Keen-Softening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$650

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,528

lifetime

Volume

$553.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-11 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

80% 80% +$715

Other

16% 80% $-65

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	151	$37.3K	36,115	37,280	-1,165	open	—	06-16 13:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	75	$29.3K	16,434	17,987	-1,553	open	—	05-26 04:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$22.0K	10,071	12,777	-2,705	open	—	06-16 13:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	118	$20.7K	23,453	23,453	+0	open	—	07-02 06:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	116	$19.0K	20,620	20,620	+0	open	—	06-19 19:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	65	$17.3K	13,671	13,466	+205	open	—	07-23 21:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	15	$14.2K	9,358	7,982	+1,376	open	—	06-16 13:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	43	$14.1K	14,188	14,188	-0	open	—	06-20 04:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$13.5K	10,442	10,442	+0	open	—	06-02 01:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	13	$10.7K	5,887	5,104	+783	open	—	05-18 19:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	20	$10.1K	5,429	5,679	-250	open	—	05-23 01:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	46	$9.9K	6,047	4,990	+1,057	open	—	05-24 07:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	29	$9.6K	9,476	1,429	+8,046	open	—	05-20 21:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	31	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-02 04:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	93	$8.8K	6,540	4,589	+1,951	open	—	05-30 20:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	11	$8.4K	6,545	4,129	+2,416	open	—	06-14 16:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	16	$8.1K	4,204	4,204	+0	open	—	05-28 08:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	31	$7.5K	7,937	269	+7,668	open	—	05-14 22:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	36	$7.4K	4,956	6,147	-1,192	open	—	05-25 22:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	41	$7.1K	5,723	5,932	-209	open	—	05-26 11:55
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	16	$6.8K	3,605	3,605	+0	open	—	07-16 00:46
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	14	$6.7K	3,707	3,707	+0	open	—	07-18 01:41
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	21	$6.0K	3,892	3,187	+705	open	—	06-12 05:55
iran full airspace closure by august 15	20	$5.9K	3,725	3,725	+0	open	—	08-04 13:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	38	$4.9K	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	04-01 18:24
will iran strike israel on march 6	19	$4.6K	2,410	2,410	+0	open	—	03-11 19:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	65	$4.5K	3,574	3,574	+0	open	—	07-04 14:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	17	$4.5K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	07-06 14:11
israel closes its airspace by august 15	6	$4.1K	2,352	2,352	+0	open	—	08-02 21:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	34	$4.0K	4,446	416	+4,030	No	+$710	05-08 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 10:40:09	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9c3d37…
08-11 12:30:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	377	82¢	$310	0x0a04b5…
08-09 08:14:55	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x6689de…
08-06 23:11:51	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x842177…
08-06 21:56:38	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc5ab62…
08-06 11:03:26	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x2fdcbd…
08-06 08:42:45	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc5885f…
08-06 04:19:33	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x38d950…
08-06 03:48:56	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x48f97c…
08-06 03:38:48	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x53c24b…
08-06 01:40:56	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x92528b…
08-06 01:06:47	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4ef055…
08-05 20:59:50	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x81276a…
08-05 18:20:54	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xd25c75…
08-05 17:52:05	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	400	49¢	$196	0x54a6c8…
08-05 16:39:29	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0d51cf…
08-05 11:46:30	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xe71fe3…
08-05 10:00:14	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc013b4…
08-05 09:52:53	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x74e776…
08-05 09:47:27	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd80a87…
08-05 09:27:27	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc4400b…
08-05 09:20:06	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb263d8…
08-05 09:12:45	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xca7f08…
08-05 08:57:14	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9cd3bd…
08-05 02:22:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc657e6…
08-04 20:37:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	250	43¢	$108	0x100a34…
08-04 18:44:30	will ethereum reach 2250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0xf8ca17…
08-04 18:38:54	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0x2621dc…
08-04 18:26:48	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0xc6d62a…
08-04 18:24:05	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	949	45¢	$427	0x07b0f4…
08-04 18:20:14	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	44¢	$440	0x367df5…
08-04 18:19:30	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf70ca6…
08-04 18:14:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x428d75…
08-04 14:31:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xde54fb…
08-04 13:52:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	521	48¢	$250	0x01a7d4…
08-04 13:42:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	1,916	89¢	$1,705	0x90f504…
08-04 13:08:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x8e5dee…
08-04 10:52:26	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x54cf63…
08-04 09:35:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	83¢	$55	0xc3161f…
08-04 09:26:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x9fb987…
08-04 07:59:54	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xc9114e…
08-04 07:59:29	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	77	89¢	$68	0x897b12…
08-04 07:56:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x583ff8…
08-04 07:56:45	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	458	89¢	$407	0x254d16…
08-04 02:29:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x25e123…
08-03 23:47:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	750	86¢	$645	0x6750c0…
08-03 14:35:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	83¢	$73	0xb20e12…
08-03 14:28:41	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x3d2cc7…
08-02 21:41:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	2,343	89¢	$2,086	0x98eb6f…
08-02 20:24:11	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x6f318e…
08-02 19:05:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	352	87¢	$306	0x9e68dc…
08-02 18:23:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x0c8494…
08-02 18:18:11	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	352	87¢	$306	0xdc8be2…
08-02 04:12:42	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	498	54¢	$269	0x770f52…
08-02 04:08:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	2,097	98¢	$2,061	0xafb11b…
08-02 04:08:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x2ade11…
08-02 04:06:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	1,192	98¢	$1,172	0xdf6aec…
08-02 04:02:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0xcad064…
08-02 04:02:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	144	98¢	$142	0xb11fa1…
08-02 04:02:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x4a76e5…
08-02 04:02:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	777	98¢	$764	0xc61484…
08-02 04:02:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x489ac5…
08-02 03:47:42	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17c5af…
08-01 20:32:54	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	642	61¢	$391	0xb91320…
08-01 20:27:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x39083a…
08-01 18:58:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xbc7d6d…
08-01 18:00:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0x6afac2…
08-01 17:32:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	200	54¢	$109	0xa7f61c…
08-01 17:11:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x8fe3dc…
08-01 16:35:54	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfb1e30…
08-01 16:33:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb0ecaa…
08-01 16:32:47	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xbcbe1e…
08-01 16:32:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xedb016…
08-01 16:32:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x466d69…
08-01 16:32:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x082438…
08-01 16:31:51	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xe58a34…
08-01 16:25:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x704a7a…
08-01 16:24:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf5ef1c…
08-01 16:24:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2c831d…
08-01 16:24:27	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x998ab6…
08-01 16:24:26	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2573f6…
08-01 16:22:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x725e1d…
08-01 16:22:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0166fa…
08-01 16:22:48	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x62b545…
08-01 16:22:48	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5604ab…
08-01 16:22:45	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x634cfd…
08-01 16:21:21	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3c4d7d…
08-01 16:17:05	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	95	69¢	$66	0xa59f63…
08-01 16:16:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8d59ba…
08-01 15:57:08	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	178	61¢	$109	0xfc9024…
08-01 13:19:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x494ec1…
08-01 13:18:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc29d34…
08-01 13:16:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6e7132…
08-01 13:16:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xaef43d…
08-01 13:15:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x41320f…
08-01 13:14:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x74acc6…
08-01 13:14:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2eb66b…
08-01 13:13:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	144	75¢	$108	0x6fc06c…
08-01 13:02:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x059a98…
08-01 12:51:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	290	78¢	$226	0xd7b80a…