US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$12,969
$31,406 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$115,899
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 03:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $8.1K | $1.1K | +$7.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unranked | 31 | $8.1K | $1.1K | +$7.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | +9,091 | $6,000 | $6,000 | 1 | 05-05 22:55 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 1 | 05-06 02:29 |
| Austere-Monocle 0x4230…c6ea | No | +1,227 | $458 | $458 | 1 | 05-05 00:34 |
| Clear-Cut-Gravel 0xb242…eb89 | No | +710 | $220 | $220 | 1 | 05-06 02:29 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | +650 | $246 | $246 | 13 | 05-05 12:16 |
| Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | +327 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 05-05 11:55 |
| Aggravating-Nicety 0x325f…8e0e | Yes | +312 | $203 | $203 | 1 | 05-05 17:09 |
| New-Bag 0x10a0…dc15 | Yes | +200 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 05-06 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x2644…f50a | No | +131 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-04 22:19 |
| Ultimate-Brushfire 0x392a…262d | No | +100 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-06 02:34 |
| Monumental-Wasting 0x24ab…7305 | No | +96 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-05 17:04 |
| Single-Most 0xadf2…f295 | Yes | +70 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-06 00:58 |
| Digital-Obstacle 0x3a45…f5cf | Yes | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-05 03:35 |
| Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7 | No | +50 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:39 |
| Biodegradable-Miss 0x99e7…f1b6 | No | +48 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-06 01:49 |
| Ready-Bidet 0xffea…06c0 | Yes | +34 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-06 03:19 |
| Smooth-Temp 0x1ec6…7edb | Yes | +34 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-06 03:18 |
| Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | No | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 13:45 |
| Snoopy-Brushing-Oxford 0xf005…4b6c | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 10:05 |
| Comfortable-Spite 0x4e0a…c288 | No | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 09:11 |
| Frilly-Satisfaction 0xacf6…ce9e | No | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4f…b2be | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:03 |
| Thorny-Notebook 0xe600…b379 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 05:00 |
| Sticky-Dispute 0x60ec…52d5 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 08:45 |
| Quixotic-Significance 0x5dbf…3fae | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 14:02 |
| Clumsy-Paradise 0x3919…185e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 14:54 |
| Exhausted-Guitarist-Many 0xdc1f…9bab | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 03:59:40 | Hefty-Union 0xe512…a0d3 | No | SELL | 11,315 | 29¢ | $3,281 | 0x022454… |
| 05-06 03:19:06 | Ready-Bidet 0xffea…06c0 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 70¢ | $24 | 0xaaf466… |
| 05-06 03:18:54 | Smooth-Temp 0x1ec6…7edb | Yes | BUY | 34 | 70¢ | $24 | 0x252c60… |
| 05-06 03:18:40 | Gummy-Rain 0x7040…81fa | Yes | SELL | 673 | 69¢ | $464 | 0x02eff1… |
| 05-06 02:34:02 | Ultimate-Brushfire 0x392a…262d | No | BUY | 100 | 31¢ | $31 | 0x830706… |
| 05-06 02:29:42 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 70¢ | $1,400 | 0x58f0b1… |
| 05-06 02:29:42 | Clear-Cut-Gravel 0xb242…eb89 | No | BUY | 710 | 31¢ | $220 | 0x6007d1… |
| 05-06 01:49:16 | Biodegradable-Miss 0x99e7…f1b6 | No | BUY | 48 | 31¢ | $15 | 0xac9a12… |
| 05-06 01:24:18 | New-Bag 0x10a0…dc15 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 71¢ | $142 | 0x534c19… |
| 05-06 00:58:28 | Single-Most 0xadf2…f295 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 71¢ | $50 | 0xa27954… |
| 05-05 22:55:06 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | BUY | 9,091 | 66¢ | $6,000 | 0x256f1f… |
| 05-05 17:09:48 | Exhausted-Guitarist-Many 0xdc1f…9bab | Yes | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x449ee1… |
| 05-05 17:09:40 | Aggravating-Nicety 0x325f…8e0e | Yes | BUY | 312 | 65¢ | $203 | 0xa1b5ee… |
| 05-05 17:04:44 | Monumental-Wasting 0x24ab…7305 | No | BUY | 96 | 36¢ | $35 | 0x75f6c0… |
| 05-05 14:54:44 | Clumsy-Paradise 0x3919…185e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x2c3c3b… |
| 05-05 14:52:32 | Gummy-Dearest 0x5738…5ca3 | No | SELL | 27 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x7c4a36… |
| 05-05 14:02:10 | Quixotic-Significance 0x5dbf…3fae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x94fc65… |
| 05-05 13:45:20 | Snarling-Population 0x941e…9775 | No | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x47eca7… |
| 05-05 12:16:52 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xd78ac1… |
| 05-05 12:16:38 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x486ff3… |
| 05-05 11:56:40 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x8a679c… |
| 05-05 11:56:28 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0xd9839f… |
| 05-05 11:55:16 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0xe45b4a… |
| 05-05 11:55:14 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 327 | 65¢ | $213 | 0x833d2f… |
| 05-05 11:36:40 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xb7b277… |
| 05-05 11:26:42 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x441dca… |
| 05-05 11:16:48 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xe10f53… |
| 05-05 11:10:22 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xc7e90b… |
| 05-05 11:10:10 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xcd93dd… |
| 05-05 11:10:04 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xc3dc86… |
| 05-05 11:06:28 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x6ff107… |
| 05-05 11:06:22 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x5d47a2… |
| 05-05 10:05:16 | Snoopy-Brushing-Oxford 0xf005…4b6c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xc0b3bb… |
| 05-05 09:31:22 | Gummy-Dearest 0x5738…5ca3 | No | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0xef9fde… |
| 05-05 09:11:20 | Comfortable-Spite 0x4e0a…c288 | No | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x9efd14… |
| 05-05 08:45:10 | Sticky-Dispute 0x60ec…52d5 | No | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x7ee53a… |
| 05-05 05:00:04 | Thorny-Notebook 0xe600…b379 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xa2a2e8… |
| 05-05 04:55:44 | Fake-Allowance-Stake 0x9875…c37a | No | SELL | 4 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x72fb95… |
| 05-05 03:35:02 | Digital-Obstacle 0x3a45…f5cf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x5bbc44… |
| 05-05 00:34:26 | Austere-Monocle 0x4230…c6ea | No | BUY | 1,227 | 37¢ | $458 | 0x1ddd8f… |
| 05-04 22:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x2644…f50a | No | BUY | 131 | 38¢ | $50 | 0xd85522… |
| 05-04 20:39:44 | Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7 | No | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x2d8cf3… |
| 05-04 20:09:46 | Frilly-Satisfaction 0xacf6…ce9e | No | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x236831… |
| 05-04 20:03:44 | Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4f…b2be | No | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xb95642… |