 0x88e063… |
| 08-21 16:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 24 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xd0d4ca… |
| 08-21 16:35:31 | Bouncy-Friction 0x6f02…0b2e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xd0d4ca… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | No | BUY | 475 | 72¢ | $342 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x4be7…1115 | Yes | BUY | 2,563 | 28¢ | $730 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 100 | 72¢ | $72 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 40 | 72¢ | $29 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | Bouncy-Friction 0x6f02…0b2e | Yes | SELL | 1,371 | 29¢ | $398 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 276 | 28¢ | $77 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:32:37 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 158 | 72¢ | $114 | 0x7297c8… |
| 08-21 16:13:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 17 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x334428… |
| 08-21 16:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x75fd…7265 | No | SELL | 17 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x334428… |
| 08-21 16:05:04 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x0a07b9… |
| 08-21 16:05:04 | Frigid-Guidance 0x9ac1…0e59 | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x0a07b9… |
| 08-21 16:05:04 | Huge-Disarmament 0x23d9…4f2e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x0a07b9… |
| 08-21 16:04:06 | Well-To-Do-Code 0x1465…7072 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x396546… |
| 08-21 16:04:06 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x396546… |
| 08-21 15:58:30 | Frigid-Guidance 0x9ac1…0e59 | No | SELL | 42 | 75¢ | $31 | 0xfd9674… |
| 08-21 15:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xfd9674… |
| 08-21 15:58:30 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 26¢ | $21 | 0xfd9674… |
| 08-21 15:58:30 | Admired-Hometown 0x1c06…047c | Yes | SELL | 127 | 26¢ | $32 | 0xfd9674… |
| 08-21 15:35:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x01b69b… |
| 08-21 15:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x40c6…98d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x01b69b… |
| 08-21 15:31:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x58bfdd… |
| 08-21 15:31:21 | (anonymous) 0x40c6…98d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x58bfdd… |
| 08-21 15:29:57 | (anonymous) 0x40c6…98d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x16a8f2… |
| 08-21 15:29:57 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x16a8f2… |
| 08-21 14:27:31 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 28¢ | $56 | 0x360032… |
| 08-21 14:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x6d05…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 28¢ | $56 | 0x360032… |
| 08-21 14:09:42 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x04e3b0… |
| 08-21 14:09:42 | (anonymous) 0x6d05…86a0 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x04e3b0… |
| 08-21 14:02:34 | (anonymous) 0x3e65…079d | Yes | BUY | 668 | 28¢ | $187 | 0xbb6c24… |
| 08-21 14:02:34 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 668 | 28¢ | $187 | 0xbb6c24… |
| 08-21 13:56:48 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xa02285… |
| 08-21 13:56:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xa02285… |
| 08-21 13:56:24 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x0e81a6… |
| 08-21 13:56:24 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | SELL | 217 | 27¢ | $59 | 0x0e81a6… |
| 08-21 13:56:24 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x0e81a6… |
| 08-21 13:56:24 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x0e81a6… |
| 08-21 13:50:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x7597ed… |
| 08-21 13:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x6482…55e4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x7597ed… |
| 08-21 13:31:36 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4da856… |
| 08-21 13:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x2c32…9d9f | No | SELL | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x4da856… |
| 08-21 13:24:57 | Fussy-Throne 0xaa0d…96e7 | No | BUY | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0xa0e05b… |
| 08-21 13:24:57 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xa0e05b… |
| 08-21 12:57:24 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 152 | 28¢ | $42 | 0x8c45de… |
| 08-21 12:57:24 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 28¢ | $42 | 0x8c45de… |
| 08-21 12:57:24 | Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x28656b… |
| 08-21 12:57:24 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x28656b… |
| 08-21 12:40:25 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xdf0a1a… |
| 08-21 12:40:25 | (anonymous) 0x6482…55e4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xdf0a1a… |
| 08-21 12:19:51 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 28¢ | $18 | 0xd2e777… |
| 08-21 12:19:51 | Outstanding-Assassination 0xba1e…fd2e | No | SELL | 1,428 | 73¢ | $1,042 | 0xd2e777… |
| 08-21 12:19:51 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xd2e777… |
| 08-21 12:19:51 | (anonymous) 0xa19c…de6b | No | BUY | 480 | 73¢ | $350 | 0xd2e777… |
| 08-21 12:19:51 | Marvelous-Sentencing 0xe8ce…6da0 | Yes | SELL | 852 | 27¢ | $230 | 0xd2e777… |
| 08-21 11:56:09 | Apt-Mixer 0xb298…d036 | No | SELL | 19 | 73¢ | $14 | 0x8b8154… |
| 08-21 11:56:09 | Marvelous-Sentencing 0xe8ce…6da0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x8b8154… |
| 08-21 11:55:28 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | No | SELL | 9 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x192a24… |
| 08-21 11:55:28 | Marvelous-Sentencing 0xe8ce…6da0 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 27¢ | $35 | 0x192a24… |
| 08-21 11:55:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x192a24… |
| 08-21 11:55:28 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | SELL | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0x192a24… |
| 08-21 11:42:07 | Accurate-Faith 0x8b87…3e8d | No | BUY | 1,000 | 74¢ | $740 | 0xd6a0cf… |
| 08-21 11:42:07 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 74¢ | $740 | 0xd6a0cf… |
| 08-21 11:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc2d88f… |
| 08-21 11:38:03 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xc2d88f… |
| 08-21 11:35:37 | Perfect-Licence 0xef34…1d61 | No | BUY | 88 | 73¢ | $64 | 0x632e29… |
| 08-21 11:35:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x632e29… |
| 08-21 11:35:37 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 27¢ | $29 | 0x632e29… |
| 08-21 11:35:03 | Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | SELL | 112 | 73¢ | $82 | 0x82d1c5… |
| 08-21 11:35:03 | Perfect-Licence 0xef34…1d61 | No | BUY | 112 | 73¢ | $82 | 0x82d1c5… |
| 08-21 11:11:40 | (anonymous) 0xd1ef…f23c | No | BUY | 100 | 73¢ | $73 | 0xeac232… |
| 08-21 11:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x0593…cf33 | No | SELL | 214 | 73¢ | $155 | 0xeac232… |
| 08-21 11:11:40 | Ill-Wing 0xe5c1…bdb9 | Yes | SELL | 94 | 28¢ | $26 | 0xeac232… |
| 08-21 11:11:40 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xeac232… |
| 08-21 11:00:54 | Unwilling-Waiver 0xef13…7d1c | No | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xb857b1… |