Realized P&L
+$4.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$471
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
494
Trades
3,871
lifetime
Volume
$605.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$48
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 08-22 04:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Politics
77% 78% +$9,803
Other
16% 77% -$2,846
Crypto
7% 50% -$2,687
Tech
0% 90% +$149
Sports
0% 67% +$16
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +205 $527 12¢ $24 -$503 07-23 21:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -15 -$14 92¢ $-14 +$0 08-21 03:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -10 -$16 92¢ $-9 +$7 05-23 23:56
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -49 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-01 17:33
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes -91 -$21 0¢ $-0 +$21 05-14 09:10
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$2 06-25 22:59