Smart-Compassion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$570.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$152

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

12,557

Trades

280,511

lifetime

Volume

$60.4M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$215

Open exposure

$68

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-09 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 70% +$540,578

Sports

37% 98% +$28,855

Other

6% 71% -$4,748

Politics

3% 79% +$2,972

Tech

0% 100% +$3,078

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+500	$220	14¢	$68	-$152	05-14 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	173	$723.3K	460,758	263,429	+197,329	No	+$287	06-29 23:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	57	$530.3K	381,088	152,708	+228,380	No	+$2,128	06-04 00:34
Thunder vs. Spurs	4	$419.6K	235,000	185,000	+50,000	Spurs	+$50	05-29 02:40
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	3	$399.6K	200,000	200,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 20:23
Lakers vs. Rockets	39	$324.4K	189,776	134,998	+54,778	Rockets	+$62	04-27 13:14
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	67	$260.4K	182,628	93,360	+89,268	No	+$15,361	06-04 03:46
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$243.3K	233,510	10,010	+223,500	Yes	+$223	07-09 18:39
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	4	$230.8K	0	231,000	-231,000	Yes	-$231	07-01 22:40
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	5	$228.5K	229,000	0	+229,000	Yes	+$458	07-27 07:31
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	42	$228.5K	229,000	0	+229,000	No	+$499	05-01 00:33
nba phx phi 2026 01 20	171	$219.9K	185,501	34,602	+150,900	Suns	+$151	01-21 03:00
Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$219.8K	220,000	0	+220,000	Knicks	+$220	05-01 00:45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$219.8K	220,000	0	+220,000	Yes	+$220	07-20 00:45
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	44	$216.8K	217,025	0	+217,025	No	+$217	07-05 22:11
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	17	$216.3K	215,000	1,500	+213,500	Celtics	+$215	03-03 02:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	49	$210.0K	122,750	87,518	+35,232	Yes	+$85	02-03 23:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	85	$207.9K	154,926	54,594	+100,332	Yes	+$954	06-17 17:01
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	6	$198.8K	199,000	0	+199,000	Yes	+$199	06-17 03:02
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	180	$195.8K	196,018	0	+196,018	Yes	+$196	05-31 06:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	39	$184.8K	117,089	86,867	+30,222	Yes	-$149	06-17 15:09
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	50	$184.8K	185,000	0	+185,000	Timberwolves	+$185	04-26 03:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	4	$179.8K	180,000	0	+180,000	No	+$180	06-15 17:56
nba bos atl 2026 03 30	49	$176.7K	176,930	0	+176,930	Hawks	+$196	03-31 02:47
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	15	$176.0K	125,614	50,567	+75,047	Yes	+$75	04-09 00:17
nba cha min 2026 04 05	50	$171.0K	151,215	20,000	+131,215	Hornets	+$131	04-06 01:21
Celtics vs. 76ers	87	$170.0K	170,147	0	+170,147	Celtics	+$170	04-27 01:22
nba sac nyk 2026 01 27	10	$169.8K	170,000	0	+170,000	Knicks	+$170	01-28 02:57
nba det orl 2026 04 06	101	$162.5K	162,694	0	+162,694	Magic	+$174	04-07 03:33
nba orl tor 2026 03 29	31	$154.2K	154,342	0	+154,342	Raptors	+$154	03-30 00:01
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	16	$150.7K	110,978	40,000	+70,978	Yes	+$142	02-04 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 09:06:25	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,500	35¢	$525	0x1c1a8d…
10-09 08:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x65d98d…
10-09 08:43:10	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,500	64¢	$960	0x8f600c…
09-08 21:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	497	2¢	$8	0x231988…
09-06 10:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0xff6d74…
09-06 10:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x33cdc1…
09-06 10:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x127419…
09-06 10:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11cd11…
09-06 10:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x453da5…
09-06 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd4cdf1…
09-06 10:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xc192e1…
09-06 10:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	353	3¢	$11	0xc5e335…
09-06 10:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0x5b4dd7…
09-06 10:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x420180…
09-06 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	305	6¢	$18	0x0922f8…
09-06 10:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x01fc5b…
09-06 10:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbbf505…
09-06 10:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xdd8cda…
09-06 10:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xaa5227…
09-06 10:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x1ade4b…
09-06 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xfc1ac5…
09-06 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	379	8¢	$30	0x8bcd74…
09-06 10:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x777839…
09-06 10:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x034b47…
09-06 10:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x8bfe9e…
09-06 10:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x4ed664…
09-06 10:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	257	11¢	$28	0x28d4a0…
09-06 10:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd0151a…
09-06 10:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	238	11¢	$26	0xbf197c…
08-25 07:51:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdbc567…
08-25 07:51:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x1306e7…
08-25 07:51:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd7c563…
08-25 07:51:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	473	99¢	$468	0x4dd844…
08-25 07:51:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x6da913…
08-25 07:51:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,600	99¢	$1,584	0xebc745…
08-25 07:50:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x22c0da…
08-25 07:50:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xeb9587…
08-25 07:50:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xda7430…
08-25 07:50:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xac5b20…
08-25 07:50:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x914824…
08-25 07:50:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x70da50…
08-25 07:50:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xfeb7c5…
08-25 07:50:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xf5b337…
08-25 07:50:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xb8adfc…
08-25 02:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0xfe37a3…
08-25 02:30:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfce6bc…
08-25 02:29:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9ecb32…
08-25 02:29:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1d6a67…
08-25 02:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,030	100¢	$2,028	0x9f0c0f…
08-25 02:28:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	814	99¢	$807	0xae3ac1…
08-25 02:26:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x5f7002…
08-25 02:26:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3fa72c…
08-25 02:24:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,941	0xc6e76b…
08-24 05:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0xdf13cf…
08-24 05:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x9566d1…
08-24 05:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x741e7f…
08-24 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x282ae6…
08-24 05:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1360e9…
08-24 05:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b4acc…
08-24 05:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e3f2d…
08-24 05:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1ffae8…
08-24 05:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3a0d9…
08-24 05:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x781a5f…
08-24 05:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe5737…
08-24 05:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb16a56…
08-24 05:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,221	99¢	$1,209	0x891563…
08-24 05:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc152f2…
08-24 05:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xbf0cf8…
08-24 05:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3ca5d9…
08-22 05:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x3a2c54…
08-22 05:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x881c27…
08-22 05:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	726	98¢	$712	0xb7fc49…
08-22 05:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1e1e2e…
08-22 00:28:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0xb13c56…
08-21 07:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0xe84e39…
08-21 07:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x7f1d97…
08-21 01:57:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x7e3c84…
08-21 01:56:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	393	99¢	$389	0x5876cd…
08-21 01:55:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0x3d74e4…
08-21 01:55:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	556	99¢	$551	0xac369e…
08-21 01:53:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xd35f6b…
08-21 01:53:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xe46891…
08-21 01:52:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6231f6…
08-21 01:52:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x72e565…
08-21 01:52:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x44feba…
08-21 01:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	322	3¢	$10	0x4040ca…
08-21 01:50:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	478	3¢	$14	0x657d0c…
08-21 01:49:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x932f65…
08-21 01:49:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	791	97¢	$767	0x180e39…
08-21 01:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x6cdaa0…
08-21 01:25:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	530	99¢	$526	0x2c8066…
08-21 01:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,600	99¢	$1,584	0x4a3ee7…
08-21 01:24:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	408	98¢	$399	0xb72ac3…
08-21 01:24:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x813066…
08-21 01:24:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x590afa…
08-21 01:24:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x581d73…
08-21 01:23:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x8eea51…
08-21 01:22:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,033	9¢	$97	0xdbd73d…
08-21 01:22:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xd92734…
08-21 01:22:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	620	10¢	$62	0xc115a3…